KVB Total Return Fund

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  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388185

    #141
    Johnny football playing?
    Comment
    • KVB
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 05-29-14
      • 74817

      #142
      He will not start, they say, but he will get snaps.

      Vernon Adams the starter.

      Heritage back -8, crazy movement on this issue.

      I use multiple services and connections, Gold, because in the end this becomes a race for information. Not only am I trying to act on the information, I'm also trying to post it.

      It takes time.

      Remember that...in the end this becomes a race for information.

      Comment
      • KVB
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 05-29-14
        • 74817

        #143
        Originally posted by KVB
        Three calls...

        Bought 1 Call to Open LNG 8/10/18 64.00 @ 1.21.

        Bought 1 Call to Open LNG 8/17/18 65.00 @ 1.13.

        Bought 1 Call to Open LNG 8/24/18 66.00 @ 1.04.

        Earnings are announced August 9th, we are betting on LNG here...
        It's been a little over a week, and got a decent pop in the stock today and also in after hours.

        The hangover of the Icahn liquidation, fukker took some profits at the top but still holds a shitload, appears to be over.

        Earnings coming.

        We are winning.
        Comment
        • jjgold
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-20-05
          • 388185

          #144
          Buying calls and puts are terrible plays
          The time decay is too great and rapid

          Let me teach you son

          HI IV only, liquid options and sell premium
          Comment
          • KVB
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 05-29-14
            • 74817

            #145
            Originally posted by jjgold
            Buying calls and puts are terrible plays
            The time decay is too great and rapid

            Let me teach you son

            HI IV only, liquid options and sell premium
            Yes, I like this. I knew the direction of the stock and was trying to make a buck. I was thinking I should have bought more contracts.

            I'm not looking to stay too long in these, I tiered them upward. We are right on the bet, so far, but maybe with knowing it was going to rise, I should have sold the puts for premium.

            We will discuss this, and other trades soon.
            Comment
            • KVB
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 05-29-14
              • 74817

              #146
              Generating a ton of winning MLB plays, should have bought into the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund, that side of the market is winning right now.
              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388185

                #147
                Best of luck

                See you in Vegas


                I will be there Not part of the festivities
                Comment
                • ChuckyTheGoat
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 04-04-11
                  • 37048

                  #148
                  Originally posted by KVB
                  Generating a ton of winning MLB plays, should have bought into the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund, that side of the market is winning right now.
                  I'm a big believer in contrarian logic. We could start a stock/sports fund based purely on contarian thinking.
                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                  Comment
                  • KVB
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 05-29-14
                    • 74817

                    #149
                    Yes Chucky, it's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund.

                    It's been running since All Star break and posted in the Forum, but not under the name.

                    I mentioned in this thread that I might rotate into another sports fund but I fear we've missed the small run.

                    Just like stocks, it's tough to buy in after the runs, the problem is, as always, timing.

                    After all, this fund will profit this year, but it had a nasty run I posted before the all star break. It might still have legs in this positive run yet.

                    If Texas and Colorado both get redemption tonight, it will have been one nice run since the break. I'll update it later.
                    Comment
                    • KVB
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 05-29-14
                      • 74817

                      #150
                      Originally posted by KVB
                      The CFL Sharp Forecast Fund has picked up Edmonton Eskimos +9 (-109) over Montreal Alouettes....
                      So busy with MLB that I forgot about this.

                      This bet is cancelled. I knew I was missing something. That something was a huge market error. I just acted so fast that, well, no shot taken.

                      The CFL Sharp Forecast Fund has picked up Edmonton Eskimos -8 (-110) over Montreal Alouettes.

                      Fortunately, not reporting this didn't change much as you can get 8, 8.5, 9, 9.5, even 7.5 juiced a bit at a couple of places, if that's your pleasure.

                      The CFL sharp forecast, it should be disclosed, would not be a buyer at -9 because it has Edmonton winning by 9 or 10 points, with equal probability. It would be a buyer at -8.5 and a buyer at Montreal +10.5.

