Stacocakes Australian Open Thread

[Dr.Gonzo]

Pinnacle bet + odds Serena at one stage which was too good to pass up. I also have her to win 2-1 sets +370. Tight match but Serena deserves favouritism based of their respective serves.

As for the doubles later this evening. Anytime I can get + odds for the Bryan brothers I will be betting it.

[Stacocakes]

Have you been watching serena's matches Eagles?Thing that worries me about her is that she looks like she has nothing left in the tank for the majority of the match. Players were hitting shots down the line and Serena wouldn't even try to get there she would just leave them.The reason she ended up winning her matches was that the other girls would just gift her the match by choking pretty much. With that being said this is the final and Serena should be up for it. I think the big percentage of henin backers are reflected in this price since it is basically a pick em. I am seeing Henin as a +115 dog. The line came out as basically a -108 line for both on Pinnacle so it has moved a bit towards Serena. I thought Serena's number would be higher since she is the number one ranked player and Henin's serve has been suspect most of the tournament so I am not surprised to see it at -125 now. With that being said I think this match is pretty much a coin flip. If either player won I would not be surprised.Only way I would be surprised is if it was 6-0 6-0.

Murray is always going to have some decent outrights coming into tournaments until he wins a big one. I was thinking that he would be a bit higher then +600 but looking back now that is amazing value that you got.

SHould be a good match tonight. Don't usually go into a match having no idea what is going to happen.Should be interesting. Eventhough I won't win as much if it happens,I still hope Henin pulls this one out.

Best of luck tonight guys

[Stacocakes]

Pretty good final match last night. Serena prevailed since you had to have known that Henins serve would hurt her eventually. To bad matchbook hasn't settled the markets yet for the womens outright........its been like 9 hours

[Fischnasty]

cakes. thanks for the serena play last night.

im on fed tonight. pounded an off line on betus (-150, yesterday morning). lets cock slap our bookies.

[EaglesPhan36]

Well betting on both sides last night on exact result worked out for me. Had both Henin and Serena winning 2-1. Both offered odds over +300. Tonight, thinking about Total Games UNDER 41 (-115). Seems like the whole world is expecting a 5 set masterpiece tonight. Could happen, but my gut is that there's going to some lopsided 6-3 or 6-2 sets in here. Seems to be the M.O. of many of their matches. I think we get a tight set of 7-5 or 7-6, but one of these guys I think will take control. Either Federer will be on and Murray will not be able to figure out how to stop him or Murray's defensive game frustrates Federer into errors and service breaks. I like it to end in 4 sets.

[Fischnasty]

feeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee eed

lets cash this boys

[Stacocakes]

Agree tonight guys.Federer is the play
You read my mind Eagles.I can see this match as a four set match but I just have a feeling that this match may be a big letdown and may end up with a scoreline similar to that of the Davydenko match possibly.
Pretty much the match depends on which Roger shows up tonight.Is it the Federer that dominated the first set against Tsonga or the Federer that likes to get an unforced error once every three shots. This being a major I am going to bank on Federer showing up and having a great match today.
I've already hedged out my outrights on Federer so i'm not going to place any additional money on this match. I think if you have to make a bet though you can't go wrong backing Federer at a price like this ever.
Best of luck tonight guys.Lets have a good cap to this tournament

[Stacocakes]

Federer takes the first set
Roger is looking really good when he is playing aggressive. Bad thing is that he isn't playing aggressive that often and is choosing to do the slice backhand a little to much.
Both players have been broken already in the first set. Murray hasn't done that much besides the immediate break back of Feds serve after the first time he was broken.
Unless Murray really ups his game I think there is only one winner from this point on

[Marginalis]

wow federer is strong today

[Stacocakes]

2-0 set lead for Roger. Last time Federer blew a 2-0 set lead was in the davis cup 2003 against Hewitt. Anything is possible so I am not going to say anything to jinx it.Will just let the match play out

[Stacocakes]

3 bp Murray

[Stacocakes]

Murray breaks in the third set.
Serving out the set right now
Not to worried yet but if Murray breaks early in the fourth then its panic mode time

[Stacocakes]

Federer gets the break back in the third and it looks as though this match is going to a tiebreak in the third set. Hopefully Fed takes this so we can all go to bed

[Stacocakes]

Federer wins the tiebreaker and wins the aussie open. Some great tennis. Murray gave it all he had but he just isn't on the same level as Fed.
Hope you guys made some money on this match.From looking at the boards are reading chat it seemed like most were on Federer.

[raydog]

guy is just too good cakes...smitch might have to come out of retirement

[Fischnasty]

cakes..........
great cash on fed. thanks for the plays.

[MilfDriller]

gl + 3rd character

[Fischnasty]

gl + 3rd character

more or less the same thing im doing here.

[raydog]

you should be ashamed of yourself fish... i am

[Fischnasty]

you should be ashamed of yourself fish... i am

at least i dont lose em in the casino right away.

[Stacocakes]

You guys still haven't got enough points yet??

[varin18]

There is never enough points

[Fischnasty]

what are points?
:"

[raydog]

solid post fish...solid

[Fischnasty]

penis

[Fischnasty]

points

[Fischnasty]

what the hell is the character limit for this thing anyways?

[raydog]

i love this thread

[Fischnasty]

yeah, were really scraping the bottom of the barrel at this point

[smitch124]

Is this tournament over yet?

[RogueScholar]

Nah, it lives forever. I'm going big on Berrer tomorrow, you guys should get some before the price drops anymore. Only sure thing at a decent price tomorrow, I can't stand that Fed Cup action.

[raydog]

not a big fed cup fan myself...now a stacocakes australian open thread..thats what im into

[Fischnasty]

im neutral about it

[smitch124]

Did Federer still win?

[Fischnasty]

all i know is i got burialed on the superbowl