2011 NFL Pro Picks with John Ryan

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  • quintaris23
    SBR Rookie
    • 10-23-11
    • 12

    #1751
    Not sure if you can read english or if your working on your TOFEL but look at my last post I won on that game.

    Here is to John crushing the under!! (which was his biggest play)
    Comment
    • John Ryan
      SBR MVP
      • 11-20-10
      • 2428

      #1752
      Originally posted by ZOLAS
      John,

      I'm behind your picks all the way, but I think you have had 2 losing weeks so far, before this week on your official NFL picks in this thread. The others were small loses. Even if this week big loser, it happens.

      ZOLAS
      Thanks.. the record now stands at 23-14 ATS for 5* bets and 2-0 ATS for 10* bets and 1-1 ATS for 20* Titans.

      Today's pair of losses were poor to say the least, but you can never allow a pair of poor losses OR a pair of HUGE wins to affect your judgement and decision making for the next game. Discipline.
      Comment
      • John Ryan
        SBR MVP
        • 11-20-10
        • 2428

        #1753
        so, tonight is 10* 'UNDER' as graded by the simulator. Baltimore is averaging 37.3 pass attempts per game, but the percentage completino is not strong. There have been a ton of vertical routes used to stretch the defense to open up the running game and then use play action pass to exploit man coverage. They need to establish the run early in this game.
        Comment
        • fecgp40
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-01-11
          • 5750

          #1754
          Originally posted by John Ryan
          Thanks.. the record now stands at 23-14 ATS for 5* bets and 2-0 ATS for 10* bets and 1-1 ATS for 20* Titans. Today's pair of losses were poor to say the least, but you can never allow a pair of poor losses OR a pair of HUGE wins to affect your judgement and decision making for the next game. Discipline.
          Comment
          • John Ryan
            SBR MVP
            • 11-20-10
            • 2428

            #1755
            The Steelers have improved against the run -- yielding only 43 yards last week -- and have become stingier as the season has progressed. Baltimore's offense is built around a physical ground attack. Look for offensive coordinator Cam Cameron to use more spread formations to take a defender out of the box, and make pounding the rock and controlling the tempo of the game a bit easier.

            Baltimore's defense is ranked No. 1 in the league and can be absolutely dominating if an offense plays "small ball" -- using two-tight end and two-back sets -- to pound the football. The Steelers are a physical team but have utilzed more three-receiver and one-back sets recently. Look for Steelers offensive coordinator Bruce Arians to design a game plan built around multiple spread formations and a variety of motions.
            Comment
            • bassaholicman
              SBR Rookie
              • 04-02-10
              • 14

              #1756
              The Under are at 10-2 for the day and have been really strong over the last few weeks. Probably due to overreaction to the overs hitting at around 80% over the first few weeks. Did your simulator show any strong value in unders today - aside from Green Bay/San Diego and Balt./Pitt? Do you think it would be a good idea to blanket bet unders our overs at any time?
              Comment
              • John Ryan
                SBR MVP
                • 11-20-10
                • 2428

                #1757
                Originally posted by bassaholicman
                The Under are at 10-2 for the day and have been really strong over the last few weeks. Probably due to overreaction to the overs hitting at around 80% over the first few weeks. Did your simulator show any strong value in unders today - aside from Green Bay/San Diego and Balt./Pitt? Do you think it would be a good idea to blanket bet unders our overs at any time?
                No joke. I was considering that action earlier in the week and also fading the BCS Top-6.

                I think there is a need to have a 'Total total' posted. In other words and over/under line for all games listed for the week. It would have to be a significant bid-offer spread, but tld books could get hurt BIG on any given week.

                Ironically, the one play I do make on the UNDER with GB ends up being the barn burner of the day. Just have to laugh.
                Comment
                • John Ryan
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-20-10
                  • 2428

                  #1758
                  As a recommendation, take the Ravens for the second half line. I like what I am seeing from them on both sides of the ball. Watch the LOS and you can see that the Ravens are winning the majority of the plays. Steelers are getting a nice surge on running plays but the OL is missing passing blocking assignments a lot. Such as the Sack of Roethlisberger at the 12 yard line.

