1. #491
    J.M. Disciple
    J.M. Disciple's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-16-10
    Posts: 5,037
    Betpoints: 9675

    Some early games. Haven't been able to check scores or do any research this week as to what are actually plays. Do we have anything today?

  2. #492
    farva88
    farva88's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-29-11
    Posts: 35
    Betpoints: 2958

    Quote Originally Posted by J.M. Disciple View Post
    Some early games. Haven't been able to check scores or do any research this week as to what are actually plays. Do we have anything today?
    Looks like just the dodgers at a monster -260 ML / -111 RL

  3. #493
    on3
    on3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-23-10
    Posts: 2,196
    Betpoints: 3372

    UPDATED for 7/10/2014
    System(s) record Chase:

    Regular system: 117-7-0; Profit: +102 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units, CLE -7 units. BOS -13.25 units, TEX -6.5 units)
    Filtered System: 15-2-0; Profit: +3 units (TEX - 7.5 units)
    5/2 chase: 3-2-0; profit: -30.30 units (TEX -25.5 units)

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
    Game 1 (A) win = 82-41; 11-7
    Game 2 (B) win = 19-23; 2-4; 2-3
    Game 3 (C) win = 16-7; 2-2; 1-2

    Labby

    x-27-30-30
    35-25-28-35
    x-15-38-26

    Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)

    10-29-30-56-66

    Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
    (A) LAD -270/-115 to win 30 -- play RL

    Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play

    none

    5/2

    none
    Last edited by on3; 07-10-14 at 03:44 PM.

  4. #494
    on3
    on3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-23-10
    Posts: 2,196
    Betpoints: 3372

    UPDATED for 7/11/2014
    System(s) record Chase:

    Regular system: 117-7-0; Profit: +102 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units, CLE -7 units. BOS -13.25 units, TEX -6.5 units)
    Filtered System: 15-2-0; Profit: +3 units (TEX - 7.5 units)
    5/2 chase: 3-2-0; profit: -30.30 units (TEX -25.5 units)

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
    Game 1 (A) win = 82-42; 11-7
    Game 2 (B) win = 19-23; 2-4; 2-3
    Game 3 (C) win = 16-7; 2-2; 1-2

    Labby

    26-26-26-26
    35-25-35-55
    x-15-38-26

    Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)

    36-39-36-40-40

    Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
    (B) LAD -140 to win 55
    (A) SF -155 to win 26
    (A) CLE -220/-105 to win 26 -- play RL
    (A) COL -158 to win 26
    (A) TB -142 to win 26 ** possible play

    Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play

    (A) COL -158 to win 40

    5/2

    none

  5. #495
    on3
    on3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-23-10
    Posts: 2,196
    Betpoints: 3372

    TB and SF are not plays tonight, fell below -145

  6. #496
    on3
    on3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-23-10
    Posts: 2,196
    Betpoints: 3372

    UPDATED for 7/12/2014
    System(s) record Chase:

    Regular system: 119-7-0; Profit: +104 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units, CLE -7 units. BOS -13.25 units, TEX -6.5 units)
    Filtered System: 16-2-0; Profit: +5 units (TEX - 7.5 units)
    5/2 chase: 3-2-0; profit: -30.30 units (TEX -25.5 units)

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
    Game 1 (A) win = 84-42; 12-7
    Game 2 (B) win = 19-24; 2-4; 2-3
    Game 3 (C) win = 16-7; 2-2; 1-2

    Labby

    x-26-26-x
    35-45-55-55
    x-x-38-88

    Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)

    36-39-36-40-x

    Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
    (C) LAD -110 to win 88

    Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play

    none

    5/2

    none

  7. #497
    knugen
    Update your status
    knugen's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-09-09
    Posts: 2,612
    Betpoints: 5460

    Alot of potential play tomorrow. Love it

  8. #498
    on3
    on3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-23-10
    Posts: 2,196
    Betpoints: 3372

    I reviewed the posts and found 11 units that were miscounted. The unit total has been updated.

    Regular: +94 units - 14 units on the line = +80 units in the first half
    Filtered: +5 units in the first half, since this is a single line labby and all units are updated with losses (nothing is 'banked'), no adjustment necessary
    5/2: -30.30 units (TEX series was -25.5 units alone)

    = +54.70 units

    2H rules for Regular and Filtered -- only play ON teams with a .500 better record overall or at home
    5/2 rules stay the same because that is how it was backtested (someone correct me if I am wrong re: 5/2)

    UPDATED for 7/18/2014
    System(s) record Chase:

    Regular system: 120-7-0; Profit: +94 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units, CLE -7 units. BOS -13.25 units, TEX -6.5 units)
    Filtered System: 16-2-0; Profit: +5 units (TEX - 7.5 units)
    5/2 chase: 3-2-0; profit: -30.30 units (TEX -25.5 units)

