1. 10-04-11 12:46 AM #1
    Thurgood
    Thurgood's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-17-11
    Posts: 767
    Betpoints: 274

    The Sharper Play - Yanks/Tigers Over or Brewers/D-Backs u7?

    I don't have the line for the Yanks/Tigers game o/u but everyone on here is thinking over because of AJ. Thoughts?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 10-04-11 01:07 AM #2
    Thurgood
    Thurgood's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-17-11
    Posts: 767
    Betpoints: 274

    My bad I meant u9
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 10-04-11 02:17 AM #3
    Thurgood
    Thurgood's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-17-11
    Posts: 767
    Betpoints: 274

    Let's change it up since the Yanks/Tigers line is not out yet.

    PHIL @ STL o7 or MIL @ ARZ u9?

    I'm liking the Cards game o7 more and more because this postseason seems all about overs.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 10-04-11 02:19 AM #4
    Machine Choice
    Machine Choice's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-12-08
    Posts: 3,997
    Betpoints: 2736

    The problem with the over in St Louis is that Holliday is not playing. Mil/Ariz under 9 seems like a lock. My simulations show 6 total runs in 1,000 trials
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 10-04-11 02:20 AM #5
    Machine Choice
    Machine Choice's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-12-08
    Posts: 3,997
    Betpoints: 2736

    But I'm waiting to take Detroit. 5dimes has Detroit at -115 but Bookmaker hasn't posted yet
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 10-04-11 02:31 AM #6
    Thurgood
    Thurgood's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-17-11
    Posts: 767
    Betpoints: 274

    Why Detroit? I certainly respect your capping abilities but a lot of people on here think AJ will either get yanked early or will for some strange reason have a good game.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 10-04-11 02:38 AM #7
    Machine Choice
    Machine Choice's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-12-08
    Posts: 3,997
    Betpoints: 2736

    Quote Originally Posted by Thurgood View Post
    Why Detroit? I certainly respect your capping abilities but a lot of people on here think AJ will either get yanked early or will for some strange reason have a good game.
    During the month of September Detroit averaged almost 8 runs per game at home. I don't care if Burnett is pitching or Nolan Ryan comes out of retirement, Detroit is the play. Plus I modeled this game with Burnett being yanked after giving up 6 runs (seems a reasonable worst case scenario) and Detroit still wins the game by 7 runs...Yanks haven't been hitting well on the road in the last month.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Players Talk | Next Thread »