1. #1
    Clueless_Norway
    Clueless_Norway's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-13-08
    Posts: 1,136
    Betpoints: 306

    Clueless daily MLB matchups

    I gonna post my write-up here almost every day so theres just pick in my other forum... The picks in this thread are just leans except when the pick selection is marked blue..
    Give me feedback if you want cause I always need advice about how to get better. Also plz tell me if the info is usefull, if there is to much info or you think something needs to be added...

    Friday:

    - Cubs@WhiteSox -102/-106, O/u 8½
    # Dempster(R) vs Contreras(R)

    # Dempster:
    Dempster nearly notched his second complete game in three starts in his last outing. He went eight-plus innings against the White Sox, giving up one run on 10 hits for the win. The right-hander improved to 9-0 at home, and pitching on the South Side will be as close to home as he can get. Dempster has 10 quality starts this season.
    In his L3 he got a 1.64 ERA with a 1.05 WHIP in 22 innings. He have given up 2 HR's and walked 3 while K'd 21(!!). On the road he got a 2.48 ERA with a 1.05 WHIP in 36.1 innings and in day games he got a 2.41 ERA with a 1.12 WHIP. He havn't given up more than 1 ER pr game in his L2 starts.
    Against the Sox Dempster is 1-0 with an ERA of 1.13 and a WHIP of 1.37

    # Contreras:
    Contreras got lit up by the Cubs in the fourth inning Sunday. After allowing just one Cubs run to that point, Contreras got touched up for eight more via three home runs, four singles and a walk. It was Contreras' third-straight loss and by far the worst start of the season for the right-hander. His ERA has risen more than a point since his last win, which came on June 5 against Kansas City.
    In his L3 he got a high 10.12 ERA with 2.19 WHIP in 16 innings. He has given up 4 HR's and walked 5 while K'd only 6. At home he got a 3.04 ERA with a 0.99 WHIP in 47.1 innings and in day games he got a 6.37 ERA with a 1.65 WHIP in 29.1 innings.
    Against the Cubs Contreras is is 1-3 with an ERA of 6.39 and a WHIP of 1.38

    # Cubs batting vs RHP:
    In their L10 the Cubs got a .304 batting avg with 6.65 R/9 vs righties and got a .318 batting avg with 7.45 R/9 in their L5. In their L5 the Cubs are leaving 1.32 runners on base pr. run scored.

    # WhiteSox Batting vs RHP:
    In their L10 the Sox got a .318 batting avg with 5.98 R/9 vs righties and got a .271 batting avg with 3.67 R/9 in their L5. In their L5 the Sox are leaving 2.25 runners on base pr. run scored.

    # Trends:
    * Cubs are 10-5 overall and 4-2 against the Sox L3 seasons. This season they are 3-0.
    * Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League Central
    * Cubs are 5-1 in Dempsters last 6 starts
    * Cubs are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings and 4-0 last 4 at Sox
    * White Sox are 1-4 in Contreras' last 5 starts
    * White Sox are 0-4 in Contreras' last 4 starts vs. Cubs
    * White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days
    * White Sox are 4-1 in Contreras' last 5 home starts
    * Cubs are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record
    * Cubs are 1-4 in Dempsters last 5 road starts

    # Edge:
    * Pitching: Cubs
    * Batting: Cubs
    * Bullpen: CWS
    * Form: Tie
    * Trends: Cubs

    # Pick: Cubs, u8½
    Last edited by SBR Jonelyn; 05-15-15 at 04:26 PM. Reason: image does not exist

  2. #2
    Clueless_Norway
    Clueless_Norway's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-13-08
    Posts: 1,136
    Betpoints: 306

    D'Backs@Marlins, 7:10 PM

    - D'Backs@Marlins +105/-113, o/u 9
    # Owins(R) vs Nolasco(R)

    # Owings:
    Owings pitched well in his last outing, against the Twins, but he had little to show for it, as Minnesota put together a six-run seventh inning to win the game. The right-hander cruised through the first six innings, allowing just two hits. In the seventh, Joe Mauer led off with a bunt single, and the floodgates opened. Owings left with the game tied at 1, but Chad Qualls couldn't stop a Twins rally.
    In his L3 he got a sky high 7.88 ERA with a 1.69 WHIP in 16 innings. He has given up 2 HR's and walked 6 while K'd 9. On the road he got a 4.67 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP in 44.1 innings and in night games he got a 5.14 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP in 49 innings.
    Against the Marlins Owings got a is 0-1 record with an ERA of 6.30 and a WHIP of 1.70

