Nash 2015 MLB Thread

**stevenash** · 06-10-15, 06:00 PM

This Oriole line (pick 'em) is killing me

Earlier this morning I had some time, so I started where I always start, the early games first.

Balty - at home
Balty - better starter Chen > Porcello
Red Sox v. LHP .228 127 for 557

Only trouble spots for Chen in lineup
Pedroia 15 for 32 lifetime v. Chen .468
Han-Ram no real history off of Chen, but had sweet power numbers this year v. LHP

Ortiz's fat ass is riding the pine tonight, Farrell told Papi you can't LHP, you're probably going to be platooning a lot ths summer. he's .118 this season off of LHP.

Matchups that fare well for Balt.

Machado
Hardy
Wieters (I see he has the night off)
C. Davis
D. Young

No real edge in 'pens, OK maybe Sox a little stronger.

So......

Balt has the SP edge
Balty is home
Balty has the better line up edge, by far. Porcello is a homer machine.

I was willingto spend -125, even -130 and that's rare for me.

WHY IS THIS GAME A MOTHERFUCKING PICK?

It's not a pick.

Balty still the play just 2* not 4* (because I know I am missing something)
What am I missing ???

**Ra77er** · 06-10-15, 06:01 PM

I feel like if I posted why I like Boston it could mess with your confidence on your picks and this is not a good thing. The effort you put in deserves a win, so Balty is the play.

**GT21Megatron** · 06-10-15, 06:02 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

Earlier this morning I had some time, so I started where I always start, the early games first.

Balty - at home
Balty - better starter Chen > Porcello
Red Sox v. LHP .228 127 for 557

Only trouble spots for Chen in lineup
Pedroia 15 for 32 lifetime v. Chen .468
Han-Ram no real history off of Chen, but had sweet power numbers this year v. LHP

Ortiz's fat ass is riding the pine tonight, Farrell told Papi you can't LHP, you're probably going to be platooning a lot ths summer. he's .118 this season off of LHP.

Matchups that fare well for Balt.

Machado
Hardy
Wieters (I see he has the night off)
C. Davis
D. Young

No real edge in 'pens, OK maybe Sox a little stronger.

So......

Balt has the SP edge
Balty is home
Balty has the better line up edge, by far. Porcello is a homer machine.

I was willingto spend -125, even -130 and that's rare for me.

WHY IS THIS GAME A MOTHERFUCKING PICK?

It's not a pick.

Balty still the play just 2* not 4* (because I know I am missing something)
What am I missing ???

Probably thinking Sox got blanked last night so they bounce back? I'm on this play also

**jameski999** · 06-10-15, 07:34 PM

Balty defense>

**stevenash** · 06-10-15, 07:42 PM

Oh, one more thing, keep an eye on this Velasquez starting in Houston.
His fastball is amazing. Astro's needed another starter, Valesquez never played an ounce of AAA ball, in AA ball he was striking out almost 13 a game per 9, with a 0.9 WH/IP, and a K to BB ratio of over 4 to 1.
A socut I respect says he's Roger Clemens lite without the 'roids.

**jameski999** · 06-10-15, 08:02 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

Earlier this morning I had some time, so I started where I always start, the early games first.

Balty - at home
Balty - better starter Chen > Porcello
Red Sox v. LHP .228 127 for 557

Only trouble spots for Chen in lineup
Pedroia 15 for 32 lifetime v. Chen .468
Han-Ram no real history off of Chen, but had sweet power numbers this year v. LHP

Ortiz's fat ass is riding the pine tonight, Farrell told Papi you can't LHP, you're probably going to be platooning a lot ths summer. he's .118 this season off of LHP.

Matchups that fare well for Balt.

Machado
Hardy
Wieters (I see he has the night off)
C. Davis
D. Young

No real edge in 'pens, OK maybe Sox a little stronger.

So......

Balt has the SP edge
Balty is home
Balty has the better line up edge, by far. Porcello is a homer machine.

I was willingto spend -125, even -130 and that's rare for me.

WHY IS THIS GAME A MOTHERFUCKING PICK?

It's not a pick.

Balty still the play just 2* not 4* (because I know I am missing something)
What am I missing ???

Doesn't look like you missed anything, spot on.

**Ra77er** · 06-10-15, 08:17 PM

**Da Manster!** · 06-10-15, 09:34 PM

good call Nash...won another teaser on totals myself...

