Kenz's Tennis

[baconbets]

pretty good hedge opportunity. take "no tiebreak" and offset it with the over.

[kenz]

$200 on Isner - Deliciano tiebreak in first set @1.72 @bet365
$300 on Isner - Deliciano first set over 10.5 @1.60 @marathonbet

Both guys always talk about how important it is to win the first set for them. They are not like Novak-Nadal-Federer who can comeback easily from 0-2 or even 0-1. They are poor on returns. We should not see much breaks

[kenz]

Set score market is not available for this game in one of my bookies but available for other games as it is used to be. Now I am not sure who will win first set 7-6 as Deliciano does not look as sharp to me as in Queen's but I am also not sure how Isner can return those backhand slices if they work. Isner is an ogre for those slices. I might take 7-6 for one side (probably Lopez) if I like the odds when the game is on livebetmenu

[kenz]

He needs a coaching presence at his matches. He has the killer instinct of a dolphin. One of the biggest chokers ever

Berdych or Cilic? I guess you meant Cilic

[kenz]

Nice kenz, good to see that you managed to get out on green after all.
I'm doing quite the profit following your plays, although I didn't bet Rosol nor Fognini hahaha

Thanks so much for putting your plays here so people like me can tail and learn

Yeah Robin Van Rogan, that stupid live bet was going to bury me. I made my total risk on Dİmitrov $3100 after that another dumb move. Glad all worked well for me.

No problem bud, enjoy your winnings

[kenz]

Oh man that's the kind of bet I could play 5K easily on it, but 1.20 I think you are dreaming! Do you have the odds ? I can imagine 1.10 or something like that.

LOL i was too optimistic best is 1.062 on Betfair http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wi...break-in-match
You get 1.03 on bet365

Wow @1.10 @marathonbet and @1.05 in bet365 now. Thats ridiculous odds to back

[kenz]

pretty good hedge opportunity. take "no tiebreak" and offset it with the over.

Can you describe this with numbers? Not sure I get this

[kenz]

$300 on Feliciano Lopez to win his quarter @12

This is a guaranteed loser. He is dead this week after all those games and faking guy also plays doubles. I cant hedge this against Isner does not mean a real "hedge", my loss may increase. But I dont like the price rise on Lopez ML.

I thought that in top shape Isner + Wawrinka/Istomin is no problem, but he does not look 100%. Also Federer playing like this not helping me too

[kenz]

$150 on Isner to win first set 7-6 @3.60

I definitely need a tiebreak first set

[kenz]

$400 on Kyrgios - Vesely over 42 @1.87

I Expect a tiebreak + 1 set with at least 10.5 over + and at least 4 sets for the match

[kenz]

Lets burn some money

$50 live on Kukushit ML @15 on tiebreak first set 2-3 Nadal serving

[matt1216]

U never know .. Good luck bud

[Nick_685]

Lets burn some money

$50 live on Kukushit ML @15 on tiebreak first set 2-3 Nadal serving

nice win. to bad I didn't see this in time

[kenz]

nice win. to bad I didn't see this in time

I did not win this. It is for match score. And I wont win this

[SirtySree]

Agree with the Lopez/Isner tiebreaks and Isner to win 1st set or for me personally the match. Isner is the king of tiebreaks and I see an insane amount of tiebreaks in this match. Isner could take a set 7-5 though when he is serving first cause he always just goes for it at 6-5 seeing as it's a 'free' game before the tiebreak.

[kenz]

Lets burn some money

$50 live on Kukushit ML @15 on tiebreak first set 2-3 Nadal serving

-$50

$400 on Kyrgios - Vesely over 42 @1.87

I Expect a tiebreak + 1 set with at least 10.5 over + and at least 4 sets for the match

-$400

Absence of tiebreak = lost

[kenz]

Total: +$9,123.95

[kenz]

$1500 on Cilic ML @1.33 * Dimitrov ML @1.11 * Murray @1.07 * Tiebreak in Lopez - Isner @1.10 = @1.74

[kenz]

Agree with the Lopez/Isner tiebreaks and Isner to win 1st set or for me personally the match. Isner is the king of tiebreaks and I see an insane amount of tiebreaks in this match. Isner could take a set 7-5 though when he is serving first cause he always just goes for it at 6-5 seeing as it's a 'free' game before the tiebreak.

I hope Isner takes first set 7-6 and then loses the game BOL

[kenz]

I hate WTA and I dont love playing over game plays in Slams. But some girls are exception to this.

