2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

**Judge Crater** · 10-26-20, 04:07 PM

I think it is the opposite, the prevailing mainstream opinion is that Biden is up in Pennsylvania, hence todays odds
Biden -208
Trump +184
For those who believe it is the right number, nothing to do
For those who believe Trump should be the favorite, one should bet one of the largest wagers they ever have made. How many times can you get a favorite at +184

How could that not be the correct play if you think Trump is leading in PA. The one thing I do not seem to see in this thread is "Trump is the clear favorite" believers betting. Lots of nicknames, no talk of betting.

Originally posted by RudyRuetigger

dont try to reason with those fukkin clowns

**RudyRuetigger** · 10-26-20, 04:08 PM

Originally posted by vitterd

Bwaaaaahhhh. Not one sane person believes this. Wisconsin is not in play.

I actually agree with you

Wisconsin is not in play

Trump 2020

**RudyRuetigger** · 10-26-20, 04:08 PM

Originally posted by Judge Crater

I think it is the opposite, the prevailing mainstream opinion is that Biden is up in Pennsylvania, hence todays odds
Biden -208
Trump +184
For those who believe it is the right number, nothing to do
For those who believe Trump should be the favorite, one should bet one of the largest wagers they ever have made. How many times can you get a favorite at +184

How could that not be the correct play if you think Trump is leading in PA. The one thing I do not seem to see in this thread is "Trump is the clear favorite" believers betting. Lots of nicknames, no talk of betting.

do you know the limits on these?

quit posting

im not sure if we were friends on your last handle or we were enemies and now you want to be friends...but im not going to agree with anyone for the hell of it

**RoyBacon** · 10-26-20, 04:08 PM

Originally posted by vitterd

Bwaaaaahhhh. Not one sane person believes this. Wisconsin is not in play.

I got a big bet on Wisky. Sleeper, fewer tards and trannys than you think. A lot of moderate tards voting Trump. Will be real close. I got almost 2-1.

**ByeShea** · 10-26-20, 04:09 PM

Originally posted by jt315

Republicans now lead in Wisconsin in number of ballots returned!

Republican ballots: 42%

Democrat ballots: 36%

Hold on.

Do you think this could possibly mean suburban Wisconsin did not welcome and cherish all that BLM/Antifa unrest?

**vitterd** · 10-26-20, 04:11 PM

Originally posted by RoyBacon

I got a big bet on Wisky. Sleeper, fewer tards and trannys than you think. A lot of moderate tards voting Trump. Will be real close. I got almost 2-1.

Wisconsin is out of reach for don the con. Zero chance.

**RudyRuetigger** · 10-26-20, 04:12 PM

2016

**RudyRuetigger** · 10-26-20, 04:12 PM

2020

**vitterd** · 10-26-20, 04:12 PM

Originally posted by ByeShea

Hold on.

Do you think this could possibly mean suburban Wisconsin did not welcome and cherish all that BLM/Antifa unrest?

They aren’t enjoying the massive cases, hospitalizations and deaths due to Trumpvirus. Zero chance in Wisconsin

**Judge Crater** · 10-26-20, 04:13 PM

You seem nice

Originally posted by RudyRuetigger

do you know the limits on these?
quit posting

im not sure if we were friends on your last handle or we were enemies and now you want to be friends...but im not going to agree with anyone for the hell of it

**RudyRuetigger** · 10-26-20, 04:14 PM

Originally posted by RudyRuetigger

2016

Originally posted by RudyRuetigger

2020

looks close regarding asians

**JohnGalt2341** · 10-26-20, 04:16 PM

Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY

So you really think Trump was serious about injecting disinfectant..you are a dumb sum biatch

Did you watch the video? Are you telling me that he was being sarcastic? If it wasn't sarcasm...then what was it? He's looking directly at Dr. Birx when he says it and nobody is laughing.

It's like the time when he said "I don't see any reason why Russia WOULD interfere in our election." This is what he said when he was standing with Putin in his presence. The next day when Putin was out of sight he said "I meant to say WOULDN'T" Only the very dumbest of dumb believes this explanation.

