Max Soccer Handicapping Thread

[mats9863]

I am creating this new thread whose goal is to make you informed on the italian and

european soccer news.

I recognize isn't a very popular sport in USA.

Indeed I saw and appreciated that European famous teams are well-known

here.

So I'll post my picks and invite everyone to give me suggestions.

[RoagBettor]

Welcome! Looking forward to your picks and insight.

[Hybris]

Welcome, I think you will enjoy this part of the forum.

[mats9863]

Thank you all for welcoming.

About my picks posted in Karayilan thread :

I won Atalanta draw (Odd: 2.00) and lost the Bari Over( Odd: 2.05).

[ZXCVBNM]

Welcome

[kmarinouofm]

we look forward to reading your news.. thanks again.. and welcome to the SBR soccer forum..

[mats9863]

Sweden Allsvanskan, 20.00 cet

Gefle - Malmo
Pick: Over 2.5
Odds: 2.05 Book: Expekt


Sweden Superettan, 19.15cet
Mjallby - Landskrona BOIS
Pick: X Half time
Odds: 2.15 Book: Expekt

Football - Italian Serie A, 20:45cet
Genoa - Juventus
Pick: Genoa
Odds: 3.20 Book : Expekt

Gefle and Malmo are good teams even if not so good as far as defense concerns.
Mjallby might win easy the game...but I hope only in the second half time.
This bet has been put on for the odd.
Genoa never lost an home game till now. They play a very offensive football and the Juventus defense is not so good.
You are to consider that many midfields may not play this game.

Start fisting fingers.

by mats

[mats9863]

I like to proceed in this way.

Creating my own bankroll - the difference between bets won and lost

ones - assuming that any prediction is played in constant figure.

Could you be agree?

Summarizing up for today picks , I got (2.05+2.15) -3.20 =1.00 unit

won.

This would be my bankroll.... any suggestion welcomed

Bankroll =1

[Mriswith]

I like to proceed in this way.

Creating my own bankroll - the difference between bets won and lost

ones - assuming that any prediction is played in constant figure.

Could you be agree?

Summarizing up for today picks , I got (2.05+2.15) -3.20 =1.00 unit

won.

This would be my bankroll.... any suggestion welcomed

Bankroll =1

gratz to a positive day !

Of course you're free to keep your record as you want, usually it's done like this ( assuming the same amount, like 1 unit, is placed on each bet / prediction ) :

bet 1 : 1u @ 2.05 won = 2.05 units, +1.05 unit
bet 2 : 1u @ 2.15 won = 2,15 u, + 1.15 u
bet 3 : 1u @ 3.20 lost = 0 u, - 1 u

So your record today would be : W(in) 2 - L(oss) 1 - P(ush) 0 for +1.15 u

bol further on,
Mris

[Hybris]

Nice work here

[cro]

just use your spreadsheet

http://mats9863.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

[moto_noob]

yea, also think a win/loss/push tracking would be better. because if u win 1 unit and win a -3 unit. thats -2. doesn't sound to good lol

[mats9863]

First let me be thankful to you all. I tried the spreadsheet but I am not able to manage it .I'll upgrade my results as Mriswith suggested to me later.
Go for betting now.

1) France, Ligue2 @ 20.00 cet

GUINGAMP - BASTIA
Pick: DRAW Stake:6
Odd: 3.30 Book: Expekt

Together with Caen, Guingamp has the best defense this season. Only 1 goal conceded at home so far, while Bastia haven't scored yet on the road.



2) German Bundesliga 2, 18.00 cet
Rot Weis Oberhausen - MSV Duisburg
Pick: 2 Odds: 2,40 Bookie: Expekt


RWO is a medicore club of Bundesliga 2. In their last game, they were crushed in the cup by a mostly B-Team of Bayern München 5:0. Their moral will surely be down. Many players are injured (Semmler, Borutzki, Reichert, Ulster, Kruse, Luz, Tulberg).
Duisburg should be one of the candiates for relegation to Bundesliga 1 next season.




3)France, Ligue2 @ 20.00 cet

CLERMONT(- 1) - ANGERS
Pick :1 Stake: 5
Odd: 4.35 Book: Expekt


This is a comfortable bet for this round imho.
The home side is stabilizing lately and seems to find the base to build on.Their home win against Strasbourg will at least give confidence to the team and i believe they have quite sharp players, good enough to "open" a balanced and good defending Angers.
GL

[Hybris]

Best of luck today, I like the Clermont pick. What do you think about AH under 2.25 goals in the GUINGAMP - BASTIA match?

