KVB Post Your Contrarian Fund Report

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  • BeatTheJerk
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-19-07
    • 31794

    #106
    Originally posted by thomorino
    Wrong you are a dumb shit
    1 dollar = a unit ?
    Comment
    • thomorino
      Restricted User
      • 06-01-17
      • 45842

      #107
      Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
      1 dollar = a unit ?
      Wrong you are a dumb shit.
      Comment
      • homie1975
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-24-13
        • 15453

        #108
        KVBer there are a lot of cocaine GIFs you are posting. i am getting worried. i know it's the easiest way to get chicks but pls be careful, Mate
        Comment
        • KVB
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 05-29-14
          • 74817

          #109
          The most recent summary and Sunday's plays so far...



          Originally posted by KVB
          ...No matter the result of the next play, the next play will trigger a BUY signal.

          At the same time, we are testing that 100 SMA level, as we could fall through and still touch the bottom support line for a 3rd test...
          Originally posted by KVB
          The Fund hit the 100 SMA at +9.02 units since 2020 the next play, a win, produced the BUY signal and an exact bounce of the 100 SMA.

          A breakout?



          I've asked this a couple of times, with no answer.

          How do you think this is possible?

          I think I'll leave it at that, for now...
          <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/BrightNegativeBushbaby' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='412'></iframe>
          Comment
          • thomorino
            Restricted User
            • 06-01-17
            • 45842

            #110
            This coward is still afraid to post and track and won’t even post in players talk.
            Comment
            • KVB
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 05-29-14
              • 74817

              #111
              Originally posted by KVB
              Alright, here we go.

              The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund Backbone plays through 75 plays with links to every play. The current season ROI is up to 8% and the 2020- Present ROI is 8.89%...

              902 16-May PIT +151 -1
              915 LAA +143 1.43
              Sun 0.43
              Week 1-4 5.03
              Week 5 -2.69
              Week 6 0.03
              Mon -
              Tue -2
              Wed 1.73
              Thu 0.38
              Fri -1.33
              Sat 4.42
              Total 6
              But the saga on the charting continues.

              We've followed up the breakout with a test and bounce of the top resistance line, which could become our support. Ask yourself, how can my lines be so exact?...




              Assets were partially moved (50% of what was moved out at the Purple Dot) into this Fund today after breaking the SMA 50. I am recommending that the rest of the assets to get back to the UNIT level of the Purple Dot be moved into the Fund once the Fund tests the SMA 10 successfully.

              This is important. We have a rising SMA 10 and 20 and the SMA 10 has crossed the the 50.

              If the SMA 20 can ramp upward with the 10 and get over the 50 we looking very positive in the outlook.

              But what I am looking for is the SMA 10 to be tested by our units, with the SMA 10 rising and the units bouncing off

              I want to see that thin red line curve upward and have our thick blue unit line bounce off of it, like this...



              There are no guarantees here and these markets can get very tricky at these potential breakout phases.

              If we can bounce off the SMA 10 will testing my highest support/resistance line, or do it even higher than that line, we could be in very good shape for the summer phase of this season...
              As stated, 50% of the assets removed at the Purple Dot were put back into the Fund after the SMA 50 breakout.

              There is further guidance here too. We are looking for a successful test of the SMA 10, at the same time hopefully not falling through our highest support/resistance line in the chart.

              Our BUY signal, produced when the SMA 10 crossed above the SMA 20 has furthered as the SMA 10 has also crossed the SMA 50.

              Expect a little volatility here as we try to get that SMA 20 over the the SMA 50 as well. Because of this expectation of volatility, we don't have to worry about timing the market here.

              The guidance is that we bounce of the SMA 10 and unless something happens to change that between then and now, that's what we will look for.




              Here the Season to Date and other and technicals chart...




              Our SMA Differnene, represented by the Orange Line, is increasing...




              The outlook has changed to a more positive tone but healthy pullbacks are expected, including the one we're looking for to "buy back in."

              First we test our levels again, inlcuding the highest peak of the mountain. We could be headed for anything from a dead cat bounce to a double top but many of the metrics are starting to align and it appears we could be consolidating, not for a market crash, but another bullish run upwards.

