Jsnep7 Euro2016 picks GTFO

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  • korki
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-23-12
    • 171

    #36
    Your opinion about Turks I agree
    Comment
    • Jsnep7
      SBR High Roller
      • 06-08-16
      • 183

      #37
      Germany - Ukraine
      Germany -1.00 @ -105
      1 unit
      Comment
      • Jsnep7
        SBR High Roller
        • 06-08-16
        • 183

        #38
        Poland - Norhtern Ireland
        Poland - 0.75 @2.08
        1 unit
        Comment
        • mohye1980
          Restricted User
          • 01-25-14
          • 2363

          #39
          tailing Germany
          Comment
          • Jsnep7
            SBR High Roller
            • 06-08-16
            • 183

            #40
            Originally posted by Jsnep7
            Germany - Ukraine
            Germany -1.00 @ -105
            1 unit
            Originally posted by Jsnep7
            Poland - Norhtern Ireland
            Poland - 0.75 @2.08
            1 unit
            Comment
            • new era
              SBR MVP
              • 07-28-13
              • 1470

              #41
              How long do you think this under 2.5 trend continues?
              Comment
              • Capybara
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-17-08
                • 11803

                #42
                I'm dying to have another good run in my MLB thread just so you will pop in with an awesome GIF.
                Comment
                • Jsnep7
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 06-08-16
                  • 183

                  #43
                  Originally posted by new era
                  How long do you think this under 2.5 trend continues?
                  You always see this at tournaments and bookies adjusted the lines to most games for u2 at evs. This year its even worse due to 4/6 number 3's qualifying for the next round aswell. So even if you lose just make sure its by a small amount so the goal difference is still alright and you'll be in a good spot to be among the be among those 4/6 number 3's that also go trough. After the group stage its usually more offensive. (also more quality vs quality, these underdogs only defend) And golden rule as always is under 2 for the final.

                  Originally posted by Capybara
                  I'm dying to have another good run in my MLB thread just so you will pop in with an awesome GIF.
                  Comment
                  • korki
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 09-23-12
                    • 171

                    #44
                    Originally posted by Jsnep7
                    You always see this at tournaments and bookies adjusted the lines to most games for u2 at evs. This year its even worse due to 4/6 number 3's qualifying for the next round aswell. So even if you lose just make sure its by a small amount so the goal difference is still alright and you'll be in a good spot to be among the be among those 4/6 number 3's that also go trough. After the group stage its usually more offensive. (also more quality vs quality, these underdogs only defend) And golden rule as always is under 2 for the final.
                    After group stage usually more offensive. I dont thinko so! More offensve matches we can see in 2-3stagse in groups.
                    I think in K.O. stage will for alot of team true this words: "dont make miss take, dont take goal" ,and will play for 0.
                    Comment
                    • Jsnep7
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 06-08-16
                      • 183

                      #45
                      ytd 6-3
                      + €997,50
                      Comment
                      • Jsnep7
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 06-08-16
                        • 183

                        #46
                        I'm not sure about today, got very mixed feelings with all these matches. Tempted to go on Czech +1.
                        Comment
                        • puregambling
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 02-02-14
                          • 142

                          #47
                          Tough match ups looks like a good dat to enjoy the money. Cant see any plays at all.
                          Comment
                          • Jsnep7
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 06-08-16
                            • 183

                            #48
                            Originally posted by puregambling
                            Tough match ups looks like a good dat to enjoy the money. Cant see any plays at all.
                            Yeah seems like a good day to just lean back and enjoy the matches, perhaps ill play a livebet, so stay tuned.
                            Comment
                            • Jsnep7
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 06-08-16
                              • 183

                              #49
                              Spain - Czech republic
                              Czech +1.25 @ 1.90
                              1 unit
                              Comment
                              • Jsnep7
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 06-08-16
                                • 183

                                #50
                                Can't ignore this bet. Public going so heavy on spain. Odd was 1.60 start of this week and now it's at 1.90

                                Czech is a solid team that defends well with a lot of experience. They were excellent in the qualification aswell vs my country (netherlands)

                                Spain usually starts slow on grand tournaments. 2 years ago 1-5 against the netherlands and 4 years ago 1-1 against italy 6 years ago 0-1 againt switzerland.

                                Also there's a lot of tension within the spanish team. There always is, barƧa, real and atleti really divide this team. CL final was very heated, i remember sergio ramos having a conflict with Juanfruan. Pique always speaks out how much he hates real madrid and he's the CD with sergio ramos. The real side has won the CL and barƧa won the liga, who will be boss in the dressing room? Also now there's a sexual confict with david de gea being accused of rape. You can rest assured that this will stir trouble and mess with the preperation of a tournament.

