KVB Post Your Contrarian Fund Report

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  • KVB
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 05-29-14
    • 74817

    #491
    Here's the recent summary, didn't realize it wasn't in here. After all, this isn't plays thread, it's a contrarian report thread...

    Originally posted by KVB
    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after Thursday with links to each play.

    921 1-Jul MIN +135 -1
    Thu -1
    Week 1-4 5.03
    Week 5-8 -3.32
    Week 9-12 -7.34
    Week 13 0.56
    Mon -1
    Tue 3.25
    Wed 2.9
    Total -0.92
    Here's the chart...


    We're in a strong BUY signal, not out of the woods when it comes to high volatility, but we are functioning on a high level when it comes to the past sets of plays and the SMAs. Other technicals seem promising but we'll get into those patterns, like the "W" as we get it into the rear view mirror. We need to get some distance from that season high head and shoulders pattern. By distance I mean not just number of plays, but number of signals, directional patterns, etc that can help sustain or change market direction. It's our only hope of getting back up to that season high this season.


    It's been a good run, let's see if we can find support up here. Feels like a season's worth action already.

    Comment
    • stevex
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 05-02-10
      • 5122

      #492
      Let’s go Rockies!
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388189

        #493
        Comment
        • KVB
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 05-29-14
          • 74817

          #494
          In action today with...

          Originally posted by KVB
          The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

          902 3-Jul PHI +143
          905 CHI +116
          907 MIA +111
          920 DET -101
          Backbone plays.
          Comment
          • KVB
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 05-29-14
            • 74817

            #495
            Here's the recent summary...

            Originally posted by KVB
            ...recent summary...

            959 2-Jul MIA +102 -1
            961 STL -110 0.91
            968 CLE +143 -1
            970 DET +136 -1
            Fri -2.09
            Week 1-4 5.03
            Week 5-8 -3.32
            Week 9-12 -7.34
            Week 13 0.56
            Mon -1
            Tue 3.25
            Wed 2.9
            Thu -1
            Total -3.01
            And the chart...



            Comment
            • WalkingLuckCharm
              SBR MVP
              • 06-07-10
              • 4192

              #496
              gl tailing today bruv
              Comment
              • Machba
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-08-19
                • 6743

                #497
                great thread
                Comment
                • jjgold
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-20-05
                  • 388189

                  #498
                  Trending down again

                  why?
                  Comment
                  • KVB
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 05-29-14
                    • 74817

                    #499
                    Originally posted by jjgold
                    Trending down again

                    why?


                    Read the therads and summaries Gold, they explain that.
                    Comment
                    • jjgold
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 07-20-05
                      • 388189

                      #500
                      KVB I want cliff notes daily not 41 paragraphs man

                      I have no time
                      Comment
                      • KVB
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 05-29-14
                        • 74817

                        #501
                        The Fund is in action with PIT, CLE , and DET.

                        Here are the plays and the summary...

                        Originally posted by KVB
                        The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has pickedup...

                        954 4-Jul PIT +170
                        968 CLE +135
                        970 DET +162
                        Backbone play.

                        Here's the latest summary...

                        902 3-Jul PHI +143 1.43
                        905 CHI +116 -1
                        907 MIA +111 1.11
                        920 DET -101 0.99
                        Sat 2.53
                        Week 1-4 5.03
                        Week 5-8 -3.32
                        Week 9-12 -7.34
                        Week 13 0.56
                        Mon -1
                        Tue 3.25
                        Wed 2.9
                        Thu -1
                        Fri -2.09
                        Total -0.48
                        Here's the chart...

                        Comment
                        • KVB
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 05-29-14
                          • 74817

                          #502
                          Originally posted by jjgold
                          KVB I want cliff notes daily not 41 paragraphs man

                          I have no time
                          This is a report thread and you are already getting abridged reports.

                          I'm not sure you could ever work in my office, Gold. I don't think you're cut out for it.

                          Comment
                          • KVB
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 05-29-14
                            • 74817

                            #503
                            Added Balty to the Fund bacbone today...

                            Originally posted by KVB
                            The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...
                            975 4-Jul BAL +204
                            Backbone play.
                            Fukk, I need to get our of the office.
                            Also, Texas and Philly are in the broader contrarian Fund...
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388189

                              #504
                              lets go KVB!!!
                              Comment
                              • KVB
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-29-14
                                • 74817

                                #505
                                Here's the recent summary...

                                Originally posted by KVB
                                ...Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after yesterday...

                                954 4-Jul PIT +170 1.7
                                968 CLE +135 -1
                                970 DET +162 1.62
                                975 BAL +204 -1
                                Sun 1.32
                                Week 1-4 5.03
                                Week 5-8 -3.32
                                Week 9-12 -7.34
                                Week 13 0.56
                                Mon -1
                                Tue 3.25
                                Wed 2.9
                                Thu -1
                                Fri -2.09
                                Sat 2.53
                                Total 0.84
                                Here's the chart, it's been quite the upleg...


