1. #71
    on3
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    NYM and SEA dipped below, but still won. Only play today is

    (B) LAD -185 to win 2.75 units

    If line goes above -190, play RL

  2. #72
    J.M. Disciple
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    Have a nice weekend going lets hope dodgers don't piss it away tomorrow once again.

  3. #73
    on3
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    (C) LAD -300/-120 to win 6.83 units -- play RL

  4. #74
    J.M. Disciple
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    So glad kershaw is on the mound. Only time I believe in Dodgers.

  5. #75
    on3
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    UPDATED for 5/2/2016
    System(s) record Chase:

    Regular system: 27-6-0; Profit: -37.2 units
    Filtered System: 3-0-0; Profit: +1.5 units
    5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
    Game 1 (A) win = 19-15; 0-3
    Game 2 (B) win = 3-12; 1-2; 0-0
    Game 3 (C) win = 6-6; 2-0; 0-0

    REGULAR FOR 5/2/2016
    (A) NYM -200/+100 to win 1 unit -- play RL
    (A) STL -168 to win 1 unit
    (A) TOR -145 to win 1 unit
    (A) HOU -185 to win 1 unit

    Filtered
    (A) TOR -145 to win 1 unit

    5/2

    none
    Last edited by on3; 05-02-16 at 11:27 AM.
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  6. #76
    J.M. Disciple
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    Hopefully system makes it out if May. Very unique year so far.

  7. #77
    on3
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    we have a 5/2 play today, hopefully we rebound. i'm cutting losses if the system ever gets to -50 units.


    UPDATED for 5/3/2016
    System(s) record Chase:

    Regular system: 30-6-0; Profit: -38.5 units
    Filtered System: 3-0-0; Profit: +1.5 units
    5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
    Game 1 (A) win = 21-17; 0-3
    Game 2 (B) win = 3-12; 1-2; 0-0
    Game 3 (C) win = 6-6; 2-0; 0-0

    REGULAR FOR 5/3/2016
    (B) TOR -170 to win 2.45 units
    (B) HOU -145 to win 2.85 units

    Filtered
    (B) TOR -170 to win 2.45 units

    5/2

    TOR -170 to win 5 units
    Points Awarded:

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  8. #78
    J.M. Disciple
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    We haven't started the labby yet right? I think im slightly positive or worse case -2u playing RL. Labby will recoup a lot of this season. I would treat it as unofficial before may -35u or whatever it is then official plays bust out the Labby. We've been on this ship before. Always bounces back. No harm in starting with fresh lines and slowly chipping away.

  9. #79
    on3
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    UPDATED for 5/3/2016
    System(s) record Chase:

    Regular system: 32-6-0; Profit: -33.2 units
    Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: +2.5 units
    5/2 chase: 1-0-0; profit: +5 units

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
    Game 1 (A) win = 21-17; 0-3
    Game 2 (B) win = 5-12; 2-2; 1-0
    Game 3 (C) win = 6-6; 2-0; 0-0

    REGULAR FOR 5/4/2016
    none

    Filtered
    none

    5/2

    none

  10. #80
    J.M. Disciple
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    went back over this season and tested RL based on two different money management strategies.

    flat betting (always risk 1u)
    -6.6u

    1-3-5 (risk 1u / 3u / 5u)
    -28.5u

    overall record:
    28 wins
    43 losses

    A)17 - 20
    B) 6 - 14
    C) 5 - 9

    These numbers are all based on RL. If A bet won 1-0, 3-2, or 6-5 etc the B wager was still placed since RL lost.

    I myself am up using a progressive betting strategy following RL 1u-1.5u-2u-2.5u, increasing half unit for each losing day until peak profit is reached. However, this is only short term and I will have to go back and look at some different betting strategies to see if any of them are more profitable. I also need to test the labby with this season's data to see how it would do given a 39% win percentage.
    Points Awarded:

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  11. #81
    J.M. Disciple
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    ran this season's RL via labby. I averaged out the line each day so all bets are to win equal amount. Here are the #s

    Profit: +1.4u
    Biggest bet: risk 6u
    Low point: -16.2u
    High point: +1.7u

    remaining labby line: 3.2u x 2

    No matter how you look at this season so far
    flat betting: losing
    chasing: losing
    labby: +1.4u

    lot of work and a lot of risk for tiny profit or losing season. I think we just have to pick our spots going forward. Which is rather hard considering some of the series losses we had where teams like Mia or Phi sweep dodgers or giants etc.

