Shari's tennis plays

**Mirar Baseball** · 06-05-10, 09:09 AM

Originally posted by Mirar Baseball

Obviously, Stosur is ranked higher and beat tougher opposition... But isn't it somewhat likely that Francesca somehow gets the upper hand in the first set (making hedges of all sorts possible)?

As I was about to collect my hefty winnings from betting Stosur in today's match (thanks Shari!), I was thinking it would be nice to get her at -130 or -120 to win the finals. But she is -400 which to me is unbettable. So... maybe take a longshot?

Opinions?

I changed my opinion and went heavy on Stosur -5.5 and Stosur 2-0 sets. So... any chance either of these players retires?...

**SoV** · 06-05-10, 09:11 AM

Stosur at 1.77, Schiavone at evens. Who should I get on?

**camel** · 06-05-10, 09:16 AM

Stosur just picked up a gear. Need her to win this game for the over to hit.

**camel** · 06-05-10, 09:18 AM

Over hits! WOO!

Now i just need this game to finish!

**Domestic** · 06-05-10, 09:18 AM

well done on the over.

**shari91** · 06-05-10, 09:24 AM

Originally posted by Domestic

well done on the over.

**TakeIt** · 06-05-10, 09:58 AM

Originally posted by shari91

My plays today

Stosur/Schiavone over 19.5

Schiavone +5.5

Stosur 2-1 +350

Hedges

Stosur 2-0

Schiavone 2-1 +800

not a bad betting scheme their, kiddo. kudos to "the bomb!"

**shari91** · 06-05-10, 10:00 AM

Well, not the best result for me but it could've been worse. Won the over, Schiavone handicap and a small hedge I put in but lost more than I should've on live betting. Congrats to Schiavone though - she took advantage of Sam's lapses and overwhelmed her.

**Tommy_de1st** · 06-05-10, 10:28 AM

You know why it didnt go as you expected? cuz I wasn't on Stosur
I dont bet women tennis at all

**shari91** · 06-05-10, 11:33 AM

Originally posted by Tommy_de1st

You know why it didnt go as you expected? cuz I wasn't on Stosur I dont bet women tennis at all

YES!!! That's it Tommy! I didn't know you don't bet WTA

That's ok - time to get stuck into MLB until it's bed time for me.

**tealish** · 06-05-10, 12:06 PM

so i guess you were right to be cautious with the aussie, shari..

**shari91** · 06-05-10, 12:09 PM

Originally posted by tealish

so i guess you were right to be cautious with the aussie, shari..

Yeah I don't trust any Australian tennis players. If she were from any other country I probably would've bet a lot more on this match but the Aussies seem to screw me over more often than not.

**Tommy_de1st** · 06-05-10, 12:22 PM

How bout Aussie rules? You won big time the other day if Im right.
Anything for tomorrow?

**Goat Milk** · 06-06-10, 04:02 AM

R.Nadal total aces +8½ -120* vs R.Soderling total aces for .5x

Soderling will get 10 aces at most in the whole match.

**shari91** · 06-06-10, 04:28 AM

Originally posted by Tommy_de1st

How bout Aussie rules? You won big time the other day if Im right. Anything for tomorrow?

Sorry Tommy!! Didn't see this until now.

In the AFL, I trust the players to do as they should for the most part. Not Aussie tennis players

**Goat Milk** · 06-06-10, 04:33 AM

Shari I really don't understand what your seeing in Soderling especially with the dampness of the courts. Can you fill me in ?

**shari91** · 06-06-10, 04:55 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Shari I really don't understand what your seeing in Soderling especially with the dampness of the courts. Can you fill me in ?

I think you and I are just taking a different angle on how the court will affect each player. Yeah, the court is going to take away some of the strength of Soderling's serve but it's also going to give him just a little bit longer to set himself up on defence and ready himself to make a great return shot. Plus a wet court is going to affect the success of Nadal's topspin which is one of his biggest weapons. Considering how tall Soderling is and the fact that Rafa has more problems with the giants than anyone else, each time he tries to hit a topspin shot he'll be playing right into Soderling to drive it back at him. I'm not saying Nadal is going to lose. I'm just saying I wouldn't be that surprised if he did. He's saying that he's in great condition yet he's dropped more games than he did 2 years ago to lesser ranked players. I hope he wins but I suspect if he does it's going to be a bit tougher for him than you may think!

