KVB Post Your Contrarian Fund Report
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vitterdRestricted User
- 09-14-17
- 58460
#666Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#667KVB on a Bull runComment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#66841.44 units since June 26th, a pretty straight line up. The sharks are circling, and hopefully there will be confirmation for us to get even more aggressive.
That Vittard kid still in here crying for attention? Unreal. I guess a win streak like this can attract some "hangers ons" but it's both funny and sad that some posters do it just in hopes of getting some spillover attention. What a tool. I remember the lousivillekid character, the one that had to put a 1 after his handel lmao trying to chase after my handle for attention, that too was funny and sad.
41.44 units since losing that first playon June 26th. It's the market, it's been favorable since that great shakeout early on. I smell a top coming and a retraction to possibly 25 units but taking no further action there until we have more confirmation. I don't have to be right here, in 2017 we just rose nice and steady, clearing more than +30 units. This rise has been pretty steep though, and that usually means some volatility.
You can see in 2020, one final little shake before a sharp rise that continued into this season. Look how long it took to eventually "cover" that rise and notice how the market covered it almost exactly.
Gold how do you think that is possible? Can you pick up what I'm putting down?
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GT21MegatronSBR Posting Legend
- 12-20-13
- 10818
#669Some good ones tonightComment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#670Yeah a few games lit up for me and Zona made it...
Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#671Here's the most recent summary and this time we are reflecting my asset allocation change (at least for the Backbone, if I added the Totals I moved into, there would be some profit already)...
Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 256 plays after August 1st, with links to each play. The current ROI on the season is 11.56%.
I've added another colums to this chart and it represents the current allocation, with a 50% decrease oin the Unit size. As we walk through the next market cycle I will track these allocation calls...
Here's the season chart. Could we be seeing a potential head and shoulders pattern develop? Earlier in the season I predicted a sideways to down market right before the early mountain, marked in yellow.1-Aug PIT +148 -1 -0.5 TEX +133 1.33 0.665 Sun 0.33 0.165 Week 1-4 5.03 Week 5-8 -3.32 Week 9-12 -7.34 Week 13-16 18.07 Week 17 12.37 Mon - Tue -0.78 Wed -0.21 Thu 0.63 Fri -0.77 23.68 Sat 4.88 2.44 Total 28.89 26.285
Now I've reduced out Unit size 50% at the purple circle, and said this when I did so...
The presence of this gap gives us some urgency to think about changing our outlook here and taking 50% of the unit size out of the Fund. Sure, we are predicting, or trying to predict, a drop through the SMAs. We could see a small rize before coming back down, but it is my feeling that we will be entering a more choppy, volatile market in the near term....
Here's the season chart with the yellow dot and purple circle references, we are at a season high...
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I want to clarify a little just what I was saying in that last summary. I want to point out the two highlighted yellow parts of our two year chart...
Again some of the more conservative traders and in fact some big money will wait for some of this confirmation to play out. I am a little more aggressive by cutting the unit size in the Aggressive Fund all the way down to 50%. We may be at this unit level for some time in that Fund. Again, I expect som volatility and a more sideways to lower market just like I did at the yellow dot in the summary.
Last time I was right, let's see what market awaits us this week.
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pablo222SBR Hall of Famer
- 01-03-19
- 8858
#672Very impressive KVB.Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#673Is it luck????Comment -
Jayvegas420BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 03-09-11
- 28213
#67460% luck 40% scienceComment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#675We are in action with Detroit and Minny so far...
Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund BackBone with links to each play and an added column reflecting the KVB MLB Contrarian Aggressive Trader Fund and it's decrease of 50% of the units size.
958 2-Aug ARI +176 -1 -0.5 Mon -1 -0.5 Week 1-4 5.03 Week 5-8 -3.32 Week 9-12 -7.34 Week 13-16 18.07 Week 17 12.37 24.81 Week 18 4.08 1.475 Total 27.89 25.785
So far the Agressive Trader Fund has left 2.105 units on the table. I mentioned that more conservative traders would wait for more confirmatory signals of a market direction change, and at this point they sit just one unit off the season high.
...Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#676This guy is basically using the Basic strategy slide and glideComment -
BeatTheJerkBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 08-19-07
- 31794
#678This is unfuckingprecedented what KVB is doing in his fund the last month.Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#679Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#685Here's the recent summary...
Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after Tuesday with links to each play and a 2nd column of the Agressive Trader Fund...
Here's the recent 2 year chart, our revised unit axis is starting to make the shakeouts earlier in the season look less and less significant...912 3-Aug ARI +169 1.69 0.845 920 DET +132 1.32 0.66 925 MIN +127 1.27 0.635 Tue 4.28 2.14 Week 1-4 5.03 Week 5-8 -3.32 Week 9-12 -7.34 Week 13-16 18.07 Week 17 12.37 24.81 Week 18 4.08 1.475 Mon -1 -0.5 Total 32.17 27.925
...Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#686What a chart
Gliding upComment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#688The Fund is in action with Detroit today.
Here's the play and the recent summary...
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manny24SBR Posting Legend
- 10-22-07
- 20046
#690nobody in their right mind on CHI
KV against the world
Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#691Comment -
Jayvegas420BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 03-09-11
- 28213
#6931-1 for +u
with one more to go
Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#694Can't believe it hit, these plays just keep winning.
Here's the recent summary...
Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after Thrusday, with links to each play, and a second column reflecting the additional Aggressive Trader units...
Here's the two year chart, but it's starting to look like we may just deal with the season chart on a regular basis at this point. We've gone on such a run here that those -11 and -10 unit shakeouts seem so small. But at the time, they weren't small at all...903 5-Aug CHI +135 -1 -0.5 914 DET +116 1.16 0.58 921 KC +181 1.81 0.905 Thu 1.97 0.985 Week 1-4 5.03 Week 5-8 -3.32 Week 9-12 -7.34 Week 13-16 18.07 Week 17 12.37 24.81 Week 18 4.08 1.475 Mon -1 -0.5 Tue 4.28 2.14 Wed -1 -0.5 Total 33.14 28.41
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Outlook is the same and the KVB MLB Contrian Aggressive Trader Fund remains at 50% allocation. Both Funds continue to bring in profits. While the Aggressive Trader Fund is off the main index by about 4.7 units, remember it was full force (and multiple units) on this market rise until recently. A lot of profit was taken off the table here and that money that was moved out of the Aggressive Trader Fund went into Totals plays, some of which I posted early on, that were winning.
Markets are kind to my office right now, and we are sitting on some reserves.
As we pivot towards the football markets there may be less Contrarian Fund posting, there are other market tracking Funds that may be ready to pop.
The KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket is one, that was down -9.64 units on the short year last year year but beat the closing line handily. In fact, many of those UPSETS were favorites by the close.
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jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#697KVB your a prick share the wealth manComment -
unde0087BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 03-27-08
- 28896
#699LeggoComment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#700This is one of the greatest bull runs I’ve ever seenComment
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