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
    Game 1 (A) win = 84-42; 12-7
    Game 2 (B) win = 19-24; 2-4; 2-3
    Game 3 (C) win = 17-7; 2-2; 1-2

    Labby

    20-20-20-20-20-20
    20-20-25-25
    x-20-28-22

    Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)

    36-39-36-40

    Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
    (A) PIT -152 to win 20
    (A) WAS -163 to win 20
    (A) ATL -155 to win 20
    (A) DET -150 to win 20
    (A) CHW -167 to win 20
    (A) OAK -154 to win 20

    Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play

    (A) DET -150 to win 36** not official as of this post, 8.5 juice over
    (A) CHW -167 to win 36** not official as of this post, 8.5 juice over

    5/2

    none

  9. #499
    knugen
    Update your status
    knugen's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-09-09
    Posts: 2,612
    Betpoints: 5460

    Are we play our Detroit B bet on the early game and The possible C bet on the late game?

  10. #500
    farva88
    farva88's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-29-11
    Posts: 35
    Betpoints: 2958

    Quote Originally Posted by knugen View Post
    Are we play our Detroit B bet on the early game and The possible C bet on the late game?
    Yes.

  11. #501
    on3
    on3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-23-10
    Posts: 2,196
    Betpoints: 3372

    UPDATED for 7/19/2014
    System(s) record Chase:

    Regular system: 124-7-0; Profit: +98 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units, CLE -7 units. BOS -13.25 units, TEX -6.5 units)
    Filtered System: 16-2-0; Profit: +5 units (TEX - 7.5 units)
    5/2 chase: 3-2-0; profit: -30.30 units (TEX -25.5 units)

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
    Game 1 (A) win = 88-44; 12-7
    Game 2 (B) win = 19-24; 2-4; 2-3
    Game 3 (C) win = 17-7; 2-2; 1-2

    Labby

    20-20-16-15-x-x
    20-20-40-41
    x-20-28-22

    Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)

    36-39-36-40

    Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
    (B) WAS -126 to win 41
    (B/C) DET +120/-170 to win 40/68 -- -170 and to win 68 is the (C) game in case the first game of the 2x header loses

    Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play

    none

    5/2

    none

  12. #502
    gofightingirish
    gofightingirish's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-10
    Posts: 272
    Betpoints: 6691

    Detroit sucks !!!!!!!!!!!

  13. #503
    knugen
    Update your status
    knugen's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-09-09
    Posts: 2,612
    Betpoints: 5460

    D bet on our lovely tigers starting in 10 min

  14. #504
    J.M. Disciple
    J.M. Disciple's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-16-10
    Posts: 5,037
    Betpoints: 9675

    I don't think thisbsystem plays d bets.

  15. #505
    J.M. Disciple
    J.M. Disciple's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-16-10
    Posts: 5,037
    Betpoints: 9675

    I was thinking about Wallco's post this morning and he is right. I will have to go back through the thread still and figure out how much this system is actually up to prove it though.

    There are two ways to keep track of the total profit for this system.
    #1 every day add the profit and substract the loss
    #2 If you do not want to subtract the loss from profit based on labby theory then only add .5 to 1u for every win. If your labby line starts off 20-20-20-20 each number being 1u and you take a couple of losses and your new line looks like 30-30-30-30, do not add 1.5u for every win. You only gained 1u per number you crossed off. Even if your labby is 40-40-40-40 after a couple of losses you should only be adding the profit of the orginal number on the line for correct profit.

  16. #506
    BarstoolProphet
    BarstoolProphet's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-05-14
    Posts: 1,151
    Betpoints: 1530

    Quote Originally Posted by J.M. Disciple View Post
    #1 every day add the profit and substract the loss
    It is as simple as it gets.


    What is your balance in the book you use. Simple as that.

    I hate it when guys do the " I dont count a loss until the chase losses." crap.

    Well guess what your book does each and every day. Sure count the overall record as you what. But when it comes to real money ,,,post the balance, just as you wake up each and every day and see in your book.

    on3 is doing a great job of this. But I think a monetary value needs to be placed on that unit. Whether it be $10 or $100 , who cares. A daily balance will be the most accurate way of knowing. Your overall record can reflect the losses. But the real way of nothing is with cash. Because my book does not recognize units nor widgets for that matter.

