º«{1}» Blue Jays -1 -118 (10-10)
º«{1}» Braves +115 (5-7)
º«{1}» Cardinals -1 +100 (20-11)
º«{1}» Rangers -107 (9-8)
º«{1}»Rays +125 (5-3)
º«{1}» Mariners -109 (1-3) -------------------------------------------------- I'm playing the Jays because they are good at home and Hughes gives up a lot of homers. I don't do high lines so I'm taking the -1.
I'm playing the Braves because they are a different team at home and Shelby is due for a win. The line has also dropped over 20 cents across the board.
I'm playing the Cardinals because they are good vs righties and good after a day off. Most of their road wins are by two or more, so I'll be taking the -1.
I'm playing the Rangers because they are crushing the ball and Gallardo has great numbers in the month of August.
I'm playing the Rays because they are good vs lefties and this qualifies for a Contrarian System Play of <30% public backing on a road team between +100 and +130.
I'm playing the Mariners because the Rockies are 5-18 vs lefties and I think the M's can do some damage in that ballpark.
GLA!
6-0 last night for +$654.
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Thread Total = 17-11 for +$740
My two best plays have already started, Jays + Red Sox. My next two favorite plays are square, Cards + Royals and the lines both dropped hard, almost making the play to fade them. There are two Contrarian plays, White Sox and Marlins, but I like the opposites. The only two other plays I'm considering are the Reds and Rangers. I may just end up taking the day off
º«{1}» Mets -1 -107 (5-5)
º«{1}» Royals -1½ +100 (15-18)
º«{1}» Angels +117 (9-6)
º«{1}» Orioles -123 (8-5)
º«{1}» Padres -136 (12-7)
º«{1}» Nationals/Dodgers Over 7 -120
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Rockies 5-19 vs lefties. Mets 9-2 on Mondays. 38-18 at home
When Johnny Cueto starts teams are 12-0 since June 9, 2011 when they lost his last start by 1-2 runs after he allowed two or fewer runs, if that start was not his first of the season.
Angels 16-10 vs lefties
Orioles 16-12 vs lefties
Padres 13-4 as a home favorite of -125 to -150, 13-11 vs lefties. The Reds are 0-13 ml since May 18, 2014 after a road loss in which they allowed 12+ hits. The Reds are 0-10 since Jul 21, 2014 as a dog when they are off a loss in which they held the lead and it is the first game of a series.
The Nationals are 17-0-1 ou since Apr 14, 2015 on the road after allowing 6+ runs.
MONDAY 8/10 PLAYS
Last edited by FUqer; 08-10-15 at 04:49 PM.
Reason: Added Date
Blue Jays = Hutchison 9-1 at home, I don't think they get swept.
Orioles 4-1 vs A's this season and 7-0 as a home favorite of -150 to -175. Athletics are 1-6 as a road underdog of +150 to +175 and 10-21 vs lefties. Graveman 0-6 his Last 6 team starts. Chen 4-0 2.19 ERA vs A's and 4-0 team starts Last 4.
Red Sox should have the fresher relievers today, just in-case their hot hitting doesn't continue. Their bull pen should be fresher and have the advantage, because neither pitcher will go past 5 innings today.
Brewers 6-0 vs Phillies this season. Jungmann has 6 quality starts in his Last 8. Harang 1-9 Last 10 starts, gave up less than 4 runs just twice out of Last 10.
Indians 10-1 as a road favorite of -125 to -150. Carrasco has gave up only 3 hits and went 9 innings his last 2 road starts.
Cardinals 5-0 vs Marlins this season. Marlins 0-8 in Phelps Last 8 starts
Rangers have been hot at home and good vs winning teams all year.Gallardo has been good in August in his career. Smyly's first game back after 4, less than stellar rehab starts in the minors.
Dodgers fighting Giants for division because loser will not win a wild card. Greinke has gave up just 9 runs his Last 9 starts.
Padres 9-2 vs Rockies this season. Padres 15-11 vs lefties and they have the bull pen advantage.
Royals 5-1 vs Angels this season. Hot team at home on Sunday Night Baseball vs a Cold team at a decent price?
Hellickson is not good in August for his career, 4-13 (2-9 Away ).
Hellickson 0-4 in his last 5 road starts.
Cole 2-0 vs D-Backs with a 1.98 ERA. Hasn't won in last 3 starts.
D-Backs 3-10 vs winning teams in 2nd half of season.
Game means more to Pirates.
Bull Pen = Pirates
Pirates 3-0 vs D-Backs this season.
Brewers winning record vs lefties.
Nicolino gave up 9 runs in his last 9 innings.
Garza 4 Quality Starts in his last 5
I doubt Cardinals lose two in a row at home.
Wacha gave up only 2 runs his last 3 starts.
Bull Pen = Cardinals
Salazar 6 Quality starts in a row.
Barnes 1.88 WHIP this season in 22 innings.
Indians 10-2 as a road favorite of -125 to -150.
Bull Pen = Indians
Walker only 1 loss in last 10 starts, 1-0 vs Rangers 8 innings, 0.00 ERA.
Hamels only win in his last 10 starts was his no hitter.
Mariners 7-2 vs Rangers this season.