                                Spain lost the last friendly against georgia at home. They play alright football with good pressure and possession, but they don't converse. Sometimes they want to dribble the ball in the goal. They always play with a false nine and sometimes it seems like possesion is more important for them than scoring a goal.

                                TLDR version, to much going on with the spanish squad, czech seems decent, not a lot of goals in opening matches, odds to high to ignore.
                                Comment
                                • Jsnep7
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 06-08-16
                                  • 183

                                  #51
                                  Thinking of insuring this. Pressure is so heavy on czech side...
                                  Comment
                                  • Jsnep7
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 06-08-16
                                    • 183

                                    #52
                                    ​Spain -1.25 0.5 unit @ 2.7
                                    Comment
                                    • Bagalut
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 02-26-12
                                      • 125

                                      #53
                                      pressure is high...but spain lacks ability to pull the trigger and Cech is awesome goalie.
                                      I believe it will end with 1-0 spain or draw.
                                      Comment
                                      • Jsnep7
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 06-08-16
                                        • 183

                                        #54
                                        YTD 7-4

                                        +€1047,50


                                        Due to the insurance i made a 0.2 unit profit. Would have been 0.45 if i did not insure my bet, but im happy with my choice. the pressure was absurd on the czech goal esp in the first half.
                                        Comment
                                        • Jsnep7
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 06-08-16
                                          • 183

                                          #55
                                          Sweden - Ireland
                                          Zlatan to score? Yes @ 2.40
                                          0.5 unit

                                          Zlatan always delivers, the over odd on Sweden team goals is at asian 1.00 for 1.80
                                          Bookies expect Sweden to score atleast 1 goal and the chance is higher that they'll score 2 than just 1.

                                          I also expect the Swedes to crack the Irish defence. And i believe that there is a 50%+ probablility of Zlatan scoring that goal. He takes free kicks, pens, and teammates won't think twice about passing the ball to him.

                                          Ireland is a team that zlatan can destroy. I see nice value in these odds. See some bookies offering this for 1.68 - 1.80
                                          Comment
                                          • Jsnep7
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 06-08-16
                                            • 183

                                            #56
                                            Sweden - Ireland
                                            Zlatan to score & Sweden to win? Yes @ 4.50
                                            0.5 unit
                                            Comment
                                            • Jsnep7
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 06-08-16
                                              • 183

                                              #57


                                              Zlatan did not deliver.

                                              Good performance by Ireland, they deserved more. Sweden only looked good when they were behind. Zlatan had 1 alright chance but he couldn't convert. Still think there was value there, maybe well play this again later in the stage but other matches are against belgium and italy so i doubt it.

                                              No idea about belgium - italy yet. Slight value on italy i think.
                                              Comment
                                              • korki
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 09-23-12
                                                • 171

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by Jsnep7

                                                No idea about belgium - italy yet. Slight value on italy i think.
                                                Will you bet something in that match ? Odds small drop... now something 3
                                                Comment
                                                • Jsnep7
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 06-08-16
                                                  • 183

                                                  #59
                                                  Italy - Belgium
                                                  1st half Under 0.5
                                                  1 unit @ 2.35

                                                  Comment
                                                  • Jsnep7
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 06-08-16
                                                    • 183

                                                    #60
                                                    Italy - Belgium
                                                    Under 2.0
                                                    1 unit @ 1.95

                                                    Comment
                                                    • Jsnep7
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 06-08-16
                                                      • 183

                                                      #61
                                                      So far a lot of matches have ended in 0-0 at halftime. Sure every match is a match on itself but this is a stat that you can't neglect in the group phase of this tournament.

                                                      Italy is a team that excells in defending. Barzagli, bonucci and chiellinge are the CB's for Juventus. parolo and de rossi on are defensive midfielders. Darmian is a defensive minded player. So they have got 6 defensive minded players and 4 offensive minded players. Clear intentions here.

                                                      Belgium has a lot of quality, especially in the defence imo. With alderweireld and vertonghen they have the best CB duo of the premier league. They have a lot of offensive quality, but for some reason it doesn't really show. There isn't good synergy between their most important players, de bruyne and hazard. Also lukaku is exactly the type of striker that chiellini and bonucci can devour whole.

                                                      I think this will be a strategic match. For both teams its more important to not lose than to win. They are in the most difficult group with sweden and ireland. Italy and Belgium are the favourite. A draw today would allow them to still have all chances open for qualification. A lose however would place them in a most win spot and i don't think either teams want that.

                                                      Italy will let belgium have posesssion and play counter football. Belgium will not take to much risks. Their head coach is a real coward strategic wise. I except a very dissapointing match with scarce chances for both teams.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Jsnep7
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 06-08-16
                                                        • 183

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by Jsnep7
                                                        Italy - Belgium
                                                        1st half Under 0.5
                                                        1 unit @ 2.35

                                                        Originally posted by Jsnep7
                                                        Italy - Belgium
                                                        Under 2.0
                                                        1 unit @ 1.95

                                                        Originally posted by Jsnep7
                                                        So far a lot of matches have ended in 0-0 at halftime. Sure every match is a match on itself but this is a stat that you can't neglect in the group phase of this tournament.

