Nash 2016 MLB Baseball

[iloseagain]

Rangers by 7 today

No kings court in Arlington

Always enjoy your stuff, Nash.

This being said.....you're WAYYYY off on the Seattle play.

Texas rolls here. Play the run line and thank me at the pay window.

2 guys with Texas in their avatars haha.. Why does Texas crush today? All stats point to the KING! GL either way

[tatddy]

2 guys with Texas in their avatars haha.. Why does Texas crush today? All stats point to the KING! GL either way

Maybe but they shawp fukks.

[Capybara]

I'm on the King. Hamels will disappoint. Nellie and Cano with big days.

[opie1988]

No worries. I factored in a Cano homerun in my model.

Working out just like I planned.

[Ra77er]

No worries. I factored in a Cano homerun in my model.

Working out just like I planned.

[iloseagain]

No worries. I factored in a Cano homerun in my model.

Working out just like I planned.

Lol

[mrlif1]

gl this year nash.

[iloseagain]

jeeez felix has a no hitter going, yet they have bases loaded in the bottom 5 haha

[Breadloser]

Felix is an auto fade this season. Fat fvcking piece of trash that he is.

[dwatersalec]

Felix is an auto fade this season. Fat fvcking piece of trash that he is.

Watching this live - he actually looks like he is in good shape.

[The Giant]

Good luck this season, Nash.

[Smoke]

Good luck this season, Nash.

[Jeffie]

Nash, good luck this season.

[opie1988]

Well....I missed my RL bet. But HAMMERED the ML, so all in all, a fine start! I'm pleased to have started my MLB thread here on a winning note.

Cheers to all that followed me on my first win on what I'm sure will be a stellar season for both me and the Texas Rangers.

Be be sure to check this thread regularly as I will be sure to post plays whenever I see a good opportunity.

[Louisvillekid1]

Will be checking daily

[iloseagain]

Well....I missed my RL bet. But HAMMERED the ML, so all in all, a fine start! I'm pleased to have started my MLB thread here on a winning note.

Cheers to all that followed me on my first win on what I'm sure will be a stellar season for both me and the Texas Rangers.

Be be sure to check this thread regularly as I will be sure to post plays whenever I see a good opportunity.

fukkin 1 hit and they win 3-2.. unreal

[Killer_Demo]

Good luck Nash. Solid dude

[BennyBigNuts]

Pretty much a full slate today.
Breaking down the day and late afternoon games first

Houston Astros at New York Yankees
Rained out.

SF Giants at Milwaukee Brewers
Bumgarner vs. Peralta

Giants -171
Total 7.5

Bummy is an elite - Peralta has no business being labeled an 'ace'
Bummy is by far the superior starter.
Giants sticks are superior than Berwers lineup.

Three ways to wager this.
I will not lay -171, unless you use it in a 2 team parlay.
Not fond of parlay bets because of the fact you need multiple teams to win to collect one wager.
I might do it with SF in this spot, we'll see.

You could use Bummy on run line at +100 (even up)
I strongly advise to bet run lines only if you like the road favorite, reason being the visiting team gets a ninth inning at bat, guaranteed, where as the home team doesn't get that ninth inning at bat only if they are losing, and if you are tied up in the ninth using a home team in a run line and you need to win by 2, you are also pretty much screwed, unless there is a walk off multiple bomb.

Another angle in this game is to bet SF to score 4 or more, since SF gets a ninth inning at bat, Peralta being a hamburger, and SF has plenty of offense with Belt, Pence, Posey and the rest.

I'll get back to this game later.

Minnesota Twins at Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore - 126
Total 9 runs
Santana vs. Tillman

Holy Mother of God, the poor rawhide.
Balls should be flying out of Camden.
Both pitchers are good for about 24 home runs given up this season.
Both sides are loaded with HR potential.
You have Sano and Park and Plouffe, even Brian Dozier at the top of the order hits 20 homers.
Baltimore has name brand power, like Chris Davis and Adam Jones, and the catcher is back Matt Weiters and Machado.

Both starters will be five and fly, maybe six innings each, maximum.

I wouldn't touch each starters with a 10 foot pole.
If you have to bet a side, take Twins at + money.
If you wager the total, I'd bet the over 9, I don't like pushes, so you need 10 runs to collect here.
Over should cash, leaning over here, but I have not put in any tickets yet.
I'll get back to this game.

Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers
Texas -125
Total 7.5 runs
Felix Hernandez vs. Cole Hamels

Interesting match up
4 years ago these two were as good as it gets elite.
OK I may be overrating Hamels, let's not say elite, but solid.
Both are regressing.

Hamels throws left.
Cruz and Seager right there in the middle of the order crushes LHP
Throw in Cano hitting third, the 3-4-5 hitters can inflict major damage on Cole Hamels.
Don't sleep on Franklin Guiterrez either, and Ketel Marte is an up and comer at SS in the two hole with very good foot speed.

King Hernandez is in good health
I really don't see anybody in the Texas line up hurting Felix, maybe Choo, that's about it.
Prince Fielder is 2 for 25 lifetime vs. Felix

I'm going to play King and his Court the Seatlle Mariners.

Philadelphia Phillies at Reds
I don't want any part of this shit festival.

Phils + money or don't bet it.
I choose not to bet it.

Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves
This is an easy one to break down.
Nationals own every aspect of this game.
Max should not lose to Teheran
Nationals should severely out hit the Braves
Either wager Max on run line since they are on the road at -105, or leave the game alone.


I'm betting the Indians over the Red Sox, I'll break that down when I get back, right now I have to be somewhere.

Indians and Mariners are the afternoon plays

Fade-a-licious
Buried already.
And Nashy is a ghost after all his losers came in. What a shock.

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Wow harsh Benny

[Notorious_Donk]

Bol

[tennis005]

Is the Windians still a good pick today? Not sure if a postponement has an effect on anything?

[JJJ]

nasher who do you like today?

[jjgold]

Fade-a-licious
Buried already.
And Nashy is a ghost after all his losers came in. What a shock.

Benny biggest loser at SBR

Busted as a fraud many times

[BennyBigNuts]

Benny biggest loser at SBR

Busted as a fraud many times

Lol get real dikk

[stevenash]

nasher who do you like today?

I do this for fun, I have an I/t job, we are still closing out the first quarter, I'm not always going to be around mid-week.
Mountains of paper work.

I did like Price, but way too busy at work to post.

JJ don't start shit, Benny knows baseball too.

[stevenash]

Fade-a-licious
Buried already.
And Nashy is a ghost after all his losers came in. What a shock.

Funny how he comes around when I post my first loss.
Too bad you are a giant *ussy, beecause you are pretty good, but nobody takes you seriously.

[stevenash]

April 6 MLB day games

Hi fellas, I have to go to my real job in a bit, I don't have time to break down all the games for you in detail, but I can give you a summary

I have no opinion on Phiily/Reds
Well I do have an opinion, I think Finnegan is going to have a very nice season, but I can't lay -133 against Nola, who is also primed for a nice season.

Plus those two teams are unpredictable.

I am laying off Giants, they seem way too logical, but the price is too high.
Same with Marlins and Fernandez, he's over priced at -145, but can't fade him.

I'm trying Matt Moore and the Rays over Happ who is brutal.
Happ is a hamburger, and what the Rays do well is smack LHP
Longoria, Forsythe. Jennings all hit LHP hard.

Moore should hold the Jays bats relatively in check.
I like home dogs getting + money.


Rays +130 3*

YTD

I'm 2 and 1 so far +200

[stevenash]

OK
Looking at the night games.
Yankees/Astros over 7 looks like the strongest play.

Hit the live 'dog Rays for 3* - +130 for a tidy 390 dollar profit.

YTD 3 and 1
+590 dollar

Oh, and for the one hater - here's the ticket

371107657-1	4/6/16 10:16am	$300.00	$390.00	$690.00	Win	4/6/16 1:10pm MLB Baseball 964 Tampa Bay Rays +130* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Toronto Blue Jays (J Happ - L must Start M Moore - L must Start)

Yanks/'Stros over 7 goes for 2*

Best of luck tonight.

[tennis005]

Good hit...I already had tampa over 3.5 runs before I saw that.. what's ur thoughts on Nats over 4.5 team runs..I like nationals hitting now they have a healthy lineup?

[iloseagain]

Why the hate for Happ? I understand he hasnt been great in his career, but he went to pit midway thru last season and Searage fixed his mechanics and he pitched as well as anyone. He went 7-2 with a 1.86 ERA and 1.03 WHIP after Searage got his hands on him.. I guess you could just say he had a good stretch of pitching, but it seems awfully coincidental that it happened right after he got his mechanics fixed..

Pitched well today too. 6 IP, 7H, 1BB, 2ER, 4K.

[RollinDo]

OK
Looking at the night games.
Yankees/Astros over 7 looks like the strongest play.

Hit the live 'dog Rays for 3* - +130 for a tidy 390 dollar profit.

YTD 3 and 1
+590 dollar

Oh, and for the one hater - here's the ticket

371107657-1	4/6/16 10:16am	$300.00	$390.00	$690.00	Win	4/6/16 1:10pm MLB Baseball 964 Tampa Bay Rays +130* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Toronto Blue Jays (J Happ - L must Start M Moore - L must Start)

Yanks/'Stros over 7 goes for 2*

Best of luck tonight.

Geez - I am on the wrong side of everything today...

Lost Jays +1.5 in a parlay.
Bet Jose F for first time today and he breaks his streak.
Lost D'backs backing Corbin at home.
Have U 7.5 in Yanks game as my best Under.

[stevenash]

Geez - I am on the wrong side of everything today...

Lost Jays +1.5 in a parlay.
Bet Jose F for first time today and he breaks his streak.
Lost D'backs backing Corbin at home.
Have U 7.5 in Yanks game as my best Under.

Got 7 a few hours ago, jumped to 7.5 I see.

[stevenash]

Good hit...I already had tampa over 3.5 runs before I saw that.. what's ur thoughts on Nats over 4.5 team runs..I like nationals hitting now they have a healthy lineup?

I use a generator / database and a database I have created (teach yourself SQL, it's a big help)

Washington Atlanta 4.85

3.33

WSH 59.44%

The 4.85 is the projected number of runs scored for the Nats.

[stevenash]

Correa just hit a bomb, I guess the kid is on his way, last year was not a fluke.
He killed Pineada.

[ThaWoj]

Got 7 a few hours ago, jumped to 7.5 I see.

Not there yet but nice fukking call nasher.