1. #1
    GunShard
    Invest In Ethereum And Bitcoin
    GunShard's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-05-10
    Posts: 9,984
    Betpoints: 1938

    Renan Barao -185 to defeat Urijah Faber.

    I made this bet last week, the lines have moved since then.

    Barao is a well rounded striker similar to Jose Aldo, Erick Silva and Dominick Cruz. Barao trains with Aldo at Nova Uniao.
    Faber is a well rounded fighter that trains at Team Alpha Male.
    Barao has the advantages in technique and striking. Barao will win by TKO or Decision.
    Faber has the advantages in power and submission. Faber will win by Submission.
    Both fighters have advantages in speed.

    The last opponent Faber fought that was similar to Barao is Jose Aldo.
    If this fight is similar to the Aldo vs Faber fight. Barao will attack Faber's legs just like how Aldo did, but does not hit as hard as Aldo.
    Faber can finish the fight by guillotine but will have trouble attempting strikes and takedowns if Fabers legs are injured like it was against Aldo.
    If Faber takes Barao to the ground and Barao fails defend against Faber's submissions, then Barao could lose.
    Members of Team Alpha Male are grappling experts. Barao is less likely to defeat Faber by Submission.
    In the Barao vs Jorgensen fight, Jorgensen failed all of his takedown attempts. If Barao can defend the takedown against Faber, then Faber is forced to keep this fight standing.
    Both fighters have heart and have never been knocked out.

    I don't know if Barao has cardio to last a 5 round fight. Barao is 25 years old and Faber is 33 years old.

    The statistics give Barao the edge over Faber:
    http://hosteddb.fightmetric.com/fights/index/3942

    Barao should be a -300 favorite.
    If Barao wins, I see a Barao vs Cruz main event happening in a future event.

    Barao highlight video:


    Faber vs Cruz highlight video:


    I also have this bet on a parlay with Hector Lombard.

    My previous prediction.
    Dos Santos defeating Velasquez:
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/boxing-mma...velasquez.html

    "If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles.
    If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat.
    If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle." -Sun Tzu, the Art Of war

    "All our Knowledge begins with the senses, proceeds then to the understanding, and ends with reason. There is nothing higher than reason." -Immanuel Kant

  2. #2
    Beelzebubzy
    Beelzebubzy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-06-11
    Posts: 6,995
    Betpoints: 5104

    Wow very surprised by Urijahs low Takedown Percentage, cool stuff, still like Urijah
    best of like GS

  3. #3
    BIGDAY
    angelman.org
    BIGDAY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-17-10
    Posts: 48,241
    Betpoints: 24866

    GL pal

  4. #4
    Vaughany
    Jibbbeh is my idol.
    Vaughany's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-07-10
    Posts: 45,563
    Betpoints: 8647

    Quote Originally Posted by GunShard View Post
    I made this bet last week, the lines have moved since then.

    Barao is a well rounded striker similar to Jose Aldo, Erick Silva and Dominick Cruz. Barao trains with Aldo at Nova Uniao.
    Faber is a well rounded fighter that trains at Team Alpha Male.
    Barao has the advantages in technique and striking. Barao will win by TKO or Decision.
    Faber has the advantages in power and submission. Faber will win by Submission.
    Both fighters have advantages in speed.

    The last opponent Faber fought that was similar to Barao is Jose Aldo.
    If this fight is similar to the Aldo vs Faber fight. Barao will attack Faber's legs just like how Aldo did, but does not hit as hard as Aldo.
    Faber can finish the fight by guillotine but will have trouble attempting strikes and takedowns if Fabers legs are injured like it was against Aldo.
    If Faber takes Barao to the ground and Barao fails defend against Faber's submissions, then Barao could lose.
    Members of Team Alpha Male are grappling experts. Barao is less likely to defeat Faber by Submission.
    In the Barao vs Jorgensen fight, Jorgensen failed all of his takedown attempts. If Barao can defend the takedown against Faber, then Faber is forced to keep this fight standing.
    Both fighters have heart and have never been knocked out.

    I don't know if Barao has cardio to last a 5 round fight. Barao is 25 years old and Faber is 33 years old.

    The statistics give Barao the edge over Faber:
    http://hosteddb.fightmetric.com/fights/index/3942

    Barao should be a -300 favorite.
    If Barao wins, I see a Barao vs Cruz main event happening in a future event.

    Barao highlight video:


    Faber vs Cruz highlight video:


    I also have this bet on a parlay with Hector Lombard.

