yisman's ATP/WTA picks thread

[Dmoneytx]

Apparently Tipsarevic's condition was even worse than what was let on. This is embarrassing.

I wrote several times today that Tips was not in good health from the reports I was hearing. I even had a few people ask about the Tips match. I said NO way on earth Tips will even make this a match bec Del Potro has to win today to have a shot at making the semis. I was 100% sure Del Potro was winning & most likely in straights. The 6-0 doesn't surprise me at all first set. I tried to tell ev1 that Tips had something wrong with him, but no one responded. Oh well, I thought we were here to help each other. You should of asked around before dumping all your plays on weak arsss Tips. Del Potro was the last leg of my parlay to hit this morning at -151. Easiest money I have made ALL week I think. BOL on the future plays & feel free to stop by and ask the other guys what they think sometimes if you want. We are all here to help each other. Have a nice day.

[yisman]

Easiest money I have made ALL week I think.

Congrats on your easy money? How exactly is this helpful?

[Dmoneytx]

Congrats on your easy money? How exactly is this helpful?

Hey man, not bashing anyone here. You missed the ENTIRE point of my post then. It was obviously trying to say that there were people on here, mostly just me, that tried to tell ev1 that Tipsarevic was NOT in good health. Something is wrong with the guy. I SIMPLY tried to tell you that it was unfortunate that NO one listened to me & then someone like you dumps all of his plays today on Tipsarevic. Hey, its no sweat off my back. I just made a nice comment to you that we are here to help each other & that (in my opinion) we should all try to make the most of it & ask each other questions. I guess you felt that taking Tips today and all the props in that match was a good play and that you needed no outside information or leans. Hey, that's fine man. Best of luck to you then. I don't have to try to give you a heads up again. Don't sweat it. I'm only 7-2 in November I think, was just trying to tell you something for future plays. Again, my apologies......

As far as my "easy" play, I simply said that bec everyone played props today & had to sweat it out bigtime in the first match & I have no idea who everyone took second match for props. Was just commenting that Fed, DelPo & Bayer Lev were the easiest plays I have seen on the board for a morning in a long time. Rather than sweat out props like crazy today or take Tips who was in horrible form (and health), I thought the 3 team parlay was so easy it was a joke. But that was not the point of my prev post. Good luck in the future then. Cheers

[Goat Milk]

i think you're guys are exaggerating about Tipsy. His health? Did you watch the match? Do you play the game? I play the game consistently and watched the match and Tipsy was a little off, maybe a bit wrong, but he was moving very well, he was in most of the rallys, the score of the match doesn't reflect that. Tipsy could have beaten 75% of the atp tour the way he played today. What he had a migraine? I've won a tennis tourny with a 101 fever. These are pro athletes in the end.

[yisman]

Hey man, not bashing anyone here. You missed the ENTIRE point of my post then. It was obviously trying to say that there were people on here, mostly just me, that tried to tell ev1 that Tipsarevic was NOT in good health. Something is wrong with the guy. I SIMPLY tried to tell you that it was unfortunate that NO one listened to me & then someone like you dumps all of his plays today on Tipsarevic. Hey, its no sweat off my back. I just made a nice comment to you that we are here to help each other & that (in my opinion) we should all try to make the most of it & ask each other questions. I guess you felt that taking Tips today and all the props in that match was a good play and that you needed no outside information or leans. Hey, that's fine man. Best of luck to you then. I don't have to try to give you a heads up again. Don't sweat it. I'm only 7-2 in November I think, was just trying to tell you something for future plays. Again, my apologies......

As far as my "easy" play, I simply said that bec everyone played props today & had to sweat it out bigtime in the first match & I have no idea who everyone took second match for props. Was just commenting that Fed, DelPo & Bayer Lev were the easiest plays I have seen on the board for a morning in a long time. Rather than sweat out props like crazy today or take Tips who was in horrible form (and health), I thought the 3 team parlay was so easy it was a joke. But that was not the point of my prev post. Good luck in the future then. Cheers

If you want to tell me about a player's form, you can tell me before the match.

It's not exactly helpful to come here after my play lost and tell me that the other side was easy money.