                                ...


                                Comment
                                • KVB
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 05-29-14
                                  • 74817

                                  #506
                                  We got St Louis and Pit...

                                  Originally posted by KVB
                                  The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

                                  901 5-Jul STL +185
                                  906 PIT +169
                                  Backbone plays.
                                  Comment
                                  • jjgold
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-20-05
                                    • 388189

                                    #507
                                    Comment
                                    • KVB
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 05-29-14
                                      • 74817

                                      #508
                                      Here's the latest summary and some further info from out reports...

                                      Originally posted by KVB
                                      ...Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after 197 plays with links to each play...

                                      901 5-Jul STL +185 1.85
                                      906 PIT +169 1.69
                                      Mon 3.54
                                      Week 1-4 5.03
                                      Week 5-8 -3.32
                                      Week 9-12 -7.34
                                      Week 13 0.56
                                      Week 14 5.91
                                      Total 4.38

                                      Here's the 2 year chart, with other charts in the Report thread, latest post here...https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...l#post30393502

                                      Notice I have, for now, put all of our support lines from before the biggest shakeout back on the chart...


                                      ...
                                      Here's the 2 year chart without the support/resistance lines...




                                      I've discussed these other technicals in the past with other market tracking Funds and for those who've been around, I want to point out the alternating market directions following the Bollinger Band patterns (and even the SMA Difference) circled in yellow...



                                      We remain in a short term BUY signal and you can see from just last year moving into this year, these bull runs can really pick up steam.

                                      Here's the zoom shot, we have tremendous momentum here and you can see the resistance of the 200 SMA in pink and the support of the 100 SMA in black, then the 200 SMA became support. While the "support" here may not be very strong here in in this volatility we have made recovery from the previous crash....



                                      The markets can be very volatile and I would expect, as I've said before with nearly all the tracking Funds, that volatilty to get even crazier as sportsbetting is legalized across the US.

                                      Just look above at the 2020 season, from losing -10 units to finising up over +8 units, it was a shortened season.

                                      Here's this season's chart, what a ride it's been and we're only about half way through...



                                      Comment
                                      • jjgold
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 07-20-05
                                        • 388189

                                        #509
                                        Comment
                                        • KVB
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 05-29-14
                                          • 74817

                                          #510
                                          Today's Backbone action so far is with Pit, Min, and KC.

                                          Originally posted by KVB
                                          The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...
                                          952 6-Jul PIT +169
                                          972 MIN +111
                                          980 KC +144
                                          Backbone plays and once again some serious line shopping here..
                                          The broader Fund did pick up COL as well.

                                          Comment
                                          • KVB
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 05-29-14
                                            • 74817

                                            #511
                                            The Fund Backbone is in action with Minny.

                                            Here's the play and the recent summary...

                                            Originally posted by KVB
                                            The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

                                            918 7-Jul MIN +103
                                            Backbone play.

                                            Here's thej recent summary...

                                            952 6-Jul PIT +169 1.69
                                            972 MIN +111 -1
                                            980 KC +144 1.44
                                            Tue 2.13
                                            Week 1-4 5.03
                                            Week 5-8 -3.32
                                            Week 9-12 -7.34
                                            Week 13 0.56
                                            Week 14 5.91
                                            Mon 3.54
                                            Total 6.51
                                            Here's the chart...

                                            Comment
                                            • KVB
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 05-29-14
                                              • 74817

                                              #512
                                              Added KC and Milwaukee to the Fund...

                                              Originally posted by KVB
                                              The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

                                              930 7-Jul KC +120
                                              933 MIL +156
                                              Backbone plays...
                                              Comment
                                              • KVB
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 05-29-14
                                                • 74817

                                                #513
                                                Originally posted by KVB
                                                ...I've discussed these other technicals in the past with other market tracking Funds and for those who've been around, I want to point out the alternating market directions following the Bollinger Band patterns (and even the SMA Difference) circled in yellow...



                                                We remain in a short term BUY signal and you can see from just last year moving into this year, these bull runs can really pick up steam...
                                                The current run from the lowest peak after the 1st of 4 plays on Jun 26th up to yesterday's close is up to +19.39 units. That last run from early 2020 through the first part of 2021, the lowest to highest peak in the 2 year chart is +27.76 units. The negative run from that peak in the 2 year chart to our recent season low is -23.16 units

                                                There are bear markets, sideway markets, and bull markets and they can all be measured in various time frames. We can trade and make money in any market.

