president futures are paying big

[ThaWoj]

Indeed. That's why he left that hilarious tweet. He's FURIOUS because he no longer gets to play against the worst team in the nation. Trump doesn't give 2 shits about this country. He only wants power. This should be obvious to everyone.

This is one of the dumbest takes I've ever seen. These radical lefists are some of the most evil people in this country. Not to mention nobody voting for Harris even knows what she stands for. They just know she's running against trump.

Also all these odd fluctuations are meaningless. There are more 1st time voters in this election voting for trump. There are more blacks and Hispanics more than ever voting republican. All of those people know they cant make their opinion public without being chastised. This is going to be hillary 2.0. Everything will point to an expected democratic win until election night.

[blankoblanco]

Also all these odd fluctuations are meaningless. There are more 1st time voters in this election voting for trump. There are more blacks and Hispanics more than ever voting republican. All of those people know they cant make their opinion public without being chastised. This is going to be hillary 2.0. Everything will point to an expected democratic win until election night.

Speaking of dumb takes? This one is clueless. Hillary was utterly stiff and cold and broadly unlikeable. I voted for her, but I said to myself "this might be one of the only candidates the Dems could have picked that might actually lose to Donald Trump." The Democrats fielded an unfathomably bad candidate and still won popular vote and barely lost, because of the electoral college. Might not happen again...

[jackpot269]

This is one of the dumbest takes I've ever seen. These radical lefists are some of the most evil people in this country. Not to mention nobody voting for Harris even knows what she stands for. They just know she's running against trump.

Also all these odd fluctuations are meaningless. There are more 1st time voters in this election voting for trump. There are more blacks and Hispanics more than ever voting republican. All of those people know they cant make their opinion public without being chastised. This is going to be hillary 2.0. Everything will point to an expected democratic win until election night.

Kind of like 2020, on who was going to win until the votes come in.

2024 is a lot like 2016. In 2016 it was just vote against H. Clinton. You make some good points and there is recent history that looks like what you are saying, so I pointed out a few.

[TheGoldenGoose]

ODDSCHECKER

Kamala Harris -106

Donald Trump +115

[jackpot269]

Typical swings as every election has. Nothing to see here.

I agree with the swings. Funny you don't mention them before it swung the other way! When they were in your favor. Its the GOP way.


Originally Posted by Itsamazing777
Trump favored for a reason. All you need to know

''America has spoken. It's why Trump is a huge favorite. Noone cares about his weight. Are you 12?
I'm not interested in your worthless points. Go ahead bet your 5 dollars on some random women that have no chance. Trump is your President. The sooner you accept it the better.''


Its a big deal and something to see when it fits WHAT YOU WANT IT TOO. Otherwise its nothing to see. Being a Hypocrite it's what the GOP is known for.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

I'll give a few unbiased comments re: Harris:

1) Agree with the sentiment that she's more likable than Hillary.
2) I don't like the ads where she's asking for campaign donations. Struggling people are supposed to fund a millionaire's campaign?
3) Harris talked about getting Americans back to supporting families with just one job. I hate this narrative. It implies that she has control over the free market.

[TheGoldenGoose]

You get the feeling Jesse Ventura doesn't like the GOP ticket.

[ninjagorn]

2) I don't like the ads where she's asking for campaign donations. Struggling people are supposed to fund a millionaire's campaign?
What about Doni the so called billionare, selling everything, from bibles, shoes and probably airplanes next? Not to mention the Trump media stock, where the stupid trumpist got burned, because, the big players shorted.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

2) I don't like the ads where she's asking for campaign donations. Struggling people are supposed to fund a millionaire's campaign?
What about Doni the so called billionare, selling everything, from bibles, shoes and probably airplanes next? Not to mention the Trump media stock, where the stupid trumpist got burned, because, the big players shorted.

I don't watch a lot of TV. If Donald is doing the same, then he's guilty, too.

I have some specific views on elections:
1) The campaign time should be MUCH more limited than it is in the USA.
2) The campaign funds should be MUCH more restricted.
3) When a candidate goes into NEGATIVE campaigning, I won't vote for them. Tell me what YOU will do.

[ninjagorn]

I am from Slovenia. I am just angry that i did not bet on Kamal immidieatly after Biden witdrew, now i would bet Doni and enjoy the show.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

I am from Slovenia. I am just angry that i did not bet on Kamal immidieatly after Biden witdrew, now i would bet Doni and enjoy the show.

Home of Dragic, Doncic, and Oblak.

[ninjagorn]

Home of Dragic, Doncic, and Oblak.

And Kopitar

[ChuckyTheGoat]

And Kopitar

Didn't think about him. Slovenia is supposed to be a great vacation destination. It's on my To Do list.