[yisman]

3 team parlay for .5 units at 5 Dimes

1. 1/13/2013 10:00 PM ATP Tennis 101 Novak Djokovic* -5900 vs Paul-Henri Mathieu
2. 1/14/2013 1:00 AM ATP Tennis 138 Paolo Lorenzi* +885 vs Kevin Anderson
3. 1/14/2013 1:00 AM ATP Tennis 165 David Ferrer* -2800 vs Olivier Rochus

[EaglesPhan36]

That is a crazy parlay, good luck.

[Optional]

+885 just wasn't quite enough. Yis needed +935 to justify the bet ;-)

[yisman]

it's key to have 5 Dimes for the majors so I can make ridiculous first round parlays with tons of chalk.

Too bad I didn't get to include Djokovic in the big one (didn't get around to this until just now).

it's like -215

1. 1/13/2013 11:30 PM ATP Tennis 117 Sam Querrey* -1200 vs Daniel Munoz-De La Nava
2. 1/14/2013 1:00 AM ATP Tennis 165 David Ferrer* -3500 vs Olivier Rochus
3. 1/14/2013 7:00 PM ATP Tennis 229 Juan Martin del Potro* -1600 vs Adrian Mannarino
4. 1/14/2013 7:00 PM ATP Tennis 269 Yen-Hsun Lu* -1200 vs Ruben Ramirez Hidalgo
5. 1/14/2013 7:00 PM ATP Tennis 290 Andy Murray* -3350 vs Robin Haase
6. 1/14/2013 7:00 PM ATP Tennis 322 Richard Gasquet* -3350 vs Albert Montanes
7. 1/14/2013 7:00 PM ATP Tennis 325 Milos Raonic* -2200 vs Jan Hajek
8. 1/14/2013 7:00 PM ATP Tennis 354 Roger Federer* -3450 vs Benoit Paire

[yisman]

neither of these are major bets. I'm not watching them but I'm taking two underdogs tonight.

.1 units on Hidalgo

.25 on Monfils

[4086] RUBEN RAMIREZ HIDALGO +1000 (YEN-HSUN LU vrs RUBEN RAMIREZ HIDALGO)
ONLINE 01/14/2013 10:19 PM	[Ticket #: 133598042] STRAIGHT BET 01/15/2013 @ 12:00 AM MU [4087] GAEL MONFILS +150 (GAEL MONFILS vrs ALEXANDR DOLGOPOLOV)

[yisman]

These are favorable lines at Heritage:

#2) Sport : ATP Match Betting Tennis
Selection : N. Djokovic (Games)/S. Wawrinka (Games) 1/20/2013 1:35AM - (PST) Total Points OVER 29 -110 for Game

risk 2.2 units



#3) Sport : ATP Match Betting Tennis
Selection : S. Wawrinka (Games) 1/20/2013 1:35AM - (PST) Spread +8½ +100 for Game


risk 3 units

[yisman]

taking this now at Heritage because I think it'll move

#1) Sport : ATP Match Betting Tennis
Selection : T. Berdych 1/21/2013 4:00PM - (PST) Money Line +420 for Game


for 1.5 units

[Sharp Snake]

These are favorable lines at Heritage:

#2) Sport : ATP Match Betting Tennis
Selection : N. Djokovic (Games)/S. Wawrinka (Games) 1/20/2013 1:35AM - (PST) Total Points OVER 29 -110 for Game

risk 2.2 units



#3) Sport : ATP Match Betting Tennis
Selection : S. Wawrinka (Games) 1/20/2013 1:35AM - (PST) Spread +8½ +100 for Game


risk 3 units

nailed both. nicely done.

[yisman]

thanks

a lot of good stuff tonight. I've been missing out by not reviewing the lines every day at Heritage

#3) Sport : WTA Match Betting Tennis
Selection : M. Kirilenko 1/21/2013 0:30AM - (PST) Spread +1½ +425 for Game

risk 2 units



#4) Sport : WTA Match Betting Tennis
Selection : V. Azarenka (Games)/E. Vesnina (Games) 1/20/2013 5:55PM - (PST) Total Points OVER 18 +100 for Game


risk 1 unit



#5) Sport : WTA Match Betting Tennis
Selection : E. Vesnina (Games) 1/20/2013 5:55PM - (PST) Spread +6½ +100 for Game

risk 1 unit



#6) Sport : WTA Match Betting Tennis
Selection : S. Williams (Games)/M. Kirilenko (Games) 1/21/2013 0:30AM - (PST) Total Points OVER 17 -110 for Game


risk 4 units



#7) Sport : WTA Match Betting Tennis
Selection : M. Kirilenko (Games) 1/21/2013 0:30AM - (PST) Spread +7 +105 for Game




risk 2 units

[Optional]

