Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • KVB
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 05-29-14
    • 74817

    #100486
    Bet 105 just moved, 5 seconds ago.

    It's now 12.5.

    Now back to what I was typing...
    Comment
    • KVB
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 05-29-14
      • 74817

      #100487
      I'm so fukkin pissed right now.

      The UPSET Basket was going to hit hard and I hit it hard for this weekend, and we are getting fukked by the Kung Flu again.

      Remember, this is a market tracking Fund, not just any ole set of capping plays. We've seen it's power before, and here it is again.

      Just look at where we were with 9 UPSET Basket plays pending...



      But wait, one of the points of all this is to show real time example and that means I rarely, but sometimes make mistakes, plays that don't qualify anymore, and all kind of real life quirks that make betting difficult or plays questinable for a particular Fund. Showing some past record is great and all, but doing it real time is much harder.

      My point is the Eastern Michigan very briefly qualified for the UPSET basket this week, I was baited and the market was manipulated. It happens, but the UPSET basket takes any qualifiers. We could show charts on the same metrics at the open or at the close, but here we show by example and that means being subject of manipulation.

      So if we take the E Mich loss out from Nov 4th, here's what that chart looks like...



      With 9 plays left for today you can see why I was very optimistic.

      But with 5 of those triggers now falling victim to the Kung Flu, we got fukked.

      Here the remaining plays...

      319 7-Nov PITT -110
      325 TROY -103
      361 WASH ST +106
      379 NEBRASKA +161
      Here are the games the got the China Plague....

      331 LOUISVILLE -103
      365 WASHINGTON -110
      383 UTSA +161
      391 FLORIDA INT +108
      397 LOUIS TECH +115
      Now I hope you can see why I'm so pissed.

      I don't anticipate the situation getting much better each week either.

      <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/JollyNegligibleHarvestmen' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='684'></iframe>
      Comment
      • stevenash
        Moderator
        • 01-17-11
        • 65365

        #100488
        Originally posted by KVB
        It's also why I used the Funds. I can just post a play and anyone who want's to know why can refer to the Fund description or ask specific questions..

        That way I can do one write-up for a whole set of games now and moving forward....lol.


        Can't argue with that system
        Comment
        • DiggityDaggityDo
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 11-30-08
          • 81450

          #100489
          <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="und" dir="ltr"><a href="https://t.co/J40qxvNc82">pic.twitter.com/J40qxvNc82</a></p>&mdash; LeBron James (@KingJames) <a href="https://twitter.com/KingJames/status/1325118401820258304?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >November 7, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
          Comment
          • KVB
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 05-29-14
            • 74817

            #100490
            lol Lebronda.

            Well played.

            He should put Trump's face on this...

            Comment
            • DiggityDaggityDo
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 11-30-08
              • 81450

              #100491
              I just snapped a pic of these chicks on CNN.

              Left, Right or Middle?

              Comment
              • DiggityDaggityDo
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 11-30-08
                • 81450

                #100492
                How about this one, KVB?


                <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">A recap of the 2020 Election <a href="https://t.co/cKiDMKX2z9">pic.twitter.com/cKiDMKX2z9</a></p>&mdash; NFL Memes (@NFL_Memes) <a href="https://twitter.com/NFL_Memes/status/1325119373065871361?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >November 7, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
                Comment
                • KVB
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 05-29-14
                  • 74817

                  #100493
                  Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                  How about this one, KVB?


                  <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">A recap of the 2020 Election <a rel="nofollow" href="https://t.co/cKiDMKX2z9">pic.twitter.com/cKiDMKX2z9</a></p>&mdash; NFL Memes (@NFL_Memes) <a rel="nofollow" href="https://twitter.com/NFL_Memes/status/1325119373065871361?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >November 7, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
                  Comment
                  • BrickJames
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 05-05-11
                    • 9749

                    #100494
                    Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                    I just snapped a pic of these chicks on CNN.

                    Left, Right or Middle?

                    What happened to social distancing?

                    These Democrats kept saying over and over again that Trump's rallies were super spreaders.