[ninjagorn]

Didn't think about him. Slovenia is supposed to be a great vacation destination. It's on my To Do list.

In 10 days you can see quit a lot. Mountains, lakes, coast, city life... Depends what you are looking for. We also have casinos. HIT in Portorož has a lot o tournaments and live games-crazy and rich Italians are guests.

[JohnGalt2341]

It's all about PA . If Trump takes it he's at 270 and the other 4 states won't matter. If something causes PA to swing back to the Democrats then MI & WI will also vote blue as those states are already closer in the polls. Those 3 states would put the Democrats at 270.

It's all about PA.

Here's PA currently at Polymarket:



I have 2 questions for you(or anyone else).

#1 What do you expect PA to be at(price/percentage wise) when we are within a few days before the election?

#2. Do you think this makes KH a legit favorite?

[johnnyvegas13]

So when does Hillary come in for Kamala ???

[JohnGalt2341]

So when does Hillary come in for Kamala ???

Any day now.

[JIBBBY]

^^^^Honeymoon phase and super fake news media hype drove up Kamala numbers for now. Brain dead Joe Biden dropping out helped also.

Policies matter.

Come on America remember how life was under Trump in the American Presidency before Covid hit. Life was good, no wars, no inflation, interest rates down and cheap gas prices.. REMEMBER and vote accordingly.

[JohnGalt2341]

[blankoblanco]

So when does Hillary come in for Kamala ???

Are you just completely detached from the reality of what is happening or what?

[johnnyvegas13]

Are you just completely detached from the reality of what is happening or what?

Nope

[JohnGalt2341]

^^^^Honeymoon phase and super fake news media hype drove up Kamala numbers for now. Brain dead Joe Biden dropping out helped also.

Policies matter.

Come on America remember how life was under Trump in the American Presidency before Covid hit. Life was good, no wars, no inflation, interest rates down and cheap gas prices.. REMEMBER and vote accordingly.

All you Trumpers keep saying this. And maybe it will turn out to be true. But what I can't figure out is why NONE of you guys are talking about what a GREAT value you can get on Trump right now. Why is that? It's baffling to me.

[JohnGalt2341]

All you Trumpers keep saying this. And maybe it will turn out to be true. But what I can't figure out is why NONE of you guys are talking about what a GREAT value you can get on Trump right now. Why is that? It's baffling to me.

For example, here are a couple I WOULD THINK you would like:





Post your ticket showing you bet on Trump for either of these, and I'll send you 1 Betpoint for every dollar you wagered.

[TheGoldenGoose]

I was wrong. I had said that women represented 51% of the registered voters. Women are actually 53% of the electorate. And they are pizzed off with Trumps three appointments to the SCOTUS. ROE v Wade overturned is going to get Harris elected.

Another thing that leaves me scratching my head is that Trump has 5 children with 3 different women. Can’t even imagine what people would be saying if Harris had 5 children with 3 different men.
The Democrat Convention will give Harris another 3 to 5% bump.
Trump is in trouble because Harris is going to sweep PA, MI and WI. That gives her exactly 270 electoral votes. NC, GA, AZ don’t even come into play.
HUGE trouble for Trump.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

I was wrong. I had said that women represented 51% of the registered voters. Women are actually 53% of the electorate. And they are pizzed off with Trumps three appointments to the SCOTUS. ROE v Wade overturned is going to get Harris elected.

Another thing that leaves me scratching my head is that Trump has 5 children with 3 different women. Can’t even imagine what people would be saying if Harris had 5 children with 3 different men.
The Democrat Convention will give Harris another 3 to 5% bump.
Trump is in trouble because Harris is going to sweep PA, MI and WI. That gives her exactly 270 electoral votes. NC, GA, AZ don’t even come into play.
HUGE trouble for Trump.

Goose, good info. Trump is now the betting Dog. Trump +103, Field -123:

*I've mentioned the battleground states.
...You think that Harris is now likely to sweep PA/MI/WI?
...It's really a very fine margin. In a population of 320Million, it's maybe a swing of +/-1Million (??) in those states.

[johnnyvegas13]

How r these debates gonna go w kamela who never answer anything

at least trump hillary would b entertaining

[ChuckyTheGoat]

How r these debates gonna go w kamela who never answer anything

at least trump hillary would b entertaining

Johnny, you like Trump @ +103?

1) Your point on Kamala debating is good.
2) I've said this re: Trump. He has a persuasive trait that is consistent with his business background. I'm surely he's going to campaigning PA/MI/WI hard.

[semibluff]

Here's PA currently at Polymarket:



I have 2 questions for you(or anyone else).

#1 What do you expect PA to be at(price/percentage wise) when we are within a few days before the election?