    # Nolasco:
    Any worries about a setback after his 132-pitch performance on June 15 at Tampa Bay were erased in his last start. In seven innings at Oakland, Nolasco posted another quality start, yet he wasn't involved in the decision. The right-hander allowed three runs on seven hits. His strikeouts were down to three, after he set a career high of 12 at Tampa Bay. Yet, Nolasco threw 103 pitches, and exited with the game tied. On May 21 at Dolphin Stadium, Nolasco beat the Diamondbacks, giving up one run on three hits over seven innings. In his L3 he got a 2.08 ERA with a 0.92 WHIP in 21.2 innings. He has given up 2 HR's and walked 3 while K'd 18. At home he got a 4.18 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and in night games he got a 5.14 ERA with a 1.48 WHIP. Against the D'Backs Nolasco got a 2-0 record with an ERA of 2.51 and a WHIP of 0.83

    # D'Backs Battings vs RHP:
    In their L10 the D'Backs got a .213 batting avg with 3.10 R/9 vs righties and got a .183 batting avg with 2.05 R/9 in their L5. In their L5 the D'Backs are leaving 2.70 runners on base pr run scored.

    # Marlins Batting vs RHP:
    In their L10 the Marlins got a .240 batting avg with 4.68 R/9 vs righties and got a .189 batting avg with 2.78 R/9 in their L5. In their L5 the Marlins are leaving 2.53 runners on base pr run scored.

    # Trends:
    * Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League East
    * Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter
    * Marlins are 0-4 in their last 4 home games.
    * Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League West
    * Marlins are 4-0 in Nolascos last 4 starts during game 1 of a series
    * Marlins are 6-1 in Nolascos last 7 starts
    * Marlins are 14-5 in the last 19 meetings in Florida
    * Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 overall
    * Diamondbacks are 1-4 in Owings' last 5 starts
    * Diamondbacks are 1-5 in Owings' last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record
    * Diamondbacks are 1-9 in Owings' last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record

    # Edge:
    * Pitching: Marlins
    * Batting: Marlins
    * Bullpen: Marlins
    * Form: Tie
    * Trends: Marlins

    # Pick: Marlins, u9
    Last edited by Clueless_Norway; 06-27-08 at 08:43 AM.

  3. #3
    Clueless_Norway
    Clueless_Norway's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-13-08
    Posts: 1,136
    Betpoints: 306

    Braves@BlueJays 7:07 PM

    - Braves@BlueJays +117/-125, o/u 8½
    # Jurrjens(R) vs McGowan(R)

    # Jurrjens:
    Jurrjens had another strong outing on Saturday night, but he wasn't rewarded with a win. He allowed three runs but none earned in six innings, striking out four and walking two. The Mariners scored three runs on two errors in the first inning off Jurrjens. Despite the long first inning, he responded well and struck out the side in the second.
    In his L3 he got a 2.29 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP in 19.2 innings. He has given up only 1 HR and given up 6 walks while
    K'd 15. On the road he got a 3.98 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and in night games he got a 2.61 ERA with 1.39 WHIP.
    Jurrjens have never faced the Jays.

    # McGowan:
    In his last start, McGowan picked up a win despite a rocky performance. In five innings, the righty allowed four run (three earned) on nine hits with two strikeouts and one walk against the Pirates. Walks have played a key role in McGowan's 4-1 record over his past six outings. In those starts, McGowan has 32 strikeouts, compared to just six walks.
    In his L3 he got a 4.00 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP in 18 innings. He has given up 4 HR's and walked 3 while K'd 14. At home he got a great 1.73 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and in night games he got a 3.99 ERA with a 1.50 WHIP.
    McGowan have never faced the D'Backs.

    # Braves Batting vs RHP
    In their L10 the Braves got a .249 batting avg with 4.48 R/9 vs righties and got a .264 batting avg with 5.01 R/9 in
    their L5. The Braves are leaving 1.71 runners on base pr run scored in their L5.

    # BlueJays Batting vs RHP
    In their L10 the Jays got a .308 batting avg with 7.28 R/9 vs righties and got a .368 batting avg with 9.58 R/9 in their L5. The Jays are leaving only 1.11 runners on base pr run scored in their L5.

