KVB Post Your Contrarian Fund Report

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  • vitterd
    Restricted User
    • 09-14-17
    • 58460

    #666
    Originally posted by Jayvegas420
    That was my public pick...I also had 4 mental bets that I only PM to premium members. I went 4-0 but they're secret picks, and I don't sent them to Non pros....before you ask
    Post those fades. For the 2021 year….you are 11-42 overall.
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #667
      KVB on a Bull run
      Comment
      • KVB
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 05-29-14
        • 74817

        #668
        Originally posted by jjgold
        KVB on a Bull run
        41.44 units since June 26th, a pretty straight line up. The sharks are circling, and hopefully there will be confirmation for us to get even more aggressive.

        That Vittard kid still in here crying for attention? Unreal. I guess a win streak like this can attract some "hangers ons" but it's both funny and sad that some posters do it just in hopes of getting some spillover attention. What a tool. I remember the lousivillekid character, the one that had to put a 1 after his handel lmao trying to chase after my handle for attention, that too was funny and sad.

        41.44 units since losing that first playon June 26th. It's the market, it's been favorable since that great shakeout early on. I smell a top coming and a retraction to possibly 25 units but taking no further action there until we have more confirmation. I don't have to be right here, in 2017 we just rose nice and steady, clearing more than +30 units. This rise has been pretty steep though, and that usually means some volatility.



        You can see in 2020, one final little shake before a sharp rise that continued into this season. Look how long it took to eventually "cover" that rise and notice how the market covered it almost exactly.



        Gold how do you think that is possible? Can you pick up what I'm putting down?



        Comment
        • GT21Megatron
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-20-13
          • 10818

          #669
          Some good ones tonight
          Comment
          • KVB
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 05-29-14
            • 74817

            #670
            Originally posted by GT21Megatron
            Some good ones tonight
            Yeah a few games lit up for me and Zona made it...


            Originally posted by KVB
            Originally posted by KVB
            ...Zona is on the radar and I have both Pit and Balty in the broader Fund...
            The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

            958 2-Aug ARI +176
            Backbone play.
            Comment
            • KVB
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 05-29-14
              • 74817

              #671
              Here's the most recent summary and this time we are reflecting my asset allocation change (at least for the Backbone, if I added the Totals I moved into, there would be some profit already)...

              Originally posted by KVB
              Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 256 plays after August 1st, with links to each play. The current ROI on the season is 11.56%.

              I've added another colums to this chart and it represents the current allocation, with a 50% decrease oin the Unit size. As we walk through the next market cycle I will track these allocation calls...

              1-Aug PIT +148 -1 -0.5
              TEX +133 1.33 0.665
              Sun 0.33 0.165
              Week 1-4 5.03
              Week 5-8 -3.32
              Week 9-12 -7.34
              Week 13-16 18.07
              Week 17 12.37
              Mon -
              Tue -0.78
              Wed -0.21
              Thu 0.63
              Fri -0.77 23.68
              Sat 4.88 2.44
              Total 28.89 26.285
              Here's the season chart. Could we be seeing a potential head and shoulders pattern develop? Earlier in the season I predicted a sideways to down market right before the early mountain, marked in yellow.

              Now I've reduced out Unit size 50% at the purple circle, and said this when I did so...
              Originally posted by KVB
              The presence of this gap gives us some urgency to think about changing our outlook here and taking 50% of the unit size out of the Fund. Sure, we are predicting, or trying to predict, a drop through the SMAs. We could see a small rize before coming back down, but it is my feeling that we will be entering a more choppy, volatile market in the near term....

              Here's the season chart with the yellow dot and purple circle references, we are at a season high...


              ...
              As you can see my outlook remains a short term sideways to negative market with the possibility of this blip upwards and our allocatin here is 50%, reflecting that outlook.

              I want to clarify a little just what I was saying in that last summary. I want to point out the two highlighted yellow parts of our two year chart...



              Again some of the more conservative traders and in fact some big money will wait for some of this confirmation to play out. I am a little more aggressive by cutting the unit size in the Aggressive Fund all the way down to 50%. We may be at this unit level for some time in that Fund. Again, I expect som volatility and a more sideways to lower market just like I did at the yellow dot in the summary.

              Last time I was right, let's see what market awaits us this week.

              Comment
              • pablo222
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-03-19
                • 8858

                #672
                Very impressive KVB.
                Comment
                • jjgold
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-20-05
                  • 388179

                  #673
                  Is it luck????
                  Comment
                  • Jayvegas420
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 03-09-11
                    • 28213

                    #674
                    60% luck 40% science
                    Comment
                    • KVB
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 05-29-14
                      • 74817

                      #675
                      We are in action with Detroit and Minny so far...