  12. #82
    on3
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    the martingale chase will be a losing proposition, the labby line will need to be implemented. but bottom line is, losing 6 series out of 38 will result in overall loss. labby line implementation will begin with these next set of series.

  13. #83
    on3
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    UPDATED for 5/5/2016
    System(s) record Chase:

    Pre-labby Regular system: 32-6-0; Profit: -33.2 units
    Labby Regular system: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
    Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: +2.5 units
    5/2 chase: 1-0-0; profit: +5 units

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
    Game 1 (A) win = 21-17; 0-3
    Game 2 (B) win = 5-12; 2-2; 1-0
    Game 3 (C) win = 6-6; 2-0; 0-0

    Labby line ($20 = 1 unit)
    (A) 10-10-10-10
    (B) 10-10-10-10
    (C) 10-10-10-10

    REGULAR FOR 5/5/2016
    watch out for (A) CHC -143 to win 1 unit

    Filtered
    none

    5/2

    none
    Last edited by on3; 05-05-16 at 12:55 PM.
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  14. #84
    J.M. Disciple
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    Chc and sf right on the edge still.

  15. #85
    on3
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    UPDATED for 5/6/2016
    System(s) record Chase:

    Pre-labby Regular system: 32-6-0; Profit: -33.2 units
    Labby Regular system: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
    Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: +2.5 units
    5/2 chase: 1-0-0; profit: +5 units

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
    Game 1 (A) win = 21-17; 0-3
    Game 2 (B) win = 5-12; 2-2; 1-0
    Game 3 (C) win = 6-6; 2-0; 0-0

    Labby line ($20 = 1 unit)
    (A) 10-10-10-10
    (B) 10-10-10-10
    (C) 10-10-10-10

    REGULAR FOR 5/6/2016
    MIA and CLE are on the fence
    no official plays yet

    Filtered
    none

    5/2

    none

  16. #86
    on3
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    No plays this weekend.
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  17. #87
    on3
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    UPDATED for 5/9/2016
    System(s) record Chase:

    Pre-labby Regular system: 32-6-0; Profit: -33.2 units
    Labby Regular system: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
    Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: +2.5 units
    5/2 chase: 1-0-0; profit: +5 units

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
    Game 1 (A) win = 21-17; 0-3
    Game 2 (B) win = 5-12; 2-2; 1-0
    Game 3 (C) win = 6-6; 2-0; 0-0

    Labby line ($20 = 1 unit)
    (A) 10-10-10-10
    (B) 10-10-10-10
    (C) 10-10-10-10

    REGULAR FOR 5/9/2016
    (A) MIA -245/+100 to win 1 unit -- play RL
    (A) CHC -240/-110 to win 1 unit -- play RL
    (A) WAS - 182 to win 1 unit
    watch out for COL, currently -142

    Filtered
    watch out for COL, currently -142

    5/2

    none
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  18. #88
    on3
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    UPDATED for 5/10/2016
    System(s) record Chase:

    Pre-labby Regular system: 32-6-0; Profit: -33.2 units
    Labby Regular system: 2-0-0; Profit: +.4 units
    Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: +2.5 units
    5/2 chase: 1-0-0; profit: +5 units

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
    Game 1 (A) win = 23-18; 0-5
    Game 2 (B) win = 5-12; 2-2; 1-0
    Game 3 (C) win = 6-6; 2-0; 0-0

    Labby line ($20 = 1 unit)
    (A) 10-x-x-16
    (B) 10-10-10-26
    (C) 10-10-10-10

    REGULAR FOR 5/10/2016
    (A) CHC -255/-115 to win 1.3 units -- play RL
    (B) COL -106 to win 1.8 units

    Filtered
    (B) COL -106 to win 2.6 units

    5/2

    COL -106 to win 5 units

  19. #89
    J.M. Disciple
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    What happened to washington? Didn't cover RL

  20. #90
    alexknyc
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    Quote Originally Posted by J.M. Disciple View Post
    What happened to washington? Didn't cover RL
    Wasn't a RL bet.