                    Oh but the celebrations are okay I guess huh?
                    Comment
                    • Da Manster!
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 07-13-07
                      • 17720

                      #100495
                      Originally posted by BrickJames
                      What happened to social distancing?

                      These Democrats kept saying over and over again that Trump's rallies were super spreaders.

                      Oh but the celebrations are okay I guess huh?
                      they are wearing their face masks you dummy!...
                      Comment
                      • KVB
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 05-29-14
                        • 74817

                        #100496
                        Not sure if she's right or middle but I'll take the feisty broad with the double middle finger.

                        Comment
                        • Da Manster!
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 07-13-07
                          • 17720

                          #100497
                          Originally posted by stevenash
                          You think your pal Nasher went overboard a tad with this latest post?


                          https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...tate-game.html
                          good call and nice hit, Nasher!...
                          Comment
                          • DiggityDaggityDo
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 11-30-08
                            • 81450

                            #100498
                            Originally posted by BrickJames
                            What happened to social distancing?

                            These Democrats kept saying over and over again that Trump's rallies were super spreaders.

                            Oh but the celebrations are okay I guess huh?
                            Exactly. And not a peep from the news anchors abut the virus.

                            They are just talking about how beautiful this is seeing people dance in the streets.
                            Comment
                            • DiggityDaggityDo
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 11-30-08
                              • 81450

                              #100499
                              Originally posted by KVB
                              Not sure if she's right or middle but I'll take the feisty broad with the double middle finger.

                              She's ready for two guys, with those fingers.

                              Fidles and... you I guess?
                              Comment
                              • Da Manster!
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 07-13-07
                                • 17720

                                #100500
                                Originally posted by KVB
                                Not sure if she's right or middle but I'll take the feisty broad with the double middle finger.

                                I'll take the left in white...can't go wrong with perky C-Cup !...damn I belched!...
                                Comment
                                • DiggityDaggityDo
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 11-30-08
                                  • 81450

                                  #100501
                                  Originally posted by Da Manster!
                                  I'll take the left in white...can't go wrong with perky C-Cup !...damn I belched!...
                                  Comment
                                  • Da Manster!
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 07-13-07
                                    • 17720

                                    #100502
                                    Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                    Exactly. And not a peep from the news anchors abut the virus.

                                    They are just talking about how beautiful this is seeing people dance in the streets.
                                    because they are wearing their face masks you dummy!...
                                    Comment
                                    • DiggityDaggityDo
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 11-30-08
                                      • 81450

                                      #100503
                                      Manster, you see that forehead?
                                      Comment
                                      • BrickJames
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 05-05-11
                                        • 9749

                                        #100504
                                        Originally posted by Da Manster!
                                        they are wearing their face masks you dummy!...
                                        What about 6 feet apart and no gatherings of more than 10 people?
                                        Comment
                                        • Bostongambler
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 02-01-08
                                          • 35581

                                          #100505
                                          It’s a fivehead
                                          Comment
                                          • Bostongambler
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 02-01-08
                                            • 35581

                                            #100506
                                            A sixhead if she waters it more often.
                                            Comment
                                            • Da Manster!
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 07-13-07
                                              • 17720

                                              #100507
                                              Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                              Manster, you see that forehead?
                                              No..I'd be too busy sucking on her while giving her a flesh injection of the ole pork sword...
                                              Comment
                                              • Da Manster!
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 07-13-07
                                                • 17720

                                                #100508
                                                Originally posted by BrickJames
                                                What about 6 feet apart and no gatherings of more than 10 people?
                                                that was during the initial shutdown phase of the country when we were trying to get the virus under control...but since numbers have improved (until recently) and states have opened back up in their various phases, social distancing is still encouraged but not strictly enforced unless you are wearing your masks...they have all of these weird goddamn stipulations...even bars in maryland now you have to be wearing your face mask and you have to be seated while drinking any alcoholic beverage!...if not, they get fined anywhere from $2,500 - $5,000 not to mention incurring the risk of being shutdown again.
                                                Comment
                                                • KVB
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                  • 74817

                                                  #100509
                                                  Fund Look: The KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund

                                                  Here's the KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund through last week and 27 plays with links to each play.