  17. #507
    J.M. Disciple
    J.M. Disciple's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-16-10
    Posts: 5,037
    Betpoints: 9675

    03/31/14 PIT -160
    03/31/14 TB -157
    03/31/14 CHW -158
    03/31/14 MIA -150
    03/31/14 DET -150
    04/04/14 WAS -167
    04/04/14 DET -160
    04/04/14 CHC -145
    04/04/14 LAD -170
    04/04/14 CLE -176
    04/04/14 KC -159
    04/04/14 BOS -149
    04/05/14 WAS -162
    04/05/14 CHC +124
    04/05/14 LAD +111
    04/05/14 BOS -176
    04/06/14 WAS -114
    04/06/14 CHC +109
    04/06/14 LAD -147
    04/06/14 BOS -160
    04/07/14 STL -145
    04/07/14 COL -148
    04/07/14 CLE -151
    04/07/14 BOS -154
    04/08/14 SF -148
    04/08/14 WAS -173
    04/08/14 TOR -175
    04/11/14 SEA -148
    04/11/14 BAL -148
    04/11/14 TEX -106 RL
    04/11/14 SF -168
    04/11/14 LAA -160
    04/12/14 BAL -113
    04/12/14 TEX -159
    04/13/14 TEX -155
    04/17/14 TB -170
    04/18/14 TB -108
    04/18/14 OAK +100 RL
    04/18/14 TEX -153
    04/18/14 LAD -178
    04/18/14 COL -150
    04/19/14 LAD -185
    04/21/14 SEA -107 RL
    04/21/14 ATL -175
    04/21/14 DET +110 RL
    04/21/14 CLE -152
    04/22/14 SEA -169
    04/22/14 DET -110 RL
    04/22/14 TB +105 RL
    04/23/14 SEA -145
    04/24/14 WAS -165
    04/25/14 WAS +110 RL
    04/25/14 MIL -176
    04/25/14 SF -160
    04/25/14 ATL -152
    04/28/14 STL -160
    04/28/14 SF -168
    04/29/14 STL -153
    04/29/14 SF -159
    04/29/14 NYY -172
    04/29/14 BOS -163
    04/30/14 STL -142
    04/30/14 NYY -130
    05/02/14 CLE
    05/02/14 SD
    05/03/14 SD -133
    05/04/14 SD -123
    05/05/14 CLE -146
    05/05/14 DET -120 RL
    05/05/14 OAK +110 RL
    05/05/14 LAA -148
    05/06/14 CLE -133
    05/06/14 OAK -160
    05/07/14 OAK +109
    05/09/14 CIN -164
    05/09/14 BAL -165
    05/09/14 DET +105 RL
    05/09/14 ATL -174
    05/09/14 TEX -145
    05/09/14 SD +119
    05/10/14 DET -125 RL
    05/12/14 STL -152
    05/12/14 LAD -145
    05/12/14 OAK -186
    05/12/14 SEA -158
    05/13/14 STL +100 RL
    05/15/14 STL -188
    05/15/14 LAA -145
    05/16/14 TEX -165
    05/16/14 COL -155
    05/17/14 TEX -109
    05/18/14 TEX +105
    05/19/14 WAS -175
    05/19/14 KC +110 RL
    05/19/14 LAA -185
    05/20/14 STL -178
    05/20/14 WAS -107
    05/20/14 KC -187
    05/20/14 LAA -165
    05/21/14 KC -116
    05/22/14 CWS -150
    05/22/14 SEA -154
    05/23/14 SF -164
    05/23/14 LAA -154
    05/26/14 TOR -148
    05/26/14 MIL -148
    05/26/14 KC -153
    05/26/14 STL -159
    05/27/14 MIL -121
    05/27/14 KC -122
    05/27/14 STL -142
    05/28/14 KC -135
    05/30/14 WAS
    05/30/14 CLE
    05/30/14 MIL
    05/30/14 STL
    05/31/14 STL -166
    06/02/14 LAD -186
    06/03/14 COL -155
    06/03/14 WAS -186
    06/04/14 COL -125
    06/05/14 COL -128
    06/06/14 TEX -164
    06/06/14 LAA +110 RL
    06/06/14 TOR -150
    06/06/14 SF -140
    06/06/14 TB -137
    06/06/14 DET
    06/09/14 TOR -168
    06/09/14 PIT -147
    06/12/14 BOS -148
    06/13/14 DET -154
    06/13/14 OAK -182
    06/13/14 SEA +120 RL
    06/13/14 LAD +115 RL
    06/14/14 DET +105 RL
    06/14/14 OAK -148
    06/14/14 SEA -117
    06/14/14 LAD -138
    06/15/14 SEA -165
    06/16/14 BOS -153
    06/16/14 STL -153
    06/16/14 OAK -165
    06/16/14 LAD -180
    06/17/14 NYY -170
    06/17/14 OAK +100
    06/19/14 OAK -158
    06/19/14 STL -170
    06/19/14 TB -152
    06/20/14 STL -163
    06/20/14 CIN -145
    06/20/14 NYY -148
    06/20/14 CLE -150
    06/20/14 LAA -185
    06/21/14 STL -150
    06/21/14 CIN -121
    06/21/14 CLE -120
    06/22/14 CLE +100
    06/23/14 TB -153
    06/23/14 SF -157
    06/24/14 TB -133
    06/24/14 SF -151
    06/25/14 TB -165
    06/25/14 SF -115
    06/26/14 TOR -165
    06/26/14 PIT -149
    06/26/14 MIL +115 RL
    06/30/14 BOS -155
    06/30/14 WAS -105 RL
    06/30/14 ATL -164
    07/01/14 BOS -168
    07/02/14 BOS -160
    07/03/14 LAA -168
    07/03/14 OAK -151
    07/03/14 DET -175
    07/04/14 PIT +115 RL
    07/04/14 CHW -156
    07/04/14 STL -148
    07/04/14 ATL -163
    07/04/14 WAS
    07/05/14 WAS +115 RL
    07/07/14 CLE -146
    07/07/14 CIN -165
    07/07/14 BOS +100 RL
    07/07/14 STL -160
    07/07/14 LAA -165
    07/07/14 SEA -105 RL
    07/07/14 TEX -150
    07/08/14 CLE +141
    07/08/14 BOS -161
    07/08/14 TEX -140
    07/09/14 BOS -105
    07/09/14 TEX +100 RL
    07/10/14 LAD -115 RL
    07/11/14 LAD -140
    07/11/14 CLE -105 RL
    07/11/14 COL -158
    07/12/14 LAD -110
    07/18/14 PIT -152
    07/18/14 WAS -163
    07/18/14 ATL -155
    07/18/14 DET -150
    07/18/14 CHW -167
    07/18/14 OAK -154
    07/19/14 WAS -126
    07/19/14 DET +120
    07/19/14 DET -170