  21. #91
    on3
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    Quote Originally Posted by alexknyc View Post
    Wasn't a RL bet.
    but if you played it RL since you got it late, then there is a (C) bet today

  22. #92
    on3
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    UPDATED for 5/11/2016
    System(s) record Chase:

    Pre-labby Regular system: 32-6-0; Profit: -33.2 units
    Labby Regular system: 2-0-0; Profit: -3.01 units
    Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: -.25 units
    5/2 chase: 1-0-0; profit: -.3 units

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
    Game 1 (A) win = 23-19; 0-5
    Game 2 (B) win = 5-13; 2-3; 1-1
    Game 3 (C) win = 6-6; 2-0; 0-0

    Labby line ($20 = 1 unit)
    (A) 10-x-15-16
    (B) 10-28-25-26
    (C) 10-10-10-30

    REGULAR FOR 5/11/2016
    (B) CHC -255/-120 to win 1.8 units -- play RL
    (C) COL -139 to win 2 units

    Filtered
    (C) COL -139 to win 4.76 units

    5/2

    COL -139 to win 7.3 units

  23. #93
    on3
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    (C) CHC -192/+110 to win 2.1 units -- play RL

    if line dips below -190, play ML

  24. #94
    on3
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    UPDATED for 5/12/2016
    System(s) record Chase:

    Pre-labby Regular system: 32-6-0; Profit: -33.2 units
    Labby Regular system: 4-1-0; Profit: -5.27 units
    Filtered System: 5-0-0; Profit: +4.5 units
    5/2 chase: 2-0-0; profit: +7 units

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
    Game 1 (A) win = 23-19; 0-5
    Game 2 (B) win = 5-13; 2-3; 1-1
    Game 3 (C) win = 6-6; 2-0; 0-0

    Labby line ($20 = 1 unit)
    (A) 10-21-15-16
    (B) 31-28-25-26
    (C) x-10-32-21

    REGULAR FOR 5/12/2016
    (A) BAL -168 to win 1.3 units

    Filtered
    (A) BAL -168 to win 1 unit

    5/2

    none
    Points Awarded:

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  25. #95
    on3
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    UPDATED for 5/13/2016
    System(s) record Chase:

    Pre-labby Regular system: 32-6-0; Profit: -33.2 units
    Labby Regular system: 5-1-0; Profit: -3.97 units
    Filtered System: 6-0-0; Profit: +5.5 units
    5/2 chase: 2-0-0; profit: +7 units

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
    Game 1 (A) win = 24-19; 1-5
    Game 2 (B) win = 5-13; 2-3; 1-1
    Game 3 (C) win = 7-6; 3-0; 1-0

    Labby line ($20 = 1 unit)
    (A) 15-15-15-15
    (B) 21-10-25-30
    (C) x-10-32-21

    REGULAR FOR 5/13/2016
    (A) WAS -170 to win 1.5 units
    (A) KC -170 to win 1.5 units

    Filtered
    none

    5/2

    none
    Last edited by on3; 05-13-16 at 12:36 PM.

  26. #96
    on3
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    SEA was eligible yesterday and lost. Washing and KC were both winners.(B) SEA -160 to win 2.5 units

  27. #97
    on3
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    (c) sea -140 to win 3.7 units

  28. #98
    on3
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    UPDATED for 5/16/2016
    System(s) record Chase:

    Pre-labby Regular system: 32-6-0; Profit: -33.2 units
    Labby Regular system: 7-2-0; Profit: -11.15 units
    Filtered System: 6-0-0; Profit: +5.5 units
    5/2 chase: 2-0-0; profit: +7 units

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
    Game 1 (A) win = 26-20; 1-5
    Game 2 (B) win = 5-14; 2-3; 1-1
    Game 3 (C) win = 7-7; 3-0; 1-0

    Labby line ($20 = 1 unit)
    (A) 25-x-x-25
    (B) 31-30-35-30
    (C) 40-40-35-41