                      Good Luck.

                      Comment
                      • KVB
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 05-29-14
                        • 74817

                        #151
                        Originally posted by jjgold
                        Buying calls and puts are terrible plays
                        The time decay is too great and rapid

                        Let me teach you son

                        HI IV only, liquid options and sell premium
                        What do you think Gold, just sell those options for a small profit on the bounce, or stick to my plan through earnings?

                        I know it's not much, but you're right, going forward I'm only buying calls as a potential entry point into a stock, at least at these prices; or maybe the multiple calls, with multiple contracts on bumps like these aren't a bad way to generate cash.

                        Timing is hard, but we give ourselves weeks for it to get right.

                        Working here...

                        Originally posted by KVB
                        Three calls...

                        Bought 1 Call to Open LNG 8/10/18 64.00 @ 1.21.

                        Bought 1 Call to Open LNG 8/17/18 65.00 @ 1.13.

                        Bought 1 Call to Open LNG 8/24/18 66.00 @ 1.04.

                        Earnings are announced August 9th, we are betting on LNG here...
                        Comment
                        • jjgold
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 07-20-05
                          • 388185

                          #152
                          Low IV Rank right now and not much volume action

                          I would not touch them, stock not liquid enough for me
                          Comment
                          • KVB
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 05-29-14
                            • 74817

                            #153
                            Either way, I'm ahead on this trade, already.

                            I think you're saying get out, screw the earnings play. I see.

                            Maybe pick up an earnings play closer to the 9th.
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388185

                              #154
                              Just did a short call spread CAT Aug 17 144-146
                              Comment
                              • KVB
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-29-14
                                • 74817

                                #155
                                I see, not bad. Sold the 144 and bought the 146 for vertical spread.

                                How many contracts? I see about .80 credit right now at the worst prices for each.

                                Good Luck.

                                Thanks for the input.
                                Comment
                                • jjgold
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-20-05
                                  • 388185

                                  #156
                                  1 I am broke man


                                  Safe way to trade and a 62% chance of 50% profit

                                  That is an edge
                                  Comment
                                  • KVB
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 05-29-14
                                    • 74817

                                    #157
                                    Comment
                                    • jjgold
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 07-20-05
                                      • 388185

                                      #158
                                      Did a Short Put Spread out of the money gold (GLD)

                                      Basically lottery play

                                      $20-$80 per 1 lot

                                      40% Chance of lets say breaking even
                                      Comment
                                      • KVB
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 05-29-14
                                        • 74817

                                        #159
                                        CAT announcing earnings on Monday.

                                        They make sure to do it before the open, to set up the market sentiment.

                                        This shit is just like sports.

                                        The account also received $24.00 dividend GE.

                                        Comment
                                        • jjgold
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 07-20-05
                                          • 388185

                                          #160
                                          /NQ should bounce back some next week
                                          Comment
                                          • pimike
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 03-23-08
                                            • 37139

                                            #161
                                            Originally posted by KVB
                                            CAT announcing earnings on Monday.

                                            They make sure to do it before the open, to set up the market sentiment.

                                            This shit is just like sports.


                                            The account also received $24.00 dividend GE.

                                            Good stuff
                                            Comment
                                            • jjgold
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 07-20-05
                                              • 388185

                                              #162
                                              NEW TRADE

                                              SHORT STRANGLE Aug 17th

                                              X


                                              32.5/ Put
                                              40.5 Call

                                              Looking to pick up $100 FULL CREDIT or 80% chance of $50 Profit
                                              Comment
                                              • KVB
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 05-29-14
                                                • 74817

                                                #163
                                                Am studying your plays Gold, also have to up the option approval in this account, when I set up there was lower approval.

