Are We All Chasing Detroit And Verlander Today???

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  • remeedella
    SBR MVP
    • 04-17-12
    • 4089

    #71
    detroits getting the hits but it ain't working
    Comment
    • Ghenghis Kahn
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-02-12
      • 19734

      #72
      how can you not score with a lead off double?
      Comment
      • BuddyBear
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-10-05
        • 7233

        #73
        Originally posted by No coincidences
        Because Verlander is pitching. He could be -200 and people would take the bait. Truth is, he's barely above .500 in his career vs. the Tribe with an ERA of like 4.8.

        Does Cleveland have more talent than Detroit? No. Is Cleveland a better team than Detroit right now? Without question.
        What do his career numbers have anything to do with it? Ask yourself a very simple question, of the 10 players on each team is starting today, which set of 10 players collectively is better? I am pretty sure the line tells you the answer that CLEV is not the better team today.
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #74
          Originally posted by BuddyBear
          What do his career numbers have anything to do with it? Ask yourself a very simple question, of the 10 players on each team is starting today, which set of 10 players collectively is better? I am pretty sure the line tells you the answer that CLEV is not the better team today.
          Because the better team is always the winning team in baseball?

          You will die a slow and painfull death in this sport taking -165 road faves.
          Comment
          • stevenash
            Moderator
            • 01-17-11
            • 65499

            #75
            Originally posted by BuddyBear
            No offense, the Indians are not a better team than the Tigers. Just b/c they have a better record does not mean they are better. If they are the better team, why are they such big underdogs this afternoon?
            Tigers are the better team, however I am not going to crap on the Tribe, but they do have Shelly Duncan starting in the outfield, that's pretty much four outs right there.

            Tribe has been overachieving all season, I applaud their efforts, Kipnis is rapidly developing into an all star type second baseman, As-Cab at short is one of the best in the league at that position, Hafner refuses to age, Choo is a quality hitter, Carlos Santana can flat out rake, calls a pretty good game these days, when he's not DH'ing, but Marson is death at the plate, I love Kotchman's heart, but he's soft at the plate too, will surprise you every now and then, but face it, Kotchman is soft.
            Comment
            • billysink
              Restricted User
              • 03-29-09
              • 5172

              #76
              Detroit has cost themselves 1 maybe two runs with bad baseball. They must be drinking the same gatorade the Lions drowned themselves in this past year. For the second night in a row Miggy costs the team a run.

              You can handicap till the cows come home but stupid baseball will render that a waste in a hurry.
              Comment
              • billysink
                Restricted User
                • 03-29-09
                • 5172

                #77
                The Tribe wins because of their approach at the plate and the ability to trot out an all lefty lineup.

                Last I checked they lead all of MLB in bases on balls by a large margin.
                Comment
                • stevenash
                  Moderator
                  • 01-17-11
                  • 65499

                  #78
                  Originally posted by billysink
                  You can handicap till the cows come home but stupid baseball will render that a waste in a hurry.
                  Spot on, you can't give a team four outs with errors, and you can't run yourself out of innings.
                  Comment
                  • mynameismud
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-13-12
                    • 5461

                    #79
                    another lead off double...
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #80
                      Originally posted by billysink
                      Detroit has cost themselves 1 maybe two runs with bad baseball. They must be drinking the same gatorade the Lions drowned themselves in this past year. For the second night in a row Miggy costs the team a run.

                      You can handicap till the cows come home but stupid baseball will render that a waste in a hurry.
                      They've been playing stupid baseball all season long.
                      Comment
                      • stevenash
                        Moderator
                        • 01-17-11
                        • 65499

                        #81
                        Originally posted by mynameismud
                        another lead off double...
                        Tigers are croaking Masterson, may win despite their stupidity.
                        Comment
                        • Brock Landers
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 06-30-08
                          • 45359

                          #82
                          tie game!
                          Comment
                          • BuddyBear
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 08-10-05
                            • 7233

                            #83
                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                            Because the better team is always the winning team in baseball?