              We continue to watch closely as the NHL and NBA markets bring in elevated volume, both bet wise and dollar wise. It's not march madness or the Super Bowl, but I've explained in the best how the elevated dollars will overflow into other sports.

              With just the beginning of the NHL playoffs, we've seen an increase Contrarian Fund plays and the breakout little run.

              I would expect, with some volatility, to continue to see that type of market behavior over the next few weeks as the market gets in shape...

              <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/AccomplishedActiveChrysomelid' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='844'></iframe>
              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388179

                #112
                I don’t know what Marinos talking about KVB keep records of everything even how big is rooster grows every day

                He can produce charts of his cok and how and when it goes up and down
                Comment
                • thomorino
                  Restricted User
                  • 06-01-17
                  • 45842

                  #113
                  Originally posted by jjgold
                  I don’t know what Marinos talking about KVB keep records of everything even how big is rooster grows every day

                  He can produce charts of his cok and how and when it goes up and down
                  He posts no records and not a single pick in players talk. He hides in the sub forums because he is a coward.
                  Comment
                  • Jayvegas420
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 03-09-11
                    • 28213

                    #114
                    Foxx
                    Comment
                    • thomorino
                      Restricted User
                      • 06-01-17
                      • 45842

                      #115
                      The coward is still afraid to post and track, and won’t post a single play in players talk.
                      Comment
                      • jjgold
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-20-05
                        • 388179

                        #116
                        He posts plenty of picks
                        My thread and Diggity
                        Comment
                        • KVB
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 05-29-14
                          • 74817

                          #117
                          The latest summary...

                          Originally posted by KVB
                          Yesterday's results with links to each play...

                          962 17-May MIN -111 -1
                          Mon -1
                          Week 1-4 5.03
                          Week 5 -2.69
                          Week 6 0.03
                          Week 7 3.63
                          Total 5
                          I think this market is showing some real positive signs if you read my posts yesterday you can see the Minn loss was sort of expected, or at least not a surprise, while I was wishing that Texas would have triggered. It didn't trigger, but you certainly have to put it in the contrarian side of the market.

                          It paid at some +230. So remember what's happening here with the Backbone is just that, a backbone to track the whole market. So that difficult answer to how this is possible is extends not only to the rest of the games but to the other sports I've shown as well with MARKET TRACKING Funds (NCAAF, NBA).

                          How is what possible? Well let me add another black support/resistance line in our chart as if you need more evidence.

                          What we have is a third recent test at this level with Minnesota, a highly charged pick because of the line, losing. Just before the yellow dot and just after the purple dot are the tests. Notice that test after the purple dot also found the SMA 10 as resistance, twice even, before a big drop.

                          This time we're above the SMA 10, the red line and remember I'm looking for that bounce off the red line before fully moving back into the Fund.





                          There's a very difficult and sensitive thing I'm trying to convey here and as I've said for years, it's something that is best shown by example.

                          I can't tell you how pleased I am at some of these example we've had with the UPSET Basket, NBA Contrarian and this season in the MLB.

                          There's only one way this is possible and first you must know how this is possible in the stock market. What it takes for institutions and trading to form these patterns, the algos that set price and respond to metrics. Then realize there's only one reality to translate it to sports.

                          One more thing. We talked about, actually wolfman said it himself, using the future to predict the present.

                          What if we could run simluations, or more like extrapolations, of potential prices that pay (all losses are -1 unit) and try to anticipate what it would take to get to, say, the bounce off the SMA 10 that I am waiting for?

                          Think about it. We already use the past to try to predict the present. What if we can now potentially add using the future to predict the present that comes just after we've seen the results of using the past to predict the present.

                          I'm talking about using today's past and tomorrow's future to predict our present of tomorrow.

                          If your having trouble with that, think of it this way...

                          After today (the present) is over and the games are finished, tomorrow is our new present. It's time to move on to the next batch in the rotation whether or not the sun has come up. So if we now extrapolate the future and use that for tomorrow as well as today's results (and past in general) we get what I just said in bold.

                          I've added a new black support/resistance line and continue to be very optimistic with the outlook. We continue to look for the technical sign of the Fund bouncing off the SMA 10 and would very much like to see that happen at the current support level (second black line from top) as well as see the SMA 20 overtake the SMA 50 in roughly the same motions.