Boy, you Trump cult members are in even deeper than I thought.

**jt315** · 10-26-20, 04:17 PM

Originally posted by ByeShea

Hold on.

Do you think this could possibly mean suburban Wisconsin did not welcome and cherish all that BLM/Antifa unrest?

That and they’re a major producer of frac sand ? Nah !

**RudyRuetigger** · 10-26-20, 04:18 PM

Originally posted by JohnGalt2341

Did you watch the video? Are you telling me that he was being sarcastic? If it wasn't sarcasm...then what was it? He's looking directly at Dr. Birx when he says it and nobody is laughing.

It's like the time when he said "I don't see any reason why Russia WOULD interfere in our election." This is what he said when he was standing with Putin in his presence. The next day when Putin was out of sight he said "I meant to say WOULDN'T" Only the very dumbest of dumb believes this explanation.

Boy, you Trump cult members are in even deeper than I thought.

he was in a room with everyone that hates him (the media)

and they were looking into some things, i bet some work but wont be made public due to how much USA makes on sick patients

Galt you are a piece of shit, PERIOD

**vitterd** · 10-26-20, 04:18 PM

Originally posted by JohnGalt2341

Did you watch the video? Are you telling me that he was being sarcastic? If it wasn't sarcasm...then what was it? He's looking directly at Dr. Birx when he says it and nobody is laughing.

It's like the time when he said "I don't see any reason why Russia WOULD interfere in our election." This is what he said when he was standing with Putin in his presence. The next day when Putin was out of sight he said "I meant to say WOULDN'T" Only the very dumbest of dumb believes this explanation.

Boy, you Trump cult members are in even deeper than I thought.

It’s amazing that someone is actually buying the “it was sarcasm” defense. I knew Harry was stupid but had no idea this stupid. Once you see him post that, everything he says now becomes irrelevant.

**RudyRuetigger** · 10-26-20, 04:19 PM

Originally posted by JohnGalt2341

Did you watch the video? Are you telling me that he was being sarcastic? If it wasn't sarcasm...then what was it? He's looking directly at Dr. Birx when he says it and nobody is laughing.

It's like the time when he said "I don't see any reason why Russia WOULD interfere in our election." This is what he said when he was standing with Putin in his presence. The next day when Putin was out of sight he said "I meant to say WOULDN'T" Only the very dumbest of dumb believes this explanation.

Boy, you Trump cult members are in even deeper than I thought.

do you remember what obama said to putin when he thought the mics were off?

you are a goddamn idiot

**RudyRuetigger** · 10-26-20, 04:20 PM

Originally posted by vitterd

It’s amazing that someone is actually buying the “it was sarcasm” defense. I knew Harry was stupid but had no idea this stupid. Once you see him post that, everything he says now becomes irrelevant.

harry is a nice guy and would probably just say ok

im not letting a democrat win 1 single fukkin thread around here, even if biden wins the election

you idiots are fukkin crazy

**maggiethebestdog** · 10-26-20, 04:25 PM

Originally posted by JohnGalt2341

I almost never talk about the actual politics, I only point out that Trump is a pathological liar and should not be trusted. I provide evidence for this as well.

What sources are you referring to? And what premises are false? I rarely point out anything on here unless the source is Trump himself. See the video in post #1563. The source is Trump himself.

You Trumpsters fail to realize that many of us are actually trying to help you see the truth about Trump. It's no different than me telling someone from the Jim Jones cult to not drink the kool-aid.

LOL

I know you have a learning disability, so I will explain this to you once again

Everyone knows Trump lies
Everyone knows Biden lies

Everyone knows they are both corrupt
Everyone knows every politician fits those descriptions

You repeat proven lies about Trump as well

When you say you aren't playing politics, you are either intentionally lying or just too dumb to see the obvious

You are playing politics because you only point out Trump's faults and not Biden's

You insinuate that Trump is worse than Biden when obviously that is not true

You are just like the media

Most people that will vote for Trump know both sides aren't good, but liberal dems have gone off the deep end

He is the lesser of two evils

You may not agree with that, but for you to say that you are not being "political" is absurd

I honestly don't know if you are just lying or really this dumb

Please have a 3rd grader explain this to you, take a sedative, and STFU

**JohnGalt2341** · 10-26-20, 04:26 PM

Originally posted by RudyRuetigger

he was in a room with everyone that hates him (the media)

and they were looking into some things, i bet some work but wont be made public due to how much USA makes on sick patients

Galt you are a piece of shit, PERIOD

How many infractions or bans have you got since joining SBR?

