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Probably wouldn't do it again if I had my time over, Shapovalov will be a better player next time.Comment -
Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R2
Marcos Baghdatis vs Andrey Rublev
Handicap: Marcos Baghdatis +4.5 @ 1.934 on Pinnacle
Stake: $100 to profit $93.40Comment -
Total Score: Over 37 Games @ 1.943 on Pinnacle (-$100)
Total Score: Over 35 Games @ 2.01 on Pinnacle - (+$101)
Handicap: Nikoloz Bashivasili @ 1.925 on Pinnacle - (+$92.50)
Handicap: Pablo Cuevas +3 @ 1.952 on Pinnacle (-$100)
Moneyline: Jo Wilfried Tsonga @ 1.609 on Pinnacle - (+$182.70)
Total Games: Under 28 Games @ 1.952 on Pinnacle (-$100)
1st Set Total Games: Under 8.5 @ 3.09 on Pinnacle (-$50)
Handicap: Marcos Baghdatis +4 @ 1.98 on Pinnacle (-$100)
YTD: 38 - 52 - 3 (-$955.53)
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Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R3
Ryan Harrison vs Marin Cilic
Total Score: Over 35 Games @ 1.877 on Pinnacle
Stake: $150 to profit $131.55Comment -
Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R3
Grigor Dimitrov vs Andrey Rublev
Handicap: Grigor Dimitrov -3.5 @ 1.952 on Pinnacle
Stake: $150 to profit $142.8
Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R3
Diego Schwartzman vs Alexandr Dolgopolov
Moneyline: Diego Schwartzman @ 2.20 on Pinnacle
Stake: $250 to profit $300Comment -
I didn't get quite good of a number, sweating out this 3rd set
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Line was +6 too, an easy cover even if Cilic won the third set and held onto that break he had. Ah well will take the push. Thought that based off his last few matches he'd sniff a set but couldnt do it.Comment -
Total Score: Over 35 Games @ 1.877 on Pinnacle - (+$0)
Moneyline: Diego Schwartzman @ 2.20 on Pinnacle - (+$300)
Handicap: Grigor Dimitrov -3.5 @ 1.952 on Pinnacle - (+$142.80)
YTD: 40 - 52 - 4 (-$512.73)
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I just realized you had $250 on Diego.
I haven't seen you make a larger bet like this in a long time. Wish I paid more attention!Comment -
Yeah less to choose from, so obviously more to invest in. Noticed a lot of love for Busta here too, good to see he got it done.Comment -
Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R3
Marton Fucsovics vs Nicolas Kicker
Handicap: Nicolas Kicker +6.5 @ 1.99 on Pinnacle - Stake: $200 to profit $198
Moneyline: Nicolas Kicker @ 5.57 on Pinnacle - Stake: $50 to profit $228.5
Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R3
Alexander Zverev vs Hyeon Chung
Handicap: Hyeon Chung +4 @ 1.952 on Pinnacle - Stake: $100 to profit $95.20
Moneyline: Hyeon Chung @ 2.70 on Pinnacle - Stake: $50 to profit $85
Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R3
Juan Martin Del Potro vs Tomas Berdych
Moneyline: Juan Martin Del Potro @ 1.80 on Pinnacle
Stake: $350 to profit $280Comment -
Do have one other play I like but sleeping on it. Other then the one won't be adding anymore, don't really like the other games. Think there are some obsurd big lines/ML odds out there though.Comment -
Dang Jeff, I was going to fire on Birdman for about the same amount you're on DelPo for. I generally do not like to be on the other side as you.
The line makes me think that the books are looking for extra action on DelPo, and honestly I just see TB coming out the winner, in 3 or 4. Cheers.Comment -
Yeah it feels like a mix of Del Potro's shaky physical shape vs Berdych's shaky mental shape here haha. I remember the spot being similar here against Federer as well. Seemed more like a locker room win. Obviously not as much of a sure as that but I feel that Del Potro wants to win another slam while Berdy probably thinks his chances are behind him. And if Potro does he's gotta win these sorts of toss up matches.
Looks like the money came in for Del Potro overnight, (normally a reason why I jump early) but I'd wait till the last second before jumping on Berdych. Berdych at 2.10s or whatever it was wasn't really that great of value for me but Berdych drifting out to 2.40 or 50? Now thats decent value for the dog.
Probably not as confident as Diego but can justify the price I got (hopefully) heh
What I couldn't believe even more was how much Chung got smashed in for the ML
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Wow I grabbed Chung +4 as soon as it opened, now it's at +1.5.
Btw, I went with Over 38.5 Delpo/Berdych match. I think it's gonna be a tight 4 or 5 setter.Comment -
Yeah I see 39 now, it's not a bad one either, even if it is four sets you'd think one goes to a tiebreak or 7-5, maybe even two. Guess we'll see.
I didn't get to see his match against Medvedev but he hasn't looked injured in his other matches, so I was impressed and surprised at that dominant scoreline. Sascha hasn't looked all too convincing either, and I don't rate Chung's ceiling all too highly but he's playing well enough to win the match.Comment -
I had to take some Alex at -145, I like Chung but I think Alex is very hungry for this one and gets the job done. Also parlayed a little with Birdman, who I seem to be the only guy betting him. Sportsbook showing 92% of action on DelPo.Comment -
I also love Benneteau at +185. Beating Goffin ain't easy, but he did it last round. I think he can beat Fog on the majority of rally points tonight. On him already for a unit and a half we will call it, may have to add a little more. I don't dislike Fog and his skull shirts, he is fun to watch. But I gotta put down a few hundred bucks at these odds in hopes that tonight is his exit.