Ticket Details
Wager Type : Parlay (5 team)
Wager Status : WinRisk / To Win Amount : 100.71 / 181.67(USD)
Accepted : 6/10/2015 9:00AM - PST

Won : 181.67
Amount Paid : 282.38

Pitchers : J. Williams - R - Must Pitch / J. Moscot - R - Must Pitch
#1) Wager Type : Total Outcome : Win

Sport / Period : MLB Baseball / Game

Selection : Philadelphia Phillies/Cincinnati Reds Time : 6/10/2015 9:35:01AM - (PST)

Line : Over 5½ -557 buying 3½ Result : Philadelphia Phillies 2 - Cincinnati Reds 5

Pitchers : T. Ross - R - Must Pitch / W. Perez - R - Must Pitch
#2) Wager Type : Total Outcome : Win

Sport / Period : MLB Baseball / Game

Selection : San Diego Padres/Atlanta Braves Time : 6/10/2015 4:10:01PM - (PST)

Line : Over 4½ -504 buying 3 Result : San Diego Padres 1 - Atlanta Braves 4

Pitchers : R. Porcello - R - Must Pitch / W.Y. Chen - L - Must Pitch
#3) Wager Type : Total Outcome : Win

Sport / Period : MLB Baseball / Game

Selection : Boston Red Sox/Baltimore Orioles Time : 6/10/2015 4:05:01PM - (PST)

Line : Over 5½ -369 buying 3 Result : Boston Red Sox 2 - Baltimore Orioles 5

Game Notes : (ESPN)

Pitchers : G. Gonzalez - L - Must Pitch / N. Eovaldi - R - Must Pitch
#4) Wager Type : Total Outcome : Win

Sport / Period : MLB Baseball / Game

Selection : Washington Nationals/New York Yankees Time : 6/10/2015 10:05:01AM - (PST)

Line : Over 5½ -390 buying 3 Result : Washington Nationals 5 - New York Yankees 4

Pitchers : J. Arrieta - R - Must Pitch / S. Greene - R - Must Pitch
#5) Wager Type : Total Outcome : Win

Sport / Period : MLB Baseball / Game

Selection : Chicago Cubs/Detroit Tigers Time : 6/10/2015 4:05:01PM - (PST)

Line : Over 5½ -413 buying 3 Result : Chicago Cubs 12 - Detroit Tigers 3

**Da Manster!** · 06-11-15, 01:11 PM

let's keep it going, fellas!...

...my parlay/teaser for tonights MLB action!....

Ticket #	Accepted	Type	Risk	To Win	Short Description
	6/11/2015 10:52AM	Parlay	282.38	310.69	Baseball - 903 Colorado Rockies/Miami Marlins over 5½ -437 buying 3 for Game Baseball - 905 San Francisco Giants/New York Mets over 4½ -629 buying 3 for Game Baseball - 915 Boston Red Sox/Baltimore Orioles over 5½ -463 buying 3 for Game Baseball - 917 Los Angeles Angels/Tampa Bay Rays over 4½ -470 buying 2½ for Game

**stevenash** · 06-11-15, 05:56 PM

Nationals (Roarke) Pick 'em

Rox (+124) This is one game where the Rox on the road will hit like they are at Coors.
They will murder Phelps in Miami, rake him to pieces.

That is all for now, be back in a few

**GIVEMETHEMONEY** · 06-11-15, 09:22 PM

Originally posted by Da Manster!

let's keep it going, fellas!...

...my parlay/teaser for tonights MLB action!....

Ticket #	Accepted	Type	Risk	To Win	Short Description
	6/11/2015 10:52AM	Parlay	282.38	310.69	Baseball - 903 Colorado Rockies/Miami Marlins over 5½ -437 buying 3 for Game Baseball - 905 San Francisco Giants/New York Mets over 4½ -629 buying 3 for Game Baseball - 915 Boston Red Sox/Baltimore Orioles over 5½ -463 buying 3 for Game Baseball - 917 Los Angeles Angels/Tampa Bay Rays over 4½ -470 buying 2½ for Game

Awesome parlay DaManster!!

**RollinDo** · 06-11-15, 09:38 PM

How can you guys buy that many runs?
I would have done an Under teaser with Baltimore, Tampa, Miami games...buying 3 runs.

**stevenash** · 06-11-15, 09:58 PM

^
I think Heritage offers that bet.
I used to play at Heritage, no more.

**Da Manster!** · 06-11-15, 11:18 PM

Originally posted by GIVEMETHEMONEY

Awesome parlay DaManster!!

thanks GMTM!...

...I'm glad someone appreciates it!...

**Da Manster!** · 06-11-15, 11:20 PM

Originally posted by RollinDo

How can you guys buy that many runs?
I would have done an Under teaser with Baltimore, Tampa, Miami games...buying 3 runs.

At Heritage, bro!...

...you can actually buy up to 5 runs!!..either way on the over or the under...but on the over, you can't go below 4.5...Still, IMO, best book in the industry!...

**Da Manster!** · 06-11-15, 11:23 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

^
I think Heritage offers that bet.
I used to play at Heritage, no more.

any particular reason why, Nash?...I play there (no problems whatsoever), bookmaker, and betdsi.

**Jrod124** · 06-12-15, 01:24 AM

Nice parlays Manster, keep it going

Nash u mind posting your DraftKings/Fan Duel thoughts in here for tomorrow? I am participating in a H2H contest, need all the help I can get.