                          If those metrics align the outlook for the Fund will become positive moving forward until, at the very least we approach a test of a double top since 2020.

                          Depending on the size of the market and the number of plays that generate, we could have a little Christmas in July.

                          <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/GorgeousFinishedGonolek' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='404'></iframe>
                          Comment
                          • DiggityDaggityDo
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 11-30-08
                            • 81454

                            #118
                            Was KD talkind to KVB?

                            Wow


                            Comment
                            • thomorino
                              Restricted User
                              • 06-01-17
                              • 45842

                              #119
                              Originally posted by jjgold
                              He posts plenty of picks
                              My thread and Diggity
                              He doesn’t post and track. He is also afraid to post in players talk, he hides like a coward and dumb shit.
                              Comment
                              • KVB
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-29-14
                                • 74817

                                #120
                                One thing about being rangebound in the ranges, stepping up or down, is that we are always testing them.

                                Here are today's plays and a hypothetical. If we were to lose all three plays the market will appear to weaken as we would drop below the SMA's. But we'd still be in our healthy ranges.

                                But if Cinci loses and Pit wins...


                                Originally posted by KVB
                                Originally posted by KVB
                                ...This time we're above the SMA 10, the red line and remember I'm looking for that bounce off the red line before fully moving back into the Fund....
                                Originally posted by KVB
                                The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

                                902 18-May CIN -117
                                909 PIT +110
                                922 TEX +133
                                Backbone plays. Fukk, now Texas triggers, lol....
                                So here's what the chart would look like if Cinci lose and Pit wins, provided no other plays between their rotation numbers trigger...



                                ...
                                We just might get that upleg confirmation yet. It sure looks like we're headed that way.

                                Comment
                                • jjgold
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-20-05
                                  • 388179

                                  #121
                                  KVB never hides
                                  Comment
                                  • KVB
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 05-29-14
                                    • 74817

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                    KVB never hides
                                    I think I broke the daily thread with a gif of a guy doing a bicycle trick.



                                    Comment
                                    • KVB
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 05-29-14
                                      • 74817

                                      #123
                                      Originally posted by KVB
                                      One thing about being rangebound in the ranges, stepping up or down, is that we are always testing them....
                                      Originally posted by KVB
                                      So lets look at some more hypotheticals...


                                      Here's what happens if Cinci and Pitt lose, and Texas wins.

                                      We get a bounce off the SMA 20 (blue line), a good sign...



                                      And if all three plays today lose?

                                      We test the SMA 100, the black line...



                                      But what if Cinci comes back to win and pit loses?

                                      Well then it's up to Texas to give us the bounce we need and at the same time bring the SMA 20 (blue line) up over the SMA 50 (Green line). The positive signals we are looking for...

                                      Originally posted by KVB
                                      ...We continue to look for the technical sign of the Fund bouncing off the SMA 10 and would very much like to see that happen at the current support level (second black line from top) as well as see the SMA 20 overtake the SMA 50 in roughly the same motions.
                                      4-2 in the 9th, can Cincy come back?


                                      Comment
                                      • jjgold
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 07-20-05
                                        • 388179

                                        #124
                                        You really have to be a scientist to follow this kid
                                        Comment
                                        • Jayvegas420
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 03-09-11
                                          • 28213

                                          #125
                                          Originally posted by thomorino

                                          Wrong you are a dumb shit.
                                          Originally posted by thomorino
                                          This coward is still afraid to post and track and won’t even post in players talk.
                                          Originally posted by thomorino

                                          He posts no records and not a single pick in players talk. He hides in the sub forums because he is a coward.
                                          Originally posted by thomorino
                                          The coward is still afraid to post and track, and won’t post a single play in players talk.
                                          Originally posted by thomorino

                                          He doesn’t post and track. He is also afraid to post in players talk, he hides like a coward and dumb shit.
                                          You are a dumb shit
                                          Comment
                                          • jjgold
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 07-20-05
                                            • 388179

                                            #126
                                            Anything KVB is the smartest man alive

                                            He destroyed Marino
                                            Comment
                                            • KVB
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 05-29-14
                                              • 74817

                                              #127
                                              The latest summary and the market is once again testing our patience with an 0-3 day yesterday, dropping for straight...

