Kenz's Tennis

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • kenz
    SBR MVP
    • 12-09-12
    • 4879

    #1086
    Originally posted by kenz
    $150 on Kubot - Lajovic over 39 @1.80
    +$120
    Comment
    • Marillion
      SBR MVP
      • 01-06-14
      • 1453

      #1087
      Hey Kenz, good luck, this is going to be a bit berating but I just wanted to share my thoughts.

      I really hate the Nadal play, I think going against him on Wimbledon (both in first round and now... and maybe in future rounds if he wins today) is +EV.

      I've been reading this forum for a few months now and in my opinion, maybe the most common mistake bettors make are building their reasoning on psychological stuff like "This player is going to be motivated/desperate to win", "That player is going to be scared" and stuff like that.

      Anyway, I do believe chances that Rafa will turn this match the other way round are pretty good, he was OK versus Klizan and Rosol is a bit of a nutcase.
      Comment
      • kenz
        SBR MVP
        • 12-09-12
        • 4879

        #1088
        $400 on 3-0 Rosol @5.50

        Bought this at 2-2 0-30 Nadal serving @2nd set
        Comment
        • kenz
          SBR MVP
          • 12-09-12
          • 4879

          #1089
          Originally posted by kenz
          $50 on Bolelli +2.5 sets @1.95
          $50 on Bolelli - Kohlschreibber over 35 @1.85

          $50 on Bolelli - Kohli tiebreak @1.64

          +$47,50
          +$42,50

          -$50
          =+$40
          Comment
          • kenz
            SBR MVP
            • 12-09-12
            • 4879

            #1090
            Originally posted by Marillion
            Hey Kenz, good luck, this is going to be a bit berating but I just wanted to share my thoughts.

            I really hate the Nadal play, I think going against him on Wimbledon (both in first round and now... and maybe in future rounds if he wins today) is +EV.

            I've been reading this forum for a few months now and in my opinion, maybe the most common mistake bettors make are building their reasoning on psychological stuff like "This player is going to be motivated/desperate to win", "That player is going to be scared" and stuff like that.

            Anyway, I do believe chances that Rafa will turn this match the other way round are pretty good, he was OK versus Klizan and Rosol is a bit of a nutcase.
            Could not disagree with that
            Comment
            • kenz
              SBR MVP
              • 12-09-12
              • 4879

              #1091
              Wish I did not watch that shitfest. This is how Rosol loses a set. Hope Nadal does not lose this.
              Comment
              • kenz
                SBR MVP
                • 12-09-12
                • 4879

                #1092
                $1500 on Fognini ML @1.23 * Dimitrov ML @1.32 marathonbet = @1.722


                Comment
                • kenz
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-09-12
                  • 4879

                  #1093
                  Originally posted by kenz
                  $1500 on Nadal @1.11 * Feliciano Lopez @1.18 * Kei Nishikori @1.10 * Denis Istomin @1.23= @1.77 @Tempobet

                  Nadal = Revenge at all costs, cant afford to lose to Rosol here again
                  Feliciano Lopez = Great on grass, master of tiebreaks
                  Kei = Fade Kudla who barely beat Marsel
                  Istomin = Fade Reister who is a scrub + Istomin having his best season


                  Lopez is my biggest concern here, to be honest. But he should win
                  +$1155
                  Comment
                  • kenz
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-09-12
                    • 4879

                    #1094
                    Originally posted by kenz
                    $400 on 3-0 Rosol @5.50

                    Bought this at 2-2 0-30 Nadal serving @2nd set
                    -$400
                    Comment
                    • kenz
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-09-12
                      • 4879

                      #1095
                      Originally posted by kenz
                      $100 on Mannarino +2.5 games @1.78
                      -$100
                      Comment
                      • kenz
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-09-12
                        • 4879

                        #1096
                        Day Total: +$120 + $40 + $1155 - $400 - $100 = +$815

                        Total: +9,195.95
                        Comment
                        • karpo13
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 05-29-14
                          • 11

                          #1097
                          Anything for byrdych cilic or cibulkova safarova?
                          Comment
                          • kenz
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-09-12
                            • 4879

                            #1098
                            Thinking about Cilic +1.5 sets @1.99 or +3.5 games @1.80. Women I have no idea
                            Comment
                            • kenz
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-09-12
                              • 4879

                              #1099
                              $600 on Cilic +1.5 sets @1.99 * Dimitrov ML @1.32 = @2.63
                              Last edited by kenz; 06-27-14, 08:46 AM.
                              Comment
                              • zec
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 01-03-14
                                • 548

                                #1100
                                Originally posted by kenz
                                $600 on Cilic +2.5 sets @1.99
                                Surely +1.5 sets?
                                Comment
                                • kenz
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-09-12
                                  • 4879

                                  #1101
                                  Originally posted by zec
                                  Surely +1.5 sets?
                                  Yeah +1.5 sets. Also decided to parlay with Dimitrov ML so If this parlay hits I will have a slight positive day
                                  Comment
                                  • Nick_685
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 06-27-14
                                    • 23

                                    #1102
                                    Originally posted by kenz
                                    $1000 on Kevin Anderson @1.39 * Grigor Dimitrov @1.37 = @1.90
                                    Originally posted by kenz
                                    $1500 on Fognini ML @1.23 * Dimitrov ML @1.32 marathonbet = @1.722


                                    Hello Kenz. Why did you do that?
                                    Comment
                                    • kenz
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-09-12
                                      • 4879

                                      #1103
                                      Watched the game Kev looked helpless, cant run, got a massage, cant win long rallies, going to net and losing all those net points, cant hold when down 0-30, got broken 3/3 in first occasions. So when it was 15-40 on his serve on 4th set I thought Fogna cant lose.

