Well, sweden italy i was right but lost the bet
this match was obv wrong but a half win.
this match was obv wrong but a half win.
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and another late goal
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Regular Americans: this game will never take off. Everyone plays not to lose. Not enough action.
Gambling Americans: I hate this game, there is always a late goal (no goal despite five shots on goal and two deflected by a post / referee not giving a clear penalty kick / insert another reason to hate soccer here).Comment -
Hey guys, from now on i'm going to make my picks early because im sure most of the odds of these following bets will drop soon. Getting a better view of the tournament and confidence is growing with every day. So these are the bets i'll be playing the coming week:
Belgium - Ireland
Belgium -0.5 @ 1.85
2 units
After their (tactical) loss to Italy they need a win here against (on paper) the weakest team in the group. Belgium has enough quality for these odds to be valueable. I just hope the coach plays De Bruyne on 10 and Carrasco/Mertens on the right wing and all should be good. Immense difference in quality here. Belgium has top class players on 9/11 positions.
Iceland - Hungary
Under 2.00 @ 1.92
1 unit
Both teams now known for their creativity. Expecting a Northern Ireland - Ukraine kind of match with 2 goals as a max. Both came of a very good result against portugal/swiss. Point wouldn't be the worst scenario having in mind that Portugal is up against Switzerland.
France - Switzerland
Under 2 @ 2.03
2 units
A point would be perfect for both these teams. 1 point means France is #1 in the group. 1 point means Switzerland is 2nd in the group. If Romania would win vs Albania with 2-0 + Romania would be 2nd and Switzerland would be 3th. France might rest some players, they're not a goal machine so far this tournament. Switzerland decent all round team that doesn't concede a lot aswell. Might be looking at a "chess game draw" here.
Russia - Wales
Wales +0 @ 2.10
1 unit
So far im dissapointed with Russia and Suprised by Wales. Especially against Slovakia they seemed very poor. Team without colours. They need a desperate win or they're out. They will have to take initiative. Wales is in a pretty good position. 3 points just like slovakia who is playing england. Unless slovakia gets a win over England a draw is enough for wales. They can relax, lean back, hear what's happening on the other field and play what they do best, counter football. Russia will have to come so wales will get plenty of space for this and i rate wales higher this tournament than russia. Odds should be 1.8-1.9 DNB on wales imo.
England - Slovakia
Over 2.25 @ 1.98
2 units
Slovakia won't take the chance that russia defeats Wales. Slovakia needs to win against england here to end 2nd in this group. If they both get a point they are at the same GD (4:4) but Wales will have better head to head stats so they are 2nd and slovakia 3th. Slovakia will need to take risks. England knows that wales might just win against Russia, chance is very likely. If they want to win this group they need a win aswell. A point could be alright for them but they know slovakia will be pressing hard. Hope roy plays vardy up front with all the space slovakia will have to leave i can see this match go over. England is always good for offensive football.
Northern Ireland - Germany
Under 2.5 @ 2.10
2 units
Northern Ireland will want that point, if they don't get that point they will want to keep the damage minimal so they conted to be a top 3 country to go to the next round. GD for them now is 2:1. If you end at 3th with 3 points and a GD of 2:2 or 2:3 i reckon you have a pretty good spot to still make the knockout. N Ireland knows this aswell and they will fight this match for their lives. I expect them to start winning time from minute 1. Germany will be content with a small win. Poland is playing ukraine, don´t expect them to be a walkover. Poland looks good in the back this tourney but Milik and Lewandowski can´t impress me up front thus far.
Ukraine - Poland
Poland -0.5 @ 2.04
1 unit
Ukraine is a joke this tournament, absolute rubbish. Konoplyanka can't deliver, he's not a leader. 0 points and a GD 0:4 means they're already out. Poland can still win the group. 2.04 is a gift here and i'll take it.
Croatia - Spain
Spain -0.5 @ 2.31
1 unit
Croatia is actually not in a good spot here. Even tough they have 4 points they must be cautious. They can still win the group if they beat spain, but they can also still end 3th. Czech is playing Turkey, after what i've seen tonight Turkey seems like a team without a soul. They'll get butchered coming days by turkish press, im sure this will leave a mark. If czech beats turkey with 1:0 and Croatia loses to spain with 1:0 then it's a tie and i'm not sure what they'll do in that case. Both would be left with a GD of 3:3 and a H2H of 2-2. So croatia still has a lot to fight for. Spain knows a draw is enough for winning the group. But they also know that if they lose they'll go 2nd into the knockout stage. Spain has quality enough on the bench. Usually i would not take these odds but the main reason i took it is because today Luka Modric went off injured. Would be a huge blow to croatia if he does not make this match.
Czech - Turkey
Over 2.5 @ 2.00
1 unit
Do or die match for czech. They'll need a win to go trough as 2nd (thanks to spain) or as a best 3th so they'll come for the win. Turkey might want revenge, still a small chance they go trough if they win with 3-0+ so they'll play all guns blazing. Its over for these countries to play the heavy under.