I've got NONE in more than 10 years. Even SBR knows who biggest pieces of shit are. But they know that SBR is your life so they coddle you like a child. You should be thanking SBR every single day that they still allow you to post here. The only thing you add to SBR is anger and stupidity.

**RudyRuetigger** · 10-26-20, 04:29 PM

Originally posted by JohnGalt2341

How many infractions or bans have you got since joining SBR?

I've got NONE in more than 10 years. Even SBR knows who biggest pieces of shit are. But they know that SBR is your life so they coddle you like a child. You should be thanking SBR every single day that they still allow you to post here. The only thing you add to SBR is anger and stupidity.

Do you want me to go through all of my infractions?

Will be very unfortunate if you dont agree with most of them since I was always helping the player

**JohnGalt2341** · 10-26-20, 04:32 PM

Originally posted by maggiethebestdog

LOL

I know you have a learning disability, so I will explain this to you once again

Everyone knows Trump lies
Everyone knows Biden lies

Everyone knows they are both corrupt
Everyone knows every politician fits those descriptions

You repeat proven lies about Trump as well

When you say you aren't playing politics, you are either intentionally lying or just too dumb to see the obvious

You are playing politics because you only point out Trump's faults and not Biden's

You insinuate that Trump is worse than Biden when obviously that is not true

You are just like the media

Most people that will vote for Trump know both sides aren't good, but liberal dems have gone off the deep end

He is the lesser of two evils

You may not agree with that, but for you to say that you are not being "political" is absurd

I honestly don't know if you are just lying or really this dumb

Please have a 3rd grader explain this to you, take a sedative, and STFU

If you had a teenage son and you found out that he drank alcohol, would it matter to you if he occasionally drank a few beers at a party once a month... OR if he drank a liter of vodka a day. There's a difference. And it's HUGE.

I've challenged all of you cult members to an IQ test of your choice and not a single one of you has taken me up on that offer. It's not hard to see who the frauds are on SBR.

**JohnGalt2341** · 10-26-20, 04:34 PM

Originally posted by RudyRuetigger

Do you want me to go through all of my infractions?

Will be very unfortunate if you dont agree with most of them since I was always helping the player

Sure, just name a dozen or so for now.

**Judge Crater** · 10-26-20, 04:34 PM

Todays PA Poll by Reuters/IPSOS

Oct. 20-26: Biden +5 (Biden 50%-45%) Lots tougher to come back when your opponent is at 50% or higher
Oct. 13-19: Biden+4

Oct. 6-11: Biden+7

Sept. 29-Oct.6: Biden+5

**RudyRuetigger** · 10-26-20, 04:34 PM

Originally posted by JohnGalt2341

If you had a teenage son and you found out that he drank alcohol, would it matter to you if he occasionally drank a few beers at a party once a month... OR if he drank a liter of vodka a day. There's a difference. And it's HUGE.

I've challenged all of you cult members to an IQ test of your choice and not a single one of you has taken me up on that offer. It's not hard to see who the frauds are on SBR.

can it be how to change your oil?

how to change a flat tire?

or............do you want to find the most likely pattern in a next series?

do you see the problem here galt?

do you want to compare words, or know what to make crops grow?

do you see the problem yet?

**BOA12** · 10-26-20, 04:36 PM

Originally posted by JohnGalt2341

If you had a teenage son and you found out that he drank alcohol, would it matter to you if he occasionally drank a few beers at a party once a month... OR if he drank a liter of vodka a day. There's a difference. And it's HUGE.

I've challenged all of you cult members to an IQ test of your choice and not a single one of you has taken me up on that offer. It's not hard to see who the frauds are on SBR.