                                                        Italy is a team that excells in defending. Barzagli, bonucci and chiellinge are the CB's for Juventus. parolo and de rossi on are defensive midfielders. Darmian is a defensive minded player. So they have got 6 defensive minded players and 4 offensive minded players. Clear intentions here.

                                                        Belgium has a lot of quality, especially in the defence imo. With alderweireld and vertonghen they have the best CB duo of the premier league. They have a lot of offensive quality, but for some reason it doesn't really show. There isn't good synergy between their most important players, de bruyne and hazard. Also lukaku is exactly the type of striker that chiellini and bonucci can devour whole.

                                                        I think this will be a strategic match. For both teams its more important to not lose than to win. They are in the most difficult group with sweden and ireland. Italy and Belgium are the favourite. A draw today would allow them to still have all chances open for qualification. A lose however would place them in a most win spot and i don't think either teams want that.

                                                        Italy will let belgium have posesssion and play counter football. Belgium will not take to much risks. Their head coach is a real coward strategic wise. I except a very dissapointing match with scarce chances for both teams.
                                                        Pretty much went according to gameplan, jack shit happened untill minute 31 when the belgium defense miscalculated the long ball and italy scored 1-0. That changed everything. 2nd half belgium took more and more risk and in the last minute they went full retard and in stopage time pelle blew our under 2 to a void wich means this game is a 1 unit loss now.

                                                        Very dissapointed with belgium here, if they were focussed and intercepted that long ball it was a 0-0 all the way.

                                                        Comment
                                                        • Jsnep7
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 06-08-16
                                                          • 183

                                                          #63
                                                          Portugal - Iceland

                                                          Going to fade portugal, not sure what line and handicap. Expecting public to jump heavy on portugal so going to wait till just before kick off for playing this bet.

                                                          Main reason is that iceland is a tactical strong team that impressed me during the qualifiers and ronaldo is the thriving force at portugal. But i dont expect him to be fit, saw him in the CL final, was very bad because he just couldn't give 100% After that he went straight on holiday to recover. 2 years ago same scenario happened and portugal was out in the group stage.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • korki
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 09-23-12
                                                            • 171

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by Jsnep7
                                                            Portugal - Iceland

                                                            Going to fade portugal, not sure what line and handicap. Expecting public to jump heavy on portugal so going to wait till just before kick off for playing this bet.

                                                            Main reason is that iceland is a tactical strong team that impressed me during the qualifiers and ronaldo is the thriving force at portugal. But i dont expect him to be fit, saw him in the CL final, was very bad because he just couldn't give 100% After that he went straight on holiday to recover. 2 years ago same scenario happened and portugal was out in the group stage.
                                                            I agree with you. I saw few bookies have actualy odd for half time score 0-0 odd 2.8 > I think that odd have big value.
                                                            My bookie dont have this scenario only half time X > 2.25 > I thinnk about this bet..
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Grivas_Digeni
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 05-08-15
                                                              • 5307

                                                              #65
                                                              Take Portugal ML.

                                                              -220 isn't much but you're better off winning half a unit than using a full unit
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Jsnep7
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 06-08-16
                                                                • 183

                                                                #66
                                                                Austria -vs- Hungary
                                                                Over Under:+2.25
                                                                Under @ 1.93
                                                                1 unit
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Jsnep7
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 06-08-16
                                                                  • 183

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Austria has an alright team, but they did not impress me during the last friendly's, still those matches aren't that much to judge on. Bulgaria heavy counter team that leans heavily on defence.
                                                                  Trend this tournament is heavy unders, don't expect this match to be any difference.

                                                                  During Q bulgaria scored a average of 0.9 per match. Hungary score 1.2.
                                                                  And these matches included teams like malta azerbaijan and faroƫ islands.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Jsnep7
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 06-08-16
                                                                    • 183

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by Grivas_Digeni
                                                                    Take Portugal ML.

                                                                    -220 isn't much but you're better off winning half a unit than using a full unit
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Jsnep7
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 06-08-16
                                                                      • 183

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Austria -vs- Hungary
                                                                      Asian Handicap:0.00 @ 0 - 1
                                                                      Hungary @ 1.94
                                                                      1 unit
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Jsnep7
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 06-08-16
                                                                        • 183

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Portugal -vs- Iceland
                                                                        Asian Handicap:+1.25
                                                                        Iceland @ 1.93
                                                                        1 unit
                                                                        Comment
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