                                                  The Fund is 14-12-1 ats for +1.04 units and is 16-5-6 averging +1.17 vs the closing line.

                                                  That does not count last night's SJSU +.98 unit win.

                                                  Here is the summary with links...

                                                  1 Unit Closing Beat BTC
                                                  Record Date NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund per bet Line Closer? Average
                                                  119 1-0-0 19-Sep SYRACUSE +21 (-110) 0.91 21 P 0
                                                  133 2-0-0 NAVY +4.5 (-105)* 0.95 4.5 P 0
                                                  155 2-0-1 ABILENE CHRIST +4 (-110) 0 8 N -4
                                                  437 2-1-1 26-Sep KENTUCKY +9.5 (-110) -1 6 Y 3.5
                                                  449 2-2-1 DUKE +6 (-105) -1 4 Y 2
                                                  321 3-2-1 CAMPBELL +36 (-110) 0.91 32.5 Y 3.5
                                                  323903 4-2-1 E KENTUCKY +10 (-115) 0.87 8.5 Y 1.5
                                                  435 5-2-1 VANDY +30.5 (-103) 0.97 31.5 N -1
                                                  105 6-2-1 3-Oct S FLORIDA +24 (-110) 0.91 21.5 Y 2.5
                                                  115 6-3-1 MISSOURI +11 (-110) -1 10 Y 1
                                                  121 7-3-1 NC STATE +14 (-104) 0.96 14 P 0
                                                  153 7-4-1 AUBURN +7.5 (-110) -1 7.5 P 0
                                                  315 8-4-1 10-Oct E CAROL +4 (-104) 0.96 5.5 N -1.5
                                                  321 8-5-1 TENNESSEE +14 (-103) -1 12.5 Y 1.5
                                                  329 9-5-1 ARKANSAS +16.5 (-105) 0.95 13.5 Y 3
                                                  339 9-6-1 TEXAS ST +7 (-105) -1 7 P 0
                                                  113 9-7-1 17-Oct PIT +10.5 (-107) -1 11.5 N -1
                                                  127 10-7-1 KANSAS +22 (-106) 0.94 21 Y 1
                                                  133 11-7-1 KENTUCKY +6 (-105) 0.95 6 P 0
                                                  137 11-8-1 W KENTUCKY +13 (-110) -1 10.5 Y 2.5
                                                  313 11-9-1 24-Oct FLORIDA ST +6.5 (-110) -1 5 Y 1.5
                                                  339 12-9-1 RUTGERS +16.5 (-110) 0.91 9.5 Y 7
                                                  359 12-10-1 KANSAS +20 (-114) -1 18.5 Y 1.5
                                                  393 13-10-1 M TENN ST +4 (-107) 0.93 3.5 Y 0.5
                                                  115 13-11-1 31-Oct UTSA +7.5 (-110) -1 4.5 Y 3
                                                  117 13-12-1 KANSAS ST +4 (-110) -1 5 N -1
                                                  161 14-12-1 N'WESTERN +3.5 (-110) 0.92 -1 Y 4.5
                                                  14-12-1 Total 1.04 16-5-6 1.166667


                                                  The very first two plays of the Fund were posted as the games went off, but they qualified, and it was noted then as now.

                                                  So this Fund isn't exactly a market tracking Fund because it employs two winning spot strategies: the overestimated home team and a Total/Spread ratio, both of which are compared to forecasts.

                                                  This is more of jsut a sharp ass Fund.

                                                  The spot involving the Totals is market tracking, to a certain degree and is 9-10 ATS. The plays involving overestimation of the home team are 6-3. Remember SJSU makes it 28 total plays so far this year for the Fund.

                                                  Let's look at the two year charts...

                                                  The Fund is handling the business against the closing line and if I were to calculate it including the prices and values for key numbers, the results are even better.




                                                  Here are the Units...



                                                  The Fund appears to be healthy and here are this week's plays...

