The French Open

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #141
    Kuznetsova +110
    *Not sure if the price might get more into plus odds, but at least it shifted to even and I had to make a decision before bed time with the match kicking off at 8am ET. Short & sweet for me here. I liked Kuznetsova in this portion of the draw pre-tournament and I am going to stick with my gut here. She's only dropped three matches on clay in 2009 and is the only person to beat Safina on the surface this Spring. Her form has been consistent, the only question mark is her mental strength on the big stage against a big game player like Serena. There's no better set-up for Kuzy here. Her preferred surface that helps negate the advantage Serena would have naturally IMO. Bottom line, Serena has had a Federer-ish run if you will at RG. Two brickhouse dominant matches and two hard fought three set wins against lesser opponents. Couple that with her uneven clay court play/fitness and I'll take my shot here.

    Actually got it at +110, so that's cool with me. That was what I was waiting for, probably be Serena in two dominant sets now.
    Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 06-03-09, 01:28 AM.
    Comment
    • illmatick
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-05-09
      • 5456

      #142
      looking good early, grabbed her at -105 couldnt stay awake for the plus money
      Comment
      • xxdjstriderxx
        SBR MVP
        • 11-25-08
        • 4740

        #143
        williams will come back to win.
        nike called it in.
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #144
          I'm not doubting that. This could be about to turn into the Australian Open again. This was the big question. Can Kuznetsova close one out. So far the answer is NO. She's probably gonna need Serena to choke on-serve in this set to win. If it goes to 3, Kuzy is likely toast.
          Comment
          • illmatick
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-05-09
            • 5456

            #145
            yup, the choke is on
            Comment
            • xxdjstriderxx
              SBR MVP
              • 11-25-08
              • 4740

              #146
              kuz is on empty
              Comment
              • "Sic"
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 11-03-08
                • 838

                #147
                wow talk about a choke job in the second...no way she wins it now
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #148
                  She might as well lose the 3rd set 6-0 and just save anyone from giving a crap.
                  Comment
                  • xxdjstriderxx
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-25-08
                    • 4740

                    #149
                    if serena takes this set, kuz will have nothing left for the 3rd.
                    crucial set for williams.
                    Comment
                    • xxdjstriderxx
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-25-08
                      • 4740

                      #150
                      Serenaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
                      Comment
                      • illmatick
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-05-09
                        • 5456

                        #151
                        go monfils!!!!!!
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #152
                          Aussie Open was 7-5, 5-7, 6-1 Serena. Wish Kuzy would pretend she's playing another Russian, then they could both choke.
                          Comment
                          • xxdjstriderxx
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-25-08
                            • 4740

                            #153
                            serena should take the last set easily.
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #154
                              I'll use Lou's ideaology to ease this loss. I got the best value for the price on Kuznetsova, so the outcome is irrelevant.
                              Comment
                              • xxdjstriderxx
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-25-08
                                • 4740

                                #155
                                kuz putting up a fight, nike says dont make it too obvious
                                Comment
                                • EaglesPhan36
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 71662

                                  #156
                                  I'll bet my left hand that Kuznetsova lets Serena break her right back at 3-3.
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #157
                                    Figures. No left hand now and Kuznetsova will still choke.
                                    Comment
                                    • "Sic"
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-03-08
                                      • 838

                                      #158
                                      She wanted to wait till 4-4 then choke so Serena can serve out the match
                                      Comment
                                      • xxdjstriderxx
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-25-08
                                        • 4740

                                        #159
                                        5-4 kuz
                                        Comment
                                        • xxdjstriderxx
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-25-08
                                          • 4740

                                          #160
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #161
                                            Well at least she didn't roll over this time, but I'm pretty much counting on Serena winning in the end. The only plus is it's not a tie breaker format, at least they keep going regular games until someone wins by two. Still, it's inevitable.
                                            Comment
                                            • "Sic"
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 11-03-08
                                              • 838

                                              #162
                                              wow I thought they'd tiebreak
                                              Comment
                                              • "Sic"
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 11-03-08
                                                • 838

                                                #163
                                                OMG we won...yee...WOW
                                                Comment
                                                • illmatick
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-05-09
                                                  • 5456

                                                  #164
                                                  Comment
                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                    • 71662

                                                    #165
                                                    Kuzy, you beautiful ugly Russian bitch! I can't believe she actually won. Thanks for choking on serve Serena. That was about the only way it could happen!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • xxdjstriderxx
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-25-08
                                                      • 4740

                                                      #166
                                                      amazing.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cuteboy86hi
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 08-05-08
                                                        • 312

                                                        #167
                                                        Comment
                                                        • "Sic"
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 11-03-08
                                                          • 838

                                                          #168



                                                          Now I need Del Potro first set
                                                          Comment
                                                          • cuteboy86hi
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 08-05-08
                                                            • 312

                                                            #169
                                                            stosur v Kuz
                                                            safina v cibulkova

                                                            All russian final?Stosur might have a say cos her game is very powerful.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #170
                                                              Well that's two for two for me the last two days in not pulling off of plays that I thought going into the French were going to happen. Gonzalez and now Kuznetsova. Pretty rare for me, I usually read too much and talk myself out of making a play in tune with what my instincts were. Looks like the first set of Federer-Monfils lived up to the hype score wise at least.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-06-06
                                                                • 71662

                                                                #171
                                                                Originally posted by "Sic"
                                                                Now I need Del Potro first set
                                                                I'll be happy so long as JMDP wins in 3 or 4 sets. 4 nets me a bigger profit. 3 nets me a slight one. Heck at this point, I'll definitely take either. Getting Kuznetsova was a big key to my day.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Originally posted by cuteboy86hi
                                                                  stosur v Kuz
                                                                  safina v cibulkova

                                                                  All russian final?Stosur might have a say cos her game is very powerful.
                                                                  I was thinking that a round ago that if all went down where I thought it might, we would see Safina-Kuznetsova Part III for the Spring. They've squared off in two clay finals already, splitting them. I hope that's the Final, will provide a better match and I think a chance for me to hedge my Safina future if Kuznetsova can net a decent price.

                                                                  Won't completely discount the others, but they're both low on experience at this level. Kuznetsova may have finally gotten over the hump with today's win.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #173
                                                                    Looks like I'll be making just the small profit on the Del Potro match. He just got up a break in the 3rd and should close out it out in straights.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • cuteboy86hi
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 08-05-08
                                                                      • 312

                                                                      #174
                                                                      robredo can only win against minions
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                                        • 71662

                                                                        #175
                                                                        Gonzalez -145
                                                                        Soderling +110

                                                                        Bookmaker lines that I see. Pinnacle has it -130 & +120. Gonzalez is my first thought here. I know Soderling has been damn impressive, but Gonzo has still been a very consistent clay court player who doesn't get much fanfare for being so and does have the edge despite Soderling's seemingly perfect play in two straight matches. Gonzo does give Soderling an entirely different look than either Davydenko or Nadal, which should help. Gonna have to look more and watch the line before making a final assessment. Safina is a monster favorite as you'd expect. Only value on that one might be betting on the exact result, but Safina in straights is probably still gonna cost you -200 to -250. So that one's probably a pass.
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...