Max Soccer Handicapping Thread

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  • mats9863
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-22-09
    • 263

    #1
    Max Soccer Handicapping Thread
    I am creating this new thread whose goal is to make you informed on the italian and

    european soccer news.

    I recognize isn't a very popular sport in USA.

    Indeed I saw and appreciated that European famous teams are well-known

    here.

    So I'll post my picks and invite everyone to give me suggestions.


  • RoagBettor
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-20-09
    • 8355

    #2
    Welcome! Looking forward to your picks and insight.
    Comment
    • Hybris
      SBR MVP
      • 07-22-09
      • 1023

      #3
      Welcome, I think you will enjoy this part of the forum.
      Comment
      • mats9863
        SBR Sharp
        • 09-22-09
        • 263

        #4
        Thank you all for welcoming.

        About my picks posted in Karayilan thread :

        I won Atalanta draw (Odd: 2.00) and lost the Bari Over( Odd: 2.05).

        Comment
        • ZXCVBNM
          SBR MVP
          • 09-17-08
          • 1027

          #5
          Welcome
          Comment
          • kmarinouofm
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-26-09
            • 8437

            #6
            we look forward to reading your news.. thanks again.. and welcome to the SBR soccer forum..
            Comment
            • mats9863
              SBR Sharp
              • 09-22-09
              • 263

              #7
              Sweden Allsvanskan, 20.00 cet

              Gefle - Malmo
              Pick: Over 2.5
              Odds: 2.05 Book: Expekt


              Sweden Superettan, 19.15cet
              Mjallby - Landskrona BOIS
              Pick: X Half time
              Odds: 2.15 Book: Expekt

              Football - Italian Serie A, 20:45cet
              Genoa - Juventus
              Pick: Genoa
              Odds: 3.20 Book : Expekt

              Gefle and Malmo are good teams even if not so good as far as defense concerns.
              Mjallby might win easy the game...but I hope only in the second half time.
              This bet has been put on for the odd.
              Genoa never lost an home game till now. They play a very offensive football and the Juventus defense is not so good.
              You are to consider that many midfields may not play this game.

              Start fisting fingers.

              by mats


              Comment
              • mats9863
                SBR Sharp
                • 09-22-09
                • 263

                #8
                I like to proceed in this way.

                Creating my own bankroll - the difference between bets won and lost

                ones - assuming that any prediction is played in constant figure.

                Could you be agree?

                Summarizing up for today picks , I got (2.05+2.15) -3.20 =1.00 unit

                won.

                This would be my bankroll.... any suggestion welcomed

                Bankroll =1
                Comment
                • Mriswith
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 03-20-09
                  • 76

                  #9
                  Originally posted by mats9863
                  I like to proceed in this way.

                  Creating my own bankroll - the difference between bets won and lost

                  ones - assuming that any prediction is played in constant figure.

                  Could you be agree?

                  Summarizing up for today picks , I got (2.05+2.15) -3.20 =1.00 unit

                  won.

                  This would be my bankroll.... any suggestion welcomed

                  Bankroll =1
                  gratz to a positive day !

                  Of course you're free to keep your record as you want, usually it's done like this ( assuming the same amount, like 1 unit, is placed on each bet / prediction ) :

                  bet 1 : 1u @ 2.05 won = 2.05 units, +1.05 unit
                  bet 2 : 1u @ 2.15 won = 2,15 u, + 1.15 u
                  bet 3 : 1u @ 3.20 lost = 0 u, - 1 u

                  So your record today would be : W(in) 2 - L(oss) 1 - P(ush) 0 for +1.15 u

                  bol further on,
                  Mris
                  Comment
                  • Hybris
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-22-09
                    • 1023

                    #10
                    Nice work here
                    Comment
                    • cro
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-16-09
                      • 1088

                      #11
                      just use your spreadsheet

                      Comment
                      • moto_noob
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 09-14-09
                        • 81

                        #12
                        yea, also think a win/loss/push tracking would be better. because if u win 1 unit and win a -3 unit. thats -2. doesn't sound to good lol
                        Comment
                        • mats9863
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 09-22-09
                          • 263

                          #13
                          First let me be thankful to you all. I tried the spreadsheet but I am not able to manage it .I'll upgrade my results as Mriswith suggested to me later.
                          Go for betting now.

