CrazyLou's 2009 Tennis Picks Thread

**SBR Lou** · 01-16-09, 03:16 PM

No comments when CrazyLou nails a +520 and +191 dog, yet parody when his +655 takes Roger Federer to a third set but loses...

**Shark79** · 01-16-09, 04:12 PM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

2-2 +0.51

ytd 6-10 -6.41

Nice hits on Niemanen and Baghdatis .... 2 wagers gets up in + figures.

Cant go wrong with those.

**daggerkobe** · 01-16-09, 05:42 PM

Tennis dogs

Poor money management

**SBR Lou** · 01-16-09, 05:43 PM

Originally posted by daggerkobe

Tennis dogs

Poor money management

Poor MM? They were all to win 1 or 2 units, or 1-2 unit risked.

**EaglesPhan36** · 01-16-09, 05:48 PM

The haters always hate Loucifer. You be you.

**daggerkobe** · 01-16-09, 05:51 PM

You hit +500 & +200..... yet just + 1/2 unit.

Why is that?

**SBR Lou** · 01-16-09, 07:20 PM

Originally posted by daggerkobe

You hit +500 & +200..... yet just + 1/2 unit.

Why is that?

Safina lost in a 3 setter, would've been a monster day had she (+156) cashed also.

**daggerkobe** · 01-16-09, 07:31 PM

Or u could have just flat bet and be +5 instead of .5.

**AgainstAllOdds** · 01-16-09, 09:01 PM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

No comments when CrazyLou nails a +520 and +191 dog, yet parody when his +655 takes Roger Federer to a third set but loses...

Of you play enough dogs, you are bound to hit some...LOL...yet you only made +.51 of a unit for the day...

I just dont know how impressed I should be with a record like 6-10 and still down 6 plus units...

**EaglesPhan36** · 01-18-09, 07:10 PM

Hey LouLou, who did you take in futures for the Open?

**SBR Lou** · 01-18-09, 10:38 PM

M Safin -560
vs I. navarro

Risking 5.6 to win 1 unit

M. Cilic -674
vs K. Anderson

Risking 6.74 to win 1 unit

C. Wozniacki -580
vs S. Peer

Risking 5.8 to win 1 unit

M. Kirilenko
+166S. Errani

Risking 1 unit to win 1.66 unit

A. Chakvetadze
-179Risking 1.79 to win 1 unit

YTD 6-11 -7.41

**SBR Lou** · 01-18-09, 10:39 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Hey LouLou, who did you take in futures for the Open?

Ivanovic/Wozniacki

**pimike** · 01-18-09, 10:40 PM

Fed loses tonight

**Shark79** · 01-18-09, 10:44 PM

Big numbers there Lou ... hope you cash.

Pimike ... Fed plays till Tuesday. that would be tomorrow night for us.

**Spanks** · 01-18-09, 11:33 PM

Damn bro risking 700 on Safin to make 100???

**pimike** · 01-18-09, 11:35 PM

Originally posted by Shark79

Big numbers there Lou ... hope you cash.

Pimike ... Fed plays till Tuesday. that would be tomorrow night for us.

oh shit I bet that already thinking it was 200 am Monday morning

**EaglesPhan36** · 01-19-09, 12:04 AM

Lou, I don't root against people .... but Safin is TNT. Of all the guys do go on for a big price, he would be LAST on my list and by last - I mean not on it at all. Hope you don't get F-ed, but that's walking the thin line.

**SBR Lou** · 01-19-09, 12:07 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Lou, I don't root against people .... but Safin is TNT. Of all the guys do go on for a big price, he would be LAST on my list and by last - I mean not on it at all. Hope you don't get F-ed, but that's walking the thin line.

Last=Mardy Fish
2nd to last= James Blake

Safin is okay, just a hothead. I trust him a lot more than others in this spot.

**Spanks** · 01-19-09, 01:47 AM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

Last=Mardy Fish
2nd to last= James Blake

Safin is okay, just a hothead. I trust him a lot more than others in this spot.

Balls of steel...good luck Lou...

**pat venditto** · 01-19-09, 02:16 AM

Roger Federer match starts at 5am

**SBR Lou** · 01-19-09, 10:01 AM

Originally posted by crazylou

m safin -560
vs i. Navarro

risking 5.6 to win 1 unit

m. Cilic -674
vs k. Anderson

risking 6.74 to win 1 unit

c. Wozniacki -580
vs s. Peer

risking 5.8 to win 1 unit

m. Kirilenko
+166s. Errani

risking 1 unit to win 1.66 unit

a. Chakvetadze
-179risking 1.79 to win 1 unit

ytd 6-11 -7.41

4-1 +3.00

10-12 -4.41

**daggerkobe** · 01-19-09, 10:10 AM

JC Ferrero and Nieminen are assholes.