                  The 'under' is looking good SO FAR. Do not add any second half play on the total. a 10* amount is enough and we are on the right side at this point. As we know, the game can change immediately at any given time. BOL and we will be back in the Am with the MNF play.
                  Comment
                  • veeds1690
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 10-06-11
                    • 178

                    #1759
                    lets hope this holds John! Gonna stay put with my under bet and sweat it
                    Comment
                    • megonadman
                      Restricted User
                      • 11-06-11
                      • 19

                      #1760
                      thanks john..... every bet you have told me I've done the opposite... which is only 2/2

                      thank you for your predictions
                      Last edited by megonadman; 11-06-11, 11:07 PM. Reason: spelling error
                      Comment
                      • megonadman
                        Restricted User
                        • 11-06-11
                        • 19

                        #1761
                        thanks john..... every bet you have told me I've done the opposite... which is only 2/2

                        thank you for your predictions
                        Comment
                        • BeardedTaco
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 10-18-11
                          • 647

                          #1762
                          ouch what a crushing td pass there.
                          Comment
                          • Brett
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 01-17-10
                            • 272

                            #1763
                            Originally posted by John Ryan

                            Thanks.. the record now stands at 23-14 ATS for 5* bets and 2-0 ATS for 10* bets and 1-1 ATS for 20* Titans.

                            Today's pair of losses were poor to say the least, but you can never allow a pair of poor losses OR a pair of HUGE wins to affect your judgement and decision making for the next game. Discipline.
                            2-1
                            Comment
                            • my6sen
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 09-27-10
                              • 285

                              #1764
                              wat i tell uuuuuuuuuu 0-5
                              Comment
                              • rnoutlaw21
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 01-09-11
                                • 107

                                #1765
                                Originally posted by megonadman
                                thanks john..... every bet you have told me I've done the opposite... which is only 2/2

                                thank you for your predictions
                                Make a new account just to troll in a forum? Get a life dude
                                Comment
                                • my6sen
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 09-27-10
                                  • 285

                                  #1766
                                  10 ******** go awayyyyyy
                                  Comment
                                  • my6sen
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 09-27-10
                                    • 285

                                    #1767
                                    how u feel nowwwww
                                    Comment
                                    • bassaholicman
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 04-02-10
                                      • 14

                                      #1768
                                      tough day John - but i always think "it's a marathon, not a sprint" and that means positive months and years in spite of bad weeks. I did hedge a nickel (half of original bet) on over 19.5 2h - not because i didn't like the original bet, but because it crossed several key numbers and had good value. thx for the picks and insight.
                                      Comment
                                      • PickMeAwinner
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 09-21-11
                                        • 120

                                        #1769
                                        WOW!!!!
                                        Comment
                                        • jimmy007oc
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-25-10
                                          • 1699

                                          #1770
                                          That was a good pick John. Let's you know, we lost a battle, doesn't mean we lost a war. Keep your head up and See you on MNF
                                          Comment
                                          • JR007
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-21-10
                                            • 5279

                                            #1771
                                            cannot beat nfl longterm period, if yesterday's games weren't proof enough...lines are too sharp, their powerratings are superior to anything anyone here can come up with ........ the back and the front door are always open
                                            Comment
                                            • megonadman
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 11-06-11
                                              • 19

                                              #1772
                                              Originally posted by rnoutlaw21
                                              Make a new account just to troll in a forum? Get a life dude
                                              I'm new here...... i do not understand the term troll, must be some a American term.

                                              i was only stated the facts. lets hope John can be successful in the future for all.

