Stock Market Discussion -- started 03/06/2018 -- updated daily !!!

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  • RoyBacon
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 09-21-05
    • 37074

    #10501
    Baba gave us that 1 chance at $150 and now she's gone at $174. We thank her for that but wished we'd bought more.

    My little train, JMP, up another .15 to $7.60 starting to stalk it's all time high of $8.99.
    Comment
    • trobin31
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-09-14
      • 9853

      #10502
      $MOGO....Canadian fintech owns a ton of Ethereum, I got calls $5c calls, should print
      Comment
      • RoyBacon
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 09-21-05
        • 37074

        #10503
        JMP $7.75 choochoo!! Maybe I shouldn't jinx it.

        The meme stocks AMC and GME are slithering back to their respective holes after gap up openings. Dogs.
        Comment
        • trobin31
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-09-14
          • 9853

          #10504
          Nasdaq showing some top signs on both daily and weekly now. Be careful, if we get red to close the week it could be a few weeks of pain in tech.
          Comment
          • trobin31
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-09-14
            • 9853

            #10505
            So far market no care, we’ll see how closes...I stand by a big melt up into mid to later September, so just ride the wave, wait for vix and usd spike....

            new entries:

            $DNUT...Krispy Kreme...I think below $17 is reasonable for a possible 10-30% swing trade, insider JAB has been piling up shares and its flagging hard

            $INDI...this is more of a long term speculative investment but I think it’s worth stacking over the next few years on weakness

            Indie semiconductor...company with niche into lidar and connected tech in vehnicles...1) Management: Board and CEO with Skyworks, Marvell & Cirrus prior management who brought those into 10x companies2) Moat: by focusing on automotive, Lidar and EV they are tapping into providing faster processing speeds and reliability, quality.3) margins: growing business +140 yoy revenue, after recent spac deal top 25% in semi debt ranking, recent M&A of another lidar phototonics4) Meaning: Lidar and computer software in vehicles is one of the highest CAGRs over next 10years and we are currently at inflection point...companies like INDI, CRNC are still very early but possibly a chance to get in at a venture capital level entry.

            lastly, Soros’ fund loaded up last quarter as well as board and CEO recently.
            Comment
            • Slurry Pumper
              SBR MVP
              • 06-18-18
              • 2811

              #10506
              All the market has been doing is hanging out waiting to go higher. Tomorrow we have another announcement and the charts are telling me that it is a good time for the markets to break out. Going into the holiday weekend more often than not, the market rises. I can smell it already they will goose the markets higher and even next week the trend will continue and maybe on Wednesday there will be a little pause. That's the way I see the next couple of days.
              Comment
              • Skidcom
                SBR MVP
                • 11-17-06
                • 1796

                #10507
                Been scalping put premium with calendar spreads on AMC and GME for a few months. Slow and steady wins the race. Love weekly expirations. time value decay is a beautiful thing
                Comment
                • chico2663
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 09-02-10
                  • 36915

                  #10508
                  Originally posted by trobin31
                  $MOGO....Canadian fintech owns a ton of Ethereum, I got calls $5c calls, should print
                  I had 5 that I sold in Jan of this year. I dreamt so I died. Which I did but was brought back.
                  Comment
                  • RoyBacon
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 09-21-05
                    • 37074

                    #10509
                    Originally posted by Skidcom
                    Been scalping put premium with calendar spreads on AMC and GME for a few months. Slow and steady wins the race. Love weekly expirations. time value decay is a beautiful thing
                    Me too. Most profitable running trade of my career. Sucks up a fvvk of a lot of margin. I'm not spreading them just shorting the furthest strike with 7-9 days. Fugging money pouring in and only a couple of bird strikes.
                    Comment
                    • Slurry Pumper
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-18-18
                      • 2811

                      #10510
                      Still looking to short AMZN here. I'll probably wait until next week before stepping in with Oct 8 puts 3400 strike, right now they are asking 65.50. After they give the market a feel good boost today going into the weekend, these will get cheaper.
                      Comment
                      • trobin31
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-09-14
                        • 9853

                        #10511
                        Originally posted by chico2663
                        I had 5 that I sold in Jan of this year. I dreamt so I died. Which I did but was brought back.
                        Glad you escaped the reaper
                        Comment
                        • trobin31
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-09-14
                          • 9853