**SBR Lou** · 01-19-09, 10:11 AM

J. Zheng -326
vs C. Pin

Risking 3.26 units to win 1 units

A-L. Groenefeld -300
vs E. Baltacha

Risking 6 units to win 2 units

D. Ferrer -160
vs D. Hrbaty

Risking 1.6 to win 1 units

F. Gonzalez +104
vs L. Hewitt

Risking 1 unit to win 1.04 units

K. Nishikori -102
vs J. Melzer

Risking 1.02 to win 1 units

I. Andreev -770
vs P. Polansky

Risking 7.70 to win 1 units

YTD 10-12 -4.41u

**SBR Lou** · 01-19-09, 10:12 AM

By the way, I know I sound like a tout, but the above card does no worse than 5-1.

**Netprofit** · 01-19-09, 05:33 PM

CrazyLou, why Gonzalez over Hewitt? I think 90% of money may go to Hewitt there, which is making me hesitant to go (I think Hewitt and will not in any case bet against him, given his fighting spirit I consider not worth having money against him).

Just want to know if you have any insight to share.

**Stacocakes** · 01-19-09, 05:36 PM

Gonzo is the better player right now but the real question is will the crowd be able to raise up Hewitt to beat him.Very tough call

**SBR Lou** · 01-19-09, 05:42 PM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

J. Zheng -326
vs C. Pin

Risking 3.26 units to win 1 units

A-L. Groenefeld -300
vs E. Baltacha

Risking 6 units to win 2 units

D. Ferrer -160
vs D. Hrbaty

Risking 1.6 to win 1 units

F. Gonzalez +104
vs L. Hewitt

Risking 1 unit to win 1.04 units

K. Nishikori -102
vs J. Melzer

Risking 1.02 to win 1 units

I. Andreev -770
vs P. Polansky

Risking 7.70 to win 1 units

YTD 10-12 -4.41u

Before I forget, I've added more units on Zheng which I posted in the In-Game day 2 thread.

So adding here too.

Adding more on *Zheng at -310
Risking 6.2 to win 2 units, this is separate from the posted stake already on her..

**SBR Lou** · 01-19-09, 05:43 PM

Originally posted by Netprofit

CrazyLou, why Gonzalez over Hewitt? I think 90% of money may go to Hewitt there, which is making me hesitant to go (I think Hewitt and will not in any case bet against him, given his fighting spirit I consider not worth having money against him).

Just want to know if you have any insight to share.

Hewitt is a shadow of his old form, he's generally overvalued and a figure that the betting public seems to identify with- but I'm not one of those people. Truth be told, hard to imagine him taking more than one set and it certainly won't be the first.

Best of luck, man.

**Spanks** · 01-19-09, 05:43 PM

Ferrer struggled through a five set match against Gremelmayr...who is not all that good...he can lose his next match to an in form Hrbaty...Kei Nishikori has been carrying a arm injury and I dont trust him in a 5 setter...

**SBR Lou** · 01-19-09, 05:44 PM

Originally posted by Spanks

Ferrer struggled through a five set match against Gremelmayr...who is not all that good...he can lose his next match to an in form Hrbaty...Kei Nishikori has been carrying a arm injury and I dont trust him in a 5 setter...

Kei's always banged up, he's a Jankovic type that just exaggerates like a child but his retiring can be bothersome at times.

**Netprofit** · 01-19-09, 06:23 PM

What do you guys think of Dogs which might bark today? I am looking at Dansevic over Blake, Monaco over Tsonga, Pin over Zheng, Govortsova over Mauresmo, Rodionova over Kuznetsova?

Btw why are you so confident about Zheng over Pin?

Also, I like your comment about Navarro vs. Vinci if any? I like Navarro but there is apparently a significnat line movement in favour of Vinci.

**EaglesPhan36** · 01-20-09, 01:38 AM

Again I am on an island here, but I think James Blake has a shot to do some work in this tourney. He matches up well against most of the guys in his portion of the bracket and the Tsonga health issue potentially opens up this part if Tsonga is still less than 100%.

**pico** · 01-20-09, 02:15 AM

i got schwank +4.5 and cipolla +6.5 coming up next

**SBR Lou** · 01-20-09, 10:40 AM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

J. Zheng -326
vs C. Pin

Risking 3.26 units to win 1 units

A-L. Groenefeld -300
vs E. Baltacha

Risking 6 units to win 2 units

D. Ferrer -160
vs D. Hrbaty

Risking 1.6 to win 1 units

F. Gonzalez +104
vs L. Hewitt

Risking 1 unit to win 1.04 units

K. Nishikori -102
vs J. Melzer

Risking 1.02 to win 1 units

I. Andreev -770
vs P. Polansky

Risking 7.70 to win 1 units

YTD 10-12 -4.41u

Originally posted by CrazyLou

Before I forget, I've added more units on Zheng which I posted in the In-Game day 2 thread.

So adding here too.

Adding more on *Zheng at -310
Risking 6.2 to win 2 units, this is separate from the posted stake already on her..

Yesterday 3-2 -1.98
*Ferrer is still pending

**SBR Lou** · 01-20-09, 10:56 AM

Tuesday January 20th.

The following 3 plays are fades of LT Profits picks.

M Safin -320
to win 2

N. Petrova -220
to win 1

R. Soderling -150
to win 1

My regular plays:

Bartoli -176
to win 4 units

S. Errani -186
To win 2 units

A. Chakvetadze -156
to win 1 unit

M. Johansson +477
to win 4 units