Mr Octobers 2023 picks thread

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  • Mr0ctober
    SBR MVP
    • 02-27-18
    • 2795

    #211
    Tuesday tennis
    WTA Cornet -130 (1u)
    Comment
    • Conqueror
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-08-13
      • 16777

      #212
      6/28

      WTA Eastbourne
      Dart +1.5 sets (+104)
      Comment
      • Mr0ctober
        SBR MVP
        • 02-27-18
        • 2795

        #213
        Dart live +320 (0.4u)
        dart live + 5.5 games (-130) (0.6u)
        dart/osta live over 19.5 (-115) (1u)
        Comment
        • Conqueror
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-08-13
          • 16777

          #214
          Originally posted by Mr0ctober
          Dart live +320 (0.4u)
          dart live + 5.5 games (-130) (0.6u)
          dart/osta live over 19.5 (-115) (1u)
          One of those days. At least you got Dart +5.5 games right.

          BOL going forward.
          Comment
          • Conqueror
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-08-13
            • 16777

            #215
            Cerundolo/ Macdonald


            Macdonald takes this on grass.
            Comment
            • Mr0ctober
              SBR MVP
              • 02-27-18
              • 2795

              #216
              Day 1 Wimbledon:

              ATP

              Barrios Vera +115 (1u)

              Lloyd Harris -110 (1u)

              Quentin Halys +109 (1u)


              WTA

              Masarova -108 (1u)
              Comment
              • Mr0ctober
                SBR MVP
                • 02-27-18
                • 2795

                #217
                Adds
                WTA
                Sinkakova -105 (1u)
                ATP

                Hanfmann +2.5 sets -145 (0.8u)
                Comment
                • Conqueror
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-08-13
                  • 16777

                  #218
                  Did you phone Barrios Vera before your bet on him? Just asking.
                  Comment
                  • Mr0ctober
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-27-18
                    • 2795

                    #219
                    Originally posted by Conqueror
                    Did you phone Barrios Vera before your bet on him? Just asking.
                    Hahahahhahaha
                    Comment
                    • Mr0ctober
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-27-18
                      • 2795

                      #220
                      Tuesday tennis

                      ATP
                      Cressy -138 (1u)

                      WTA
                      Tatiana Maria +108 (1u)
                      wickmayer -125 (1u)
                      Comment
                      • Mr0ctober
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-27-18
                        • 2795

                        #221
                        Saturday

                        haddad Maia -130 (1u)
                        andreeva +110 (1u)
                        Comment
                        • Mr0ctober
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-27-18
                          • 2795

                          #222
                          Back from the World Series of poker.
                          Parlay 7/14
                          Djok/Alvarez-145 (1u)
                          Comment
                          • Mr0ctober
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-27-18
                            • 2795

                            #223
                            Wimbledon final took

                            djoker -185 (1u) pre match

                            Then again live at -140 (0.5u)
                            Comment
                            • Mr0ctober
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-27-18
                              • 2795

                              #224
                              Djoker couldn't get it done for us to close wimbledon! the Kid was too good. incredible tennis match..

                              UPDATED Year to date

                              117-116. +13.415u
                              Comment
                              • Mr0ctober
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-27-18
                                • 2795

                                #225
                                7/20:
                                thompson/mannarino over 22.5 -115 (0.8u)
                                Comment
                                • Conqueror
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-08-13
                                  • 16777

                                  #226
                                  What's happening to Rune? Is he good, bad, overrated, etc?
                                  Comment
                                  • Conqueror
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-08-13
                                    • 16777

                                    #227
                                    WTA Budapest: Baindl vs Timofeeva

                                    Baindl didn't even bother to win a game in the 3rd set!
                                    Comment
                                    • Mr0ctober
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-27-18
                                      • 2795

                                      #228
                                      Thursday tennis:
                                      Wta lausanne:
                                      Diane Perry -110 (0.7)
                                      Comment
                                      • Mr0ctober
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-27-18
                                        • 2795

                                        #229
                                        Officially back from vacation. Excited for the upcoming final stretch of baseball and college football. And of course if you followed nfl for the last few years we are super excited for that. Plays will be posted here and on Twitter.

                                        and of course we will try to mix in tennis winners. Have a couple questions. It’s easiest to follow Twitter for instant notifications of picks but they will be posted on here as well sometimes just takes a few extra mins to get them up on here
                                        Comment
                                        • Conqueror
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-08-13
                                          • 16777

                                          #230
                                          We're back to one of the most annoying aspects of tennis betting: rain delays!
                                          Comment
                                          • Mr0ctober
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-27-18
                                            • 2795

                                            #231
                                            No kidding!!!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • Mr0ctober
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-27-18
                                              • 2795

                                              #232
                                              ATP Toronto:

                                              wasn’t going to play this but line has ballooned out to +280 so have to take a shot

                                              Griekspoor +280 (0.6u)
                                              De Minaur-120 (0.7u) fade more of norrie form more than anything here
                                              Comment
                                              • Mr0ctober
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-27-18
                                                • 2795

                                                #233
                                                7/20:
                                                thompson/mannarino over 22.5 -115 (0.8u)✅

