ITT I Bet Air

**Marillion** · 09-06-14, 12:25 PM

(in-play) Nishikori to defeat Djokovic (1-1 sets) - 10.00 - 1 unit

**Marillion** · 09-06-14, 02:39 PM

Haider-Maurer to defeat Rufin (1.61) - 1 unit

**Marillion** · 09-06-14, 03:21 PM

parlay Dimitrov + Wawrinka (1.38) - 1 unit win at 1.25 odds, as Wawrinka had a walkover
Safarova to defeat Shuai Peng (1.57) - 1 unit loss
Martin to defeat Serra (1.83) - 1 unit win
Dimitrov to defeat Monfils (1.66) - 1 unit loss
Lama to defeat King (1.40) - 1 unit win
Niki to defeat Takeuchi (1.61) - 1 unit win
Vinogradova to defeat Bogoliy (1.30) - 1 unit win
Adding 1 unit on Dimitrov 1.72. loss
in-play Simon to defeat Cilic (2.37) - 1 unit 7-5 3-4 (0-15 and serving) loss
Eysseric to defeat Karatsev (1.72) - 1 unit loss
Montanes to defeat Fucsovic (1.53) - 1 unit loss
Chen/Peng to defeat DiWu/Zhang (1.50) - 1 unit win
Herbert to defeat Marti (1.57) - 1 unit void
Gombos to defeat Martin (1.80) - 1 unit win
Lama to defeat Mina (1.61) - 1 unit win
Buchanan to defeat Luncanu (1.33) - 1 unit loss
Bhambri to defeat Vanni (1.53) - 1 unit loss
Hanescu to defeat Munos de la Nava (1.50) - 1 uni loss
Herbert - Mahut over 22.5 (1.90) - 1 unit loss
Stakhovsky to defeat Millot (1.33) - 1 unit loss -
Sibille to defeat Pantuckova (1.72) - 1 unit win
Linette to defeat Han (1.40) - 1 unit win
Nishikori to defeat Djokovic (7.00) - 1 unit win
Vankova to defeat Mueller (1.75) - 1 unit win
(in-play) Nishikori to defeat Djokovic (1-1 sets) - 10.00 - 1 unit win

YTD
+35.54 units

Wins-Losses-Void
396-304-24

**Marillion** · 09-06-14, 03:54 PM

Cilic to defeat Federer (live, in-play) - (2.37) - 1 unit

Late to the party but still think it's fine.

ed: the bet was made immediately after 1st set

**Marillion** · 09-06-14, 03:58 PM

Cilic to win 3-0 sets (5.00) - 1 unit

(done at 30-40 first game 2nd set)

**Marillion** · 09-06-14, 04:00 PM

under 8.5 games in set two (4.00) - 1 unit

OMG this is addictive

**Marillion** · 09-06-14, 04:31 PM

Kostova to defeat Linette (2.20) - 1 unit

**Marillion** · 09-06-14, 04:33 PM

Cilic to win set 3 (2.62) - 1 unit

**Marillion** · 09-07-14, 09:11 AM

Let's bet on something I don't have a clue about!

American soccer - DEN Broncos -7.5 (1.90) - 1 unit

**Marillion** · 09-07-14, 09:37 AM

Larcher de Brito to defeat Hradecka (1.53) - 1 unit

**Marillion** · 09-07-14, 10:44 AM

Kudryavtseva to defeat Zanevska (2.25) - 1 unit

**Marillion** · 09-07-14, 02:24 PM

soccer in-play: Faroe Islands - Finland goal line under 2 (1.475) - 1 unit

**Marillion** · 09-07-14, 02:27 PM

Jesus and Faroe Islands somehow scored my guess was it was 0-1 written all over it.

**Marillion** · 09-07-14, 02:36 PM

soccer: Norway - Italy
pick: Italy ML (1.80) - 1 unit

Norway are horrible, they are undergoing a transition period which seems to be more like a long-term crisis than a reloading pause. Italy were in a very tough group in the World Cup, so I think people are going to underestimate them here. I am not taking them at a handicap, as they are a team who is very happy to win 1-0.

**Marillion** · 09-07-14, 04:03 PM

in-play Serena -5.5 against Woz (1.8) - 1 unit

**Marillion** · 09-08-14, 04:14 AM

Arguello to defeat Ignatik (1.66) - 1 unit

**Marillion** · 09-08-14, 04:18 AM

Haider-Maurer to defeat Rufin (1.61) - 1 unit win
Cilic to defeat Federer (live, in-play) - (2.37) - 1 unit win
Cilic to win 3-0 sets (5.00) - 1 unit win
under 8.5 games in set two (4.00) - 1 unit loss
Kostova to defeat Linette (2.20) - 1 unit win
Cilic to win set 3 (2.62) - 1 unit win
American soccer - DEN Broncos -7.5 (1.90) - 1 unit loss
Kudryavtseva to defeat Zanevska (2.25) - 1 unit win
soccer in-play: Faroe Islands - Finland goal line under 2 (1.475) - 1 unit loss
in-play Serena -5.5 against Woz (1.8) - 1 unit win

YTD
+43.39 units

Wins-Losses-Void
403-307-24

**Marillion** · 09-08-14, 09:39 AM

soccer Champions League
Liverpool - Ludogorets
pick: Liverpool -2 (2.10) - 1 unit

soccer UEFA Europa League
Dnipro - Inter Milan
pick: Inter Milan 0.0 (DNB) (1.90) - 1 unit

**Marillion** · 09-08-14, 02:38 PM

Gajdosova to defeat Kumkhum (1.61) - 1 unit

**Marillion** · 09-08-14, 03:01 PM

in-play Konta to defeat Muhammad (1.66) - 1 unit
huge value is gone as I got distracted and forgot about the match (intended to bet once Muhammad equalised for 5-5 in the second set) but still think it's OK. Konta's game is very well suited for fast surfaces.

