EP36's Tennis Things I THINK I THINK

[brandoc]

I think Bogo is very motivated here and playing good tennis. Has just announced he wants to play for Russia davis cup next year so doubt he turns around and throws in a tank against a player ranked 200+. pretty solid parlay stuff IMO..

[sharlataans]

Friday ...

ATP St.Petersburg
Tipsarevic-Starace Over 19.5 [+100]

ATP Vienna
Melzer -115

Taking Melzer with you. Yesterday he played good, showed desire and determination.

Starace serves well he could pull out the over

[sharlataans]

I think Bogo is very motivated here and playing good tennis. Has just announced he wants to play for Russia davis cup next year so doubt he turns around and throws in a tank against a player ranked 200+. pretty solid parlay stuff IMO..

If Bogo comes 100% he can beat Lajovic 6-4, 6-4. He looks really solid. He will have problems with power players and big servers.
But he usually goes easy and takes it further than he should.

[EaglesPhan36]

Total looks solid with a 1st set tie break.

[Boxing Champ]

Overslept this play again, was waiting all night, fell asleep, woke up to a missed winner...AGAIN!!!!
good job EP!! Looks like you're back on the winning streak again.. No jinx......
Break a leg...

P.S. Starace might Fack around and win this match at +400 something!!!!
Is he serving that well??? or is Tipsy not returning well today????

[tevari]

Melzer is a flake. Are you playing the home country angle, or do you really think he has an edge of KA?

[EaglesPhan36]

Melzer is a flake, but this is the one tournament he seems to show up for the last couple of years without question. I don't think Anderson played exceptionally well against Baghdatis last round, thought Baggy was just piss poor and Anderson was broken several times. I think Anderson is still a little banged up too.

[Astros148]

melzer always trys really hard at this tourney , hes the obvious play.

[Demonata]

Let's go Melzer. Win this.

[jrw]

What about Melzer/Anderson Over 23.5? Both serve well, should see at least one TB unless Anderson gets broken. He is banged up apparently, so he could retire if he gets down.

[Diesel79]

Melzer bet not looking good at all. Anderson is serving great and already won the first set. What you guys think, should I hedge out with 50% loss or can Melzer still win it?

[sharlataans]

I guess Melzer won't break Anderson. Not even a mini break.

[Astros148]

wow anderson is serving like vintage roddick

[EaglesPhan36]

Tough to beat when he serves like this. Tough to know though here the last few weeks when this serve would show or the floppy one that sees him lose. Oh well, can't win 'em all.

[sharlataans]

WTF, Azarenka giving up so blatantly in 3rd set, amazing

[tommygun]

whats the lock for tonight boys?

[EaglesPhan36]

I don't see anything specific that makes me want to wager on tennis tomorrow.

[Ericg320]

I'm liking Marin Cilic +130. Thought?

[sharlataans]

Tough to beat when he serves like this. Tough to know though here the last few weeks when this serve would show or the floppy one that sees him lose. Oh well, can't win 'em all.

I agree, but I guess also Melzer is unable to cope with such serve. He does not have the skill and reaction. Others would have done better I am sure.

[sharlataans]

I'm liking Marin Cilic +130. Thought?

Cilic is not there menally IMO. You could tell after Seppi game. I guess he won good money in Beijing and now he is not interested to push hard. Youzhny is total opposite at the moment.

[sharlataans]

Youzhny -125
Chiudinelli +162

[sharlataans]

Man, if Youzhny wants to win anything with that kind of tennis... he will soon drop out of top100

[EaglesPhan36]

I still think Youzhny's back is an issue. It's a chronic problem from what I read about. I think that's why you see him look pretty good and then go to shit quickly. If this an all-year problem, he's someone you probably want to look at early in the season, but look to fade later when the wear and tear gets to him.

[Ericg320]

I'm liking Marin Cilic +130. Thought?

I didn't pull the trigger.

[Astros148]

anyone else like petra vs the nutcase?

[Boxing Champ]

Hey EP...What's going on buddy???

[EaglesPhan36]

Tuesday ...

ATP Valencia
Querrey -121

Parlay: Fish + Ferrer [-125]

Going to get my Halloweiner on.

[tevari]

Querrey/Gulbis is a degenerate special for sure. GL.

[Boxing Champ]

Tuesday ...

ATP Valencia
Querrey -121

Parlay: Fish + Ferrer [-125]

Going to get my Halloweiner on.

Love the Parlay.....
Good Luck to us all...

[bet420]

been tailing for a little bit, gonna keep tailing

[BB_Mariners]

Can somebody tell me why is Gulbis underdog in this match?
Gulbis is ranked 56th
Sam is 116th

[iceminers26]

Can somebody tell me why is Gulbis underdog in this match? Gulbis is ranked 56th Sam is 116th

My guess would be because Sammy Q is 7-2 L9 (both losses to Karlovic) while Gulbis has lost 3 straight and 4 of his last 5. However Querrey played fk all competition while Gulbis was actually playing quality opponents.

[BB_Mariners]

My guess would be because Sammy Q is 7-2 L9 (both losses to Karlovic) while Gulbis has lost 3 straight and 4 of his last 5. However Querrey played fk all competition while Gulbis was actually playing quality opponents.

I cant see Gulbis being an underdog against Sam. Sam played some funky tournaments (Oklahoma) and was struggling against players that are ranked 150 and lower. Gulbis at +205 is worth a shot.

[bet420]

bb mariners I just canceled my querrey bet. good save

[BB_Mariners]

bb mariners I just canceled my querrey bet. good save

I am not saying that Gulbis is the right play, just questioning odds on this match. I will play 0.5 unit on Gulbis.