                                                  311 6-Nov SJSU +9.5 (-102) 0.98 10 N -0.5
                                                  329 7-Nov UL MONROE +19.5 (-110)
                                                  345 7-Nov BAYLOR +14 (-107)
                                                  349 MICHIGAN ST +7 (-112)
                                                  387 VANDERBILT +18.5 (-107)
                                                  393 NEW MEXICO +16.5 (-110)
                                                  395 W KENTUCKY +11.5 (-110)
                                                  407 N ALABAMA +17.5 (-120)
                                                  These plays were lost to the Kung Flu...

                                                  351 7-Nov PURDUE +8.5 (-113) KUNG
                                                  383 UTSA +5 (-105) FLU
                                                  Because both Spread and Total movement can affect this Fund, it too can be subject to manipulation and plaYS moving in aNd out of the target range.

                                                  We do our best to keep it clean but sometimes we get baited. It's the nature of the beast and it's good to be able to show that difficulty real time.

                                                  <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/LimpNextIndochinesetiger' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='844'></iframe>
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 11-30-08
                                                    • 81450

                                                    #100510
                                                    <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Georgia’s Lewis Cine with a BRUTAL hit on Florida’s Kyle Pitts, which earns an ejection...<a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/UFvsUGA?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw ">#UFvsUGA</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/GoGatorsGoDawgs?src=hash&amp;ref_src=tws rc%5Etfw">#GoGatorsGoDawgs</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/SEC?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#S EC</a> <br> <a href="https://t.co/bSwjmXhvXW">pic.twitter.com/bSwjmXhvXW</a></p>&mdash; SBR Sports Picks (@SBRSportsPicks) <a href="https://twitter.com/SBRSportsPicks/status/1325197399388643334?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >November 7, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
                                                    Comment
                                                    • KVB
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                      • 74817

                                                      #100511
                                                      I was waiting for a smiling Biden or crying Trump head to pop up for the Flor/GA hit.

                                                      Comment
                                                      • KVB
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                        • 74817

                                                        #100512
                                                        Originally posted by Bostongambler
                                                        It’s a fivehead
                                                        Originally posted by Bostongambler
                                                        A sixhead if she waters it more often.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KVB
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 05-29-14
                                                          • 74817

                                                          #100513
                                                          With Troy and Nebraska failing I hit Pitt hard, again.

                                                          I'm doing the same for Wash St, I would not suggest tailing with overconfidence.

                                                          Trying to squeeze blood out of this turnip of the UPSET Basket, but there are no guarantees here.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Da Manster!
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 07-13-07
                                                            • 17720

                                                            #100514
                                                            Originally posted by KVB
                                                            With Troy and Nebraska failing I hit Pitt hard, again.

                                                            I'm doing the same for Wash St, I would not suggest tailing with overconfidence.

                                                            Trying to squeeze blood out of this turnip of the UPSET Basket, but there are no guarantees here.
                                                            Baylor is up 14-7 on Iowa ST in the 2nd QTR....
                                                            Comment
                                                            • KVB
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 05-29-14
                                                              • 74817

                                                              #100515
                                                              21-7 Manster, I also have them to win at +352.

                                                              Had Zona St +340 and USC recovered on onside to win by 1.

                                                              We deserve Baylor...lol.

                                                              Western Kentucky +327, +11.5 too.

                                                              Comment
                                                              • Fidel_CashFlow
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-03-12
                                                                • 53970

                                                                #100516
                                                                LakerGurl
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Bostongambler
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 02-01-08
                                                                  • 35581

                                                                  #100517
                                                                  Paula Abdul was a laker girl.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Fidel_CashFlow
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-03-12
                                                                    • 53970

                                                                    #100518
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Fidel_CashFlow
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-03-12
                                                                      • 53970

                                                                      #100519
                                                                      Indian living in Canada
                                                                      If Trump don't win i delete SBR.com cookies and clear my history


                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • KVB
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                                        • 74817

                                                                        #100520
                                                                        I wonder how long it took Darren Elkins to come up with his nickname..."The Damage"

                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...