Kenz's Tennis
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kenzSBR MVP
- 12-09-12
- 4879
#1086Comment -
MarillionSBR MVP
- 01-06-14
- 1453
#1087Hey Kenz, good luck, this is going to be a bit berating but I just wanted to share my thoughts.
I really hate the Nadal play, I think going against him on Wimbledon (both in first round and now... and maybe in future rounds if he wins today) is +EV.
I've been reading this forum for a few months now and in my opinion, maybe the most common mistake bettors make are building their reasoning on psychological stuff like "This player is going to be motivated/desperate to win", "That player is going to be scared" and stuff like that.
Anyway, I do believe chances that Rafa will turn this match the other way round are pretty good, he was OK versus Klizan and Rosol is a bit of a nutcase.Comment -
kenzSBR MVP
- 12-09-12
- 4879
#1088$400 on 3-0 Rosol @5.50
Bought this at 2-2 0-30 Nadal serving @2nd setComment -
kenzSBR MVP
- 12-09-12
- 4879
#1090Hey Kenz, good luck, this is going to be a bit berating but I just wanted to share my thoughts.
I really hate the Nadal play, I think going against him on Wimbledon (both in first round and now... and maybe in future rounds if he wins today) is +EV.
I've been reading this forum for a few months now and in my opinion, maybe the most common mistake bettors make are building their reasoning on psychological stuff like "This player is going to be motivated/desperate to win", "That player is going to be scared" and stuff like that.
Anyway, I do believe chances that Rafa will turn this match the other way round are pretty good, he was OK versus Klizan and Rosol is a bit of a nutcase.Comment -
kenzSBR MVP
- 12-09-12
- 4879
#1091Wish I did not watch that shitfest. This is how Rosol loses a set. Hope Nadal does not lose this.Comment -
kenzSBR MVP
- 12-09-12
- 4879
#1092$1500 on Fognini ML @1.23 * Dimitrov ML @1.32 marathonbet = @1.722
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kenzSBR MVP
- 12-09-12
- 4879
#1093$1500 on Nadal @1.11 * Feliciano Lopez @1.18 * Kei Nishikori @1.10 * Denis Istomin @1.23= @1.77 @Tempobet
Nadal = Revenge at all costs, cant afford to lose to Rosol here again
Feliciano Lopez = Great on grass, master of tiebreaks
Kei = Fade Kudla who barely beat Marsel
Istomin = Fade Reister who is a scrub + Istomin having his best season
Lopez is my biggest concern here, to be honest. But he should winComment -
kenzSBR MVP
- 12-09-12
- 4879
#1096Day Total: +$120 + $40 + $1155 - $400 - $100 = +$815
Total: +9,195.95Comment -
karpo13SBR Rookie
- 05-29-14
- 11
#1097Anything for byrdych cilic or cibulkova safarova?Comment -
kenzSBR MVP
- 12-09-12
- 4879
#1098Thinking about Cilic +1.5 sets @1.99 or +3.5 games @1.80. Women I have no ideaComment -
kenzSBR MVP
- 12-09-12
- 4879
#1099$600 on Cilic +1.5 sets @1.99 * Dimitrov ML @1.32 = @2.63Last edited by kenz; 06-27-14, 08:46 AM.Comment -
kenzSBR MVP
- 12-09-12
- 4879
#1103Watched the game Kev looked helpless, cant run, got a massage, cant win long rallies, going to net and losing all those net points, cant hold when down 0-30, got broken 3/3 in first occasions. So when it was 15-40 on his serve on 4th set I thought Fogna cant lose.
WHen I watch shit happens at times. Now I need Dimi and Cilic to save me from shithole, too bad just could be an awesome day.Comment -
kenzSBR MVP
- 12-09-12
- 4879
#1104Whoa WTF with Dolgopolov's stats? Either wrong or Dolgo is actually an X-Men
His scorelines are close but his stats are sick.
Against Groth 50 winners 9 unforced errors
Against Becker 84 winners 29 unforced errors + 42 aces
However I watched their Basel indoor clash last year and Dimitrov was a notch above in quality. Still he is the better guy, hope he does not chokeComment -
kenzSBR MVP
- 12-09-12
- 4879
#1105Comment -
kenzSBR MVP
- 12-09-12
- 4879
#1106Now come on Ciliccccccccccc!!!Comment -
Simon GruberSBR MVP
- 05-02-13
- 2342
#1107He needs a coaching presence at his matches. He has the killer instinct of a dolphin. One of the biggest chokers everComment -
kenzSBR MVP
- 12-09-12
- 4879
#1111Day Total: $900 - $1500 + $978 = +$378
Total: +$9,573.95Comment -
kenzSBR MVP
- 12-09-12
- 4879
#1112Great turnaround after dumb livebet. Lost 1.9K of my profit from dumb livebets on Fogna and RosolComment -
kenzSBR MVP
- 12-09-12
- 4879
#1113Tomorrow's lock is tiebreak in Lopez - Isner but I expect @1.20 odds for thisComment -
AceKingHighSBR MVP
- 10-23-09
- 3888
#1114Good job Kenz. waiting to hear what you have in mind for tomorrow.Comment -
kenzSBR MVP
- 12-09-12
- 4879
#1115@AceKingHigh
Lopez - Isner should see some tiebreaks. Every set 10.5 over/12.5 over can be played. I dont like anything else tomorrow.Comment -
AceKingHighSBR MVP
- 10-23-09
- 3888
#1116Cool, do you play anything else? MLB SOCCER ...? :P looks like you're doing an impressive job so far, keep it up!Comment -
kenzSBR MVP
- 12-09-12
- 4879
#1117I dont enjoy watching/capping any other sports than tennis but Ghana-Germany was a nice game in WC, that I accidentaly catched. Thanks and BOL
Comment -
Robin Van RoganSBR High Roller
- 02-21-14
- 115
#1118Nice kenz, good to see that you managed to get out on green after all.
I'm doing quite the profit following your plays, although I didn't bet Rosol nor Fognini hahaha
Thanks so much for putting your plays here so people like me can tail and learnComment -
tipsadontlikehimSBR MVP
- 11-14-13
- 2569
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tipsadontlikehimSBR MVP
- 11-14-13
- 2569
#1120LOL i was too optimistic best is 1.062 on Betfair http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wi...break-in-match
You get 1.03 on bet365Comment
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