$300 on Bouchard - Cornet over 21.5 @1.89 @tempobet

Tempobet is slow to adjust odds with respect to market and this is a valueable odd.

[kenz]

$250 on Feliciano Lopez ML @1.80 @tempobet

I also have a future pending. I see Lopez as a better grass courter. Isner's 2nd serves might be a trouble as Lopez will use slices to approach net as much as he can.

I did favor Isner to win first set in tiebreak with those odds but my ML pick is Lopez

[JC1186]

Hey kenz, sorry to derail your thread. I'm looking for a bookie with more tennis markets (doubles mostly) than Pinnacle. Would you recommend Tempobet?

Do they have reasonable limits? And are they good with withdrawals?

[kenz]

Hey kenz, sorry to derail your thread. I'm looking for a bookie with more tennis markets (doubles mostly) than Pinnacle. Would you recommend Tempobet?

Do they have reasonable limits? And are they good with withdrawals?

Actually I would not. They have some customers in Russia and Eastern Europe but I am not sure Australians can play here.

They are definitely not A or A+ bookie. Shitty livebet tennis menu, takes ages to make your livebet accepted at times.

My friend has been working in this industry for 15 years and made his way to being in a good position in Tempobet. If I would have a big problem not solved -which tempobet has some payment delays time to time- I count on my friend. I like the fact that tempobet is sluggish with the odds, they forget adjusting them

They offer huge limits, limit is never a problem. The main problems are horrible tennis livebet menu and sometimes payment delays

[kenz]

Marathonbet I definitely recommend but some people face limit problems if they win too much

[JC1186]

Much appreciated mate. Think there's enough to steer clear. Have seen you use them previously so just assumed they're right up there.

Must be nice having a friend in the industry. Let alone working for one of your bookmakers.

Pinnacle tick all the boxes. Except for doubles. They usually only get them up right at the tail end of tournaments. But maybe that's a good thing. After all, you can't really watch doubles matches early on, and I'm a big fan of making informed bets based on actually having seen the player/s recently instead of just form on paper.

*Edit. Thanks. Yes there was one bookie I remember hearing about previously. It was Marathonbet.

[kenz]

Much appreciated mate. Think there's enough to steer clear. Have seen you use them previously so just assumed they're right up there.

Must be nice having a friend in the industry. Let alone working for one of your bookmakers.

Pinnacle tick all the boxes. Except for doubles. They usually only get them up right at the tail end of tournaments. But maybe that's a good thing. After all, you can't really watch doubles matches early on, and I'm a big fan of making informed bets based on actually having seen the player/s recently instead of just form on paper.

*Edit. Thanks. Yes there was one bookie I remember hearing about previously. It was Marathonbet.

Having a friend in a bookmaker is good but he is the "Bookie's guy" afterall He is the selfish type, cant trust him 100%. But I will never have a payment problem thats for sure

I think doubles are too hard to cap mostly, or at least for me. Maybe harder than WTA. Marrero/Verdasco is fade material I think

Marathonbet is up there with the best of the best if you dont face a limit problem.

[kenz]

$200 on Isner - Deliciano tiebreak in first set @1.72 @bet365
$300 on Isner - Deliciano first set over 10.5 @1.60 @marathonbet

Both guys always talk about how important it is to win the first set for them. They are not like Novak-Nadal-Federer who can comeback easily from 0-2 or even 0-1. They are poor on returns. We should not see much breaks

$150 on Isner to win first set 7-6 @3.60

I definitely need a tiebreak first set

+$144
+$180
+$390
=$714

[kenz]

Still a close game. I think Feli can win this if he stays focused.

[Kucera]

Brilliant play on Isner-Lopez 1st set. Congrats!!!

[kenz]

Brilliant play on Isner-Lopez 1st set. Congrats!!!

Thanks man. BOL in your thread

[Kucera]

Thanks man. BOL in your thread

Hehe tnx mate, need this one to go to at least 4 sets first and of course hoping that Lopez can bring it home at the end for you to add another W

[Nick_685]

+$144
+$180
+$390
=$714

trick question
What is the resemblance between this Thread and Hulk?

[professionalAD]

kenz i hope were about to do that money dance!!!

[kenz]

trick question
What is the resemblance between this Thread and Hulk?

Both green?

[kenz]

kenz i hope were about to do that money dance!!!

Your over looks very good. Hope Lopez realizes he is in a great position to dig deeper in Wimbledon. But he plays like shit this week possibly tired.