                                              Originally posted by KVB
                                              So, yeah, it was the "lose all three" scenario last night...lol.

                                              Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund with links to each play...

                                              902 18-May CIN -117 -1
                                              909 PIT +110 -1
                                              922 TEX +133 -1
                                              Tue -3
                                              Week 1-4 5.03
                                              Week 5 -2.69
                                              Week 6 0.03
                                              Week 7 3.63
                                              Mon -1
                                              Total 2
                                              The Fund has lost 4 straight since breaking out (a risk that was always on the table and why only 50% of the Unit size was put back in since reducing at the Purple Dot).

                                              We are in the middle of the range again and once again testing some levels and the SMA 100. Falling throught the other SMA's is not ideal, but it's clear the overflow of money from playoff sports is causing volatility. This is not something knew, for sure.



                                              Once again the market tests our patience...

                                              <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/SardonicGroundedKakapo' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='1001'></iframe>
                                              Comment
                                              • jjgold
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 07-20-05
                                                • 388179

                                                #128
                                                This is a Go to thread daily to see what’s on this guys mind plus you get to see some pussy every once a while he puts a nude picture of his wife up he just doesn’t show the face
                                                Comment
                                                • KVB
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                  • 74817

                                                  #129
                                                  Yesterday's results and today's play...

                                                  Originally posted by KVB
                                                  The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

                                                  914 20-May TEX +103
                                                  Backbone play.

                                                  Here are yesterday's results...

                                                  960 19-May CHI +146 -1
                                                  Wed -1
                                                  Week 1-4 5.03
                                                  Week 5 -2.69
                                                  Week 6 0.03
                                                  Week 7 3.63
                                                  Mon -1
                                                  Tue -3
                                                  Total 1
                                                  We have fallen through the SMA 100, but we are still in our range so it's a panic, yet...



                                                  The outlook has not changed.

                                                  We are still rangebound technically and if we somehow crash further, there could be trouble.

                                                  The Fund has lost 5 in a row and you can see in the chart that it's done the same thing 3 times now on this side of the Head and Shoulder's mountain. That first drop was a 6 loss run.

                                                  I'll get more into the due factor and the probaility of streaks ending but for now let me just say that the contrarian markets as a whole have had a mini shakeout since the recent run in this range, including the NBA contrarian Fund at the end of the season.

                                                  These shakeouts are usually followed by upswings and the first NBA contrarian play I triggerd at SA +4 (-101) but +4.5 was feasable. That game ended a 4 point push.

                                                  We remain optimistic in both contrarian markets, especailly in the short term.

                                                  A continued loss in the MLB Contrarian Market could lead to a serious downstep to the next support, but we are definitely still rangebound, for now.

                                                  Comment
                                                  • jjgold
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                    • 388179

                                                    #130
                                                    KVB let me please send you a clock camera

                                                    Put in your bedroom
                                                    Comment
                                                    • KVB
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                      • 74817

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by jjgold
                                                      KVB let me please send you a clock camera

                                                      Put in your bedroom
                                                      I'm wired to do video and analysis from the office, including software to edit, and have been for months. I've even tested using a big screen to explain things like a weather man.

                                                      You want in? You want to see KVB's High State of the Markets and other analysis daily? You want to see the reports I prepare? I'll send something to Natalie, opti has already been informed, months ago in fact.

                                                      "Ladies and Gentleman, the SBR Forum Proudly Presents KVB's High!!!!"

                                                      ("No no no, oh no. Oh geezus, he's playing the ukelele!")

                                                      Comment
                                                      • jjgold
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 07-20-05
                                                        • 388179

                                                        #132
                                                        Make a video of your operation
                                                        Comment
                                                        • thomorino
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 06-01-17
                                                          • 45842

                                                          #133
                                                          This coward is still in my threads posting that lines a 4 year old can see are still available don’t exist. Kvb the dumb shit.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jjgold
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 07-20-05
                                                            • 388179

                                                            #134
                                                            KVB fully verified and documented
                                                            Comment
                                                            • KVB
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 05-29-14
                                                              • 74817

                                                              #135
                                                              Here's the latest summary, we've had better news.

                                                              We are failing tests and falling through. The Fund has lost 6 in a row and is back to even on the season.

