[JoshKnows46]

I've made plenty bets this size on football, but this is by far my largest play ever on a mma contest, once in a lifetime type bet, line should be McGregor -340/-360 but they can't realistically make the line that, as Aldo is the long reigning champion, don't miss out on this opportunity, you won't see McGregor at these odds again.
Make a substantial wager on Rory MacDonald as well.

Conor McGregor +110 $1000 to win $1100 (bet and posted on 5/22/15)
Conor McGregor +105 $1000 to win $1050
Conor McGregor -135 $2500 to win $1851.85

Rory MacDonald -185 $2500 to win $1351.35

[DiggityDaggityDo]

[agendaman]

aldo hasn't lost a fight since 2005--10 yrs. he has fought the best and beat the best and is still on ly 28 yrs. old mcgregor is a real fine fighter but has never faced someone the class of aldo i hope you win JK46 but rem ember what i just said

[Giants007]

I like Conor ITD

[UncleChael]

Scooby doo, where are you?

[Heyeverybody99]

Dude's sharp as fukk. I pounded the +135 and lower to oblivion for the last couple months. Good chance it gets refunded, but if not, beautiful ting.

[krenwinkle]

On mcgregor for huge here.

I hope rory wins too but to me it's riskier than the conor play given last one was split decision.

[BELM0NT]

Hope they hit too Joshknows

[JoshKnows46]

aldo out, mendes in

Conor McGregor -145 $2500 to win $1724.14
Conor McGregor wins by Tko/KO +120 $2000 to win $2400

[Yuri7999]

Damn suhn...high roller!

[JoshKnows46]

Just placed another 3000 on Conor at -170, might put another 2k on him before the fight.

[opinionator]

how do you feel watching those UFC embeddeds and all the ones of mendes show him training his arse off and all the ones of macgregor show him waving swords around and sittin in the hot tub with his missus ? lol

[JoshKnows46]

It's a tv show, for entertainment, they can show whatever they want... Think about it... Chads on 3 weeks notice, Conor has been in a full training camp, your not gonna try to get yourself hurt the week of the fight..

[blackHIPPY]

whens the fight?

[JoshKnows46]

This Saturday night

[importmoon]

[JoshKnows46]

Added:

G.Nelson +160 $50 to win $80
G.Nelson wins by Sub +305 $50 to win $152.50

T. Means +165 $300 to win $495

Stephens wins by TKO/KO +300 $50 to win $150

Howard / Pendred goes 3 round distance -225 $225 to win $100

Seery / Smolka goes 3 round distance -165 $165 to win $100

[Giants007]

you placed like 10k on the big one but 50 cents on these small ones?

[JoshKnows46]

you placed like 10k on the big one but 50 cents on these small ones?

50 bucks on Stephens and 100 on Nelson are my two smallest plays. And yes, a usual large bet for me will be in the 1200-1500 range, just extremely confident in Rory and McGregor, the rest of the favorites in that range from 160-220 should be closer to even odds, or underdogs slightly, so I'm placing small wagers on lines I feel should be tim means -130, Nelson +120, they are still even money fights, unlike Rory and MacDonald who I feel should be in the -300/-400 range because of significant advantages and 80%+ chance of victory. Those guys here I give 45-55% chance of victory and I'm getting plus odds on inflated lines, they aren't drastically more skilled then the guys they are facing.

[Giants007]

im sorry if that came out wrong, I just figured even on your smaller bets you tossed around at least a grand or 2, I wish you the best and hope you cash!

[JoshKnows46]

im sorry if that came out wrong, I just figured even on your smaller bets you tossed around at least a grand or 2, I wish you the best and hope you cash!

Took no offense, it works for me, I make bets like this maybe a few times a year, just so happen to have 2 on the same card, so I understand the question. The favorites that are undervalued will always get more attention from me then the underdogs, because we're talking about a line going up instead of down, exept for the rare cases like werdum who I gave a 60% chance to win and was +400, then I'll make a substantial wager. My units for underdogs and favorites are diffrent, with the favorites the goal is to hit everyone, because I'm risking more to win less, the goal with underdogs is to hit more than I lose or hit 50% of my bets, because I'm risking less to win more. Conor and Rory I place on a diffrent tier in their respected weight classes at this point, they are far away from everyone else, this coming from a huge lawler fan and someone that bet lawler the first time, these guys will reign over their divisions for the forseable future.

[JoshKnows46]

Added:

Garbrandt wins inside distance -175 $350 to win $200


Garcia wins by 3 round decision +340 $50 to win $170
Garcia/Swick start round 2 -160 $80 to win $50

[JoshKnows46]

Added a little more on..
Gunna Nelson @+160 $50 to win 80

Brad Pickett +535 $25 to win $133.75
Brad Pickett by decision +1000 $25 to win $250
Almedia/Pickett over 1.5 rounds -155 $155 to win $100

[pilebuck13]

Never bet ufc but it seems like the heavy favorites usually win was thinking about parlay the heavy favorites -160 an above mma experts weigh in

[JoshKnows46]

Never bet ufc but it seems like the heavy favorites usually win was thinking about parlay the heavy favorites -160 an above mma experts weigh in

No, Beside conor, Rory, no love, and Garcia, I expect the rest of this card to be underdog heavy. Lots of guys in the -170 to -230 range on this card are over priced.

[Cappinpicks]

post the tickets of the 6k bets, no point posting $ amount without proof

[CaptChaos145]

Added:

G.Nelson +160 $50 to win $80
G.Nelson wins by Sub +305 $50 to win $152.50

T. Means +165 $300 to win $495

Stephens wins by TKO/KO +300 $50 to win $150

Howard / Pendred goes 3 round distance -225 $225 to win $100

Seery / Smolka goes 3 round distance -165 $165 to win $100

I don't like Gunnar, Stephens, or Means.

Thatch will be better prepared. If he stuffs the TD he wins.
Bermudez will not lose. Stephens came in waaay overweight.
Brown will take out the Dirty Bird

[JoshKnows46]

post the tickets of the 6k bets, no point posting $ amount without proof

I have some of my tickets posted in the main thread, you'll have to have a look for yourself.

[JoshKnows46]

I don't like Gunnar, Stephens, or Means.

Thatch will be better prepared. If he stuffs the TD he wins.
Bermudez will not lose. Stephens came in waaay overweight.
Brown will take out the Dirty Bird

we shall see, fights in a couple hours. Good luck, u need atleast 2 of those 3 favorites to win to make a profit, all three should be even money fights. Hope your on Connor and Rory as well, have a profitable event.

[CaptChaos145]

You can get Rory at about even money if you bet these 2 prop bets:
Rory wins within distance +215
Rory wins by Dec +182

I bet Rory straight up instead. I made a mistake.

[JoshKnows46]

You can get Rory at about even money if you bet these 2 prop bets:
Rory wins within distance +215
Rory wins by Dec +182

I bet Rory straight up instead. I made a mistake.

nice catch, I already maxed out how much I'm willing to bet on Rory as well.

[Cappinpicks]

where is your thread?

[JoshKnows46]

where is your thread?

The main thread, aldo vs McGregor ufc 189
thread, where all the discussion is at, I posted most recent bets on McGregor and Rory there, took a few screen shots.

[CaptChaos145]

JK - good luck to you too my man.

[pilebuck13]

Your way confident in mcgregor and Rory why not parlay those?