                                      WHen I watch shit happens at times. Now I need Dimi and Cilic to save me from shithole, too bad just could be an awesome day.
                                      Comment
                                      • kenz
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-09-12
                                        • 4879

                                        #1104
                                        Originally posted by kenz
                                        Whoa WTF with Dolgopolov's stats? Either wrong or Dolgo is actually an X-Men

                                        His scorelines are close but his stats are sick.

                                        Against Groth 50 winners 9 unforced errors
                                        Against Becker 84 winners 29 unforced errors + 42 aces

                                        However I watched their Basel indoor clash last year and Dimitrov was a notch above in quality. Still he is the better guy, hope he does not choke
                                        Now I get it
                                        Comment
                                        • kenz
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-09-12
                                          • 4879

                                          #1105
                                          Comment
                                          • kenz
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-09-12
                                            • 4879

                                            #1106
                                            Now come on Ciliccccccccccc!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • Simon Gruber
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-02-13
                                              • 2342

                                              #1107
                                              He needs a coaching presence at his matches. He has the killer instinct of a dolphin. One of the biggest chokers ever
                                              Comment
                                              • kenz
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-09-12
                                                • 4879

                                                #1108
                                                Originally posted by kenz
                                                $1000 on Kevin Anderson @1.39 * Grigor Dimitrov @1.37 = @1.90
                                                +$900
                                                Comment
                                                • kenz
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-09-12
                                                  • 4879

                                                  #1109
                                                  Originally posted by kenz
                                                  $1500 on Fognini ML @1.23 * Dimitrov ML @1.32 marathonbet = @1.722


                                                  -$1500

                                                  Faking livebetshitfest
                                                  Comment
                                                  • kenz
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-09-12
                                                    • 4879

                                                    #1110
                                                    Originally posted by kenz
                                                    $600 on Cilic +1.5 sets @1.99 * Dimitrov ML @1.32 = @2.63
                                                    +$978
                                                    Comment
                                                    • kenz
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-09-12
                                                      • 4879

                                                      #1111
                                                      Day Total: $900 - $1500 + $978 = +$378

                                                      Total: +$9,573.95
                                                      Comment
                                                      • kenz
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-09-12
                                                        • 4879

                                                        #1112
                                                        Great turnaround after dumb livebet. Lost 1.9K of my profit from dumb livebets on Fogna and Rosol
                                                        Comment
                                                        • kenz
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-09-12
                                                          • 4879

                                                          #1113
                                                          Tomorrow's lock is tiebreak in Lopez - Isner but I expect @1.20 odds for this
                                                          Comment
                                                          • AceKingHigh
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-23-09
                                                            • 3888

                                                            #1114
                                                            Good job Kenz. waiting to hear what you have in mind for tomorrow.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • kenz
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-09-12
                                                              • 4879

                                                              #1115
                                                              @AceKingHigh

                                                              Lopez - Isner should see some tiebreaks. Every set 10.5 over/12.5 over can be played. I dont like anything else tomorrow.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • AceKingHigh
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-23-09
                                                                • 3888

                                                                #1116
                                                                Cool, do you play anything else? MLB SOCCER ...? :P looks like you're doing an impressive job so far, keep it up!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • kenz
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-09-12
                                                                  • 4879

                                                                  #1117
                                                                  Originally posted by AceKingHigh
                                                                  Cool, do you play anything else? MLB SOCCER ...? :P looks like you're doing an impressive job so far, keep it up!
                                                                  No nothing else. I would def cash Turkish Basketball Championship game but my team Galatasaray did not show-up for the game I dont enjoy watching/capping any other sports than tennis but Ghana-Germany was a nice game in WC, that I accidentaly catched. Thanks and BOL
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Robin Van Rogan
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 02-21-14
                                                                    • 115

                                                                    #1118
                                                                    Nice kenz, good to see that you managed to get out on green after all.
                                                                    I'm doing quite the profit following your plays, although I didn't bet Rosol nor Fognini hahaha

                                                                    Thanks so much for putting your plays here so people like me can tail and learn
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • tipsadontlikehim
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-14-13
                                                                      • 2569

                                                                      #1119
                                                                      Originally posted by kenz
                                                                      Tomorrow's lock is tiebreak in Lopez - Isner but I expect @1.20 odds for this
                                                                      Oh man that's the kind of bet I could play 5K easily on it, but 1.20 I think you are dreaming! Do you have the odds ? I can imagine 1.10 or something like that.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • tipsadontlikehim
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-14-13
                                                                        • 2569

                                                                        #1120
                                                                        LOL i was too optimistic best is 1.062 on Betfair http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wi...break-in-match
                                                                        You get 1.03 on bet365
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...