(bet made at 4-0 in the tiebreak of 2nd set)

**Marillion** · 09-08-14, 03:09 PM

adding a unit on Konta 1.95

**Marillion** · 09-08-14, 04:03 PM

What a cntfest.

**Marillion** · 09-08-14, 04:39 PM

in-play Cilic to win set 2 (1.72) - 1 unit

**Marillion** · 09-08-14, 04:55 PM

in-play Cilic to win set 3 (1.66) - 1 unit

**Marillion** · 09-08-14, 05:01 PM

1 more unit at Cilic to win set 3 (1.72)
wtf why did this line went up?

**fitguy67** · 09-08-14, 05:24 PM

i hopped onto the cilic s3 bets with you mid-way/late in s2...

gl2us...i've always noticed that once cilic gets up in a match, he likes to keep his foot on the gas

_______________

**Marillion** · 09-08-14, 05:27 PM

Cilic was 2.00 to win set 3 at 40-40 and 1.80 at A-40 but I missed it as I was adjusting my online stream... Nishi just doesn't have an answer today.

**Marillion** · 09-08-14, 05:28 PM

I'm now pounding Cilic for set 3 if it becomes 1-1.

**Marillion** · 09-08-14, 05:31 PM

pounding Cilic for set 3 (1.80) - 1 unit at 1-1 in the third
come on

**fitguy67** · 09-08-14, 06:11 PM

**fitguy67** · 09-09-14, 02:12 PM

hey mar,

i'm working on a capping-result xls...and decided to run this whole thread thru the paces to give it a workout...

i entered in each & every TENNIS (not any of the the other stuff) play at the quoted weight/price/grading...here's the result (showing that the non-tennis stuff did you a bit of harm, but not much)

to keep things simple, the terms "dollar/$/unit/u" are interchangeabe, as i've set the unit size to $1

this includes everything up to the end of Sunday, Sep07th's action (so could be considered the glorified tennis-only version of post #857 above)

Wins.................................... W= 389
Losses.................................. L= 296
Additions (aka. $Wins)............A= $507.43
Subtractions (aka. $Losses).....S= $461
.: Net$..................................N= +$46.43
$Targeted (ie. "to win" amts)...T= $1060.79
$Ventured (ie. "risked" amts)...V= $1170
Calendar days.........................C= 224 approx. (32 wks)
buZiness days.........................Z= 175 approx. (25 wks)

so your yield (what everybody and their mother call ROI), y = 3.97% = (N/V)

_____________

oh yeah, in my accounting, pushes/voids are considered as NON-plays...thus they contribute ZERO to any of the running totals above (in particular, the $ "risked" on what ultimately prove to be non-plays...do not appear in my total risked or "V" term, hence they do not appear in the denominator of the ROI calculation)

**Marillion** · 09-09-14, 02:36 PM

Chan/Chan to defeat Linette/Zhang (1.36) - 1 unit

Tx a lot fitguy, will check later!

**ManeOnFire** · 09-09-14, 02:58 PM

Originally posted by fitguy67

hey mar,

i'm working on a capping-result xls...and decided to run this whole thread thru the paces to give it a workout...

i entered in each & every TENNIS (not any of the the other stuff) play at the quoted weight/price/grading...here's the result (showing that the non-tennis stuff did you a bit of harm, but not much)

to keep things simple, the terms "dollar/$/unit/u" are interchangeabe, as i've set the unit size to $1

this includes everything up to the end of Sunday, Sep07th's action (so could be considered the glorified tennis-only version of post #857 above)

Wins.................................... W= 389
Losses.................................. L= 296
Additions (aka. $Wins)............A= $507.43
Subtractions (aka. $Losses).....S= $461
.: Net$..................................N= +$46.43
$Targeted (ie. "to win" amts)...T= $1060.79
$Ventured (ie. "risked" amts)...V= $1170
Calendar days.........................C= 224 approx. (32 wks)
buZiness days.........................Z= 175 approx. (25 wks)

so your yield (what everybody and their mother call ROI), y = 3.97% = (N/V)

_____________

oh yeah, in my accounting, pushes/voids are considered as NON-plays...thus they contribute ZERO to any of the running totals above (in particular, the $ "risked" on what ultimately prove to be non-plays...do not appear in my total risked or "V" term, hence they do not appear in the denominator of the ROI calculation)

That's an excellent return although I include non-plays. Do you know of anyone who has done better with a good sample size fitguy? I know Hardcore must be up there.

**Marillion** · 09-10-14, 03:52 AM

pick: Italy ML (1.80) - 1 unit win
Arguello to defeat Ignatik (1.66) - 1 unit win
Gajdosova to defeat Kumkhum (1.61) - 1 unit win
in-play Konta to defeat Muhammad (1.66) - 1 unit loss
adding a unit on Konta 1.95 loss
in-play Cilic to win set 2 (1.72) - 1 unit win
in-play Cilic to win set 3 (1.66) - 1 unit win
1 more unit at Cilic to win set 3 (1.72) win
Cilic for set 3 (1.80) - 1 unit at 1-1 in the third win

YTD
+46.35 units

Wins-Losses-Void
410-309-25

**Marillion** · 09-10-14, 03:46 PM

Czech Republic to defeat France (3.40) - 1 unit

Berdych can win both games (plus there is some possibility for some surprise in the other singles' matches). France have picked only one good doubles' player, Benneteau. Had they taken Roger-Vasseline or Mahut (or maybe Llodra but he's probably injured) instead of Monfils or Gasquet, their chances would have been much better IMO.