    Here is the list of all the plays this season. I gotta go through it and figure out which ones won and which ones lost, but i used the odds on3 used in the thread as well as took out some of the plays which later fell below -145 on the A bets noted in the thread. Will try and get an updated total of the actual money won in this thread using the bet sizes on3 post.

    However it was not until 4/28/2014 where he started posting bet amounts so I will assume all bets before then was to win $20. If on3 wants to correct plays between 3/31 with the correct bet amounts I can fix it in my excel sheet.

  18. #508
    J.M. Disciple
    J.M. Disciple's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-16-10
    Posts: 5,037
    Betpoints: 9675

    date game w/l to win profit
    03/31/14 pit -160 w $20.00 $20.00
    03/31/14 tb -157 w $20.00 $20.00
    03/31/14 chw -158 w $20.00 $20.00
    03/31/14 mia -150 w $20.00 $20.00
    03/31/14 det -150 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/04/14 was -167 l $20.00 -$33.40
    04/04/14 det -160 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/04/14 chc -145 l $20.00 -$20.00
    04/04/14 lad -170 l $20.00 -$34.00
    04/04/14 cle -176 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/04/14 kc -159 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/04/14 bos -149 l $20.00 -$29.80
    04/05/14 was -162 l $20.00 -$32.40
    04/05/14 chc +124 l $20.00 -$16.13
    04/05/14 lad +111 l $20.00 -$18.00
    04/05/14 bos -176 l $20.00 -$35.20
    04/06/14 was -114 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/06/14 chc +109 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/06/14 lad -147 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/06/14 bos -160 l $20.00 -$32.00
    04/07/14 stl -145 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/07/14 col -148 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/07/14 cle -151 ppd $20.00 $0.00
    04/07/14 bos -154 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/08/14 sf -148 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/08/14 was -173 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/08/14 tor -175 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/11/14 sea -148 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/11/14 bal -148 l $20.00 -$29.60
    04/11/14 tex -106 rl l $20.00 -$21.20
    04/11/14 sf -168 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/11/14 laa -160 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/12/14 bal -113 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/12/14 tex -159 l $20.00 -$31.80
    04/13/14 tex -155 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/17/14 tb -170 l $20.00 -$34.00
    04/18/14 tb -108 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/18/14 oak +100 rl w $20.00 $20.00
    04/18/14 tex -153 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/18/14 lad -178 l $20.00 -$35.60
    04/18/14 col -150 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/19/14 lad -185 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/21/14 sea -107 rl l $20.00 -$18.69
    04/21/14 atl -175 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/21/14 det +110 rl l $20.00 -$18.18
