EP36's Fuzzy Tennis Balls

[EaglesPhan36]

At long last, the Youzhny suffering is over. Teased the 4th set with a break and then got drilled in four straight. May not have mattered as Coco is trying to even her match. OP #2 looks like it will be 3/3 at least.

Not trusting my gut screws me again. And it like like with Wickmayer too. Marked Over as a play, read too much and took a side.

Troll away.

[EaglesPhan36]

With doubles starting, going to open another Open Parlay to use with doubles and singles.

Wimbledon, Wednesday June 25th
Open Parlay #2 [8 slots] *Risking 1.0 units
1. Murray-Peers -395 [6.25]
2. Melzer-Lopez -420 [6.25]
3. Nestor-Zimonjic -705 [6.25]
4. Istomin -455 [6.26]
5. Kohlschreiber -810 [6.26]

Adding two more early before any line moves for OP #2. Looking at Lopez also, but saw someone hinting at an injury or something. Don't know if it's bullshit - anyone have full TI access that can read the comments, let me know if there is anything confirmed there. Otherwise, probably going to wait for more doubles lines. And will give WTA a token look later.

[EaglesPhan36]

2014 Season Overall Profit: -4.71
Wimbledon: -1.15

[EaglesPhan36]

Wimbledon, Wednesday June 25th
Open Parlay #2 [8 slots] *Risking 1.0 units
1. Murray-Peers -395 [6.25]
2. Melzer-Lopez -420 [6.25]
3. Nestor-Zimonjic -705 [6.25]
4. Istomin -455 [6.26]
5. Kohlschreiber -810 [6.26]
6. Benneteau-ERV -315 [6.26]
7. Isner -300 [6.26]

Alright filled the OP #2 up through #7.

[EaglesPhan36]

Wimbledon, June 26th
ATP: Gasquet-Kyrgios Over 38.5 @ -120
WTA: Keys-Koukalova Over 20.5 @ -118

[EaglesPhan36]

ATP Wimbledon: Granollers -109

[EaglesPhan36]

What a win for Kyrgios! Shari .....

[SCS]

Facking Granollers gets unlucky and chokes a service game early in the 4th set. I swear, every time I back this guy...

Giraldo is 2/2 on break pts, this is disgusting.

[EaglesPhan36]

Kohlscreiber went disaster on the OP #2. Barf. Guess I was a round off on him sucking. At least in the right direction on single plays. Both totals hit. Granny still alive in the 5th after fending off some shit to keep on-serve early. Hopefully Giraldo comes out flat and Granny can get a break to open up a lead.

Toughest match tomorrow to keep the Dimitrov Future alive to win the quarter. Dog will be tricky. Feddy did a nice job navigating through these 1st two rounds when a heavy hitter could have been tough on the slick grass. Definitely liking his chances as the grass keeps chewing up.

2014 Season Overall Profit: -2.71
Wimbledon: +0.85

[JohnnyRudeboy]

EP, may I solicit your opininion on Kvitova tomorrow? There are crickets roaming in my thread. I honestly don't know what is not to like about this one, history, recent form, H2H, all seem to point in one direction. Any cause for alarm?

[EaglesPhan36]

I like her, I think I had her to the Final in our bracket contest. The only thing that sucks is you literally have no idea what Venus is capable of every day.

[JohnnyRudeboy]

Cheers, hopefully she's not capable of much

[EaglesPhan36]

Wimbledon, June 27th
ATP: L.Mayer -110
WTA: Li-Strycova Over 19 @ -114
ATP Doubles: Ebden-Groth +650*Risking 0.25 unit

The Ebden-Groth price is whack, Bryans are -1350, but Ebden-Groth are just +650? For example, Nadal I see at -1600 and Kukushkin at +1100 in singles. Seems like Ebden-Groth should be more in the neighborhood of +800-900. Not saying it means anything, just noting it's pretty much weak sauce from the books. Still trying it.