[yisman]

also

Reduced Tennis 4738 Maria Kirilenko +1550* vs Serena Williams

for a unit

[goblue24]

Why the love for Kirlenko? Do you think she has a shot or just see value in the lines?

[yisman]

great lines.

[mehoolio]

Yisman, what's your record and how many units are you up? Thanks. I saw you started off hot, want to know it was sustained.

[CarolinaDaze]

Ok Yisman Thanks for the action, i got:

Roger Federer -820
Risk 4920 To Win 600.

[Sharp Snake]

Ok Yisman Thanks for the action, i got:

Roger Federer -820
Risk 4920 To Win 600.

why?

Tough night tonight. Dogs didnt have the same fight as last night.

[yisman]

I did very poorly last night

[mrpooh]

No shock to anyone. your picks suck. just leave

[alexschillig]

hahahaha love it

[yisman]

couple more from Heritage

#1) Sport : ATP Match Betting Tennis
Selection : J. Tsonga (Games) 1/23/2013 0:30AM - (PST) Spread +6 -105 for Game

risk 4.2 units



#2) Sport : ATP Match Betting Tennis
Selection : J. Tsonga (Games)/R. Federer (Games) 1/23/2013 0:30AM - (PST)

Total Points OVER 38 -110 for Game

risk 2.2

[yisman]

Heritage:

#1) Sport : ATP Match Betting Tennis
Selection : N. Djokovic/D. Ferrer 1/24/2013 0:35AM - (PST) Total Points OVER 3½ +140 for Game

over sets

risk 5 units

I did well with the women's matches today but didn't post because of unwanted attention.

[No coincidences]

Heritage:

#1) Sport : ATP Match Betting Tennis
Selection : N. Djokovic/D. Ferrer 1/24/2013 0:35AM - (PST) Total Points OVER 3½ +140 for Game

over sets

risk 5 units

I did well with the women's matches today but didn't post because of unwanted attention.

Stupid question from someone who doesn't bet tennis yis -- why is the over 3.5 being offered at +140 when most books have the over 2.5 at +100?

[yisman]

gonna have to stay up since ESPN3 is all screwed up and won't work for replays anymore

[yisman]

Stupid question from someone who doesn't bet tennis yis -- why is the over 3.5 being offered at +140 when most books have the over 2.5 at +100?

you mean over 3.5 and there's no reason, but Heritage has a lot of off lines on tennis. They did during the last major as well.

I got Tsonga +6 -105 vs. Federer when other books had +5.5 -110, IIRC

that's a huge difference considering it's tennis (a half point is much more significant than in basketball, for example).

[No coincidences]

you mean over 3.5 and there's no reason, but Heritage has a lot of off lines on tennis. They did during the last major as well.

I got Tsonga +6 -105 vs. Federer when other books had +5.5 -110, IIRC

that's a huge difference considering it's tennis (a half point is much more significant than in basketball, for example).

My bad -- yeah, I meant to type Ferrer +2.5.

[yisman]

My bad -- yeah, I meant to type Ferrer +2.5.

you'd also have to throw in djokovic +2.5 because Ferrer +2.5 is not exactly the same. Pinnacle has Djokovic +2.5 at 40/1.

[yisman]

bookmaker:

DJOKOVIC VS FERRER - SET BETTING [79014] DAVID FERRER 3 - 2

+2000

risk 1 unit

DJOKOVIC VS FERRER - SET BETTING [79011] NOVAK DJOKOVIC 3 - 2

+850

risk .5 units

[Optional]

Not a bad idea.

[yisman]

2018 Australian Open


Tennis - 8202 D. Dzumhur +1820 for Game

[hotcross]

Dzumhur....fitting name for a bet like this.

well its not a bet is it just pointing out the line discrepancy?