    # Trends:
    * Braves are 4-0 in Jurrjens' last 4 starts during game 1 of a series
    * Braves are 6-1 in Jurrjens' last 7 starts
    * Braves are 23-8 in their last 31 games following an off day
    * Blue Jays are 1-6 in their last 7 games following a win
    * Blue Jays are 1-6 in McGowans last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game
    * Blue Jays are 9-3 in their last 12 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record
    * Blue Jays are 12-4 in their last 16 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter
    * Blue Jays are 4-1 in McGowans last 5 home starts
    * Blue Jays are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto
    * Braves are 1-4 in Jurrjens' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record
    * Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win

    # Edge:
    * Pitching: Braves
    * Batting: Jays
    * Bullpen: Jays
    * Form: Jays
    * Trends: Tie

    # Pick: BlueJays, o8½
    Last edited by Clueless_Norway; 06-27-08 at 03:20 AM.

  4. #4
    Clueless_Norway
    Clueless_Norway's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-13-08
    Posts: 1,136
    Betpoints: 306

    Mariners@Padres, 10:05 PM

    - Mariners@Padres +126/-134, o/u 7½
    # Washburn(L) vs Wolf(L)

    # Washburn:
    Washburn made the best of his first career appearance against Atlanta, throwing 5 2/3 innings and striking out a season-high eight batters, while allowing only one run and six hits, but because of a blown save in the ninth, he did not enter in the decision. He is now winless in his last seven starts despite allowing two runs or less in four times.
    In his L3 he got a 2.04 ERA with 1.64 WHIP in 17.2 innings. He havn't given up a HR, but he has given up 10 walks while K'd 14. On the road he got a 5.40 ERA with 1.59 WHIP and in night games he got a 6.08 ERA with 1.60 WHIP.
    Against the Padres Washburn got a 1-0 record with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.15

    # Wolf:
    Wolf leads the Padres with 11 quality starts and in his last outing, the left-hander tied a season high with 10 strikeouts
    but took the loss. Wolf allowed three runs, two earned, on six hits and four walks against the Tigers.
    In his L3 he got a 4.24 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP in 17 innings. He has given up 5 HR's and walked 7 while K'd 21. At home he got
    a 2.52 ERA with a 1.08 WHIP and in night games he got a 4.48ERA with 1.34 WHIP.
    Wolf have never faced the Mariners.

    # Mariners Batting vs LHP:
    In their L10 the Mariners got a .312 batting avg with 7.46 R/9 vs lefties and got a .329 batting avg with 10.80 R/9 in their L5. They are leaving 1.40 runners on base pr run scored in their L5.

    # Padres Batting vs LHP:
    In their L10 the Padres got a .275 batting avg with 4.36 R/9 vs lefties and got a .245 batting avg with 5.02 R/9 in their L5. They are leaving 2.20 runners on base pr run scored in their L5.

    # Trends:
    * Mariners are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in San Diego.
    * Mariners are 20-7 in their last 27 vs. National League West
    * Mariners are 8-3 in their last 11 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter
    * Padres are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter
    * Padres are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a loss
    * Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series
    * Padres are 4-1 in Wolfs last 5 home starts
    * Mariners are 1-5 in Washburns last 6 road starts
    * Mariners are 2-8 in their last 10 Friday games
    * Mariners are 0-4 in Washburns last 4 starts with 5 days of rest

    # Edge:
    * Pitching: Padres
    * Batting: Mariners
    * Bullpen: Mariners
    * Form: Mariners
    * Trends: Mariners
    # Pick: Mariners, o7½
    Last edited by SBR Jonelyn; 05-15-15 at 04:26 PM. Reason: image does not exist

  5. #5
    Clueless_Norway
    Clueless_Norway's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-13-08
    Posts: 1,136
    Betpoints: 306

    Brewers@Twins, 8:10 PM

    # Pick: Mariners, o7½


    - Brewers@Twins +109/-117, o/u 9
    # McClung(R) vs Blackburn(R)

    # McClung:
    McClung has really found a home in the Brewers rotation and solidified his spot on the team since moving over from the bullpen in late May. In his last start, McClung threw 6 2/3 innings, not allowing a hit until the fifth, and gave up two runs in picking up his fifth win of the season. The big righty is now 5-3 with a 3.79 ERA on the season.
    In his L3 he got a 2.89 ERA with 0.86 WHIP in 18.2 innings. He has given up 3 HR's and walked 6 while K'd 15. On the road he got a 2.10 ERA with a 0.94 WHIP and in night games he got a 3.44 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP.
    Against the Twins McClung got a is 1-2 record with an ERA of 8.10 and a WHIP of 1.42

