2018-19 EPL, Ligue 1, Serie A , Bundesliga & La Liga Picks

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  • DiamondJack
    SBR MVP
    • 11-13-14
    • 3942

    #106
    FRI SEP 28th Ligue 1

    85. St Etienne ML @ 2.06/+106 (Marathon) 3 Units


    No team has cost me more than Monaco this season so I'm fading them today especially with a Champions League meeting they have coming up next. Monaco are winless in their past 7 and sit 18th in the table. The home side St Etienne are in 6th spot and have won their last 2 games.
    Comment
    • -FlawlessKid
      SBR High Roller
      • 06-14-15
      • 151

      #107
      Originally posted by DiamondJack
      FRI SEP 28th Ligue 1

      85. St Etienne ML @ 2.06/+106 (Marathon) 3 Units


      No team has cost me more than Monaco this season so I'm fading them today especially with a Champions League meeting they have coming up next. Monaco are winless in their past 7 and sit 18th in the table. The home side St Etienne are in 6th spot and have won their last 2 games.
      Same goes for me, I'm also fading them now. But it's almost that you know they will show up the one time you don't need them to. GL DJ, like your thread. Keep it up.
      Comment
      • DiamondJack
        SBR MVP
        • 11-13-14
        • 3942

        #108
        SAT SEP 29th EPL

        86. West Ham +0.5 @ 2.10/+110 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit


        Man U has been suspect this season in league action + they have a champions league game coming up versus Valencia on Tuesday. The home side west Hame are unbeaten in the past 3 V Everton away Chelsea at home plus an 8-0 destruction of Macclesfield Town in the league cup pplay mid week. Man U lost to Derby mid week at home & prior to that only managed a draw at home to Wolves. Backing the hammers at a very nice price.
        Comment
        • DiamondJack
          SBR MVP
          • 11-13-14
          • 3942

          #109
          SAT SEP 29th Bundesliga

          Werder Bremen ML @ 2.64/+164 (Pinnacle) 2 Units


          I have to back the in form away side in this matchup. Stuttgart are second last in the table without a win this season facing 4th in the table and undefeated so far this season Bremen. I had the match pegged at 2.00/+100 for the away side so any price better than plus money is value in my books.
          Comment
          • DiamondJack
            SBR MVP
            • 11-13-14
            • 3942

            #110
            SAT SEP 29th Bundesliga

            88. Wolfsburg ML @ 2.38/+138 (Marathon) 2 Units


            I do not see Wolfsburg dropping back to back home games aspecially to a team that has yet to win away this season. The last time Borussia played in Wolfburg last season they lost 3-0. I see the odds here as value to back the better home side.
            Comment
            • DiamondJack
              SBR MVP
              • 11-13-14
              • 3942

              #111
              SAT SEP 29th Bundesliga

              89. Nurnberg ML @ 2.29/+129 (Piunnacle) 2 Units


              I was waiting to see the lineups before I put anything on this game. The visitors are dessimated with injuries with Contento, Fink, Froese, Wiesner, Barkok,Hoffann and Raman all out and injured. It looks like a 4-5-1 formation that Dusseldorf will emloy which is odd as they usually do not play with a single man up on top. I think Nurnberg will take advantage.
              Comment
              • DiamondJack
                SBR MVP
                • 11-13-14
                • 3942

                #112
                SAT SEP 29th Ligue 1

                90. Angers ML @ 2.01/+101 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit


                I am fading the away side Guingamp who are bottom of the table winless this season with only a single point. They have the worst goal differential of -13 in the league. Angers are coming off a mid week victory away to Monaco and have an extra day of rest as Guigamp just played on Wednesday. Even money seems like a gift for a team that is undefeated in the past 4 only allowed 1 goal against.
                Comment
                • boss_of_um
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-18-11
                  • 1092

                  #113
                  Originally posted by DiamondJack
                  SAT SEP 29th EPL

                  86. West Ham +0.5 @ 2.10/+110 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit


                  Man U has been suspect this season in league action + they have a champions league game coming up versus Valencia on Tuesday. The home side west Hame are unbeaten in the past 3 V Everton away Chelsea at home plus an 8-0 destruction of Macclesfield Town in the league cup pplay mid week. Man U lost to Derby mid week at home & prior to that only managed a draw at home to Wolves. Backing the hammers at a very nice price.
                  Thanks for helping me finish this off DJ

