1. #1
    farmhouse1
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    Saturday

    Oakland/blue jays under 7.5 -110 buehrle vs kazmir

  2. #2
    RollinDo
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    Dude. I need some winners tomorrow...worst day by far ever for me in totals...and ChiSox score 4 in bottom of 5th to destroy my POD!

    These scores are mind - boggling today.
    Oak game with no scoring!!!???
    Darvish getting rocked...

    And someone told me Colmenter will pitch great today.
    Last edited by RollinDo; 07-04-14 at 07:38 PM.

  3. #3
    carll
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    yeah..i took SD SF over 6.5 think a lock...to gas cans...2 - 0 ....

  4. #4
    farmhouse1
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    Buehrle vs Kasmir looks like a low scoring game to me. What you guys think?

  5. #5
    farmhouse1
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    Yeah billy Hamilton hitting a very rare home run screwed me today.
    Quote Originally Posted by RollinDo View Post
    Dude. I need some winners tomorrow...worst day by far ever for me in totals...and ChiSox score 4 in bottom of 5th to destroy my POD!

    These scores are mind - boggling today.
    Oak game with no scoring!!!???
    Darvish getting rocked...

    And someone told me Colmenter will pitch great today.

  6. #6
    AchillesTG
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    Quote Originally Posted by farmhouse1 View Post
    Buehrle vs Kasmir looks like a low scoring game to me. What you guys think?
    Two good pitchers
    Neither Team hits lefties very well
    Oakland has 5th best Bullpen
    Toronto Bullpen 26th out of 30
    Toronto Bullpen could implode

    This seems like an easy Under play, but it does bother me that they played 12 innings with only one run!
    I may have to wait for the RLM on this game. There will be a ton of Unders.

  7. #7
    JM17
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    i like this play

  8. #8
    Snake24
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    Brewers look like a nice play tomorrow.

  9. #9
    ByAnYMe9n$
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    No score first inning !

  10. #10
    drfunkmaster
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    fade jays is money now.. they will end up below 500 team and out of playoff spot. watch and see. its that time to jump on the jays fade train!!!!

  11. #11
    Legend_beatz
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snake24 View Post
    Brewers look like a nice play tomorrow.

  12. #12
    Snake24
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    U8 Tigers/Rays

  13. #13
    RollinDo
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    I like these totals at 1st glance...will not have access to much research today so maybe you can help me out a little...

    Marlins - Cards (U 8)
    Balt-Bos (U 8.5)
    Phils - Pirates (U 8.5)
    ChiSox (U 3)

    Sides:
    Oak, Det

  14. #14
    posey
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    My leans:
    - BAL @ BOS (Gonzalez, Lester) under (don't know the lines, pinnacle doesn't have it right now)
    - CHC @ WSH under (depending on who takes the mound for the Cubs)
    - PHI @ PIT u 8
    - MIL @ CIN u 8
    - SFG @ SDP u 6.5

  15. #15
    RollinDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by posey View Post
    My leans:
    - BAL @ BOS (Gonzalez, Lester) under (don't know the lines, pinnacle doesn't have it right now)
    - CHC @ WSH under (depending on who takes the mound for the Cubs)
    - PHI @ PIT u 8
    - MIL @ CIN u 8
    - SFG @ SDP u 6.5
    Isn't Gio awful in day games? Last time I took him to win, he gave up like 6 in 4 innings to Mets.

    I am not sure about Cincy Under...Both line-ups have had lots of success vs starters.
    I like Pitt Under and BoSox Under (Gm 1)...
    Also TB - DET (U 4 - 1st 5) A's Archer been dealing.
    Like Tigers to win and A's too.

    What does anyone know of the Marlins starter? He is a lefty and Cards struggle vs lefties at times.

  16. #16
    posey
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    Gio: 3 over, 3 under in 6 day games at home since 2013.

  17. #17
    RollinDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by posey View Post
    Gio: 3 over, 3 under in 6 day games at home since 2013.
    You think Pirates eat up this Buchanan? Never seen either pitcher.just going by Volquez stats vs Phils and Buchanan has been decent in last few and Pirates have not faced him. Pirates pen strong...maybe Phils TT (Under 3.5) better? But hate for Phils to win 4-3 or something. Thoughts??

  18. #18
    RollinDo
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    I like TB - DET (U 8) Also if Archer does his part...Wind blowing in too. Sanchez should go deep. See a 4-2 type game.

  19. #19
    posey
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    The Tigers had a ton of home games this year which went over (24 ov, 17 un, 2 pu).
    And Sanchez has these stats at home:
    starter = Anibal Sanchez and season > 2013 and H
    SU: 5-4 (1.00, 55.6%) avg line: -157.8 / 145.3 on / against: -$102 / +$52 ROI: -7.1% / +5.8%
    RL: 3-6 (-0.50, 33.3%) avg line: 134.0 / -145.6 on / against: -$248 / +$218 ROI: -27.6% / +16.6%
    OU: 5-4-0 (0.94, 55.6%) avg total: 8.1 over / under: +$55 / -$130 ROI: +5.4% / -13.5%

    Sanchez vs. Lackey and Sanchez vs. Kazmir both were overs. Can't trust Tigers in home games this year IMO.