                          1) France, Ligue2 @ 20.00 cet

                          GUINGAMP - BASTIA
                          Pick: DRAW Stake:6
                          Odd: 3.30 Book: Expekt

                          Together with Caen, Guingamp has the best defense this season. Only 1 goal conceded at home so far, while Bastia haven't scored yet on the road.



                          2) German Bundesliga 2, 18.00 cet
                          Rot Weis Oberhausen - MSV Duisburg
                          Pick: 2 Odds: 2,40 Bookie: Expekt



                          RWO is a medicore club of Bundesliga 2. In their last game, they were crushed in the cup by a mostly B-Team of Bayern München 5:0. Their moral will surely be down. Many players are injured (Semmler, Borutzki, Reichert, Ulster, Kruse, Luz, Tulberg).
                          Duisburg should be one of the candiates for relegation to Bundesliga 1 next season.





                          3)France, Ligue2 @ 20.00 cet

                          CLERMONT(- 1) - ANGERS
                          Pick :1 Stake: 5
                          Odd: 4.35 Book: Expekt


                          This is a comfortable bet for this round imho.
                          The home side is stabilizing lately and seems to find the base to build on.Their home win against Strasbourg will at least give confidence to the team and i believe they have quite sharp players, good enough to "open" a balanced and good defending Angers.
                          GL










                          Comment
                          • Hybris
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-22-09
                            • 1023

                            #14
                            Best of luck today, I like the Clermont pick. What do you think about AH under 2.25 goals in the GUINGAMP - BASTIA match?
                            Comment
                            • mats9863
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 09-22-09
                              • 263

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Hybris
                              Best of luck today, I like the Clermont pick. What do you think about AH under 2.25 goals in the GUINGAMP - BASTIA match?
                              Really I betted on the right final result 1-0 more.
                              Yeah it's an Under 2.5 match definitely.
                              Comment
                              • mats9863
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 09-22-09
                                • 263

                                #16
                                Yesterday I gained :

                                "bet 1 : 1u @ 2.05 won = 2.05 units, +1.05 unit
                                bet 2 : 1u @ 2.15 won = 2,15 u, + 1.15 u
                                bet 3 : 1u @ 3.20 lost = 0 u, - 1 u

                                So your record today would be : W(in) 2 - L(oss) 1 - P(ush) 0 for +1.20 u"

                                Today I got :

                                bet 1 : 1u @ 3.30 won = 3.30 units, +2.30 unit
                                bet 2 : 1u @ 2.40 lost = 0 u, - 1 u
                                bet 3 : 1u @ 4.35 lost = 0 u, - 1 u

                                So that it would be

                                W(1) L(2) P(0) for 0.30 unit

                                Actually my record is :

                                W(3) L(3) P(0) for 1.50 units.

                                Is it right?

                                Let me help me out of this issue.....pls
                                Comment
                                • cro
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-16-09
                                  • 1088

                                  #17
                                  just use your spread sheet
                                  Comment
                                  • mats9863
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 09-22-09
                                    • 263

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by cro
                                    just use your spread sheet
                                    Teach it to me please. It' s based on NFL betting.
                                    What must I do for putting in my soccer bets?
                                    I recognize it useful
                                    Comment
                                    • cro
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-16-09
                                      • 1088

                                      #19
                                      look at mine


                                      you can change it to soccer just click the little arrow where it says nfl

                                      the only problem is you have to use american odds, if thats too hard dont worry about using the spreadsheet
                                      Comment
                                      • TurkzZ
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-07-09
                                        • 4095

                                        #20
                                        We look forward to your play
                                        Forward points to Karayilan, i am unable to receive SBR points
                                        Comment
                                        • mats9863
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 09-22-09
                                          • 263

                                          #21
                                          Thank cro.
                                          I 'll use it.
                                          No problem for american odds form.
                                          Thank again!
                                          Comment
                                          • mats9863
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 09-22-09
                                            • 263

                                            #22
                                            ITALIAN B SERIES

                                            Padova - Gallipoli
                                            Pick:Over 2.5 Stake:6
                                            Odd:2.15 Book: Expekt

                                            Coming from the first win of the season , I hope all the Gallipoli players tough motivated not in failure.