    # Blackburn:
    Blackburn was very effective against Arizona in his last start, going seven innings and allowing only one earned run on three hits, a 6-1 Twins victory. Blackburn mixed his fastball, curveball, slider and changeup effectively to keep the D-backs off balance.
    In his L3 he got a 5.29 ERA with 1.12 WHIP in 17 innings. He has given up 2 HR's but walked only 1 while K'd 8. At home he got a 2.20 ERA with 1.24 WHIP and in night games he got a 4.17 ERA with 1.29 WHIP.
    Blackburn have never faced the Brewers.

    # Brewers Batting vs RHP:
    In their L10 the Brewers got a .263 batting avg with 5.45 R/9 vs righties and got a .225 batting avg with 2.94 R/9 in their L5. They are leaving 1.50 runners on base pr run scored in their L5.

    # Twins Batting vs RHP:
    In their L10 the Twins got a .306 batting avg with 7.20 R/9 vs righties and got a .287 batting avg with 6.02 R/9 in their L5. They are leaving only 1.19 runners on base pr run scored in their L5.

    # Trends:
    * Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter
    * Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games
    * Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss
    * Brewers are 9-1 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record
    * Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series
    * Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter
    * Twins are 11-1 in their last 12 overall
    * Twins are 13-3 in their last 16 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game
    * Twins are 8-0 in their last 8 games following a win
    * Twins are 6-0 in their last 6 home games
    * Twins are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota
    * Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games
    * Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter

    # Edge:
    * Pitching: Brewers
    * Batting: Twins
    * Bullpen: Twins
    * Form: Twins/Tie
    * Trends: Twins

    # Pick: Twins, u9

  6. #6
    Clueless_Norway
    Clueless_Norway's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-13-08
    Posts: 1,136
    Betpoints: 306

    Angels@Dodgers, 10:40 PM

    - Angels@Dodgers -125/+117, o/u8
    # Saunders(L) vs Ho Park(R)

    # Saunders:
    Saunders was in complete command, having held the Phillies to two hits, when they struck for a pair of runs with two outs
    in the seventh. When the Angels rallied in the eighth, the lefty had earned his AL-leading 11th win, giving up two earned runs on five hits and two walks. From the outset, he was throwing strikes and getting early-count outs. The Phillies didn't have a man in scoring position before Jayson Werth's solo homer in the seventh.
    In his L3 he got a 4.74 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP in 19 innings. He has given up 4 HR and walked 4 while K'd 10. On the road he got a GREAT 1.89 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP and in night games he got a 2.91 ERA with 0.98 WHIP.
    Against the Dodgers Saunders got a 1-0 record with an ERA of 2.46 and a WHIP of 0.95

    # Ho Park:
    Park will make a second start in place of the injured Brad Penny. Park did more than could be expected in his last start, pitching in sweltering heat and opposing Cy Young winner C.C. Sabathia, who was the only Cleveland hitter who really hurt Park with a long solo homer. Otherwise, Park struck out nine in only five innings, while allowing three hits in a no-decision.
    In his only two starts he got a 2.00 ERA with a 1.11 WHIP in 9 innings. He has given up 1 HR and walked 4 while K'd 12. At home as a releaver he got a 0.78 ERA with a 0.96 WHIP and in night games he got a 3.10 ERA with a 1.67 WHIP.
    Against the Angels Ho Park got a 5-7 record with an ERA of 5.75 and a WHIP of 1.63

    # Angels batting vs RHP
    In their L10 the Angels got a .288 batting avg with 5.18 R/9 vs righties and they got a .260 batting avg with 5.15 R/9 in
    their L5. They are leaving just 1.17 runners on base pr run scorde in their L5.

    # Dodgers Batting vs LHP
    In their L10 the Dodgers got a .236 batting avg with 1.47 R/9 vs lefties and they got a .219 batting avg with 0.70 R/9 in their L5. They are leaving as much as 2.33 runners on base pr run scored their L5.

    # Trends:
    * Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30
    * Angels are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague road games
    * Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 overall
    * Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter
    * Angels are 10-2 in their last 12 road games
    * Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss
    * Dodgers are 0-9 in their last 9 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter
    * Dodgers are 0-9 in their last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter
    * Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record
    * Dodgers are 6-1 in Parks last 7 starts vs. Angels
    * Dodgers are 5-1 in Parks last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game
    * Angels are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings at Dodgers

    # Edge:
    * Pitching: Tie (Don't know enough about Ho Park)
    * Batting: Angels
    * Bullpen: Angels
    * Form: Angels
    * Trends:Angels
    # Pick: Angels, u8
    Last edited by Clueless_Norway; 06-27-08 at 08:45 AM.