                          #10512



                          $GENI...anyone familiar with Genius sports, online betting platforms are tripping over themselves to get access to their data...anyone familiar or investable knowledge here? Data is the new real estate...best to figure out where the beach front property is...
                          Comment
                          • Mac4Lyfe
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-04-09
                            • 48335

                            #10513
                            Next 2 to 3 weeks are going to be very choppy in the markets. I just sold off 80% of my portfolio. I'll buy back in a few weeks. BOL to all
                            Comment
                            • homie1975
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-24-13
                              • 15442

                              #10514
                              Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                              Next 2 to 3 weeks are going to be very choppy in the markets. I just sold off 80% of my portfolio. I'll buy back in a few weeks. BOL to all
                              80% Macker noooooooo
                              Comment
                              • Mac4Lyfe
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-04-09
                                • 48335

                                #10515
                                Originally posted by homie1975
                                80% Macker noooooooo
                                Yep, probably should have sold 90%. I've got a few puts as well. Get out while you can and buy back next month. Thank me later.
                                Comment
                                • Mac4Lyfe
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-04-09
                                  • 48335

                                  #10516
                                  I'm not trying to say doom and gloom. Dollar cost averaging in the long run always the way to go. I just expect the market to have some ups and downs the next few weeks, mainly down. Have to be very selective. Expect a nice run mid October into the holidays.
                                  Comment
                                  • homie1975
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-24-13
                                    • 15442

                                    #10517
                                    Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                    Yep, probably should have sold 90%. I've got a few puts as well. Get out while you can and buy back next month. Thank me later.
                                    You're trying to time it though. Extremely tricky
                                    Comment
                                    • RoyBacon
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 09-21-05
                                      • 37074

                                      #10518
                                      GME taking a hit AH -$18.

                                      Earnings came out and was -.70 vs the expected -.60. What a dog. I'm still short calls.
                                      Comment
                                      • homie1975
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-24-13
                                        • 15442

                                        #10519
                                        Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                        GME taking a hit AH -$18.

                                        Earnings came out and was -.70 vs the expected -.60. What a dog. I'm still short calls.
                                        You've hung in there for a long time. U called your shot and u deserve to be rewarded.
                                        Comment
                                        • RoyBacon
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 09-21-05
                                          • 37074

                                          #10520
                                          Originally posted by homie1975
                                          You've hung in there for a long time. U called your shot and u deserve to be rewarded.
                                          Thanks Hom. Enjoy the Hogs game but hopefully, for my sake, you don't enjoy it too much. 27- 20 Texas.
                                          Comment
                                          • Mac4Lyfe
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-04-09
                                            • 48335

                                            #10521
                                            Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                            GME taking a hit AH -$18.Earnings came out and was -.70 vs the expected -.60. What a dog. I'm still short calls.
                                            I can't short stocks that people are evangelistic about.
                                            Comment
                                            • RoyBacon
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 09-21-05
                                              • 37074

                                              #10522
                                              Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                              I can't short stocks that people are evangelistic about.
                                              Been a bit of a life changing trade.

                                              Look at this trade:

                                              As the market closed yesterday you could short the Sept 17 GME 500 call for $1.5.

                                              Think about that. The stock is $200 and you can short a $500 call with 6 days left for $150 each. The call is $300 OUT of the money.

                                              Today, 1 day later, it's trading for .25. In 5 more days it will be $0.00.

                                              You only get a few of these type trades every lifetime.
                                              Comment
                                              • RoyBacon
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 09-21-05
                                                • 37074

                                                #10523
                                                JMP is worth watching today. Normal avg volume 56k. Todays vol already 82k $7.43.

                                                I'm calling this guy to be bought out at $9.75 by the end of the year.
                                                Comment
                                                • RoyBacon
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 09-21-05
                                                  • 37074

                                                  #10524
                                                  Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                                  JMP is worth watching today. Normal avg volume 56k. Todays vol already 82k $7.43.

                                                  I'm calling this guy to be bought out at $9.75 by the end of the year.
                                                  Just got an offer for $7.50 cash from Citizens. Well, need a better offer.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ex50warrior
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-10-09
                                                    • 3815

                                                    #10525
                                                    Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                                    Been a bit of a life changing trade.