Sorry to clog your thread with my random thoughts or attempts at discussion. But I have no one knowledgeable to talk tennis with,.Comment -
Nah it's all good, I'm always up/down for talking about tennis at any time during the day.
As for Benneteau I did see his odds yesterday at +225 or thereabouts but since has shortened. Not sure how much I like em now with it likely gonna shorten because the smart guys will fade Fognini. But the mugs will probably throw him in their parlays anyway. Sometimes I always get put off by these guys' ages (36) and i'll admit I've been waiting for a good spot to fade Fognini. I have been thinking about the game most of this morning but migt hold out a tad and see how these earlier matches play out with court speed and temp.
I probably wouldn't even take a handicap, I'd likely back it outright. The French haven't looked fantastic and it'd be a tad ironic for their oldest player to make it the furthest here haha.Comment -
Gun to my head, gonna wager my marbles here on Nick the Prick and pay the juice at -160. I lost some live bets last night with Rublev, thinking he was going to power his way past Grigor, but the stars did not align. I was lucky to get some +6.5 games that came through, but I lost $$$ on the match.
So yeah, I'd take Nick, and possibly lose more of my $. Or win it all back. Tough match. I wish I could be awake to watch it. I love watching Nick play, he always make it interesting, fighting with himself or someone. Rarely ever boring.Comment -
Good points. I am gonna keep Fading the Fog-Skull until I win some $ back. Martingale system. It's never failed anyone. If Fog wins 2 tourneys in a row, I go broke and homeless. It's a hell of an adrenaline rush. No, just kidding. I did take a stab on the fade train with Zeballos a few days ago, and Foggy buried him and cost me. Better luck tonight.Comment -
Fognini barely got out of that one in 3 sets either. He's one of the few that doesn't seem to mind playing left handed players. He got broken back several times in that match including serving out the match but Zeballos was more of a mental midget that day. Neither player has notable results here, and the court is kinda neutral cause both guys have been on the showcourts before this matchup. But I've almost convinced myself to play this now. And considering it's after the Garcia and Sasnovich match i'll talk myself into making a play
Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R3
Fabio Fognini vs Julien Benneteau
Moneyline: Julien Benneteau @ 2.86 on Pinnacle
Stake: $100 to profit $186
A match between Del Potro or Berdych awaits and that's probably the last chance to fade him so I guess why not. It's funny I regretted not fading Paire that exact same day (when Fognini played Zeballos) with a lesser line and ML when he lost to Garcia Lopez but despite what he has shown I had absolutely zero faith in Garcia Lopez on HC and of course he wins comfortably!Comment -
I'll probably leave that Kyrgios and Dimitrov game, he manhandled him in Brisbane and I'd be surprised to not see it happen again. Admittedly I have been thinking about tommorows games with those odds out, and a potential big upset in the QF if those guys played but that's still a ways away.
The one dog that's caught my eye is Seppi. Withstood a barage of Karlovic big serves/aces/bombs to win in five, and I haven't really rated Edmunds game. Seppi hasn't really played anyone of note but he can navigate his way through these games and play five sets if needed. He's beaten Federer and Kyrgios (after Kyrgios beat him) so he can play big on the big courts.
So i'll be following the odds there to see who is favoured.Comment -
Seppi being offered at over 2 to 1, +207 for me. Seems a little strange, I would have had it lined a bit closer, maybe Kyle -150. Gonna be a pass for me, although I like that value. I may look at the total (not offered for me yet), but I could see over 39ish being worth taking a stab.Comment -
Pinnacle offering 38.5 at the moment which like you said could be low because it could easily go to 5 sets.Comment -
Quality game, both guys serving well. Chung's forehand is money, but needs to make better decisions. Made one that cost him a break point where he could have hit it wide instead hit it straight into Zverev's racquet when he came to the net. Does have a nice touch when he is there though.Comment -
Chung super impressive in 2nd set breaker. Wow! Where did this kid come from? Where did he learn how to rip his shots like that? I like him. He better not win this!Comment -
Sascha tried to target his backhand but he hit some good shots for sure. Not much in this game though, pretty early days. Still a pretty high level of tennis.
Benneteau getting a few easy service games in, hopefully he can sniff out a break and get it to 5 sets, and Fognini drops concentration.Comment -
Berdych drifting out all the way to 2.57, if you're keen on the ML keep an eye on it to see if it shortens a bit. People will definately get on it at those odds who like him.Comment -
Zverev/Chung is high level stuff.Comment -
Well I fired too early and got a terrible number. +115, it just changed from that to +150 a few minutes ago. So, 2.5 in UK. I hate it when I do that.
STRAIGHT WAGER01/19/18 23:42 EST
Bet $ 350.00 to win $ 402.50Result: Pending
ATP - AUSTRALIAN OPEN (Rd. of 32) - Melbourne - Australia (Hard)
Tomas Berdych vs Juan Martin Del Potro01/20/18 01:55 EST
Tomas Berdych +115
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