                                              i back the Ravens last quarter at 5/1...... happy days...
                                              Comment
                                              • denn333
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-16-05
                                                • 1191

                                                #1773
                                                Time to focus on today, yesterday is over, forget about it....
                                                Comment
                                                • JR007
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-21-10
                                                  • 5279

                                                  #1774
                                                  better off with hockey, early college BB, or college football, ...where you can find" soft" lines
                                                  Comment
                                                  • upscope
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-26-11
                                                    • 2837

                                                    #1775
                                                    Originally posted by JR007
                                                    cannot beat nfl longterm period, if yesterday's games weren't proof enough...lines are too sharp, their powerratings are superior to anything anyone here can come up with ........ the back and the front door are always open
                                                    I have to agree w/ this~
                                                    Comment
                                                    • upscope
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 04-26-11
                                                      • 2837

                                                      #1776
                                                      Originally posted by JR007
                                                      better off with hockey, early college BB, or college football, ...where you can find" soft" lines
                                                      & this~
                                                      Comment
                                                      • pc2006mg
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 11-21-10
                                                        • 51

                                                        #1777
                                                        Tough day John! That is why money management is key. Keep up the good work as there is still a lot of football left to be played. Do you get down on college basketball as well? That can be very lucrative as well. Just gotta keep chipping away. Let's get back on the horse for tonight's game. I am still behind you 100 percent!!!!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • upscope
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-26-11
                                                          • 2837

                                                          #1778
                                                          nfl sux
                                                          Last edited by upscope; 11-07-11, 09:32 AM.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • upscope
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-26-11
                                                            • 2837

                                                            #1779
                                                            ......
                                                            Attached Files
                                                            Comment
                                                            • John Ryan
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-20-10
                                                              • 2428

                                                              #1780
                                                              Yes, i will be starting College Hoops thread soon. Not sure if I am using the correct words or even the ones that I want. yesterday is NOT the first time I have endured something like that. I always remind myself of one of my favorite sayings and that is some days you are the dog and some days you are the fire hydrant... Anyway, the record is still quite good for the season and we simply losy HOUSE MONEY at this point.

                                                              I have beaten the NFL in 15 of my 17 seasons and the two losing seasons were modest losses. Believe me, I am not shaken at all by the misfortune of yesterday's plays and I do appreciate all of the support and encouragement moving forward. Two weeks ago we went 9-1 ATS combined CFB and NFL and now this week we are 0-3 ATS with 0-2 ATS 5* plays and 0-1 ATS with the 10* UNDER play.

                                                              At 23-14 ATS that is still 62.6% winners. Early on this thread I stated our goal was to hit 60% ATS or better and that would be awesome season for all of us. So, I look at it as we had the worst of days and are still ahead of plan.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • soonerstud7804
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 10-17-10
                                                                • 446

                                                                #1781
                                                                I had some tough losses yesterday john but the sun came up and my feet hit the floor and it's a new day..Let's crush em tonight.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SportsMushroom
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-28-10
                                                                  • 4177

                                                                  #1782
                                                                  john you are still way ahead, congrats on your success through these first 9 weeks
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JR007
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-21-10
                                                                    • 5279

                                                                    #1783
                                                                    ats records can be decieving, it's about ROI, if you win a 5 unit and lose a 10 unit, well, it's a loss of (money) what about those Pats second half bets, those aren't figured into the ats record ????....what constitutes a official play ?? when they are in "bold".....you lost ne 2nd half for 3 stars, and you" liked" under ne 23 with no rating........... posts" 1713 and "1715
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Thurman
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 09-16-11
                                                                      • 10

                                                                      #1784
                                                                      John, love your picks and the fact that you do it all for free, keep up the good work. That being said, we are not losing house money, the whole notion of house money is a gambling farce. Its your/our money, not the houses anymore, even if its over and above what you started with. Once you win that bet, its no longer the houses money.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Thurman
                                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                                        • 09-16-11
                                                                        • 10

                                                                        #1785
                                                                        [QUOTE=John Ryan;12246133] Anyway, the record is still quite good for the season and we simply losy HOUSE MONEY at this point.
                                                                        John, love your picks and the fact that you do it all for free, keep up the good work. That being said, we are not losing house money, the whole notion of house money is a gambling farce. Its your/our money, not the houses anymore, even if its over and above what you started with. Once you win that bet, its no longer the houses money.
                                                                        Comment
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