                  $35.00 $343.91 $378.91 Win 3 Team Parlay
                  Win 9/28/18 8:30pm Brazil Soccer 1504 Draw (Guarani de Campinas (BRA-B) vs Vila Nova GO (BRA-B)) +199* vs Guarani de Campinas (BRA-B)
                  9/28/18 10:53pm Win 9/28/18 9:00pm College Football 108 Colorado 2nd Half Over 16½ -135* vs UCLA
                  9/28/18 11:57pm Win 9/29/18 7:30am England Soccer 2 West Ham (ENG-P) +½ +108* vs Manchester Utd (ENG-P)
                  Comment
                  • DiamondJack
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-13-14
                    • 3942

                    #114
                    SUN Sep 30th La Liga

                    91. Villareal -1 @ 1.95/-105 (Pinnacle) 2 Units


                    A pure numbers play for me. Transfer Value 196 million to 31. 7-3 in Senior & Youth Internationals on squad. Elo Rank 1753 - 1628. Form wise the Home side 4 games unbeaten where as Valladolid only 1 win in the past 7 games. I also like the extra day of rest that Villareal have.
                    Comment
                    • DiamondJack
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-13-14
                      • 3942

                      #115
                      SUN Sep 30th EPL

                      92. Cardiff/Burnley to DRAW @ 3.10/+210 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit


                      We have only had 1 draw this round in the EPL and this is another contender for a level result. Both sides are struggling to start the season Cardiff in 19th hosting Burnley in 17th spot in the table. Head to head 4 of the past 5 meetings ended level.
                      Comment
                      • DiamondJack
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-13-14
                        • 3942

                        #116
                        SUN Sep 30th La Liga

                        93. Real Betis -1 @ 2.33/+133 (5Dimes) 3 Units


                        Leganes are dead last in the table and getting too much love just because they beat Barcelona last time out at home. Leganes are also missing 2 left wingers Arnaiz & Szymanowski as well as CB Siovas. I like Betis to win at home where they only lost twice in the past 15 games.
                        Comment
                        • DiamondJack
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-13-14
                          • 3942

                          #117
                          MON OCT 1st EPL

                          94. Bournemouth to DRAW @ 3.52/+252 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit


                          Only 20% of matches in the EPL have ended level this season, typically we see 27%. on average. We have also only had 1 draw this round in the EPL and this is another contender for a level result. I also like the odds as 3.10/+210 would have been fair value.
                          Comment
                          • DiamondJack
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-13-14
                            • 3942

                            #118
                            FRI OCT 5th EPL

                            95. Brighton to DRAW @ 3.36/+236 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit


                            I'm still expecting a return to the mean as last season 26% of games ended level in the EPL compared to 20% so far this season.I think we are going to see a bunch of draws this round as there are plenty of close games on tap. The first one of which being Brighton 15th in the table -5 GD hosting 14th in the table -4 GD West Ham.
                            Comment
                            • DiamondJack
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-13-14
                              • 3942

                              #119
                              FRI OCT 5th La Liga

                              96. Athletic Club OVER 2.5 @ 2.22/+122 (Pinnacle) 2 Units


                              La Liga averaged 2.69 goals per game last season & 2.94 gpg. the season before that. This season it averages 2.51. The two teams in this match up average 3.00 for the home side and 2.71 for the visitors. Form wise both have had 3 of their past 5 go over. The other reason I like the total to go over here is because of who is missing. Diego Llorente arguably Real Sociedads best Defender & Martinez also Athletics best defender. Lets add to that 1st choice keeper for Bilbao is injured as well as another star defender Theo Hernandez for Real Sociedad
                              Comment
                              • DiamondJack
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-13-14
                                • 3942

                                #120
                                SAT OCT 6th

                                97. Crystal Palace to DRAW @ 3.22/+222 (EPL) Pinny 2 Units

                                98. Burnley ML @ 2.15/+115 (EPL) Pinny 2 Units

                                99. Watford ML @ 2.12/+112 (EPL) Marathon 2 Units
                                100. Hannover ML @ 2.50/+150 (GER) Bet365 2 Units
                                101. Roma -1 @ 2.21/+121 (ITA) Marathon 1 Unit
                                102. Getafe -1 @ 2.33/+133 (SPA) Marathon 2 Units


                                I have been having internet problems today as my signal keeps dropping so no time for any write ups until my provider fixes the issue. Good Luck
                                Comment
                                • DiamondJack
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-13-14
                                  • 3942

                                  #121
                                  FRI OCT 19th Bundesliga

                                  103. Eintracht Frankfurt -1 @ 2.33/+133 (5Dimes) 1 Unit

                                  The home side Frankfurt have won 3 in a row scoring 10 GF while the away side Dusseldorf have lost 3 in a row while managing to score only one goal. The last head to head meeting between them Frankfurt won 3-1. Frankfurt sit in 7th spot in the table where as Dusseldorf are second last. All the numbers point to a decisive home win.
                                  Comment
                                  • DiamondJack
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-13-14
                                    • 3942