                      Originally posted by KVB
                      The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

                      920 3-Aug DET +132
                      925 MIN +127
                      Backbone play.
                      Here's the recent summary...

                      Originally posted by KVB
                      Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund BackBone with links to each play and an added column reflecting the KVB MLB Contrarian Aggressive Trader Fund and it's decrease of 50% of the units size.

                      958 2-Aug ARI +176 -1 -0.5
                      Mon -1 -0.5
                      Week 1-4 5.03
                      Week 5-8 -3.32
                      Week 9-12 -7.34
                      Week 13-16 18.07
                      Week 17 12.37 24.81
                      Week 18 4.08 1.475
                      Total 27.89 25.785

                      So far the Agressive Trader Fund has left 2.105 units on the table. I mentioned that more conservative traders would wait for more confirmatory signals of a market direction change, and at this point they sit just one unit off the season high.


                      ...
                      Comment
                      • jjgold
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-20-05
                        • 388179

                        #676
                        This guy is basically using the Basic strategy slide and glide
                        Comment
                        • KVB
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 05-29-14
                          • 74817

                          #677
                          Picked up Zona in the Backbone...

                          Originally posted by KVB
                          The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

                          912 3-Aug ARI +169
                          Backbone play. BOL offering the best line here.
                          Comment
                          • BeatTheJerk
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 08-19-07
                            • 31794

                            #678
                            This is unfuckingprecedented what KVB is doing in his fund the last month.
                            Comment
                            • KVB
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 05-29-14
                              • 74817

                              #679
                              Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
                              This is unfuckingprecedented what KVB is doing in his fund the last month.
                              What do you mean Jerky? I'm doing terrible.

                              Just look at what this guy said a few minutes ago...

                              Originally posted by dlowilly
                              ...Probably just pissy ur contrarian system sucks balls
                              Comment
                              • BeatTheJerk
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 08-19-07
                                • 31794

                                #680
                                Originally posted by KVB
                                What do you mean Jerky? I'm doing terrible.

                                Just look at what this guy said a few minutes ago...



                                Wow I’m speechless what exactly are they seeing ...
                                Comment
                                • KVB
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 05-29-14
                                  • 74817

                                  #681
                                  Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
                                  Wow I’m speechless what exactly are they seeing ...
                                  Frustrated posters with nothing but baseless attacks as a response.

                                  It's easier for him just assume I'm "pissy" than to realize he's actually an idiot. It's an ego thing so he makes something up.

                                  Comment
                                  • manny24
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-22-07
                                    • 20046

                                    #682
                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                    This guy is basically using the Basic strategy slide and glide


                                    i don't think so Coach

                                    KV taking off like a rocket in here

                                    Comment
                                    • KVB
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 05-29-14
                                      • 74817

                                      #683
                                      Originally posted by manny24


                                      i don't think so Coach

                                      KV taking off like a rocket in here

                                      Like a Russian Rocket!!!

                                      Comment
                                      • BeatTheJerk
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 08-19-07
                                        • 31794

                                        #684
                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                        This guy is basically using the Basic strategy slide and glide
                                        Wtf does “slide & glide” mean Gold ? Sounds like some 1st date homosexual type shit ya heard.
                                        Comment
                                        • KVB
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 05-29-14
                                          • 74817

                                          #685
                                          Here's the recent summary...

                                          Originally posted by KVB
                                          Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after Tuesday with links to each play and a 2nd column of the Agressive Trader Fund...

                                          912 3-Aug ARI +169 1.69 0.845
                                          920 DET +132 1.32 0.66
                                          925 MIN +127 1.27 0.635
                                          Tue 4.28 2.14
                                          Week 1-4 5.03
                                          Week 5-8 -3.32
                                          Week 9-12 -7.34
                                          Week 13-16 18.07
                                          Week 17 12.37 24.81
                                          Week 18 4.08 1.475
                                          Mon -1 -0.5
                                          Total 32.17 27.925
                                          Here's the recent 2 year chart, our revised unit axis is starting to make the shakeouts earlier in the season look less and less significant...


                                          ...
                                          Comment
                                          • jjgold
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 07-20-05
                                            • 388179

                                            #686
                                            What a chart
                                            Gliding up
                                            Comment
                                            • KVB
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 05-29-14
                                              • 74817

                                              #687
                                              In action with Texas...

                                              Originally posted by KVB
                                              The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

                                              972 4-Aug TEX +164
                                              Backbone play...
                                              Comment
                                              • KVB
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 05-29-14
                                                • 74817

                                                #688
                                                The Fund is in action with Detroit today.

                                                Here's the play and the recent summary...