    Pirates score 3.9 runs per game at home when Volquez starts. In one game they scored 11 runs, the other games all showed 1-5 runs for the Pirates (1 x 1, 2 x 2, 2 x 3, 3 x 4, 1 x 5 runs). Besides his starts against the Jays (2-7), Brewers (3-9) and Reds (4-11) Volquez did very well at home. In the other 7 starts the opponents scored a mere 1.9 runs per game against the Pirates. I don't see how the Phillies can score a lot of runs to be honest. The avg total in home starts of Volquez is 7.3 this season, 4 games went over, 6 under. Now we get a total of 8.5. Consider this as a gift.

  20. #20
    RollinDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by posey View Post
    The Tigers had a ton of home games this year which went over (24 ov, 17 un, 2 pu).
    And Sanchez has these stats at home:
    starter = Anibal Sanchez and season > 2013 and H
    SU: 5-4 (1.00, 55.6%) avg line: -157.8 / 145.3 on / against: -$102 / +$52 ROI: -7.1% / +5.8%
    RL: 3-6 (-0.50, 33.3%) avg line: 134.0 / -145.6 on / against: -$248 / +$218 ROI: -27.6% / +16.6%
    OU: 5-4-0 (0.94, 55.6%) avg total: 8.1 over / under: +$55 / -$130 ROI: +5.4% / -13.5%

    Sanchez vs. Lackey and Sanchez vs. Kazmir both were overs. Can't trust Tigers in home games this year IMO.

    Pirates score 3.9 runs per game at home when Volquez starts. In one game they scored 11 runs, the other games all showed 1-5 runs (1 x 1, 2 x 2, 2 x 3, 3 x 4, 1 x 5 runs). Besides his starts against the Jays (2-7), Brewers (3-9) and Reds (4-11) Volquez did very well at home. In the other 7 starts the opponents scored a mere 1.9 runs per game against the Pirates. I don't see how the Phillies can score a lot of runs to be honest. The avg total in home starts of Volquez is 7.3 this season, 4 games went over, 6 under. Now we get a total of 8.5. Consider this as a gift.
    Thanks for the insight man. Will lock in this Pirates Under...looks good. I have hit last 2 Pirate Unders. Just hope Buchanan holds his own...Pirates been hitting well.

  21. #21
    RollinDo
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    I see TB-Det being a nice pitchers duel though despite the Over results in Det games.
    Question is which Archer do we see today? I may go with TB TT (U 3) like I did when Scherzer last pitched.

  22. #22
    posey
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    In Buchanan's last 5 starts the Phillis conceded only 3.2 runs.
    Besides this outing: http://espn.go.com/mlb/boxscore?id=340603120, he was more or less solid/decent. In this one he struggled and gave up 7 ER, but in all his other starts his ERA stands at 4.04. In his past two outings he had control issues and walked too many, but this should be fixed.

  23. #23
    kayle163
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    gl big guy have a great day of winner's

  24. #24
    posey
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    It's a day game at Detroit, isn't it?
    Tigers day home games since 2013: 33 over, 22 under, 2 push.
    Sanchez day home starts for the Tigers: 7 over, 3 under, 0 push.
    Archer's day away starts: 3 over, 5 under, 0 push (last 2 over).
    Rays scored 5.8 runs on average in their last 6 away games at day time.
    I don't want to unsell the under in this one, but I only wanted to give you some additional numbers.

  25. #25
    YourMomWasHere
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    Quote Originally Posted by RollinDo View Post
    You think Pirates eat up this Buchanan? Never seen either pitcher.just going by Volquez stats vs Phils and Buchanan has been decent in last few and Pirates have not faced him. Pirates pen strong...maybe Phils TT (Under 3.5) better? But hate for Phils to win 4-3 or something. Thoughts??
    Pirates pen is not strong. Didn't you see d'backs carve them up the other night? They put up six or seven runs in the 9th.

  26. #26
    posey
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    It's not good, but decent. Pirates pen has a 3.70 ERA throughout the season, 3.60 at home. One time struggle doesn't make everything bad.

  27. #27
    YourMomWasHere
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    Pitt seems like a solid play. Volq hasn't seen phillies in over two years, but he's pretty stellar. I'm thinking of -1.5 vs bucknasty

  28. #28
    farmhouse1
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    You guys like the under in Oakland game?? Think buehrle & kazimr will have good games tonight. What you guys think?

  29. #29
    You mad bro
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    chris archer is the real deal

  30. #30
    RollinDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by farmhouse1 View Post
    You guys like the under in Oakland game?? Think buehrle & kazimr will have good games tonight. What you guys think?
    Yes. I need this one...took Under 8 to be safe.
    Going to lose TB TT Under 3.5.
    Can't believe Anibal today.

  31. #31
    RollinDo
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    Also have Oakland ML.

  32. #32
    farmhouse1
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    Should be a good game. GL man
    Quote Originally Posted by RollinDo View Post
    Also have Oakland ML.

  33. #33
    RollinDo
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    Would like Oakland ML or the Under 8 to hit.
    Both and I'm in great shape tonight!

  34. #34
    drfunkmaster
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    Quote Originally Posted by drfunkmaster View Post
    fade jays is money now.. they will end up below 500 team and out of playoff spot. watch and see. its that time to jump on the jays fade train!!!!
    hope ppl listened

  35. #35
    RollinDo
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    Thanks for bringing up that Under play in Oakland!
    With that, went 3-1 on Unders after my worst day (yesterday 1-4) in some time.
    Been a rough week, but not too much damage.
    Went on a 1-12 slide picking sides before going 3-1 in last 4.
    Usually take off Sundays...probably will tomorrow.

    Unders in Pittsburgh starring to be more often like last season.

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