                                    #122
                                    SAT OCT 20th EPL

                                    104. Bournemouth ML @ 2.08/+108 (5Dimes) 2 Units

                                    Bournemouth have had a great start to the season sitting in 6th spot with 16 points. The visiting Saints are in 16th spot on only 5 points. Southampton have lost 2 straight lague games and have failed to score a single goal. Bournemouth at home have not lost since April to Man U. I have to back the home side in form at plus money.
                                    Comment
                                    • DiamondJack
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-13-14
                                      • 3942

                                      #123
                                      SAT OCT 20th EPL

                                      105. Cardiff/Fulham to DRAW @ 3.50/+250 (Marathon) 1 Unit

                                      Great value here between 2 struggling sides as 20th hosts 17th in the table. Out of the past 5 head to head meetings 3 have ended level and with the EPL still only at 20% for draws this season I'm backing this matchup as the most likely to end tied.
                                      Comment
                                      • DiamondJack
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-13-14
                                        • 3942

                                        #124
                                        SAT OCT 20th Bundesliga

                                        106. Nurnberg +0.5 @ 2.04/+104 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit


                                        I don't get the love for the visitors Hoffenheim here in this encounter. Hoffenhiem have lost 3 straight at home and sit in 13th place in the table. They also have a Champions league matchup coming up midweek where they need a result versus Lyon. The home side Nurnberg have won 3 of their past 5 and are in 12th place. The last head to head meeting Nurnberg won 4-0. This could easily end up as a draw as well so good value on the double chance.
                                        Comment
                                        • DiamondJack
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-13-14
                                          • 3942

                                          #125
                                          SAT OCT 20th Bundesliga

                                          107. Leipzig ML @ 2.27/+127 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit


                                          I'm liking the visitors here to get a win versus a wounded home side. Augsburg have only won 1 out of their last five games and will be missing key attackers Gregoritch, Schieber, Koo and Ji Dong-won. That leaves Finnbogson by himself to try to get any goals. Leipzig have won 4 in a row coming into his game and sit in 2nd spot in the Bundesliga.
                                          Comment
                                          • DiamondJack
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-13-14
                                            • 3942

                                            #126
                                            SAT OCT 20th La Liga

                                            108. Valencia -1 @ 2.00/+100 (Bet365) 2 Units


                                            The away side Leganes have lost all 4 of their away games and sit in a relegation spot (18th) in the table. Valencia have only lost 2 games in all competitions this season. Head to head Valencia have won all 6 meetings.The last time Leganes played in Valencia they lost 3-0 and I'm expecting a similar result.
                                            Comment
                                            • DiamondJack
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-13-14
                                              • 3942

                                              #127
                                              SUN OCT 21th Ligue 1

                                              109. Saint Etienne ML @ 2.22/+122 (Marathon) 1 Unit
                                              110. Saint Etienne OVER 2.5 @ 2.09/+109 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit



                                              Saint Etienne are in 5tth spot in the table with a 4W 1D home record. The visitors are in 11th spot and have a 1W 6L 2D away record this season. Both sides have had 4 of their past 6 games end over 2.5 goals and average a combined 2.73 goals per game this season. The last meeting in Saint Etienne ended 2-2. I'm expecting a 2-1 result so to have both wagers at pls money even if one hits I see a profit.
                                              Comment
                                              • DiamondJack
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-13-14
                                                • 3942

                                                #128
                                                SUN OCT 21th Bundesliga

                                                111. Hertha Berlin ML @ 1.88/-113 (Marathon) 2 Units
                                                112. Hertha Berlin OVER 2.5 @ 2.16/+116 (Marathon) 2 Units



                                                Another instance of 5th place hosting 11th place. The visitors Freiburg have only won 1 league game away from home since X-Mas of 2017. Hertha Berlin have won 6 straight home games. Freiburg are also missing 8 players to injury that is a quarter of their squad. Both sides have had 3 of their last 5 games go over 2.5 goals and average a combined 2.93 goals per game
                                                Comment
                                                • DiamondJack
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-13-14
                                                  • 3942

                                                  #129
                                                  SUN OCT 21th Serie A

                                                  113. Frosinone to DRAW @ 3.26/+226 (Marathon) 1 Unit
                                                  114. Bologna to DRAW @ 3.32/+232 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit
                                                  115. Inter Milan to DRAW @ 3.41/+241 (5Dimes) 1 Unit



                                                  We have gone 20 straight league games without a draw in Italy dropping the average to 18% for the season. Out of Sundays card these 3 matches present the most likely to end level anything from a derby in Milan where 4 of the past 5 have ended level to a bottom of the table battle between Chievo and Atalanta. 1 hit equals a profit so hoping for 2
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DiamondJack
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-13-14
                                                    • 3942