  7. #7
    Clueless_Norway
    Clueless_Norway's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-13-08
    Posts: 1,136
    Betpoints: 306

    Rockies@Tigers, 7:05 PM

    - Rockies@Tigers +113/-121, o/u 9½
    # Jimenez(R) vs Bonine(R)

    # Jimenez:
    Jimenez had been pitching well, without run support or wins, for a month and a half. He was finally rewarded Saturday night, when he used his fastball and slider as out pitches and mixed in good off-speed stuff while holding the Mets to two hits over eight innings in a win at Coors field on Saturday night.
    In his L3 he got a 1.35 ERA with a 1.00 WHIP in 20 innings. He havn't given up a HR, but walked 10 while K'd 12. On the road he got a 6.75 ERA with a 1.97 ERA and in night games he got a 4.96 ERA with a 1.54 WHIP.
    Jimienez havn't faced the Tigers.

    # Bonine:
    Bonine earned no decision for his trouble in his second Major League start last Friday at San Diego, but with seven innings of two-run ball, he had a better performance than the win he recorded in his debut. He has an even ratio of ground balls to fly balls, but he has taken advantage of the defense behind him to throw strikes and mix pitches. His knuckleball remains an X-factor in future starts, should he need it.
    In his L3 starts he got a 5.84 ERA with 1.38 WHIP in 12.1 innings. He have given up 3 HR's and walked 2 while K'd 5. At home he got a 10.12 ERA with a 1.69 WHIP and in night games he got a 2.57 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP.
    Bonine havn't faced the Rockies.

    # Rockies Batting vs RHP:
    In their L10 the Rockies got a .281 batting avg with 4.15 R/ vs righties and they got a .250 batting avg with 3.54 R/9 in their L5. They are leaving 1.94 runners on base pr run scored in their L5.

    # Tigers Batting vs RHP:
    In their L10 the Tigers got a .310 batting avg with 5.18 R/9 vs righties and they got a .318 batting avg with 4.97 R/9 in their L5. They are leaving 1.37 runners on base pr run scored in their L5.

    # Trends:
    * Rockies are 9-3 in their last 12 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game
    * Rockies are 4-1 in Jimenezs last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game
    * Rockies are 17-7 in their last 24 games following an off day
    * Rockies are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings
    * Tigers are 8-1 in their last 9 home games
    * Tigers are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter
    * Tigers are 12-3 in their last 15 overall
    * Tigers are 23-4 in their last 27 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record
    * Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 overall
    * Rockies are 1-5 in Jimenezs last 6 starts during game 1 of a series
    * Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter
    * Rockies are 0-9 in Jimenezs last 9 road starts

    # Edge:
    * Pitching: Rockies
    * Batting: Tigers
    * Bullpen: Rockies
    * Form: Tigers
    * Trends:

    # Pick: Tigers, o9½

  8. #8
    blittydeuce
    blittydeuce's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-11-08
    Posts: 5,572
    Betpoints: 1758

    Like these picks, gonna try all the ML in a parlay

  9. #9
    Clueless_Norway
    Clueless_Norway's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-13-08
    Posts: 1,136
    Betpoints: 306

    GL on it Might try it too..

  10. #10
    Wilforth
    Update your status
    Wilforth's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-10-08
    Posts: 16,309

    Great job, Cluelless!
    Jurrjens' road ERA is 3.98 and 2.29 in his L3 while McGowan's home ERA is 1.73. Doesn't this suggest the Braves/Jays game is more likely to go UNDER 8½? The o/u lines are in favor of the OVER but as in the Rays/Marlins game yesterday, I think those who pick OVER in this game might eventually be surprised by a game that produces no more than 6 runs. I'm looking at a 4-2 game here. We know the Jays' offense has been firing lately, but they can't be putting up many runs in every game. McGowan's home ERA, Jurrjen's L3 ERA, the general tendency for UNDERs and the law of averages will keep this one UNDER 8½. Mind you, the UNDER is 10-0-1 in McGowan's home games.
    Last edited by Wilforth; 06-27-08 at 07:23 AM. Reason: Typo