    My previous prediction.
    Dos Santos defeating Velasquez:
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/boxing-mma...velasquez.html

    "If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles.
    If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat.
    If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle." -Sun Tzu, the Art Of war

    "All our Knowledge begins with the senses, proceeds then to the understanding, and ends with reason. There is nothing higher than reason." -Immanuel Kant
    Never been knocked out per se but Faber has been TKO'd

  5. #5
    GunShard
    Invest In Ethereum And Bitcoin
    GunShard's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-05-10
    Posts: 9,984
    Betpoints: 1938

    Congrats to all the Barao bettors!
    Lombard messed up my parlay.

  6. #6
    JuicedUp
    JuicedUp's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-20-10
    Posts: 3,396
    Betpoints: 6184


  7. #7
    GunShard
    Invest In Ethereum And Bitcoin
    GunShard's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-05-10
    Posts: 9,984
    Betpoints: 1938

    Quote Originally Posted by BIGDAY View Post
    GL pal
    Thanks. I didn't look back at this thread till now, lol.

  8. #8
    GunShard
    Invest In Ethereum And Bitcoin
    GunShard's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-05-10
    Posts: 9,984
    Betpoints: 1938

    Quote Originally Posted by GunShard
    Barao has the advantages in technique and striking. Barao will win by TKO or Decision.
    I knew the outcome before the fight started. Gotta find more fights like these.

  9. #9
    gabe
    Screamin' Eagles
    gabe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 7,405
    Betpoints: 300

    Lombard/Ebersole loss hurt worse than the Barboza loss...

  10. #10
    Vaughany
    Jibbbeh is my idol.
    Vaughany's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-07-10
    Posts: 45,563
    Betpoints: 8647

    Keep the highlight video analysis coming Gunshard! Working like a charm champ!

  11. #11
    gabe
    Screamin' Eagles
    gabe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 7,405
    Betpoints: 300

    Quote Originally Posted by GunShard View Post
    I knew the outcome before the fight started. Gotta find more fights like these.
    I'm impressed with my Jimmo KOTN pick.

    I also predicted Matyushenko would KO Jason Brilz in 20 seconds, and the KO was at EXACTLY the 20 second mark.

    Also when the Giants were in the World Series and Lincecum was pitching, I predicted they would win 1-0. The return on that was crazy, was pissed I didn't put anything on it.

  12. #12
    Vaughany
    Jibbbeh is my idol.
    Vaughany's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-07-10
    Posts: 45,563
    Betpoints: 8647


  13. #13
    GunShard
    Invest In Ethereum And Bitcoin
    GunShard's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-05-10
    Posts: 9,984
    Betpoints: 1938

    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    Keep the highlight video analysis coming Gunshard! Working like a charm champ!
    Thanks!
    Last edited by GunShard; 07-22-12 at 02:34 PM.

  14. #14
    gabe
    Screamin' Eagles
    gabe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 7,405
    Betpoints: 300

    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    Don't hate just because you can't relate.

    Nailing that prediction was the highlight of my night. Don't mind me if I'm a little excited about it. Like I said, it's the 3rd time I've predicted something really big. 5th, actually. I also had Giants to win the Super Bowl at +2500 right after the season ended and Von Miller to be Defensive Rookie of the Year before the season started.

    I also took Democrat to win this election about a year ago at a dog price, while Obama was listed as a favorite... Obama is a democrat, so if he wins, Democrat bet wins, so I locked that in... especially since I didn't see him losing to any of these fools... Mitt Romney? lol please.

  15. #15
    Crassus
    Crassus's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-08-12
    Posts: 1,538
    Betpoints: 1058

    Quote Originally Posted by gabe View Post
    Don't hate just because you can't relate.

    Nailing that prediction was the highlight of my night. Don't mind me if I'm a little excited about it. Like I said, it's the 3rd time I've predicted something really big. 5th, actually. I also had Giants to win the Super Bowl at +2500 right after the season ended and Von Miller to be Defensive Rookie of the Year before the season started.

    I also took Democrat to win this election about a year ago at a dog price, while Obama was listed as a favorite... Obama is a democrat, so if he wins, Democrat bet wins, so I locked that in... especially since I didn't see him losing to any of these fools... Mitt Romney? lol please.
    OH MY GOD......

    nobody cares!

  16. #16
    fosho14
    fosho14's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-25-12
    Posts: 554

    Nice call gunshard

Top