                                                    #130
                                                    SUN OCT 21th Serie A

                                                    116. Chievo +0.5 @ 2.42/+142 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit


                                                    Both of these teams pretty much suck. last season in Chievo they drew 1-1. Atalanta is in 17th spot and Chievo are in 20th. I figure home advantage is worth a draw as Chievo in the last 20 home games 5W 6D 8L. Atalanta since April have 1 away win. Doublr Chance would have been fairly prized at even money so its worth a punt at these odds.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DiamondJack
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-13-14
                                                      • 3942

                                                      #131
                                                      MON OCT 22nd Serie A

                                                      117. Sampdoria ML @ 2.20/+120 (Bet365) 2 Units


                                                      Lets look at the numbers here, we have 5th spot Sampdoria with a +8 goal differential and the best defense in the league with only 4 GA hosting 8th place Sassuolo with a +1 goal differential and the 3rd worse defense in the league with 14 GA. Form wise we have the home side with back to back wins and the away side with back to back losses. Elo rank 1646-1624, Transfer value of 165-132 & S&Y internationals 16-14. On top of all this the books are giving me plus money...SOLD.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DiamondJack
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-13-14
                                                        • 3942

                                                        #132
                                                        SAT OCT 27th La Liga & Bundesliga

                                                        118. Celta Vigo ML @ 2.22/+122 (Marathon) 2 Units
                                                        119. Levante ML @ 2.22/+122 (Marathon) 2 Units
                                                        120. Levante OVER 2.5 @ 2.10/+110 (Marathon) 1 Unit
                                                        121. Mainz UNDER 3 @ 2.05/+105 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DiamondJack
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-13-14
                                                          • 3942

                                                          #133
                                                          SUN OCT 28th Serie A

                                                          122. Sassuolo ML @ 1.91/-110 (WillHill) 2 Units
                                                          123. Genoa ML @ 2.11/+111 (5Dimes) 2 Units
                                                          Comment
                                                          • KBCS
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 09-12-18
                                                            • 2

                                                            #134
                                                            Hello DJ,

                                                            What's your one unit bro?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • DiamondJack
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-13-14
                                                              • 3942

                                                              #135
                                                              SAT NOV 3rd Bundesliga & EPL

                                                              124. Cardiff/Leicester OVER 2.5 @ 2.09/+109 (Marathon) 2 Units

                                                              125. West Ham/Burnley OVER 2.5 @ 2.02/+102 (Marathon) 2 Units

                                                              126. Hertha Berlin +0.25 @ 1.97/-103 (Pinnacle) 3 Units
                                                              Comment
                                                              • DiamondJack
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-13-14
                                                                • 3942

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by KBCS
                                                                Hello DJ,

                                                                What's your one unit bro?
                                                                100$
                                                                Comment
                                                                • franz555
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-13-14
                                                                  • 10522

                                                                  #137
                                                                  BOL Tomorrow DJ

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • DiamondJack
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-13-14
                                                                    • 3942

                                                                    #138
                                                                    SUN NOV 4th Ligue 1

                                                                    127. Montpellier/Marseille to DRAW @ 3.30/+230 (Marathon)
                                                                    128. Montpellier UNDER 1.5 @ 3.40/+240 (Bet365)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DiamondJack
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-13-14
                                                                      • 3942

                                                                      #139
                                                                      FRI NOV 9th La liga

                                                                      129. Levante ML @ 2.75/+175 (SPA) 2 Units
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • DiamondJack
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-13-14
                                                                        • 3942

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Hey Sorry Guys It is my Birthday today and I had no time to post.

                                                                        Hoping for the best today. Much respect to all the veterans on this Remembrance Day.

                                                                        Peace Always

                                                                        SUN NOV 11th

                                                                        130. Bordeaux ML @ 1.88/-112 (FRA) 3 Units Marathon
                                                                        131. Nantes OVER 2.5 @ 2.14/+114 (FRA) 2 Units Pinnacle
                                                                        132. Bayer Leverkusen +0.5 @ 2.07/+107 (GER) 1 Unit Pinnacle
                                                                        133. Atalanta to DRAW @ 3.48/+248 (ITA) 2 Units Marathon
                                                                        134. Chievo to DRAW @ 3.17/+217 (ITA) 2 Units Pinnacle
                                                                        135. AC Milan OVER 2.5 @ 2.11/+111 (ITA) 1 Unit Pinnacle
                                                                        136. Alaves ML @ 1.88/-112 (SPA) 3 Units Pinnacle
                                                                        137. Real Madrid -1 @ 2.04/+104 (SPA) 1 Unit Marathon
                                                                        Comment
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