                                                Getting that fixed now.
                                                Comment
                                                • jjgold
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                  • 388185

                                                  #164
                                                  KVB your a square

                                                  lol option approval

                                                  Tastyworks everything...FULL OPTIONS, FULL FUTURES APPROVAL INSTANT with a few clicks

                                                  They are very different, owner guy who created thinkorswim and says fuk you to the industry with all the silly rules other brokers have

                                                  Cheapest by far options commissions............ZERO commissions on closes too

                                                  Go look it up and also free live 8 hours a day financial education 5 days a week, BIG MONEY OPERATION geared to option trading and futures trading

                                                  We are still waiting on futures options to be added..maybe a week away very geared to managing delta and thetas and very big on rolling positions 20 days left and getting out 50% profit on a trade..all their research backs it up

                                                  GO STUDY MAN

                                                  Will be adding yield curve trade spreads soon and future options plays

                                                  ZERO UP SELL...guy a legend Tom Sosnoff owner

                                                  I became sharp because of that network (tastytrade)and broker spinoff tastyworks same owners
                                                  Last edited by jjgold; 07-27-18, 01:34 PM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • KVB
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                    • 74817

                                                    #165
                                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                                    KVB your a square

                                                    lol option approval

                                                    Tastyworks everything...FULL OPTIONS, FULL FUTURES APPROVAL INSTANT with a few clicks

                                                    They are very different, owner guy who created thinkorswim and says fuk you to the industry with all the silly rules other brokers have

                                                    Cheapest by far options commissions............ZERO commissions on closes too

                                                    Go look it up and also free live 8 hours a day financial education 5 days a week, BIG MONEY OPERATION geared to option trading and futures trading

                                                    We are still waiting on futures options to be added..maybe a week away very geared to managing delta and thetas and very big on rolling positions 20 days left and getting put 50% profit on a trade..all their research backs it up

                                                    GO STUDY MAN

                                                    ZERO UP SELL...guy a legend Tom Sosnoff owner

                                                    I became sharp because of that network (tastytrade)and broker spinoff tastyworks same owners


                                                    Yes Gold, I have plenty to learn, and it's been a while for some of this. Been immersed in sports almost exclusively until recently moving some sports money to stocks, that's when I opened discretionary account, literally for this thread and to track.

                                                    I wasn't sure exactly what kind of trading I was going to do here.

                                                    Starting to wish I had bought into the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund here, it has been a good play and we are making money outside of this thread.

                                                    Gold, we will work through trades together, the Schwab trade and prob calculator will suffice.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jjgold
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                      • 388185

                                                      #166
                                                      Comment
                                                      • KVB
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                        • 74817

                                                        #167
                                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                                        A lot of chalk there
                                                        3-1 on that chalk Gold...

                                                        Here are the current KVB CFL Sharp Forecast Fund results...

                                                        Risk 3.5% Beat
                                                        Record Week Issue $10,000 Close Closer?
                                                        1-0 6 SSK +11 (-110) 318.18 10.5 Y
                                                        1-1 OTT -6.5 (-102) -350 -7 Y
                                                        2-1 WIN -108 324.07 -3.5 Y
                                                        2-2 CAL -19.5 (-106) -350 -19.5 -
                                                        3-2 7 WIN -9.5 (-106) 330.19 -10 Y
                                                        3-3 HAM -4 (-107) -350 -6 Y
                                                        4-3 CAL -7 (-106) 330.19 -7.5 Y
                                                        5-3 EDM -8 (-110) 318.18 -10.5 Y
                                                        5-3 Total $10,571
                                                        Links to the original posts are there.

                                                        The CFL Sharp Forecast has beaten the closing spread in every game, with a push in Calgary.

                                                        That Calgary -19.5 line shot up, just like the others, but then made it's way back down to close where it opened.

                                                        Comment
                                                        • KVB
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 05-29-14
                                                          • 74817

                                                          #168
                                                          The CFL Sharp Forecast Fund has picked up the following plays...

                                                          Ottawa Redblacks –3.5 (-110) over Toronto Argonauts

                                                          Saskatchewan Roughriders +9 (-110) over Edmonton Eskimos

                                                          Calgary Stampeders –11 (-110) over British Columbia Lions

                                                          Hamilton has opened a 6 point favorite over Montreal but the CFL Sharp Forecast shows Hamilton winning by 3, 4, 5, or 6 points, all with equal probability.