                                                    Look at this trade:

                                                    As the market closed yesterday you could short the Sept 17 GME 500 call for $1.5.

                                                    Think about that. The stock is $200 and you can short a $500 call with 6 days left for $150 each. The call is $300 OUT of the money.

                                                    Today, 1 day later, it's trading for .25. In 5 more days it will be $0.00.

                                                    You only get a few of these type trades every lifetime.


                                                    The premium is crazy!! How much margin interest do you figure you pay per contract?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • RoyBacon
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 09-21-05
                                                      • 37074

                                                      #10526
                                                      Originally posted by ex50warrior
                                                      The premium is crazy!! How much margin interest do you figure you pay per contract?
                                                      I don't pay any.

                                                      You use your equity. You need about $50k per call of equity.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ex50warrior
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-10-09
                                                        • 3815

                                                        #10527
                                                        Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                                        I don't pay any.

                                                        You use your equity. You need about $50k per call of equity.
                                                        Even better! You had mentioned a similar trade with AMC several months ago. Both look almost too good to be true. Thanks!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • RoyBacon
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 09-21-05
                                                          • 37074

                                                          #10528
                                                          Originally posted by ex50warrior
                                                          Even better! You had mentioned a similar trade with AMC several months ago. Both look almost too good to be true. Thanks!
                                                          The option premiums are just in the stupid range.

                                                          The only way to lose is the dreaded margin call. Say GME goes up $100, big deal. You're short $500 calls so you you're not worried. But the margin doubles and now you need $100k per contract.

                                                          I did get caught when AMC went from $12 to $45 in like a 7 day period. But made up that loss quickly.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Greget
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-01-10
                                                            • 10516

                                                            #10529
                                                            Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                                            The option premiums are just in the stupid range.

                                                            The only way to lose is the dreaded margin call. Say GME goes up $100, big deal. You're short $500 calls so you you're not worried. But the margin doubles and now you need $100k per contract.

                                                            I did get caught when AMC went from $12 to $45 in like a 7 day period. But made up that loss quickly.
                                                            Glad to hear your out of hospital. I know covid kicked your ass being so overweight, but at least you made it.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • RoyBacon
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 09-21-05
                                                              • 37074

                                                              #10530
                                                              Originally posted by Greget
                                                              Glad to hear your out of hospital. I know covid kicked your ass being so overweight, but at least you made it.
                                                              You got the wrong fella, fella. I am 15 lbs overweight though. Working on that. Love waygu steaks.

                                                              Knock on wood I haven't had covid yet.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • trobin31
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-09-14
                                                                • 9853

                                                                #10531
                                                                Two of most hawkish Fed chairs now selling millions in stock for “ethical” reasons after they’ve cleaned house spiking the punch bowl and now ready to sell before leave “hard and fast” taper...They should be forced to hold their stock and meet the same fate of all those retirees...friggin scum
                                                                Comment
                                                                • homie1975
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-24-13
                                                                  • 15442

                                                                  #10532
                                                                  Originally posted by trobin31
                                                                  Two of most hawkish Fed chairs now selling millions in stock for “ethical” reasons after they’ve cleaned house spiking the punch bowl and now ready to sell before leave “hard and fast” taper...They should be forced to hold their stock and meet the same fate of all those retirees...friggin scum
                                                                  Unreal.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Mac4Lyfe
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-04-09
                                                                    • 48335

                                                                    #10533
                                                                    Originally posted by trobin31
                                                                    Two of most hawkish Fed chairs now selling millions in stock for “ethical” reasons after they’ve cleaned house spiking the punch bowl and now ready to sell before leave “hard and fast” taper...They should be forced to hold their stock and meet the same fate of all those retirees...friggin scum
                                                                    Most people don't even know the game is being played.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Mac4Lyfe
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-04-09
                                                                      • 48335

                                                                      #10534
                                                                      Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                                                      Love waygu steaks.
                                                                      You might have to order those steaks on margin. Lord, they're expensive. Good but so overpriced.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Enkhbat
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 04-18-11
                                                                        • 3145

                                                                        #10535
                                                                        It's been a rough week for S@P500 index. Maybe a recovery today?
                                                                        Comment
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