                                                Wta lausanne:
                                                Diane Perry -110 (0.7)✅


                                                Griekspoor +280 (0.6u)❌

                                                De Minaur-120 (0.7u)✅


                                                120-117 +15.015u
                                                Comment
                                                • Mr0ctober
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-27-18
                                                  • 2795

                                                  #234
                                                  8/9 tennis play


                                                  Got away from me a little shop around
                                                  Samsanova -130 (0.7u)
                                                  Wta montreal
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Maizey
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 08-11-18
                                                    • 226

                                                    #235
                                                    That was easy. I thought the line was low, but Sams beat down by Gauff in DC steered me away.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Mr0ctober
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-27-18
                                                      • 2795

                                                      #236
                                                      Originally posted by Maizey
                                                      That was easy. I thought the line was low, but Sams beat down by Gauff in DC steered me away.

                                                      yep free and easy. I do understand that angle but I thought number was way too low to pass on sams
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Mr0ctober
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-27-18
                                                        • 2795

                                                        #237
                                                        Samsanova -130 (0.7u)

                                                        121-117 +15.715u
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Conqueror
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-08-13
                                                          • 16777

                                                          #238
                                                          Originally posted by Mr0ctober
                                                          Samsanova -130 (0.7u)

                                                          121-117 +15.715u
                                                          Don't forget to send her some rose flowers!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Mr0ctober
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-27-18
                                                            • 2795

                                                            #239
                                                            WTA Montreal 8/13

                                                            Samsanova -106 (0.5u)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Mr0ctober
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-27-18
                                                              • 2795

                                                              #240
                                                              Also just a heads up I played Samsanova +220 vs Sablenka. Caught some rude comments bc I didn’t post it but here’s the thing for anyone newer at this game. I played Samsanova +220 (Vs Sablenka) at bet365. I then got caught up at work with some craziness. And wasn’t able to put the play up until several hours later. At that point Samsanova was the +180 at best. I didnt post it bc at this price it was a no play or very small play at very best. My point is if you take this at all serious and want to make money you have to practice money management and getting the best line.

                                                              for example let’s say Samsanova plays Sablenka 3 times. I bet Samsanova everytime at +220 odds each time. I post it but someone else gets +180 each time. Samsanova wins once and loses the other 2 times

                                                              At +220 odds for 100$ bettor
                                                              match 1: Samsanova win +220$
                                                              match 2: samsanova loss -100$
                                                              match 3: samsanova loss -100$

                                                              net profit for this guy +20$


                                                              samsanova at +180 odds
                                                              match 1: samsanova win +180$
                                                              match 2: samsanova loss -100$
                                                              match 3: samsanova loss -100$

                                                              net profit for this guy MINUS 20$!

                                                              This might be academic for most people here but getting good numbers is more (or just as) important as finding winners. I just show the above example to show that two people can bet the same exact plays with the same exact amount dollars per play and one guy is a winning bettor while the other is a losing bettor just from line shopping and getting the best number. This is actually one of the reasons I can’t see paying for picks or big time touts. If you are paying for picks and these large groups are moving the numbers before you can get to them then it’s worthless. Even if the tout is winning supplying a winning strategy - if you aren’t getting the same numbers the picks are relatively worthless most of the time.

                                                              JUST A RANT mainly to the responses I got on Twitter for not posting samsanova even though the line had moved.

                                                              SO MANY NEW PEOPLE IN THIS INDUSTRY ON TWITTER AND EVERY OTHER PLATFORM. IF YOU ARE FOLLOWING SOMEONES ADVICE MAKE SURE THEY KNOW WHAT THEY ARE DOING BC I PROMISE 99% of these people have no clue what they are talking about and most of them are leading people to lose money. Apparently No one on Twitter ever loses despite only playing 7 leg parlays and always taking the worst of number.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Conqueror
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-08-13
                                                                • 16777

                                                                #241
                                                                There's no law that says people have to post each and every bet they make in real life.
                                                                We all have a life outside of the SBR and gambling.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Maizey
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 08-11-18
                                                                  • 226

                                                                  #242
                                                                  I’m not understanding. How did they know you played Sams when you didn’t post it?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Mr0ctober
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-27-18
                                                                    • 2795

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Originally posted by Maizey
                                                                    I’m not understanding. How did they know you played Sams when you didn’t post it?
                                                                    Long story short someone asked if I played any tennis and said I only played samsanova +220 from the day before. Then was told they didn’t believe me. So I sent the screen shot of the ticket. Then kinda got attacked for not posting it when I said I didn’t post it by design bc price moved. I was just using it more as an example for some newer people to understand how much the line movement matters…. Didn’t mean for it to come off as me complaining. If that all makes sense!


                                                                    Samsanova -106 (0.5u)✅

                                                                    122-117 +16.215u
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Maizey
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 08-11-18
                                                                      • 226

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Understood, makes sense. You were totally justified in your frustration of the situation.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Conqueror
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 12-08-13
                                                                        • 16777

                                                                        #245
                                                                        What can be done about rain delays?
                                                                        Comment
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