                                                          Montreal will trigger if we see +6.5.

                                                          These are very early openers and I wouldn’t be surprise, this week, to see a line move against the forecast as it has beaten the closing line the last two weeks, but we will have to wait and see.

                                                          Good Luck

                                                          Comment
                                                          • KVB
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 05-29-14
                                                            • 74817

                                                            #169
                                                            This CFL Sharp Forecast Fund has picked up Montreal Alouettes +7 (-107) over Hamilton Tiger-Cats.

                                                            This is the line that moves against the forecast this week, something I was looking for when the week began; let's see if it comes back down.

                                                            Good Luck.

                                                            Comment
                                                            • KVB
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 05-29-14
                                                              • 74817

                                                              #170
                                                              This account has received $100 dividend HIMX.



                                                              HIMX has recently been the weakest position in this fund for a while. It is reaching levels where I am going to need to make a decision and I have been bearish of late on this stock, despite sitting on 1000 shares.

                                                              One of only a couple of positions down in this Fund, GE being the other.

                                                              I have been busy with the MLB Contrarian fund and have held off trading stocks recently, it's hard to do both.

                                                              I was supposed to rotate into the MLB Fund with available cash, too bad I didn't it has been on a good run.

                                                              There are two CFL games in play tonight.

                                                              Comment
                                                              • KVB
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 05-29-14
                                                                • 74817

                                                                #171
                                                                The CFL Sharp Forecast Fund has picked up Edmonton Eskimos -6 (-110) over Saskatchewan Roughriders.

                                                                The Fund also holds Saskatchewan +9 (-110) over Edmonton, bought at the open, and is required to buy at the current market agreement.

                                                                The CFL rarely, if ever, middles, but it does push an opener or closer at times.

                                                                Good Luck.

                                                                Comment
                                                                • TTA_President
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-14-10
                                                                  • 1434

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Wow
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 04-04-11
                                                                    • 37048

                                                                    #173
                                                                    Originally posted by KVB
                                                                    The CFL Sharp Forecast Fund has picked up the following plays...

                                                                    Ottawa Redblacks –3.5 (-110) over Toronto Argonauts

                                                                    Saskatchewan Roughriders +9 (-110) over Edmonton Eskimos

                                                                    Calgary Stampeders –11 (-110) over British Columbia Lions

                                                                    Hamilton has opened a 6 point favorite over Montreal but the CFL Sharp Forecast shows Hamilton winning by 3, 4, 5, or 6 points, all with equal probability.

                                                                    Montreal will trigger if we see +6.5.

                                                                    These are very early openers and I wouldn’t be surprise, this week, to see a line move against the forecast as it has beaten the closing line the last two weeks, but we will have to wait and see.

                                                                    Good Luck

                                                                    Valuable skill to know which way # is gonna move. Wish I was better at it.
                                                                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TheLock
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 04-06-08
                                                                      • 14427

                                                                      #174
                                                                      I just found this thread. Love it. The back and forths with KVB and Coach are excellent. One or two ultra-needy trolls who despise themselves popped in but beyond.....that good stuff!

                                                                      So I can add something to the thread, I opened a Major Purchase account on Betterment recently with the sole purpose of having around $4K for the 2026 World Cup. $18.00 bi-weekly. Crumbs.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • SilverSpoon111
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 07-20-18
                                                                        • 545

                                                                        #175
                                                                        Originally posted by TheLock
                                                                        I just found this thread. Love it. The back and forths with KVB and Coach are excellent. One or two ultra-needy trolls who despise themselves popped in but beyond.....that good stuff!

                                                                        So I can add something to the thread, I opened a Major Purchase account on Betterment recently with the sole purpose of having around $4K for the 2026 World Cup. $18.00 bi-weekly. Crumbs.
                                                                        Comment
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