    04/21/14 cle -152 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/22/14 sea -169 l $20.00 -$33.80
    04/22/14 det -110 rl w $20.00 $20.00
    04/22/14 tb +105 rl w $20.00 $20.00
    04/23/14 sea -145 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/24/14 was -165 l $20.00 -$33.00
    04/25/14 was +110 rl w $20.00 $20.00
    04/25/14 mil -176 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/25/14 sf -160 w $20.00 $20.00
    04/28/14 stl -160 l $20.00 -$32.00
    04/28/14 sf -168 l $20.00 -$33.60
    04/29/14 stl -153 l $36.00 -$55.08
    04/29/14 sf -159 w $37.00 $37.00
    04/29/14 nyy -172 l $27.00 -$46.44
    04/29/14 bos -163 w $26.00 $26.00
    04/30/14 stl -142 w $48.00 $48.00
    04/30/14 nyy -130 ppd $41.00 $0.00
    05/02/14 cle -146 w $20.00 $20.00
    05/02/14 sd -142 l $20.00 -$28.40
    05/03/14 sd -133 l $41.00 -$54.53
    05/04/14 sd -123 w $37.00 $37.00
    05/05/14 cle -146 l $34.00 -$49.64
    05/05/14 det -120 rl w $36.00 $36.00
    05/05/14 oak +110 rl l $38.00 -$34.54
    05/05/14 laa -148 w $32.00 $32.00
    05/06/14 cle -133 w $39.00 $39.00
    05/06/14 oak -160 l $39.00 -$62.40
    05/07/14 oak -157 w $41.00 $41.00
    05/09/14 cin -164 w $26.00 $26.00
    05/09/14 bal -165 w $26.00 $26.00
    05/09/14 det +105 rl l $29.00 -$27.62
    05/09/14 atl -174 w $25.00 $25.00
    05/09/14 tex -145 w $24.00 $24.00
    05/09/14 sd +119 w $24.00 $24.00
    05/10/14 det -125 rl w $45.00 $45.00
    05/12/14 stl -152 l $31.00 -$47.12
    05/12/14 lad -145 w $31.00 $31.00
    05/12/14 oak -186 w $29.00 $29.00
    05/12/14 sea -158 w $29.00 $29.00
    05/13/14 stl +100 rl l $52.00 -$52.00
    05/15/14 stl -188 w $56.00 $56.00
    05/15/14 laa -145 w $36.00 $36.00
    05/16/14 tex -165 l $25.00 -$41.25
    05/16/14 col -155 w $26.00 $26.00
    05/17/14 tex -109 l $62.00 -$67.58
    05/18/14 tex +105 w $79.00 $79.00
    05/19/14 was -175 l $40.00 -$70.00
    05/19/14 kc +110 rl l $40.00 -$36.36
    05/19/14 laa -185 l $40.00 -$74.00
    05/20/14 stl -178 w $45.00 $45.00
    05/20/14 was -107 w $70.00 $70.00
    05/20/14 kc -187 l $65.00 -$121.55
    05/20/14 laa -165 w $67.00 $67.00
    05/21/14 kc -116 w $102.00 $102.00
    05/22/14 cws -150 w $33.00 $33.00
    05/22/14 sea -154 w $32.00 $32.00
    05/23/14 sf -164 w $31.00 $31.00
    05/23/14 laa -154 w $31.00 $31.00
    05/26/14 tor -148 w $20.00 $20.00
    05/26/14 mil -148 l $20.00 -$29.60
    05/26/14 kc -153 l $20.00 -$30.60
    05/26/14 stl -159 l $20.00 -$31.80
    05/27/14 mil -121 w $48.00 $48.00
    05/27/14 kc -122 l $48.00 -$58.56
    05/27/14 stl -142 w $46.00 $46.00
    05/28/14 kc -135 l $36.00 -$48.60
    05/30/14 was -171 w $36.00 $36.00
    05/30/14 cle -165 w $40.00 $40.00
    05/30/14 mil -165 w $40.00 $40.00
    05/30/14 stl -148 l $69.00 -$102.12
    05/31/14 stl -166 w $90.00 $90.00
    06/02/14 lad -186 w $30.00 $30.00
    06/03/14 col -155 l $30.00 -$46.50
    06/03/14 was -186 w $25.00 $25.00
    06/04/14 col -125 l $52.00 -$65.00
    06/05/14 col -128 l $75.00 -$96.00
    06/06/14 tex -164 w $30.00 $30.00
    06/06/14 laa +110 rl w $33.00 $33.00
    06/06/14 tor -150 w $30.00 $30.00