                                                              Technically we are still in the range established by those lines and it's a good a time as any to get a little bounce, even if the overall market is in decline.

                                                              But again, even though I show concer, we are still in the range...

                                                              Originally posted by KVB
                                                              Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund Backbone with links to the plays.

                                                              914 20-May TEX +103 -1
                                                              Thu -1
                                                              Week 1-4 5.03
                                                              Week 5 -2.69
                                                              Week 6 0.03
                                                              Week 7 3.63
                                                              Mon -1
                                                              Tue -3
                                                              Wed -1
                                                              Total 0
                                                              We went from a high of 10.28 units on April 23 all the way back to 0.

                                                              We are now testing the the lowest support line for the third time since that Head and Shoulders pattern and the peak. I've draw red lines when we threatend this before but we had a successful bounce.

                                                              This time, however, we have broken through the SMA 100. I have removed that 50% addition and were are back to the Units established at the purple dot. Of course that's a different tracking and here we are tracking Fund value.

                                                              I am concerned...



                                                              I showed Oprah the chart and she be like...

                                                              It seems the shark likes it when we're petting it...

                                                              <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/ObedientFavorableHalicore' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='404'></iframe>
                                                              Last edited by KVB; 05-21-21, 04:28 PM.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • KVB
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 05-29-14
                                                                • 74817

                                                                #136
                                                                Here's the latest summary, we got the bounce we were expecting but we're not out of the woods. We remain rangebound but the notable metric here is that the 6 losses in a row have helped the SMA 10 to dip below the SMA 20, giving us a SELL signal.

                                                                Originally posted by KVB
                                                                Notice that the WhiteSox were a low line against Minny, then minny triggers, white sox beat em 16-4 on May 17th.

                                                                Then we get to fade the public Friday and the same thing happens with WhiteSox, and we get a Yankee trigger....that wins.

                                                                But what of Minny?

                                                                Here's a post from a thread that says it all...
                                                                Originally posted by KVB
                                                                ...It really does look, like the market has gone to efforts to generate action on both of the game hovering around a fairly sharp line. If they open where they know they're split, they won't get the desire action on this game.

                                                                Books doing good job here, trying to force bettors to gamble and those that won't they are creating market condition to draw us in...

                                                                Minny wins 10-0.

                                                                With the contrarian markets tanking, bettors might question their methods, and then the give and take kicks in.

                                                                Let's see what happens with the broader Fund plays...

                                                                Originally posted by KVB
                                                                The broader Contrarian Fund is on Oak and Sea, and the markets have been sour.
                                                                No backbone triggers yet, but that's where the real money is right now, even if I did move some out.
                                                                Also leaning into the NBA Contrarian Fund, so we'll see what develops....

                                                                Here's the KVB MLB Contraian Fund after Friday...

                                                                964 21-May NYY -107 0.93
                                                                Fri 0.93
                                                                Week 1-4 5.03
                                                                Week 5 -2.69
                                                                Week 6 0.03
                                                                Week 7 3.63
                                                                Mon -1
                                                                Tue -3
                                                                Wed -1
                                                                Thu -1
                                                                Total 0.93

                                                                And we get the bounce at the lowest support level and it's worth noting that the SMA 10 has now crossed the SMA 20 to put us in a sell signal.


                                                                ...
                                                                <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/SpeedyThreadbareHoneybee' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='405'></iframe>
                                                                Comment
                                                                • KVB
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                                  • 74817

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Sometimes a SELL signal in the Fund really can mean to go the other way, despite prices.

                                                                  If we fall through, we and up PASSING on Fund plays, or possible even Fading them.

                                                                  Here we are real time with no plays pending...



                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jjgold
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                                    • 388179

                                                                    #138
                                                                    line draw says a buy now
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • KVB
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                                      • 74817

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Originally posted by jjgold
                                                                      line draw says a buy now
                                                                      But those Simple Moving Averages tell a different story, Gold.

                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • KVB
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                                        • 74817

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                                                        line draw says a buy now
                                                                        Triggerd play is the Cubs, line is BAS...

                                                                        Originally posted by KVB
                                                                        The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

                                                                        961 23-May CHI +121
                                                                        ...


                                                                        Comment
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