**SolidDala** · 06-06-10, 05:11 AM

SÖDERLING is playing Nadal, whom he have beat the last meetings, on Sweden's national day, Gonna be one heck of a game!!!!!

**Tommy_de1st** · 06-06-10, 06:03 AM

No play for me, gonna watch if i have time

**Goat Milk** · 06-06-10, 06:06 AM

Originally posted by shari91

I think you and I are just taking a different angle on how the court will affect each player. Yeah, the court is going to take away some of the strength of Soderling's serve but it's also going to give him just a little bit longer to set himself up on defence and ready himself to make a great return shot. Plus a wet court is going to affect the success of Nadal's topspin which is one of his biggest weapons. Considering how tall Soderling is and the fact that Rafa has more problems with the giants than anyone else, each time he tries to hit a topspin shot he'll be playing right into Soderling to drive it back at him. I'm not saying Nadal is going to lose. I'm just saying I wouldn't be that surprised if he did. He's saying that he's in great condition yet he's dropped more games than he did 2 years ago to lesser ranked players. I hope he wins but I suspect if he does it's going to be a bit tougher for him than you may think!

I agree with most of this post except the bolded part. Soderling has never had a problem with Nadal's spin because he can hit a winner from above his shoulder anyway. I think Soderling's serve has been huge for him and he will not have that advantage today. We'll see. I see Nadal winning 3-1.

**SolidDala** · 06-06-10, 06:06 AM

Will watch not playing it either.. ONLY bet that is tempting is the OVER..

**shari91** · 06-06-10, 06:15 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

I agree with most of this post except the bolded part. Soderling has never had a problem with Nadal's spin because he can hit a winner from above his shoulder anyway. I think Soderling's serve has been huge for him and he will not have that advantage today. We'll see. I see Nadal winning 3-1.

As long as Nadal doesn't win 3-0, then I'm sweet. If it looks like he's going to, then I'm going to be on the phone live betting my arse off to make up for my other bets.

**Goat Milk** · 06-06-10, 06:17 AM

What are your final bets then?

**shari91** · 06-06-10, 06:28 AM

My plays today

Soderling +5.5 -140 2x

Nadal 3-1 +240 3x

Nadal 3-2 +575 3x

Soderling 3-1 +850 1x

Soderling 3-2 +750 2x

**Goat Milk** · 06-06-10, 06:31 AM

Good luck Shari.

If Nadal wins 3-1 though you basically will only make 1x. So you're pretty much hoping for the Nadal 3-2 or Sod 3-2

**SoV** · 06-06-10, 06:33 AM

Covering all losses there, Shari.

**shari91** · 06-06-10, 06:38 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Good luck Shari. If Nadal wins 3-1 though you basically will only make 1x. So you're pretty much hoping for the Nadal 3-2 or Sod 3-2

But if Soderling covers as well then I'll have made a little over 3x which I'm cool with. If not, 1x is better than if that fukker Nadal wins in straight sets and I have to live bet like a mofo.

What are you playing?

**Goat Milk** · 06-06-10, 06:39 AM

I am thinking of going 10x on Nadal ML

**shari91** · 06-06-10, 06:40 AM

Originally posted by SoV

Covering all losses there, Shari.

SoV, if I have any good karma coming my way, this sucker will go to 5.

**shari91** · 06-06-10, 06:45 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

I am thinking of going 10x on Nadal ML

10x to win 3x? You're much braver than I.

**PAYTON20** · 06-06-10, 07:53 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

I am thinking of going 10x on Nadal ML

You pullin the trigger? I might have to jump on this ML too. A lotta chalk but I see a Nadal 3-2 win as the VERY worst scenario here...

**colout** · 06-06-10, 08:00 AM

I thought about going all-in Nadal ML in the SBR book! Nadal 3-1

**Mirar Baseball** · 06-06-10, 08:35 AM

Rafa just gave a point away at *2-2 soderling serving at 15-30... Just stopped the rally and showed the ref the apparently wrong ball mark.

**Mirar Baseball** · 06-06-10, 08:36 AM

And a minute later at 30-40, Robin hit four sickest shots in a row. Good offense > good defense.

Or should I say incredible offense > incredible defense?

**domz248** · 06-06-10, 08:42 AM

nadal is going to win 2-0