    06/06/14 sf -140 w $30.00 $30.00
    06/06/14 tb -137 w $33.00 $33.00
    06/06/14 det w $20.00 $20.00
    06/09/14 tor -168 w $30.00 $30.00
    06/09/14 pit -147 w $30.00 $30.00
    06/12/14 bos -148 w $25.00 $25.00
    06/13/14 det -154 l $25.00 -$38.50
    06/13/14 oak -182 l $25.00 -$45.50
    06/13/14 sea +120 rl l $25.00 -$20.83
    06/13/14 lad +115 rl l $25.00 -$21.74
    06/14/14 det +105 rl w $45.00 $45.00
    06/14/14 oak -148 w $45.00 $45.00
    06/14/14 sea -117 l $36.00 -$42.12
    06/14/14 lad -138 w $40.00 $40.00
    06/15/14 sea -165 w $56.00 $56.00
    06/16/14 bos -153 w $36.00 $36.00
    06/16/14 stl -153 w $36.00 $36.00
    06/16/14 oak -165 l $36.00 -$59.40
    06/16/14 lad -180 w $36.00 $36.00
    06/17/14 nyy -170 w $36.00 $36.00
    06/17/14 oak +100 w $66.00 $66.00
    06/19/14 oak -158 w $29.00 $29.00
    06/19/14 stl -170 l $26.00 -$44.20
    06/19/14 tb -152 w $30.00 $30.00
    06/20/14 stl -163 l $47.00 -$76.61
    06/20/14 cin -145 l $20.00 -$29.00
    06/20/14 nyy -148 w $26.00 $26.00
    06/20/14 cle -150 l $22.00 -$33.00
    06/20/14 laa -185 w $20.00 $20.00
    06/21/14 stl -150 w $68.00 $68.00
    06/21/14 cin -121 w $38.00 $38.00
    06/21/14 cle -120 l $39.00 -$46.80
    06/22/14 cle +100 l $62.00 -$62.00
    06/23/14 tb -153 l $35.00 -$53.55
    06/23/14 sf -157 l $37.00 -$58.09
    06/24/14 tb -133 l $65.00 -$86.45
    06/24/14 sf -151 l $59.00 -$89.09
    06/25/14 tb -165 w $81.00 $81.00
    06/25/14 sf -115 w $79.00 $79.00
    06/26/14 tor -165 w $32.00 $32.00
    06/26/14 pit -149 w $32.00 $32.00
    06/26/14 mil +115 rl w $32.00 $32.00
    06/30/14 bos -155 l $30.00 -$46.50
    06/30/14 was -105 rl w $30.00 $30.00
    06/30/14 atl -164 w $30.00 $30.00
    07/01/14 bos -168 l $50.00 -$84.00
    07/02/14 bos -160 l $84.00 -$134.40
    07/03/14 laa -168 w $30.00 $30.00
    07/03/14 oak -151 w $30.00 $30.00
    07/03/14 det -175 w $30.00 $30.00
    07/04/14 pit +115 rl w $27.00 $27.00
    07/04/14 chw -156 w $27.00 $27.00
    07/04/14 stl -148 w $27.00 $27.00
    07/04/14 atl -163 w $26.00 $26.00
    07/04/14 was -153 l $20.00 -$30.60
    07/05/14 was +115 rl w $45.00 $45.00
    07/07/14 cle -146 l $20.00 -$29.20
    07/07/14 cin -165 w $20.00 $20.00
    07/07/14 bos +100 rl l $20.00 -$20.00
    07/07/14 stl -160 w $20.00 $20.00
    07/07/14 laa -165 w $20.00 $20.00
    07/07/14 sea -105 rl w $20.00 $20.00
    07/07/14 tex -150 l $20.00 -$30.00
    07/08/14 cle +141 w $32.00 $32.00
    07/08/14 bos -161 l $35.00 -$56.35
    07/08/14 tex -140 l $35.00 -$49.00
    07/09/14 bos -105 w $53.00 $53.00
    07/09/14 tex +100 rl l $53.00 -$53.00
    07/10/14 lad -115 rl l $30.00 -$34.50
    07/11/14 lad -140 l $55.00 -$77.00
    07/11/14 cle -105 rl w $26.00 $26.00
    07/11/14 col -158 w $26.00 $26.00
    07/12/14 lad -110 l $88.00 -$96.80
    07/18/14 pit -152 w $20.00 $20.00
    07/18/14 was -163 l $20.00 -$32.60
    07/18/14 atl -155 w $20.00 $20.00
    07/18/14 det -150 l $20.00 -$30.00
    07/18/14 chw -167 w $20.00 $20.00
    07/18/14 oak -154 w $20.00 $20.00
    07/19/14 was -126 w $41.00 $41.00
    07/19/14 det +120 l $40.00 -$33.33
    07/19/14 det -170 l $68.00 -$115.60
    $312.55
    Points Awarded:

    on3 gave J.M. Disciple 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  19. #509
    J.M. Disciple
    J.M. Disciple's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-16-10
    Posts: 5,037
    Betpoints: 9675

    Wallco was right, I hate to say it, but the system is up $312.55 (15.62u) to date. Huge difference in profit from on3's post. And even if you subtract whats on the labby line, hell substract the entire labby line and you will not get the actual profit. A technical error led to a huge difference based on labby theory. Some one may double check my work with their own but I am pretty confident in this number. As stated before the first month or so I just listed everything as $20 since there was no bet size posted.

    Sorry to be a downer in the thread, but the work had to be shown. If we could I would like to use this number going forward in the thread for an accuracte record.

  20. #510
    BarstoolProphet
    BarstoolProphet's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-05-14
    Posts: 1,151
    Betpoints: 1530

    Nice work JM .

    Now at the close of business(COB) or end of day should have a balance just as you have +$312.55.

    Then the start of business the balance posted along with the plays. Its not as if we are landing a spacecraft on a passing asteroid here.

    btw on3 great work on your behalf. wallco, just like myself and others Im sure, like things a bit more precise and clear.

    The idea of a labby system is to determine bet size, ONLY. Not to bank uncashed checks. It is simply a spelled out formula. No different than if we were using Kelly Criteria "formula" to determine what we should be betting on our next bet.
    Last edited by BarstoolProphet; 07-20-14 at 04:49 PM. Reason: Added thought.

  21. #511
    J.M. Disciple
    J.M. Disciple's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-16-10
    Posts: 5,037
    Betpoints: 9675

    I know he started a couple labby lines at 20-20-20-20 and others at 10-10-10-10; just going forward we have to keep the line constant when we add new numbers to the line and make sure we only add 1u to the profit if we are not keeping track of losses.

    There was 1 or 2 games I seen that got post poned I hope on3 didn't count those because I deleted them for the most part. Also there was a couple of games where on3 didn't have the juice listed so i just went off covers closing line. Either way give or take 1-3 units the 15 units of profit should not be far off from an accurate total.

    Now I am pretty curious to last season's real total because I know it was done the same way as this season. I will not be going back to test it though because it is too time consuming.

  22. #512
    on3
    on3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-23-10
    Posts: 2,196
    Betpoints: 3372

    Quote Originally Posted by J.M. Disciple View Post
    Wallco was right, I hate to say it, but the system is up $312.55 (15.62u) to date. Huge difference in profit from on3's post. And even if you subtract whats on the labby line, hell substract the entire labby line and you will not get the actual profit. A technical error led to a huge difference based on labby theory. Some one may double check my work with their own but I am pretty confident in this number. As stated before the first month or so I just listed everything as $20 since there was no bet size posted.

    Sorry to be a downer in the thread, but the work had to be shown. If we could I would like to use this number going forward in the thread for an accuracte record.
    i have no problem posting records and not doing a labby, it doesnt matter to me. until 4/25 i was posting amounts on a real time basis, at that i asked the thread if they wanted me to continue or use a labby. the unanimous support was the labby, so i went ahead with that. so now my concern is finding out where it went wrong.

    ill start here: you flat bet $20 (even on B, and C plays) until 4/25 and that shows a profit of $193.20 or 9.66 units. for an accurate 4/25 number, use post #153, which shows +21.28 units which has 4 plays listed (3 were actual plays, one (B) bet and two (A)) all won. those wins werent counted on the 4/28 post, #164 which SHOULD show +24.28 units (a difference of +14.62 units). that would be the correct unit count at that day.

    using +24.28 as a starting point on 4/28 until 6/1, your spreadsheet shows +13.38 units, bringing the season total to +37.66. post #338 on 6/2 has the season total at +57.5 units minus 16.85 carried units = +40.65 units. so until 6/1 we have a 3 unit difference. the record then was 69-3. the record today is 125-8. in the last 6 weeks the system has gone 56-5, while not horrible, the bet sizes have been too conservative and it is impossible for my unit count to be correct. there is no way we had the same +units going 69-3 as we did going 56-5. in fact, i can see how +56 wins -5 losses at an average of 10 units of loss, brings us near break even. i dont know how we lost units in that time, but hey, i cant argue with the numbers.

    with all that said, i agree with your assessment that the unit count going forward should be off your spreadsheet, but with a slight adjustment for the amounts through 4/25. your spreadsheet shows +15.62 units and when we add the +14.62 adjustment through 4/25, we get +30.24. abandoning the labby (for units) is the best way to track going forward.
    Last edited by on3; 07-21-14 at 01:14 PM.

  23. #513
    on3
    on3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-23-10
    Posts: 2,196
    Betpoints: 3372

    UPDATED for 7/21/2014
    System(s) record Chase:

    Regular system: 125-8-0; Profit: +30.24 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units, CLE -7 units. BOS -13.25 units, TEX -6.5 units, DET -10.5 units)
    Filtered System: 16-2-0; Profit: +5 units (TEX - 7.5 units)
    5/2 chase: 3-2-0; profit: -30.30 units (TEX -25.5 units)

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
    Game 1 (A) win = 88-44; 12-7
    Game 2 (B) win = 20-25; 2-4; 2-3
    Game 3 (C) win = 17-8; 2-2; 1-2

    Labby -- not relevant to unit count

    30-30-31-30
    20-20-40-20
    50-50-28-27

    Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)

    36-39-36-40

    Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
    (A) ATL -185 to win 30
    (A) NYY -177 to win 30
    (A) CHW -173 to win 31
    (A) MIL -155 to win 30

    Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play

    none

    5/2

    none
    Last edited by on3; 07-21-14 at 04:54 PM.
    Points Awarded:

    analyzer gave on3 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  24. #514
    J.M. Disciple
    J.M. Disciple's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-16-10
    Posts: 5,037
    Betpoints: 9675

    Thanks for taking a closer look at the first month.