                                                Originally posted by KVB
                                                The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

                                                914 5-Aug DET +116
                                                Backbone play.

                                                Here's the recent summary...

                                                972 4-Aug TEX +164 -1 -0.5
                                                Wed -1 -0.5
                                                Week 1-4 5.03
                                                Week 5-8 -3.32
                                                Week 9-12 -7.34
                                                Week 13-16 18.07
                                                Week 17 12.37 24.81
                                                Week 18 4.08 1.475
                                                Mon -1 -0.5
                                                Tue 4.28 2.14
                                                Total 31.17 27.425

                                                ...
                                                Comment
                                                • KVB
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                  • 74817

                                                  #689
                                                  Added the Cubs to the Fund...

                                                  Originally posted by KVB
                                                  The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

                                                  903 5-Aug CHI +135
                                                  Backbone play...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • manny24
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 10-22-07
                                                    • 20046

                                                    #690
                                                    nobody in their right mind on CHI

                                                    KV against the world

                                                    Comment
                                                    • jjgold
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                      • 388179

                                                      #691
                                                      Comment
                                                      • KVB
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                        • 74817

                                                        #692
                                                        Added KC to the Fund, putting the proftiable day on the line...

                                                        Originally posted by KVB
                                                        The KVB MLB Contrarain Fund has added...

                                                        921 5-Aug KC +181
                                                        Backbone plays. Heritage with a good line...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Jayvegas420
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 03-09-11
                                                          • 28213

                                                          #693
                                                          1-1 for +u
                                                          with one more to go
                                                          Comment
                                                          • KVB
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 05-29-14
                                                            • 74817

                                                            #694
                                                            Originally posted by Jayvegas420
                                                            1-1 for +u
                                                            with one more to go
                                                            Can't believe it hit, these plays just keep winning.

                                                            Here's the recent summary...

                                                            Originally posted by KVB
                                                            Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after Thrusday, with links to each play, and a second column reflecting the additional Aggressive Trader units...

                                                            903 5-Aug CHI +135 -1 -0.5
                                                            914 DET +116 1.16 0.58
                                                            921 KC +181 1.81 0.905
                                                            Thu 1.97 0.985
                                                            Week 1-4 5.03
                                                            Week 5-8 -3.32
                                                            Week 9-12 -7.34
                                                            Week 13-16 18.07
                                                            Week 17 12.37 24.81
                                                            Week 18 4.08 1.475
                                                            Mon -1 -0.5
                                                            Tue 4.28 2.14
                                                            Wed -1 -0.5
                                                            Total 33.14 28.41
                                                            Here's the two year chart, but it's starting to look like we may just deal with the season chart on a regular basis at this point. We've gone on such a run here that those -11 and -10 unit shakeouts seem so small. But at the time, they weren't small at all...


                                                            ...


                                                            Outlook is the same and the KVB MLB Contrian Aggressive Trader Fund remains at 50% allocation. Both Funds continue to bring in profits. While the Aggressive Trader Fund is off the main index by about 4.7 units, remember it was full force (and multiple units) on this market rise until recently. A lot of profit was taken off the table here and that money that was moved out of the Aggressive Trader Fund went into Totals plays, some of which I posted early on, that were winning.

                                                            Markets are kind to my office right now, and we are sitting on some reserves.

                                                            As we pivot towards the football markets there may be less Contrarian Fund posting, there are other market tracking Funds that may be ready to pop.

                                                            The KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket is one, that was down -9.64 units on the short year last year year but beat the closing line handily. In fact, many of those UPSETS were favorites by the close.

                                                            Comment
                                                            • KVB
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 05-29-14
                                                              • 74817

                                                              #695
                                                              We are in action with Pit today...

                                                              Originally posted by KVB
                                                              The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

                                                              953 6-Aug PIT +170
                                                              Backbone play.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • KVB
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 05-29-14
                                                                • 74817

                                                                #696
                                                                Added KC to the Fund, seeing a lot of the same characters repeated here wtih teams like KC and Pit.

                                                                Originally posted by KVB
                                                                The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

                                                                977 6-Aug KC +155
                                                                Backbone play...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jjgold
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                                  • 388179

                                                                  #697
                                                                  KVB your a prick share the wealth man
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • KVB
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                                    • 74817

                                                                    #698
                                                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                                                    KVB your a prick share the wealth man
                                                                    I thought posting plays was sharing.

                                                                    And sharing is caring.

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • unde0087
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 03-27-08
                                                                      • 28896

                                                                      #699
                                                                      Leggo
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jjgold
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 07-20-05
                                                                        • 388179

                                                                        #700
                                                                        This is one of the greatest bull runs I’ve ever seen
                                                                        Comment
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