From the womb 2 the tomb.

**RudyRuetigger** · 10-26-20, 04:36 PM

Originally posted by JohnGalt2341

Sure, just name a dozen or so for now.

i dont have a dozen

sbrdrew didnt list them in my infraction charts

only optionals

**maggiethebestdog** · 10-26-20, 04:37 PM

Originally posted by JohnGalt2341

If you had a teenage son and you found out that he drank alcohol, would it matter to you if he occasionally drank a few beers at a party once a month... OR if he drank a liter of vodka a day. There's a difference. And it's HUGE.

I've challenged all of you cult members to an IQ test of your choice and not a single one of you has taken me up on that offer. It's not hard to see who the frauds are on SBR.

LOL

Like I said, I knew I was wasting my time

It's obvious to me that you really are this dumb, so at least you aren't intentionally lying, so congrats on that

The people who created hexversi should be indicted for fraud

If your score is higher than a door knobs score, they obviously have quite a scam going

**RudyRuetigger** · 10-26-20, 04:38 PM

Originally posted by maggiethebestdog

LOL

Like I said, I knew I was wasting my time

It's obvious to me that you really are this dumb, so at least you aren't intentionally lying, so congrats on that

The people who created hexversi should be indicted for fraud

If your score is higher than a door knobs score, they obviously have quite a scam going

he named states in order while juggling as well

hes a real genius

**RudyRuetigger** · 10-26-20, 04:44 PM

Originally posted by RudyRuetigger

i dont have a dozen

sbrdrew didnt list them in my infraction charts

only optionals

And for the record, Im not sure I ever explicitly stated any mod was worthless except for sbrdrew (now fired)

Optional has given me the most infractions (Genie 2nd most), I am sure there are other mods involved in that

I never said anyone else should be fired including (optional and genie, meaning i dont remember saying they should be fired) plus those that actually were fired and people made fun of (sbrdax)

**vitterd** · 10-26-20, 04:47 PM

This isn’t tough stuff. Biden already has 278 EV in the bank. It’s just a matter if he wins Iowa, Florida, Arizona, Texas, Georgia.

Biden has won....just by a matter of how much.

**JohnGalt2341** · 10-26-20, 04:48 PM

Originally posted by RudyRuetigger

can it be how to change your oil?

how to change a flat tire?

or............do you want to find the most likely pattern in a next series?

do you see the problem here galt?

do you want to compare words, or know what to make crops grow?

do you see the problem yet?

You see, this is exactly what I am talking about. You know you can't beat me at games or tests of intelligence so you just jump to the conclusion that I am bad at other things that it would be impossible for you to know and you don't have one shred of evidence for.

Trump uses this same strategy all the time. He makes up something out of the blue out of thin air and his cult runs with it like it is now the truth. This is why you always see Trump cult members say things like... "He probably (insert insult here)" And then the next thing you know the cult considers it the truth. Your style of coming to conclusions is beyond terrible. It's no wonder why you are a losing gambler.

**Judge Crater** · 10-26-20, 04:56 PM

Reuters Poll

WISCONSIN (Oct. 20 - Oct. 26):
* Voting for Biden: 53%
* Voting for Trump: 44%
* Biden’s advantage is marginally wider than his 51%-43% lead the prior week.
* 33% said they already had voted.

Michigan:
Biden 51% (+7)
Trump 44%

Pennsylvania:
Biden 50% (+5)
Trump 45%

Florida:
Biden 50% (+4)
Trump 46%

Arizona:
Biden 49% (+3)
Trump 46%

**Itsamazing777** · 10-26-20, 05:13 PM

Trump wins all 4 states

**Judge Crater** · 10-26-20, 05:14 PM

There are 5 listed
Looks like he would have to win 3 of the 5 states
Would he need a polling error bigger than 2016?

Originally posted by Itsamazing777

Trump wins all 4 states

**Itsamazing777** · 10-26-20, 05:19 PM

Originally posted by Judge Crater

There are 5 listed
Looks like he would have to win 3 of the 5 states
Would he need a polling error bigger than 2016?

i believe so
We will see