    REGULAR FOR 5/16/2016
    (A) PIT -185 to win 2.5 units

    Filtered
    none

    5/2

    none
    Points Awarded:

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  29. #99
    on3
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    UPDATED for 5/17/2016
    System(s) record Chase:

    Pre-labby Regular system: 32-6-0; Profit: -33.2 units
    Labby Regular system: 8-2-0; Profit: -8.65 units
    Filtered System: 6-0-0; Profit: +5.5 units
    5/2 chase: 2-0-0; profit: +7 units

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
    Game 1 (A) win = 27-20; 1-5
    Game 2 (B) win = 5-14; 2-3; 1-1
    Game 3 (C) win = 7-7; 3-0; 1-0

    Labby line ($20 = 1 unit)
    (A) 20-x-x-20
    (B) 31-30-35-30
    (C) 30-30-25-31

    REGULAR FOR 5/17/2016
    (A) STL -185 to win 2 units (if line goes over -190, play RL)

    Filtered
    none

    5/2

    none

  30. #100
    on3
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    UPDATED for 5/18/2016
    System(s) record Chase:

    Pre-labby Regular system: 32-6-0; Profit: -33.2 units
    Labby Regular system: 8-2-0; Profit: -12.35 units
    Filtered System: 6-0-0; Profit: +5.5 units
    5/2 chase: 2-0-0; profit: +7 units

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
    Game 1 (A) win = 27-21; 1-5
    Game 2 (B) win = 6-14; 2-3; 1-1
    Game 3 (C) win = 7-7; 3-0; 1-0

    Labby line ($20 = 1 unit)
    (A) 20-x-37-20
    (B) 31-40-43-49
    (C) 30-30-25-31

    REGULAR FOR 5/18/2016
    (B) STL -160 to win 4 units (if line goes over -190, play RL)

    Filtered
    none

    5/2

    none

  31. #101
    on3
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    UPDATED for 5/19/2016
    System(s) record Chase:

    Pre-labby Regular system: 32-6-0; Profit: -33.2 units
    Labby Regular system: 9-2-0; Profit: -8.35 units
    Filtered System: 6-0-0; Profit: +5.5 units
    5/2 chase: 2-0-0; profit: +7 units

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
    Game 1 (A) win = 27-21; 1-5
    Game 2 (B) win = 7-14; 2-3; 1-1
    Game 3 (C) win = 7-7; 3-0; 1-0

    Labby line ($20 = 1 unit)
    (A) 20-x-37-20
    (B) x-40-43-x
    (C) 30-30-25-31

    REGULAR FOR 5/19/2016
    none

    Filtered
    none

    5/2

    none

  32. #102
    on3
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    UPDATED for 5/20/2016
    System(s) record Chase:

    Pre-labby Regular system: 32-6-0; Profit: -33.2 units
    Labby Regular system: 9-2-0; Profit: -8.35 units
    Filtered System: 6-0-0; Profit: +5.5 units
    5/2 chase: 2-0-0; profit: +7 units

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
    Game 1 (A) win = 27-21; 1-5
    Game 2 (B) win = 7-14; 2-3; 1-1
    Game 3 (C) win = 7-7; 3-0; 1-0

    Labby line ($20 = 1 unit)
    (A) 30-30-30-30-30
    (B) x-25-x-x
    (C) 25-25-25-25

    REGULAR FOR 5/19/2016
    (A) PIT -220/+100 to win 1.5 units -- play RL
    (A) PHI -170 to win 1.5 units
    (A) NYM -220/+100 to win 1.5 units -- play RL
    (A) STL -156 to win 1.5 units
    (A) CWS -158 to win 1.5 units
    watch out for HOU -141

    Filtered
    none

    5/2

    none
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  33. #103
    J.M. Disciple
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    5/20
    pit L
    phi L
    nym L
    stl L
    cws L

    5/21

    pit L
    phi L
    nym L
    stl W
    cws L

    5/22

    nym RL C
    Pit ML C
    Phi ML C
    CWS ML C

  34. #104
    J.M. Disciple
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    nym RL C win
    Pit ML C pending
    Phi ML C win
    CWS ML C win

  35. #105
    MrMannix
    Hey, hey, what da ya say!
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