#2. Do you think this makes KH a legit favorite?

My opinion hasn't changed. Harris is now at her peak in the polls. She needed to by about 2-2.5% ahead in PA and 3-3.5% ahead in WI & MI 2 weeks into August to have a reasonable chance of taking all 3 states. The bigger the lead the longer she was likely to be able to hold it. She's gotten the undecideds and the 3rd party voters that could side with her. She has all the voters that she can garner.

She appears to be about 1% short of the targets I think she needs and there was no safety margin. Her losing some support over the next 3 weeks seems almost inevitable - at least to me. My guess is that if/when she slips back behind in the polls her remaining new supporters will quickly revert back to sitting on their hands or supporting 3rd parties. Harris will need a strong personality and a political vision to keep all her supporters and Trump could self-destruct. If not I think it's Trump's election.

Personally I would have Trump as a small favourite to win in PA as of now. I understand that the public makes the market and Harris being ahead in the current polls puts her ahead in the public's mind. A group-think tends to outperform an individual's analysis so I would be wary of betting my perception against the public.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Trump campaign has events in PA/MI this week:

https://www.donaldjtrump.com/events

[ninjagorn]

All you Trumpers keep saying this. And maybe it will turn out to be true. But what I can't figure out is why NONE of you guys are talking about what a GREAT value you can get on Trump right now. Why is that? It's baffling to me.

Exactly, put your money where your mouth is!

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Exactly, put your money where your mouth is!

Ninja, if you're unbiased, what do you think?

You like Trump at a Dog price?

[ChuckyTheGoat]

https://www.270towin.com/

*GEO flipped back to Undecided after being Red (Republican).

*North Carolina is fractionally red.
...Not a coincidence that Trump is campaigning there this week. Telling you, everything this guy does has an end-goal (including attending the Bitcoin conference).

[Optional]

My opinion hasn't changed. Harris is now at her peak in the polls.

Agree it will probably regress toward even as election day approaches.

Without knowing what news cycle events are likely to pop up along the way, I'd guess that right before the next debate starts will be the best time to bet Harris if you like her to win.

Thinking Trump bettors will be thinking he wipes her out in the debate and that might be the last chance they have to get him at +odds.

[JohnGalt2341]

Agree it will probably regress toward even as election day approaches.

Without knowing what news cycle events are likely to pop up along the way, I'd guess that right before the next debate starts will be the best time to bet Harris if you like her to win.

Thinking Trump bettors will be thinking he wipes her out in the debate and that might be the last chance they have to get him at +odds.

I personally think that best time to bet on TRUMP might be right AFTER the debate. BetOnline is currently giving Harris roughly a 64% chance(it wouldn't surprise me at all if this increases slightly in the weeks to come) to win the debate, if we are to trust their current No-Vig odds. I would say that's about right IMO.

I've said it before and I'll say it again... a college football team that is ranked 50th in the country is going to look pretty damn good against the worst team in the nation. But against a top 40 team, they aren't going to look nearly as good. We shall see.

I will say this though... Trump will likely say these types of things during the debate..."During my administration we had the greatest economy in the history of mankind... and you're not going to have a country if you vote for KH... etc etc." It will be bragging and what not, along with insults and scare tactics. And all the Right-Wingers will say stuff like... "Trump ANNIHIlLATED Harris!!" And I will be thinking... "He didn't say a damn thing!! All he did was attempt to brag and attempt to insult and attempt to scare people!! It's nothing!"

I wish people would consider that if Trump loses the election, there is less than a 1% chance that he will accept the results. If every candidate that ran did this, what do you think would happen to the U.S. in a very short period of time?

[DwightShrute]

good luck those who are wagering on this election.

Just remember back in 2016, there were books, PaddyPower being one, which paid out those who bet Crooked Hillary to win. They paid several days before they election.

Also, keep in mind that in 2020 Trump got more votes than any incumbent in US history. Yes, I know some of you will point out that Biden who hid in his basement for months, got 81 million votes. Around 10 million more than Obama. But we all know 81 million people didn't vote for the walking zombie. Some of you will never admit it so there no use going over it again. Just refreshing your memory.

Now in 2024, let's all remember what the dems are willing to do in order to stop Trump. The impeached him after he left office so that he couldn't run again and that he would lose his SS protection. He was acquitted of course. They weaponized the justice department by inventing charges in order to prevent Trump from campaigning and to hurt him financially. Oh and with every intention to brand him as a criminal. Then they just stood there while some guy climbs a roof and tried to assassinate him. Not saying they were in on it but it does raise a lot a questions and do you really think they wouldn't go to that level? I said it years ago, they would try and kill Trump.

So bet your $50 or what ever the max bet is on these political offerings, its almost like betting on wrestling nowadays.