  11. #11
    Clueless_Norway
    Clueless_Norway's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-13-08
    Posts: 1,136
    Betpoints: 306

    Quote Originally Posted by Wilforth View Post
    Great job, Cluelless!
    Jurrjens' road ERA is 3.98 and 2.29 in his L3 while McGowan's home ERA is 1.73. Doesn't this suggest the Braves/Jays game is more likely to go UNDER 8½? The o/u lines are in favor of the OVER but as in the Rays/Marlins game yesterday, I think those who pick OVER in this game might eventually be surprised by a game that produces no more than 6 runs. I'm looking at a 4-2 game here. We know the Jays' offense has been firing lately, but they can't be putting up many runs in every game. McGowan's home ERA, Jurrjen's L3 ERA, the general tendency for UNDERs and the law of averages will keep this one UNDER 8½. Mind you, the UNDER is 10-0-1 in McGowan's home games.
    It's a good chance that it goes under cause of the pitching matchup and that the Jays got a lot of runs yesterday.. BUT, after the coach change the Jays have started scoring again and I can see Jurrjens get a bad game today as im not impressed by him in those games i'v seen + he got 2 quality starts in a row and hes not a top 10 pitcher and usualy they who's not can't put up 3 quality starts in a row. McGowan havn't been good lately, giving up 4 and 5 ER (in 4 and 5 innings) in his last two starts so either he get a big quality start or he might give up 4-5 runs... I take the chance on the over in this one, but I understand what you think...
    I would have done the same as you before, but it's interleague.. you have to take a chance in those to get the big hit's as it's close to that stats doesn't count lately

    GL on what ever you take

  12. #12
    Clueless_Norway
    Clueless_Norway's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-13-08
    Posts: 1,136
    Betpoints: 306

    Saturday 7:05PM

    - Rays@Pirates -125/+117, o/u 9½
    # Jackson(R) vs Taubenheim(R)

    # Jackson:
    Jackson is slated to come off a five-game suspension for his role in the Red Sox melee June 5 and start Saturday night's game in Pittsburgh. The young flamethrower last tossed on June 21, at Tropicana Field. In that appearance, Jackson lasted 6 1/3 innings, allowing five hits and two earned runs in a no-decision against Houston. He has an array of filthy pitches but is at his best when he is incorporating his offspeed regularly with his fast stuff.
    In his L3 he got a 5.89 ERA with a 1.47 WHIP in 18.1 innings. He has given up 4 HR's and walked 7 while only K'd 6. On the road he got a 4.08 ERA with a 1.58 WHIP and in night games he got a 4.33 ERA with a 1.49 WHIP. He is 1-0 in his only start vs Pirates (in 05) where he gave up 1 ER and walked 4 in 5.1 innings.

    # Taubenheim
    Following Friday night's loss, the Pirates recalled Taubenheim from Triple-A Indianapolis to make the spot start on Saturday.
    Taubenheim, who will be making his 14th appearance (ninth start) in the Majors, is 0-5 with a 5.55 ERA in his previous eight Major League starts, all of which came with Toronto. Taubenheim has maintained a near two to one strikeout-to-walk ratio and should be expected to at least be around the plate with his pitches.

    # Rays Batting vs RHP
    The Rays got a .284 batting avg with 6.41 R/9 in their L10 and a .316 batting avg with a high 9.00 R/9 in their L5. They are leaving only 1.13 runners on base pr run scored in their L5.

    # Pirates Batting vs RHP
    The Pirates got a .273 batting avg with 5.27 R/9 in their L10 and a .312 batting avg with 6.27 R/9 in their L5. They are leaving only 1.1 runners on base pr run scored in their L5.

    # Trends
    * Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games
    * Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series
    * Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 Saturday games
    * Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game
    * Rays are 4-0 in Jacksons last 4 Saturday starts
    * Rays are 4-0 in Jacksons last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record
    * Rays are 4-1 in Jacksons last 5 starts during game 2 of a series
    * Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game
    * Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30
    * Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter
    * Rays are 1-4 in Jacksons last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game
    * Rays are 1-9 in Jacksons last 10 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5
    * Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings

    # Edge:
    * Pitching: Rays
    * Batting: Rays
    * Bullpen: Rays
    * Form: Rays
    * Trends: Rays

    # Pick: Rays, o9½
    Last edited by SBR Jonelyn; 05-15-15 at 04:27 PM. Reason: image does not exist

  13. #13
    Clueless_Norway
    Clueless_Norway's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-13-08
    Posts: 1,136
    Betpoints: 306