[FlipsideRM]

Why Mayer? Kuznetsov has been playing great tennis

[Spinny]

Mayer has also been playing good tennis and has knocked out 2 players he shouldn't have. Kuznetsov has been boosted due to Ferrer win

[EaglesPhan36]

Mayer I think has slipped under the radar a little with how nicely he played in his two wins against solid opponents. To me it hinged on how much stock you put in Kuznetsov's win over Ferrer. I thought it was good enough to go against him because I think Ferrer was out of form and not 100% + it falls into the category of a signature win at a Slam where often the player will have a difficult time replicating effort level physically and emotionally in the next match. Certainly neither is a grass court lover, but Mayer does have Slam experience on his side also. In the end, the line was pretty fair and more of a gut feeling than anything for me.

[EaglesPhan36]

Add..

Berdych-Cilic Under 42.5 @ +115

[Simon Gruber]

You think Berdych rolls here?

[EaglesPhan36]

Not necessarily. I just think it's a 4 setter with maybe a set or two below 10 games.

[EaglesPhan36]

Cilic did no favors by blowing that 1st set break. Used up 3 games. Probably need a sweep.

[EaglesPhan36]

Cilic did it up in straights. Dope.

[Simon Gruber]

Cilic did it up in straights. Dope.

Yeah, I have a nice futures bet on Cilic. He should beat Chardy in no more than 4 in the next round, and I have to hope that Tsonga and Djokovic go the distance

[EaglesPhan36]

Good win for Dimitrov to keep that future alive also. Successive winning days, yay.

[EaglesPhan36]

2014 Season Overall Profit: +0.19
Wimbledon: +2.66
Wimbledon Open Parlays: 0-2 [-2.00]

[Boxing Champ]

EP to do like Lisicky tomorrow vs Ivanovic??

[EaglesPhan36]

Wimbledon, June 28th
ATP: Istomin +225
ATP: Raonic-Kubot Over 36.5 @ -114
WTA: Riske +6 @ -120
WTA: Zvonareva +140
WTA: Shvedova +253
WTA: Lisicki +175

*All wagers either risking 0.5 unit or to win 0.5 unit

[EaglesPhan36]

Weather looks terrible tomorrow. Anything after 1pm London time looks in danger of being delayed.

Remember Centre Court likely will go under the roof. Should help Federer and maybe Lisicki.

[JohnnyRudeboy]

No parlay faves?

[EaglesPhan36]

Nah. I liked a lot of dogs and decided to go for it. We'll see how that works out. Usually when I pass on them, they win. When I play a lot, more lose.


Doesn't look like anything other than Centre Court will be played today, unless they shove something inside after the Federer match.

Was mistaken about Lisicki last night. She's scheduled for Court 1, not CC. On the Order of Play on the website, they pretty much cancelled everything else for today.

Even with the delay, doesn't sound like they will bump tradition and play on Sunday. So if you made a lot of bets for today, you're stuck for a bit unless your book has a time limit on when the matches have to start from their original schedule.

[EaglesPhan36]

Nice had been watching World Cup. Play resumed.

[EaglesPhan36]

Kubot went blow for blow with Raonic but always looked beaten in the 3rd. Thought he could hold to get the over, but no.

Serena, adios! Opens up the Kerber path perhaps if she can hang on. Sharapovs buying Cornet a gift basket.

[EaglesPhan36]

Or Cornet chokes .....

[EaglesPhan36]

No choke!

[EaglesPhan36]

Large day for futures on Monday. The Kerber future - this was pretty much the make or break match that I was expecting along the way. Helps that Serena is out, but Bouchard obviously will be a tough match for Sharapova or Kerber, unless Cornet repeats her surprise but I would be shocked to see that. Hoping Kerber can push Sharapova and get her nerves involved since she hasn't had to play a tight match in a while.

Dimitrov Quarter bet pretty much on course for a quarterfinal shot against Murray although he'll need to play well against Mayer first.

[ParlayininHTown]

Cilic-Chardy thoughts, EP?