                                                It is our belief that, despite the shakeouts, we are in a longer term bull run here. We are developing a range between that red support line and the uppermost thick black resistance line. As the season progresses our current outlook for the Fund Backbone wil be upward stepping, as we break resistance and slowly remove the lowest support lines. If we can maintain those ranges, stepping upward, it's a healthy climb.

                                                Unfortunately, we are still likely to see more volatilty as well and let's hope each new suport line stems the drops.

                                                As far as that mountain of a head and shoulders is concerned, we are technically out of it's shadow but until we break that new high it remains paried with the SMA 100 dropping below the SMA 200 to be our only bearish signals. Those SMA's are quickly turning as the 50 will soon break through the 100 but remember they are lagging indicators.

                                                We remain fully funded with a positive season outlook and a short term sideways to downward market.

                                                The key to surviving these markets is having patience and discipline in your money managment. I suggest a seperate bankroll for an Aggressive Trading Fund, similar to the NBA, to vary units at what appear to be market extremes or near them. This is how we run the Funds.

                                                This is how we capitalize on these extremes.

                                                Comment
                                                • jjgold
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                  • 388189

                                                  #514
                                                  Bull now
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Auto Donk
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 09-03-13
                                                    • 43559

                                                    #515
                                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                                    Bull now
                                                    hey Shorty, I mention you in this:


                                                    Comment
                                                    • KVB
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                      • 74817

                                                      #516
                                                      Added the Angels to the Fund...

                                                      Originally posted by KVB
                                                      The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

                                                      922 7-Jul LAA +120
                                                      Backbone play...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • KVB
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                        • 74817

                                                        #517
                                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                                        Bull now
                                                        You're one of those sell low/buy high kind of guys, aren't you?

                                                        Gold the secret to success is to be ahead of the curve, no behind it.

                                                        Remember, I've been a Bull all along.

                                                        Tell your broker to call me.

                                                        Comment
                                                        • GT21Megatron
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-20-13
                                                          • 10818

                                                          #518
                                                          This is good stuff. I want to pull on the Marlins but they have won the last two nights. Not sure I can do it again.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jjgold
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 07-20-05
                                                            • 388189

                                                            #519
                                                            Tremendous!!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • GT21Megatron
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-20-13
                                                              • 10818

                                                              #520
                                                              Miami came back…..KVB what about the Nationals?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • GT21Megatron
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-20-13
                                                                • 10818

                                                                #521
                                                                Fuking didn’t play either. Does Miami sweep?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jjgold
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                                  • 388189

                                                                  #522
                                                                  Miami will not sweep

                                                                  I have a clue
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • KVB
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                                    • 74817

                                                                    #523
                                                                    We are in action so far with Oakland.

                                                                    Here's the play and the recent summary...

                                                                    Originally posted by KVB
                                                                    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

                                                                    963 8-Jul OAK +164
                                                                    Backbone play.

                                                                    Here's the latest summary...

                                                                    918 7-Jul MIN +103 -1
                                                                    922 LAA +120 1.2
                                                                    930 KC +120 -1
                                                                    933 MIL +156 -1
                                                                    Wed -1.8
                                                                    Week 1-4 5.03
                                                                    Week 5-8 -3.32
                                                                    Week 9-12 -7.34
                                                                    Week 13 0.56
                                                                    Week 14 5.91
                                                                    Mon 3.54
                                                                    Tue 2.13
                                                                    Total 4.71
                                                                    Here's the latest chart, I've kept those support and resistance lines here, in hopes that someone will answer the question I keep asking...How is this possible?

                                                                    We just barely dipped below the SMA 10 but could find support here, could, but we are far above the SMA's right now so yesterday's prediction of a sideways market is so far true and likely going forward short term...


                                                                    ...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Jayvegas420
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 03-09-11
                                                                      • 28213

                                                                      #524
                                                                      On dodgers & A’s!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • KVB
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                                        • 74817

                                                                        #525
                                                                        Originally posted by Jayvegas420
                                                                        On dodgers & A’s!
                                                                        Some value there with the A's but to be honest I could see Oakland losing there. I could see the backbone edging closer to the light blue line, the the SMA 20.

                                                                        I'm going to go as far as to say fade it, like last week, but I'll accetp either result with the A's. A win would be something else, really giving the contrarians a further boost, early in the day as well.

                                                                        I see the A's loss as a more likely scenario, but we remain bullish and fully vested in the backbone, even after this run.

                                                                        I expect this slightly down to sidewya market and hopefully this time some consolidation brings a breakout.

                                                                        THing is, those are long term outlooks because, as we've seen, a lot can go down in a short period of time. We have a second half of a season to trade and then the playoffs.

                                                                        The playoffs are disciplined and almost always profitable. Should this regular season provide a high degree of profit, we may pull some money before the playoffs.

                                                                        Just like the stock market, it's not what you make the counts, it's what you keep after the bull runs.
                                                                        Comment
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