                                            Empoli - Cittadella
                                            Pick : DRAW HT Stake: 5
                                            Odd:2.00 Book:Expekt

                                            Till now Empoli won. Today they're facing a Cinderella like...with a good defense

                                            Lecce - Mantova
                                            Pick: Draw Stake:5
                                            Odd :3.20 Book : Expekt

                                            Lecce 's coming from an hard away win...so I think the players a bit tired.
                                            They don't use XANgo yet .

                                            by mats
                                            Comment
                                            • mats9863
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 09-22-09
                                              • 263

                                              #23
                                              I won only the second bet.

                                              So this is my upgraded record


                                              W(4) L(5) P(0) for 1.50 units.

                                              Comment
                                              • mats9863
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 09-22-09
                                                • 263

                                                #24
                                                I am trying to post on my spreadsheet by using of a converter

                                                http://mats9863.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet

                                                Tell me if they've been posted rightly.

                                                Thank in advance
                                                Comment
                                                • mats9863
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 09-22-09
                                                  • 263

                                                  #25
                                                  I've just posted my picks on :



                                                  They are concerning Brasilian League and starting at 23.30 cet.

                                                  Yesterday I lost both my picks :

                                                  W(4) L(7) P(0)

                                                  GL
                                                  by mats9863
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mats9863
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 09-22-09
                                                    • 263

                                                    #26
                                                    Some details on my choices:

                                                    1) Atletico -** - Santos :
                                                    Undoubtely two good teams .
                                                    I think the home team could keep the draw at least for the first half time.
                                                    They got 75% draws as they play at home... everyone knows what soccer is for brazilians :-)

                                                    2) Sporting Recife - S. Andre' :
                                                    Two bad teams in defense and offense both.
                                                    Home team is coming from two draws...it's time to win

                                                    3) Botafogo -Vitoria -
                                                    It's a common match between a good team and a medium one.
                                                    They might conclude often by one or two goals only.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • cro
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-16-09
                                                      • 1088

                                                      #27
                                                      i picked botafogo over 2.5
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mats9863
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 09-22-09
                                                        • 263

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by cro
                                                        i picked botafogo over 2.5
                                                        You won cro.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • cro
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-16-09
                                                          • 1088

                                                          #29
                                                          yeh a bit lucky
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mats9863
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 09-22-09
                                                            • 263

                                                            #30
                                                            My upgraded record is :

                                                            W(5) L(9) P(0)

                                                            Comment
                                                            • mats9863
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 09-22-09
                                                              • 263

                                                              #31
                                                              Just posted on my spreadsheet

                                                              http://mats9863.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet

                                                              Come see

                                                              GL
                                                              Comment
                                                              • mats9863
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 09-22-09
                                                                • 263

                                                                #32
                                                                1 win out of 3.
                                                                Really I missed the Ancona Over for a goals...a bit unlucky.
                                                                I won't claim
                                                                So upgrading:
                                                                W(6) L(12) P(0)
                                                                All details on my spreadsheet.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • cro
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-16-09
                                                                  • 1088

                                                                  #33
                                                                  you playing any champions league games?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • mats9863
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 09-22-09
                                                                    • 263

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Basically championship matches are very different from League matches as far as for motivations, money and so on.
                                                                    I'm expecting AZ Alkmaar to win.
                                                                    They're been struggling at Netherlands League.
                                                                    Liverpool doesn't play an easy game in Florence.
                                                                    No problem for O.Lyonnais to win imho.

                                                                    I played Asian Handicap.

                                                                    These are my details

                                                                    http://mats9863.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mats9863
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 09-22-09
                                                                      • 263

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Yes I did.
                                                                      Comment
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