EP36's Fuzzy Tennis Balls

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-02-14, 09:22 AM

Grigs so close to netting that +475. Sharapova will give you that dead fish style for your first Slam semi.

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-02-14, 09:36 AM

Cash that future. Someone has arrived.

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-02-14, 10:13 AM

Add...

1st Set Raonic-Kyrgios Over 10.5 @ -140

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-02-14, 12:12 PM

Some shaky serve games for Nick, but cashed the 1st set prop. If Fed closes out, good day for the futures.

**matt1216** · 07-02-14, 12:21 PM

Man, things couldnt look better for Fed to try and win that 18th Slam

**sluggy1616** · 07-02-14, 12:24 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Some shaky serve games for Nick, but cashed the 1st set prop. If Fed closes out, good day for the futures.

Any chance of you posting YTD futures results after Wimbly??

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-02-14, 12:27 PM

Roger

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-02-14, 12:39 PM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

Any chance of you posting YTD futures results after Wimbly??

Shit. I don't think I have the time or patience to back date. I can try to keep a record of it from now on. Also viewed it as a bonus, so it's not in my YTD total.

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-02-14, 01:28 PM

I may have a way to post what I suggested in previews from Feb to now. Would take time to figure out profit won or lost.

Will look at that Friday.

**sluggy1616** · 07-02-14, 01:57 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

I may have a way to post what I suggested in previews from Feb to now. Would take time to figure out profit won or lost.

Will look at that Friday.

If you don't have it readily handy don't worry about it. Figured you tracked in a spread sheet or something. Dont waste your time!!! I know your busy.

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-02-14, 03:24 PM

Nah, but I have lent it to a 3rd party to use so I have emails. Kinda interested myself. Depending on stakes, I am guessing maybe a little ahead for the year.

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-02-14, 03:39 PM

Futures wise for WTA Wimbledon. If Kvitova wins 1st, no hedge on Bouchard as there would be a guaranteed future alive in the final. Best case, both win and it's $ time in the Final.

**SEKTAUR** · 07-02-14, 05:39 PM

hey eagle any thoughts yet on fed raonic?

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-02-14, 06:42 PM

Nah. Would wait to see the totals. Side I'm not doing anything since I have the Federer Future. I think he wins at the end of the day.

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-02-14, 06:43 PM

2014 Season Overall Profit: +2.43
Wimbledon: +4.90
Wimbledon Open Parlays: 0-2 [-2.00]

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-03-14, 12:07 AM

July 3rd
ATP Wimbledon Doubles: Paes-Stepanek @ -120 *To win 1.0 units
Winnetka Challenger: Smith @ +125
Braunschweig Challenger: Petzschner @ +240

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-03-14, 08:32 AM

One future into the final, so no hedge on Bouchard.

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-03-14, 10:32 AM

Perma-boner. It'll be Bouchard future vs. Kvitova future. Hannibal Smith style.

**poet** · 07-03-14, 12:45 PM

Yes, you win either way, EP, but give us your breakdown of the match. Tavari(?) who used to play women's tennis and post on this forum, once said Kvitova is the greatest fade out there (in big matches). I tend to agree. Bouchard has had the tougher road and if Kvitova had that much trouble with an over-the-hill Venus, I don't think she can handle Bouchard, who has as much power as Kvitova, moves better, and already, at a young age, is tougher mentally.

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-03-14, 01:46 PM

Kvitova. Experience is usually big in this sort of spot against a first timer.

**frugalgambler** · 07-03-14, 01:52 PM

Originally posted by poet

Yes, you win either way, EP, but give us your breakdown of the match. Tavari(?) who used to play women's tennis and post on this forum, once said Kvitova is the greatest fade out there (in big matches). I tend to agree. Bouchard has had the tougher road and if Kvitova had that much trouble with an over-the-hill Venus, I don't think she can handle Bouchard, who has as much power as Kvitova, moves better, and already, at a young age, is tougher mentally.

Have you actually watched Kvitova-Venus and the first set of her match today ? I have not seen that level from Bouchard (yet). Kvitova also has her serve to fall back on when the going gets tough. Bouchard does have an edge in movement, but Kvitova is more powerful and she is one determined f.cker. I am gonna be hedging my Kvitova futures, but I will leave a little more on the Kvitova side. Genie has been great and I think this one does go over (or at least the first set should), but the odds are fair and Petra should be the fav.