    Saturday 7:05PM

    - Rockies@Tigers +157/-165, o/u 9
    # Francis(L) vs Verlander(R)

    # Francis:
    Old problems returned in Francis' last start, a loss at Kansas City on Monday. For one, he gave up four runs in the first inning. He had curbed that season-long problem in his two previous starts. Francis also struggled with the command of his fastball, and that's why manager Clint Hurdle thought he struggled. For the game, Francis lasted just 4 1/3 innings and gave up seven runs.
    In his L3 he got a 6.61 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP in 16.1 innings. He has given up 4 HR's and walked 6 while K'd only 5. On the road he got a 6.07 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and in night games he got a 6.03 ERA with a 1.53 WHIP.

    # Verlander:
    All the early-season speculation over whether Verlander was pitching hurt has been put to rest by his arsenal of stuff over his past few outings. He had a season-high 10 strikeouts over 5 1/3 innings last Sunday at San Diego despite lacking a feel for his offspeed pitch. He hit 98 mph several times on the PETCO Park radar gun. He has dominated Interleague Play over his three full big league seasons, going 8-0 in nine regular-season starts against the National League.
    In his L3 he got a 2.21 ERA with a 0.98 WHIP in 20.1 innings. He has given up 2 HR's and walked 6 while K'd 20.

    # Rockies Batting vs RHP
    The Rockies got a .272 batting avg with 4.13 R/9 in their L1 vs righties and a .209 batting avg with 2.14 R/9 in their L5. They have left 2.91 runners on base pr run scored in their L5.

    # Tigers Batting vs LHP
    The Tigers got a .271 batting avg with 4.08 R/9 vs lefties their L10 vs lefties and a .327 batting avg with 9.26 R/9 in their L5.
    They have left 1.59 runners on base pr run scored in their L5.

    # Trends:
    * Rockies are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series
    * Rockies are 20-7 in Francis' last 27 starts vs. a team with a losing record
    * Rockies are 7-2 in the last 9 meetings
    * Tigers are 1-7 in Verlanders last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
    * Tigers are 0-4 in Verlanders last 4 Saturday starts
    * Tigers are 5-1 in Verlanders last 6 interleague starts
    * Tigers are 14-2 in Verlanders last 16 home starts vs. a team with a losing record
    * Tigers are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter
    * Tigers are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series
    * Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 Saturday games
    * Rockies are 1-5 in Francis' last 6 road starts
    * Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 overall
    * Rockies are 1-5 in Francis' last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game
    * Rockies are 6-24 in their last 30 road games

    # Edge:
    * Pitching: Tigers
    * Batting: Tigers
    * Bullpen: Rockies
    * Form: Tigers
    * Trends: Tigers

    # Pick: Tigers, u9

  14. #14
    Clueless_Norway
    Clueless_Norway's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-13-08
    Posts: 1,136
    Betpoints: 306

    Saturday

    - Brewers@Twins -106/-102, o/u 9½
    # Parra(L) vs Hernandez(R)

    # Parra:
    Parra is coming off a performance in which he scuffled badly, but was able to battle through it and come away with a win. Parra managed to make it through five innings and allowed three runs, but the damage could have been much worse. The lefty walked six batters and gave up five hits, but the Brewers bats saved him. Parra havn't pitched two bad starts in a row since May 3rd and 9th. Parra might hold the Twins to 2-3 runs.
    In his L3 he got a 4.15 ERA with a 1.67 WHIP in 17.1 innings. He has given up 3 HR's and walked a high 10 batters while K'd 9. On the road he got a high 7.24 ERA with a 2.01 WHIP and in night games he got a 3.71 ERA with a 1.51 WHIP.

    # Hernandez:
    Hernandez had a happy reunion against Arizona on Sunday, going seven innings while only allowing one earned run on nine hits. It was the second consecutive quality start for Hernandez, who has experienced more success by relying less on his fastball and more on his slider and sinker. He got 2 consecutive quality start now and that is usualy the most a non top 10 pitcher can get before a bad start so Hernandez might give up a few runs today.
    In his L3 he got a 4.76 ERA with a 1.59 WHIP. He has given up 2 HR's and walked only 1 while K'd 7. At home he got a 3.86ERA with a 1.49 WHIP and in night games he got a 4.76 ERA with a 1.56 WHIP

    # Brewers Batting vs RHP
    The Brewers got a .263 batting avg with 5.56 R/9 vs righties in their L10 and a .233 batting avg with 3.63 R/9 in their L5.
    They have left 1.26 runners on base pr run scored in their L5.