After tomorrow i'll look at the tables for the 2 remaining groups and i'll be fast to place my bets for those matches aswell. really feel like i'm on the money here. Let me know what you guys think
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Best of luck 🍀Comment -
Surprised you're not on Portugal tomorrow over Austria -107
Portugal needs the win , they dominated first game just couldn't find the net
may go with Belgium tomorrow then if they win use profits on Portugal hmm, thoughts?Comment -
like the Belgium play , but all public do . is it dangerous ?
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Might be a option, still austria has a pretty good team, they were awfull against Bulgaria but that's just one match. Don't trust portugal that much. Last year they were also dissapointing. They're heavy dependant on ronaldo, who came out of the season injured. And now they play 3 matches in 1 week, i wonder if he can deliver.
I don't fade public bets, not on these kind of tournaments, see no reason why i shoud.Comment -
Belgium with the line-up i was hoping for. Marc Wilmots finally pulled his head out of his own ass and starts with De Bruyne on 10, Hazard as LW and Carrasco as RW. Dembele on midfield. Finally.Comment -
Thoughts on the total of 2.5 for the later game today jsnep? Portugal defense looked like a joke against IcelandComment -
Hmm not to sure about that, austria's defence also looked like a joke but a point isn't that bad for austria. Gives them the last match against iceland to go trough. Portugal isn't the kind of team that punishes a opponent. Usually when they're 1-0 up they slow down the pace of the match and start to win time. They are really a 1-0 kind of team.
Wouldn't suggest to play the over. Portugal won't come out guns blazing.
Belgium - Ireland
Belgium -0.5 @ 1.85
2 units
After their (tactical) loss to Italy they need a win here against (on paper) the weakest team in the group. Belgium has enough quality for these odds to be valueable. I just hope the coach plays De Bruyne on 10 and Carrasco/Mertens on the right wing and all should be good. Immense difference in quality here. Belgium has top class players on 9/11 positions.
Get in! Good performance by belgium, extremely generous odds.Comment -
YTD 15 - 11 +4.59 Units (€1148)Comment -
Look like another winner cheers
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Beauty call on the Belgians!Comment -
Waiting for the victory gif...Comment -
Unlucky void! Own goal in the 88th minuteIceland - Hungary
Under 2.00 @ 1.92
1 unit
Both teams now known for their creativity. Expecting a Northern Ireland - Ukraine kind of match with 2 goals as a max. Both came of a very good result against portugal/swiss. Point wouldn't be the worst scenario having in mind that Portugal is up against Switzerland
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Today match SWISS - FRANCE ...
There is big chance of scam of match 1-1 result... So that bet will splitted... maybe insurence on X or u2.5?Comment -
Was very unlucky indeed, portugal dominated entire match. 2 balls on the post and a offside goal.
I don't believe in "fix" scenarios by the bookies when the players make this much money. Who can possibly bribe players like pogba payet etc? Those guys make to much money to be bought. The under 2 went from 2.03 to 1.92. I expect more people to jump on the under as soon as they understand a draw is a good result for both teams and france will rest some players. So there's no need to stress this, we are in a very good place.Comment -
Also if anyone is interested:
My formula 1 topic.Comment -
France - Switzerland draw is at 2.87 now. People expecting a draw, Under 2 also dropped from 2.04 to 1.86Comment -
Hmm, teams did not play for a draw first 15 minutes, after that pace went down. Good news is that albania has taken the lead so there's no more worries for switzerland that romania would beat them on GD. Expect 2nd half to be a lot lower pace especially because switzerland hear a draw is enough at Half Time.Comment -
and yet another game with a shot right off the post for france...
man i cannot catch a break out here with this euro tourney , some of the worst breaks ive had
might just have to start blindly tailing you for the rest of this tournament lmao
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Get in guys! Another win!France - Switzerland
Under 2 @ 2.03
2 units
A point would be perfect for both these teams. 1 point means France is #1 in the group. 1 point means Switzerland is 2nd in the group. If Romania would win vs Albania with 2-0 + Romania would be 2nd and Switzerland would be 3th. France might rest some players, they're not a goal machine so far this tournament. Switzerland decent all round team that doesn't concede a lot aswell. Might be looking at a "chess game draw" here.
YTD 16 - 11 +6.65
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thoughts on england over slovakia tomorrow?Comment -
posted this Some days ago. Still stand behind itland - Slovakia
Over 2.25 @ 1.98
2 units
Slovakia won't take the chance that russia defeats Wales. Slovakia needs to win against england here to end 2nd in this group. If they both get a point they are at the same GD (4:4) but Wales will have better head to head stats so they are 2nd and slovakia 3th. Slovakia will need to take risks. England knows that wales might just win against Russia, chance is very likely. If they want to win this group they need a win aswell. A point could be alright for them but they know slovakia will be pressing hard. Hope roy plays vardy up front with all the space slovakia will have to leave i can see this match go over. England is always good for offensive football.