**poet** · 07-03-14, 02:22 PM

I did not see the match, Frug, but look at the quality of opponents the two have faced. Even today, Kvitova beats Saf 7-6 (in the first) and goes on to roll while Bouchard beats Halep 7-6 and goes on to roll. All things being equal (and I think they are here, with slight serve edge to Kvitova,) movement is huge on grass. Very few big servers (male or female) win this thing if they don't have great movement. Goran (on the men's side) and Kvitova (on the women's) are the only two that come to mind right now. And Kvitova beat Sharapova in that final (who is not as good a mover as Bouchard).

**poet** · 07-03-14, 02:34 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Kvitova. Experience is usually big in this sort of spot against a first timer.

Yes, EP, I remember Lisicki's meltdown last year. Lost a bunch cause she could not hold it together. But I also made a bunch riding her to the finals. I think Bouchard is made of sterner stuff but I won't go big on her. She just has the aura of someone who was born to be a star (on the tennis court).

**frugalgambler** · 07-03-14, 02:55 PM

I can turn this around around and say that Bouchard's path was not impressive: Cornet and Kerber in a letdown spot, coming off tough wins as overwhelming dogs, and injured Halep (and Cornet should've taken at least a set off Bouchard). One stat that I really like about Kvitova is that she wins >60% of points on her 2nd serve, for Bouchard that number is about 50%. Ultimately, I think whoever holds it together better should win. I am rooting for a great match, but Kvitova is defo the fav.

Edit: I do like the over but I would not go big on it since the majority of women's GS finals go way under, especially involving a newcomer.

**poet** · 07-03-14, 03:15 PM

Halep wasn't injured when she had a chance. These tennis players throw in the towel all the time frugal, I've seen halep do it a few times. I had the over and was pissed.

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-03-14, 03:21 PM

Originally posted by poet

Yes, EP, I remember Lisicki's meltdown last year. Lost a bunch cause she could not hold it together. But I also made a bunch riding her to the finals. I think Bouchard is made of sterner stuff but I won't go big on her. She just has the aura of someone who was born to be a star (on the tennis court).

Perhaps. This surface though is good to Kvitovs. If Kvitova had never won before, I could see going on Bouchard but I think it makes a big difference although with the chicks - they all have mental frailty in their DNA. That's why I love being in my spot and not deciphering a play instead

**matt1216** · 07-03-14, 06:06 PM

Originally posted by frugalgambler

I can turn this around around and say that Bouchard's path was not impressive: Cornet and Kerber in a letdown spot, coming off tough wins as overwhelming dogs, and injured Halep (and Cornet should've taken at least a set off Bouchard). One stat that I really like about Kvitova is that she wins >60% of points on her 2nd serve, for Bouchard that number is about 50%. Ultimately, I think whoever holds it together better should win. I am rooting for a great match, but Kvitova is defo the fav.

Edit: I do like the over but I would not go big on it since the majority of women's GS finals go way under, especially involving a newcomer.

halep was definately not injured.....I honestly think shes good but nothing special.... Bouchard has "out" shots...

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-03-14, 09:35 PM

2014 Season Overall Profit: +3.56
Wimbledon: +5.90

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-03-14, 09:48 PM

July 4th
ATP Wimbledon Parlay: Djokovic-Dimitrov Over 3.5 Sets + Paes-Stepanek @ +134 *Risking 1.0 units
ATP Wimbledon: Federer-Raonic 1st Set Tie Break - YES @ +110 *Risk 0.5 unit

**Kucera** · 07-04-14, 04:16 AM

Gonna tail you on your parlay today, just changed Dimitrov to +2.5 sets

BOL

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-04-14, 09:02 AM

Paes-Stepanek getting worked over. Jeeze. I was split between them or the Bryans, but thought they had a better matchup. Doh.

**brodie** · 07-04-14, 09:20 AM

sock and pospisil have been taking everyone's money this whole tourney... that's why i never bet against 2 big hitters in a doubles match

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-04-14, 09:31 AM

Some teams catch lightning in a bottle, it happens. Bolt-Whittington did it in the Australian. If you realistically were betting on "big hitters" in doubles regardless of matchup, you'd lose more than you win during the season. They didn't really hit them off the court per say, but they cashed in better on break points & that's usually the end game.

**brodie** · 07-04-14, 09:38 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Some teams catch lightning in a bottle, it happens. Bolt-Whittington did it in the Australian. If you realistically were betting on "big hitters" in doubles regardless of matchup, you'd lose more than you win during the season. They didn't really hit them off the court per say, but they cashed in better on break points & that's usually the end game.

did you watch their game against peya/soares? they certainly powered them off the court. I never said I bet on the big hitters, I just said that I never bet against them.

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-04-14, 09:42 AM

Point taken.