                            You will die a slow and painfull death in this sport taking -165 road faves.
                            This is one of those cliches that does not hold water. So if this is the case, why not quit your job and just bet against it each time?
                            Comment
                            • No coincidences
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-18-10
                              • 76300

                              #84
                              Originally posted by BuddyBear
                              This is one of those cliches that does not hold water. So if this is the case, why not quit your job and just bet against it each time?
                              The point isn't to take the other side all the time -- the point is to avoid faves over -150 on the road altogether. Or do you have no discipline? Do you have to bet a -165 road fave just because it's the only day game?
                              Comment
                              • Ghenghis Kahn
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-02-12
                                • 19734

                                #85
                                we get it, you are frustrated with the tigers. go away and stop trolling. you are fuckin annoying.
                                Comment
                                • BuddyBear
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 08-10-05
                                  • 7233

                                  #86
                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                  The point isn't to take the other side all the time -- the point is to avoid faves over -150 on the road altogether. Or do you have no discipline? Do you have to bet a -165 road fave just because it's the only day game?
                                  You're changing the topic. Do you have any evidence that road favs > -150 are less profitable than say road favs < -130 or any price range for any situation. You're just parroting betting cliches about what not to bet. What if I handicap the game and Verlander and the Tigers should really be -190 instead of -165...should I avoid it because it violates the "no road favorite of > 150.

                                  The point is handicap each game individually and find value, road fav, road dog, home fav, home dog....it does not matter. There is no easy system out there.
                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #87
                                    Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
                                    we get it, you are frustrated with the tigers. go away and stop trolling. you are fuckin annoying.
                                    How is this "trolling"?
                                    Comment
                                    • jjgold
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 07-20-05
                                      • 388179

                                      #88
                                      Took Detroit

                                      I am a sucker
                                      Comment
                                      • billysink
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 03-29-09
                                        • 5172

                                        #89
                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                        They've been playing stupid baseball all season long.
                                        agreed
                                        Comment
                                        • BuddyBear
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 08-10-05
                                          • 7233

                                          #90
                                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                                          The point isn't to take the other side all the time -- the point is to avoid faves over -150 on the road altogether. Or do you have no discipline? Do you have to bet a -165 road fave just because it's the only day game?
                                          The better question I should really ask is, What's the point of handicapping if there are already fixed rules out there like this? No?
                                          Comment
                                          • No coincidences
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-18-10
                                            • 76300

                                            #91
                                            Originally posted by BuddyBear
                                            You're changing the topic. Do you have any evidence that road favs > -150 are less profitable than say road favs < -130 or any price range for any situation. You're just parroting betting cliches about what not to bet. What if I handicap the game and Verlander and the Tigers should really be -190 instead of -165...should I avoid it because it violates the "no road favorite of > 150.

                                            The point is handicap each game individually and find value, road fav, road dog, home fav, home dog....it does not matter. There is no easy system out there.
                                            Do you know how often you have to hit making a profit betting faves of -150 or more -- especially on the road?

                                            If you handicapped Verlander to be -190 today, well, all I can do is wish you luck. The point isn't whether or not Detroit wins this game -- I honestly think they do personally in the end -- the point is you're taking them at -165, which is a bad number to gamble on.
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #92
                                              Originally posted by BuddyBear
                                              The better question I should really ask is, What's the point of handicapping if there are already fixed rules out there like this? No?
                                              I didn't say there are "fixed" rules -- I'm just saying it's damn hard to win betting baseball when you're laying that kind of chalk on the road long term. Don't you see all of the threads on this board bitching about baseball and how "hard" it is to bet on?
                                              Comment
                                              • Ghenghis Kahn
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-02-12
                                                • 19734

                                                #93
                                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                How is this "trolling"?
                                                you are trying to tell people your shit don't stink.
                                                Comment
                                                • Deuce
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 01-12-08
                                                  • 29843

                                                  #94
                                                  Tigers are whore shit. Dead bats, bullpen is shit, silly mistake after silly mistake.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DudleyDawson
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-10-12
                                                    • 5658

                                                    #95
                                                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                    Do you know how often you have to hit making a profit betting faves of -150 or more -- especially on the road?