    # Twins Batting vs LHP
    The Twins got a .233 batting avg with 2.55 R/9 vs lefties in their L10 and a .326 batting avg with 5.73 R/9 in their L5.
    They are leaving 1.29 runners on base pr run scored in their L5.

    # Trends
    * Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite
    * Brewers are 9-2 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series
    * Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game
    * Brewers are 5-0 in Parras last 5 starts
    * Brewers are 4-1 in Parras last 5 starts with 5 days of rest
    * Twins are 1-6 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game
    * Twins are 8-0 in their last 8 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter
    * Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series
    * Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30
    * Twins are 10-1 in their last 11 games following a win
    * Twins are 13-3 in their last 16 overall
    * Twins are 8-1 in Hernandezs last 9 home starts
    * Twins are 5-1 in Hernandezs last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record
    * Brewers are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague road games
    * Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
    * Twins are 4-1 in the L5 meetings and 6-2 in their L8 meetings in Minnesota

    # Edge:
    * Pitching: Twins
    * Batting: Tie/Twins
    * Bullpen: Twins
    * Form: Twins (10 game win streak)
    * Trends: Twins

    # Pick: Twins, u9½

  15. #15
    Clueless_Norway
    Clueless_Norway's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-13-08
    Posts: 1,136
    Betpoints: 306

    Saturday 7:10 PM

    - Cardinals@Royals +106/-114, o/u 9½
    # Boggs(R) vs Davies(R)

    # Boggs:
    Boggs hasn't blown anybody away, and he hasn't missed a lot of bats. But he's found a way to survive, and every one of his starting assignments has been tough. Now he gets another challenge, against another hot team using a designated hitter. With Mark Mulder no longer knocking down the door for a starting job, Boggs may have a little breathing room. It will be interesting to see how he handles it.
    In his only 3 starts this season he got a 5.52 ERA with a 1.50 WHIP in 14.2 innings. He has given up 2 HR's and walked 7 while K'd 4. On the road he got a 4.38 ERA with a 1.55 WHIP and in night games he got a 3.86 ERA with a 1.43 ERA.

    # Davies:
    After victories in three of four fine starts, Davies ran into big trouble on Sunday against the Giants. He lasted just 1 1/3 innings and gave up five runs on six hits and two walks, expending 52 pitches in the process. Fortunately, the Royals came from behind to outlast the Giants, 11-10, and Davies' record got a reprieve. Davies' earlier success came because of his much-improved command, but that lapsed in this outing.
    In his L3 he got a 4.40 ERA with a 1.88 WHIP in 14.1 innings. He havn't given up a HR but walked a high 10 batters while K'd 8. At home he got a 5.11 ERA with a 2.19 WHIP and in night games he got a 1.46 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP. The stats get dragged up high because of his last game vs Giants, his only day game where he got a 33.75 ERA with a 6.00 WHIP in 1.1 innings.

    # Cardinals Batting vs RHP
    The Cardinals got a .250 batting avg with 3.99 R/9 in their L10 vs righties and a .271 batting avg with 4.68 R/9 in their L5.
    They are leaving a high 2.23 runners on base pr run scored in their L5

    # Royals Batting vs RHP
    The Royals got a .264 batting avg with 5.24 R/9 vs righties in their L10 and a .288 batting avg with 7.45 R/9 in their L5.
    They are leaving only 1.1 runnes on base pr run scored.

    # Thrends
    * Cardinals are 6-1 in their last 7 Saturday games
    * Cardinals are 8-2 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game
    * Royals are 0-5 in Davies' last 5 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5
    * Cardinals are 11-4 in the last 15 meetings in Kansas City
    * Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter
    * Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series
    * Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30
    * Royals are 10-1 in their last 11 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter
    * Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central
    * Royals are 11-1 in their last 12 overall
    * Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game
    * Royals are 4-1 in Davies' last 5 starts
    * Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague road games
    * Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games
    * Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game

    # Edge:
    * Pitching: Tie
    * Batting: Royals
    * Bullpen: Royals
    * Form: Royals (6 game win streak)
    * Trends: Royals

    # Pick: Royals, o9½
    Last edited by Clueless_Norway; 06-28-08 at 01:08 PM.

Top