[mats9863]

Best of luck today, I like the Clermont pick. What do you think about AH under 2.25 goals in the GUINGAMP - BASTIA match?

Really I betted on the right final result 1-0 more.
Yeah it's an Under 2.5 match definitely.

[mats9863]

Yesterday I gained :

"bet 1 : 1u @ 2.05 won = 2.05 units, +1.05 unit
bet 2 : 1u @ 2.15 won = 2,15 u, + 1.15 u
bet 3 : 1u @ 3.20 lost = 0 u, - 1 u

So your record today would be : W(in) 2 - L(oss) 1 - P(ush) 0 for +1.20 u"

Today I got :

bet 1 : 1u @ 3.30 won = 3.30 units, +2.30 unit
bet 2 : 1u @ 2.40 lost = 0 u, - 1 u
bet 3 : 1u @ 4.35 lost = 0 u, - 1 u

So that it would be

W(1) L(2) P(0) for 0.30 unit

Actually my record is :

W(3) L(3) P(0) for 1.50 units.

Is it right?

Let me help me out of this issue.....pls

[cro]

just use your spread sheet

[mats9863]

just use your spread sheet

Teach it to me please. It' s based on NFL betting.
What must I do for putting in my soccer bets?
I recognize it useful

[cro]

look at mine

http://cro.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

you can change it to soccer just click the little arrow where it says nfl

the only problem is you have to use american odds, if thats too hard dont worry about using the spreadsheet

[TurkzZ]

We look forward to your play

[mats9863]

Thank cro.
I 'll use it.
No problem for american odds form.
Thank again!

[mats9863]

ITALIAN B SERIES

Padova - Gallipoli
Pick:Over 2.5 Stake:6
Odd:2.15 Book: Expekt

Coming from the first win of the season , I hope all the Gallipoli players tough motivated not in failure.

Empoli - Cittadella
Pick : DRAW HT Stake: 5
Odd:2.00 Book:Expekt

Till now Empoli won. Today they're facing a Cinderella like...with a good defense

Lecce - Mantova
Pick: Draw Stake:5
Odd :3.20 Book : Expekt

Lecce 's coming from an hard away win...so I think the players a bit tired.
They don't use XANgo yet .

by mats

[mats9863]

I won only the second bet.

So this is my upgraded record


W(4) L(5) P(0) for 1.50 units.

[mats9863]

I am trying to post on my spreadsheet by using of a converter

http://mats9863.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet

Tell me if they've been posted rightly.

Thank in advance

[mats9863]

I've just posted my picks on :

http://mats9863.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet

They are concerning Brasilian League and starting at 23.30 cet.

Yesterday I lost both my picks :

W(4) L(7) P(0)

GL
by mats9863

[mats9863]

Some details on my choices:

1) Atletico -** - Santos :
Undoubtely two good teams .
I think the home team could keep the draw at least for the first half time.
They got 75% draws as they play at home... everyone knows what soccer is for brazilians :-)

2) Sporting Recife - S. Andre' :
Two bad teams in defense and offense both.
Home team is coming from two draws...it's time to win

3) Botafogo -Vitoria -
It's a common match between a good team and a medium one.
They might conclude often by one or two goals only.

[cro]

i picked botafogo over 2.5

[mats9863]

i picked botafogo over 2.5

You won cro.

[cro]

yeh a bit lucky

[mats9863]

My upgraded record is :

W(5) L(9) P(0)

[mats9863]

Just posted on my spreadsheet

http://mats9863.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet

Come see

GL

[mats9863]

1 win out of 3.
Really I missed the Ancona Over for a goals...a bit unlucky.
I won't claim
So upgrading:
W(6) L(12) P(0)
All details on my spreadsheet.

[cro]

you playing any champions league games?

[mats9863]

Basically championship matches are very different from League matches as far as for motivations, money and so on.
I'm expecting AZ Alkmaar to win.
They're been struggling at Netherlands League.
Liverpool doesn't play an easy game in Florence.
No problem for O.Lyonnais to win imho.

I played Asian Handicap.

These are my details

http://mats9863.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet

[mats9863]

Yes I did.