                                                    If you handicapped Verlander to be -190 today, well, all I can do is wish you luck. The point isn't whether or not Detroit wins this game -- I honestly think they do personally in the end -- the point is you're taking them at -165, which is a bad number to gamble on.
                                                    Bullshit.

                                                    It's about finding value no matter the number. You're a self admitted big time losing gambler, but yet we're suppose to believe your statements hold any water? Come on. I rarely bet favorites over -120, but today I'm on Detroit, because it's a great spot to lay the big number.


                                                    Comment
                                                    • No coincidences
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                      • 76300

                                                      #96
                                                      Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
                                                      you are trying to tell people your shit don't stink.
                                                      I am? Just because I don't think Detroit -165 is a good play? What?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • No coincidences
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                        • 76300

                                                        #97
                                                        Originally posted by DudleyDawson
                                                        Bullshit.

                                                        It's about finding value no matter the number. You're a self admitted big time losing gambler, but yet we're suppose to believe your statements hold any water? Come on. I rarely bet favorites over -120, but today I'm on Detroit, because it's a great spot to lay the big number.

                                                        Link?

                                                        110% false.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • billysink
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 03-29-09
                                                          • 5172

                                                          #98
                                                          Kahner

                                                          All viewpoints welcome here, I don't see No C as a troll. Dude knows more than a bit about the game.

                                                          A bit of point/counterpoint is good for all of us.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • No coincidences
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-18-10
                                                            • 76300

                                                            #99
                                                            Originally posted by billysink
                                                            Kahner

                                                            All viewpoints welcome here, I don't see No C as a troll. Dude knows more than a bit about the game.

                                                            A bit of point/counterpoint is good for all of us.
                                                            I'm not saying I'm right all the time. Far from it. I just took Detroit live at -110 a while back because that is a good number. -165 is not in my book -- not given the way this team is playing. Some of you act like the number is irrelevant. It's not.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • DudleyDawson
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 02-10-12
                                                              • 5658

                                                              #100
                                                              Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                              Link?

                                                              110% false.
                                                              You've posted time and time again...you cannot win sports betting. And every thread you seem to have ever kept a record in has been down A LOT of units quickly.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Ghenghis Kahn
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-02-12
                                                                • 19734

                                                                #101
                                                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                I am? Just because I don't think Detroit -165 is a good play? What?
                                                                Originally posted by billysink
                                                                Kahner

                                                                All viewpoints welcome here, I don't see No C as a troll. Dude knows more than a bit about the game.

                                                                A bit of point/counterpoint is good for all of us.
                                                                listen, if you wanna have a discussion about the game, do it before the game starts not after. especially after a lead off homerun, oh please...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • No coincidences
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                                  • 76300

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Originally posted by DudleyDawson
                                                                  You've posted time and time again...you cannot win sports betting. And every thread you seem to have ever kept a record in has been down A LOT of units quickly.
                                                                  Like my current NBA and MLB threads chief?

                                                                  I've "posted time and time again" that I'm a "big time losing gambler"? Where?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • djefferis
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-16-08
                                                                    • 1197

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Originally posted by Chi_archie
                                                                    Indians will play inspired ball in front of 6-7 THOUSAND fans today
                                                                    Sad, but true. Was a decade ago place would be filled with SRO tickets selling briskly.

                                                                    Today, just not the same. Beautiful day in cleveland (by Cleveland standards) and no one.

                                                                    Fwiw- on tribe and under, 7 and 7.5 - original bet 7 and heritage hung a 7.5 briefly before gametime so doubled up.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • No coincidences
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                                      • 76300

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
                                                                      listen, if you wanna have a discussion about the game, do it before the game starts not after. especially after a lead off homerun, oh please...
                                                                      Who are you to tell me what I can and can't post about?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Deuce
                                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                        • 01-12-08
                                                                        • 29843

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                        Like my current NBA and MLB threads chief?

                                                                        I've "posted time and time again" that I'm a "big time losing gambler"? Where?
                                                                        Not trolling but your thread with Canuck was a failure. Chasing with multiple units and burial after burial.
                                                                        Comment
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