  25. #515
    Mr. Green
    Mr. Green's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-01-11
    Posts: 251
    Betpoints: 4048

    Are the Brewers a play?

  26. #516
    on3
    on3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-23-10
    Posts: 2,196
    Betpoints: 3372

    Quote Originally Posted by Mr. Green View Post
    Are the Brewers a play?
    i just updated the post

  27. #517
    on3
    on3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-23-10
    Posts: 2,196
    Betpoints: 3372

    UPDATED for 7/22/2014
    System(s) record Chase:

    Regular system: 125-8-0; Profit: +28 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units, CLE -7 units. BOS -13.25 units, TEX -6.5 units, DET -10.5 units)
    Filtered System: 16-2-0; Profit: +5 units (TEX - 7.5 units)
    5/2 chase: 3-2-0; profit: -30.30 units (TEX -25.5 units)

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
    Game 1 (A) win = 90-46; 12-7
    Game 2 (B) win = 20-25; 2-4; 2-3
    Game 3 (C) win = 17-8; 2-2; 1-2

    Labby -- not relevant to unit count

    40-40-18-16
    30-37-40-47
    50-50-28-27

    Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)

    36-39-36-40

    Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
    (B) ATL -175 to win 77
    (B) NYY -180 to win 77
    (A) OAK -250/-110 to win 40 -- play RL

    Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play

    none

    5/2

    none

  28. #518
    J.M. Disciple
    J.M. Disciple's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-16-10
    Posts: 5,037
    Betpoints: 9675

    Feeling good about today

  29. #519
    Trivial
    Trivial's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-22-09
    Posts: 1,328
    Betpoints: 3472

    Does anyone else have an issue reading this thread on a mobile phone?

    I can read every other thread on SBRforum except this one on my iPhone 4 ?

    I can read this thread on my iPad with no issue, and all threads on SBR except this one on my iPhone 4.

    Not sure what is so special about this thread. I've tried Safari and Chrome, and this thread dies.

    Anyone else have this issue? Just curious. I may have to start getting email updates.

    Thanks.

  30. #520
    knugen
    Update your status
    knugen's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-09-09
    Posts: 2,612
    Betpoints: 5460

    I only use my galaxy s4 and There is no problems

  31. #521
    Trivial
    Trivial's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-22-09
    Posts: 1,328
    Betpoints: 3472

    Quote Originally Posted by knugen View Post
    I only use my galaxy s4 and There is no problems
    Thanks. This is just driving me nuts, why just on the iPhone 4. Can anyone tell me if they have issues on the 5 or 5c or 5s ?

    Thanks.

  32. #522
    alexknyc
    alexknyc's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-22-11
    Posts: 861
    Betpoints: 17998

    Quote Originally Posted by Trivial View Post
    Thanks. This is just driving me nuts, why just on the iPhone 4. Can anyone tell me if they have issues on the 5 or 5c or 5s ?

    Thanks.
    I have a 5c. No problems.

  33. #523
    Trivial
    Trivial's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-22-09
    Posts: 1,328
    Betpoints: 3472

    Quote Originally Posted by alexknyc View Post
    I have a 5c. No problems.
    Thanks.

  34. #524
    on3
    on3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-23-10
    Posts: 2,196
    Betpoints: 3372

    UPDATED for 7/23/2014
    System(s) record Chase:

    Regular system: 126-8-0; Profit: +23 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units, CLE -7 units. BOS -13.25 units, TEX -6.5 units, DET -10.5 units)
    Filtered System: 16-2-0; Profit: +5 units (TEX - 7.5 units)
    5/2 chase: 3-2-0; profit: -30.30 units (TEX -25.5 units)

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
    Game 1 (A) win = 90-47; 12-7
    Game 2 (B) win = 21-26; 2-4; 2-3
    Game 3 (C) win = 17-8; 2-2; 1-2

    Labby -- not relevant to unit count

    40-40-18-38
    30-25-72-47
    50-50-28-87

    Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)

    36-39-36-40

    Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
    (C) ATL -170 to win 137
    (B) OAK -260/-120 to win 72 -- play RL

    Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play

    none

    5/2

    none

  35. #525
    J.M. Disciple
    J.M. Disciple's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-16-10
    Posts: 5,037
    Betpoints: 9675

    Needed those wins yesterday! Hopefully there is some action today. Thanks On3

First ... 12131415161718 ... Last
Top