Only if u have some time, thanks in advance man! Keep up the great work

**stevenash** · 06-12-15, 09:49 AM

Originally posted by Jrod124

Nice parlays Manster, keep it going

Nash u mind posting your DraftKings/Fan Duel thoughts in here for tomorrow? I am participating in a H2H contest, need all the help I can get.

Only if u have some time, thanks in advance man! Keep up the great work

J. Gomes (make sure he's in the lineup)
Prado
Freeman
Trout
Pujols
Yelich
DeJesus
Hardy
Adam Jones
Miggy
Castellanos
R. Raburn (check the lineup)
Reyes
Simmons
pretty much any Mariner.

I'll post more later.

**JJJ** · 06-12-15, 04:55 PM

Nash what do you think about the twins today this hamburger wandy is due for a regression

**reaclast** · 06-12-15, 05:55 PM

nash which are ur plays tonight?

**Da Manster!** · 06-13-15, 12:28 PM

alright guys...let's keep this streak going!...

Ticket #	Accepted	Type	Risk	To Win	Short Description
	6/13/2015 10:26AM	Parlay	145.12	124.29	Baseball - 915 Toronto Blue Jays/Boston Red Sox over 6½ -494 buying 3 for Game Baseball - 919 Cleveland Indians/Detroit Tigers over 5½ -390 buying 3 for Game Baseball - 925 New York Yankees/Baltimore Orioles over 5½ -437 buying 3 for Game

**stevenash** · 06-13-15, 02:21 PM

Originally posted by reaclast

nash which are ur plays tonight?

Nash was getting his groove on last night and was not around.

**stevenash** · 06-13-15, 02:33 PM

Braves +142

Is Jacob DeGrom really having that much better season so far than Shelby Miller?
Numbers indicate they are pretty much both having equal success, the only edge being DeGrom is a better strikeout artist.

And while we are in question mode, is the Mets lineup really that much better than the Braves.

Mets are not -152 better this afternoon that the Braves.
You want to tell Mets are -132 in this spot, I'd say fair price.
Mets -152 is absurd.

I'm on the Braves +142 8 days to Sunday.

Spot underdog play of the day

**swordsandtequila** · 06-13-15, 03:09 PM

Originally posted by Da Manster!

alright guys...let's keep this streak going!...

Ticket #	Accepted	Type	Risk	To Win	Short Description
	6/13/2015 10:26AM	Parlay	145.12	124.29	Baseball - 915 Toronto Blue Jays/Boston Red Sox over 6½ -494 buying 3 for Game Baseball - 919 Cleveland Indians/Detroit Tigers over 5½ -390 buying 3 for Game Baseball - 925 New York Yankees/Baltimore Orioles over 5½ -437 buying 3 for Game

Trying the same concept at JetWin; can't buy runs but they offer alternate lines (+/- 2). Parlayed the same 3 games (Tor/Bos 7.5, NY/Balt 6.5) along with Mil/Wash 6.5 and Chi/Cin 5.5, pays +436. Bet before seeing your post, glad to see we're on the same side. 1 down, 2/4 to go!

**stevenash** · 06-13-15, 03:21 PM

Holy Mother of God, did just see Freeman's moonshot???
That ball needed both flight attendants and a flight plan.
I think that ball is on its second orbit of Neptune right now.

Poor horsehide, what did it ever do to Freeman to get punished like that?

**Da Manster!** · 06-13-15, 04:23 PM

Originally posted by swordsandtequila

Trying the same concept at JetWin; can't buy runs but they offer alternate lines (+/- 2). Parlayed the same 3 games (Tor/Bos 7.5, NY/Balt 6.5) along with Mil/Wash 6.5 and Chi/Cin 5.5, pays +436. Bet before seeing your post, glad to see we're on the same side. 1 down, 2/4 to go!

good luck S&T!...

...let's keep rockin, bro!...

**stevenash** · 06-13-15, 05:03 PM

Let Shelby Miller finish what he started please.
It's his shutout, don't let the outcome lie in some gypsy bullpen pitcher.

**bballs84** · 06-13-15, 05:10 PM

Not good

**stevenash** · 06-13-15, 05:32 PM

Maybin has meatloaf for brains.

**bballs84** · 06-13-15, 05:36 PM

Should be 3-2 my god

**stevenash** · 06-13-15, 06:01 PM

Here comes the man you want at the plate with the game on the line.
One time Freddie baby.
I'll take a dunker, shit, I'll take an E-5

**stevenash** · 06-13-15, 06:07 PM

Freddie with the stick!

**stevenash** · 06-13-15, 06:08 PM

Here comes the 15 million dollar singles hitter to put Los Bravos ahead.

**Ebe** · 06-13-15, 06:09 PM

Nash, do you keep records?

**bballs84** · 06-13-15, 06:09 PM

Big knock Freddie