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i meant straight up moneyline was , im leaning england i see them winning 2-1 here
theyre at -120 i like the price to but ive been terrible all tourney so that doesnt mean much if i like it hahaComment -
Are you playing Wales 3 way or pk?Hey guys, from now on i'm going to make my picks early because im sure most of the odds of these following bets will drop soon. Getting a better view of the tournament and confidence is growing with every day. So these are the bets i'll be playing the coming week:
Belgium - Ireland
Belgium -0.5 @ 1.85
2 units
After their (tactical) loss to Italy they need a win here against (on paper) the weakest team in the group. Belgium has enough quality for these odds to be valueable. I just hope the coach plays De Bruyne on 10 and Carrasco/Mertens on the right wing and all should be good. Immense difference in quality here. Belgium has top class players on 9/11 positions.
Iceland - Hungary
Under 2.00 @ 1.92
1 unit
Both teams now known for their creativity. Expecting a Northern Ireland - Ukraine kind of match with 2 goals as a max. Both came of a very good result against portugal/swiss. Point wouldn't be the worst scenario having in mind that Portugal is up against Switzerland.
France - Switzerland
Under 2 @ 2.03
2 units
A point would be perfect for both these teams. 1 point means France is #1 in the group. 1 point means Switzerland is 2nd in the group. If Romania would win vs Albania with 2-0 + Romania would be 2nd and Switzerland would be 3th. France might rest some players, they're not a goal machine so far this tournament. Switzerland decent all round team that doesn't concede a lot aswell. Might be looking at a "chess game draw" here.
Russia - Wales
Wales +0 @ 2.10
1 unit
So far im dissapointed with Russia and Suprised by Wales. Especially against Slovakia they seemed very poor. Team without colours. They need a desperate win or they're out. They will have to take initiative. Wales is in a pretty good position. 3 points just like slovakia who is playing england. Unless slovakia gets a win over England a draw is enough for wales. They can relax, lean back, hear what's happening on the other field and play what they do best, counter football. Russia will have to come so wales will get plenty of space for this and i rate wales higher this tournament than russia. Odds should be 1.8-1.9 DNB on wales imo.
England - Slovakia
Over 2.25 @ 1.98
2 units
Slovakia won't take the chance that russia defeats Wales. Slovakia needs to win against england here to end 2nd in this group. If they both get a point they are at the same GD (4:4) but Wales will have better head to head stats so they are 2nd and slovakia 3th. Slovakia will need to take risks. England knows that wales might just win against Russia, chance is very likely. If they want to win this group they need a win aswell. A point could be alright for them but they know slovakia will be pressing hard. Hope roy plays vardy up front with all the space slovakia will have to leave i can see this match go over. England is always good for offensive football.
Northern Ireland - Germany
Under 2.5 @ 2.10
2 units
Northern Ireland will want that point, if they don't get that point they will want to keep the damage minimal so they conted to be a top 3 country to go to the next round. GD for them now is 2:1. If you end at 3th with 3 points and a GD of 2:2 or 2:3 i reckon you have a pretty good spot to still make the knockout. N Ireland knows this aswell and they will fight this match for their lives. I expect them to start winning time from minute 1. Germany will be content with a small win. Poland is playing ukraine, don´t expect them to be a walkover. Poland looks good in the back this tourney but Milik and Lewandowski can´t impress me up front thus far.
Ukraine - Poland
Poland -0.5 @ 2.04
1 unit
Ukraine is a joke this tournament, absolute rubbish. Konoplyanka can't deliver, he's not a leader. 0 points and a GD 0:4 means they're already out. Poland can still win the group. 2.04 is a gift here and i'll take it.
Croatia - Spain
Spain -0.5 @ 2.31
1 unit
Croatia is actually not in a good spot here. Even tough they have 4 points they must be cautious. They can still win the group if they beat spain, but they can also still end 3th. Czech is playing Turkey, after what i've seen tonight Turkey seems like a team without a soul. They'll get butchered coming days by turkish press, im sure this will leave a mark. If czech beats turkey with 1:0 and Croatia loses to spain with 1:0 then it's a tie and i'm not sure what they'll do in that case. Both would be left with a GD of 3:3 and a H2H of 2-2. So croatia still has a lot to fight for. Spain knows a draw is enough for winning the group. But they also know that if they lose they'll go 2nd into the knockout stage. Spain has quality enough on the bench. Usually i would not take these odds but the main reason i took it is because today Luka Modric went off injured. Would be a huge blow to croatia if he does not make this match.
Czech - Turkey
Over 2.5 @ 2.00
1 unit
Do or die match for czech. They'll need a win to go trough as 2nd (thanks to spain) or as a best 3th so they'll come for the win. Turkey might want revenge, still a small chance they go trough if they win with 3-0+ so they'll play all guns blazing. Its over for these countries to play the heavy under.
After tomorrow i'll look at the tables for the 2 remaining groups and i'll be fast to place my bets for those matches aswell. really feel like i'm on the money here. Let me know what you guys thinkComment -
Nice writeups. One game where I disagree with you outright is Czechs o2.5, that match might get ugly Romania-Albania style, both teams just have no scoring options. GL.Comment
