2011 NFL Pro Picks with John Ryan

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  • fecgp40
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-01-11
    • 5750

    #596
    I thought about doing the under instead of the over tonight in my teaser, but I hate betting unders, and last night just re-enforced to me why I hate it. A game that should have been an easy under 44 ended up almost being a loss because of 21 points scored in the last 6 minutes. I guess I feel like I used up my under mojo if that makes any sense. I don't bet them often. Thanks for your input though and GL.
    Comment
    • fecgp40
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-01-11
      • 5750

      #597
      Originally posted by John Ryan
      As I always say I am not a fan of the teaser.. but yours makes complete sense once again. Let's hit two in row tonight and we'll start a teaser component inside this thread. ha ha . but seriously, good solid reasoning and pick.
      Thank you John. I'm glad it makes sense to someone. LOL. I'm normally not a huge fan of teasers either, but the "two team/6pt" teaser in the NFL seems to be working for me, at least for now. It seems whenever I try to get to fancy one team ends up screwing me.
      Comment
      • CROANT
        SBR High Roller
        • 10-28-10
        • 145

        #598
        i picked against you last night, and lost. GL tonight.
        Comment
        • Dayman
          SBR High Roller
          • 09-23-11
          • 150

          #599
          BOL everyone. Took the Skins + 3 1/2 as well as the under.
          Comment
          • fecgp40
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-01-11
            • 5750

            #600
            Originally posted by Dayman
            BOL everyone. Took the Skins + 3 1/2 as well as the under.
            Good call sir. Congrats. I lost every bet. Tashard Choice under 53 yds rushing, Santana over 5 catches, redskins +10/over 37.5, Dallas TT over 24...
            Comment
            • fecgp40
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-01-11
              • 5750

              #601
              Actually the Santana bet was a push. Yay me.
              Comment
              • minnis2winnis
                SBR Rookie
                • 09-26-11
                • 26

                #602
                I took Wash +3.5. Thank you Mr. John Ryan, you are a scholar and a gentleman. (Also took Cowboys in my pick'em. Oh what? Double dip ...... yessssssssssssssssirrrr)
                Comment
                • jbizzle
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 12-22-09
                  • 226

                  #603
                  once again excellent call john! well done
                  Comment
                  • fecgp40
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-01-11
                    • 5750

                    #604
                    Originally posted by John Ryan
                    As I always say I am not a fan of the teaser.. but yours makes complete sense once again. Let's hit two in row tonight and we'll start a teaser component inside this thread. ha ha . but seriously, good solid reasoning and pick.
                    And tonight showed why you're not a fan of the teaser John. I'm done with them. Over 37.5 did me in. I should have just kept it simple but I had to get fancy.
                    Comment
                    • DieselPrime
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 09-26-11
                      • 16

                      #605
                      same here im done with teasers
                      Comment
                      • Dayman
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 09-23-11
                        • 150

                        #606
                        Great call tonight John
                        Comment
                        • PickMeAwinner
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 09-21-11
                          • 120

                          #607
                          I made a mistake If i went with the teaser should have teased the under, good thing I backed myself up with a single heavy on Washington + 3. We survived week 3.

                          Comment
                          • John Ryan
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-20-10
                            • 2428

                            #608
                            Originally posted by fecgp40
                            He did, but that video was last week I believe, early in the week. A lot has changed since then.

                            You are so correct. A lot did change and you must understand one simple thing. Follow my picks on this thread. This is where they count - after I run the simulator and do the complete research. You will hear Peter say, well John I know you have finished your research yet, but what do you think right now.. Not that the video is not useful. It definitely is because all of the panelists provide excellent material for your review and to use as handicapping tools. Hope this helps.
                            Comment
                            • John Ryan
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-20-10
                              • 2428

                              #609
                              Originally posted by fecgp40
                              And tonight showed why you're not a fan of the teaser John. I'm done with them. Over 37.5 did me in. I should have just kept it simple but I had to get fancy.
                              Teasers are there for a reason at the book. They are tempting as hell and look so easy. Many games it can look like the teaser will win no mater what combination you use. Let's keep to straight bets and if we like side and total a whole bunch then we will do a traditional parlay and get paid what we deserve. Sound like a plan?
                              Comment
                              • John Ryan
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-20-10
                                • 2428

                                #610
                                Originally posted by Dayman
                                Great call tonight John
                                Well, I don't know if it was a greta call, but we will take the win. Was that a quality football game though. SIX field goals and nine total FG's and just ONE TD?
                                Comment
                                • John Ryan
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-20-10
                                  • 2428

                                  #611
                                  Originally posted by minnis2winnis
                                  I took Wash +3.5. Thank you Mr. John Ryan, you are a scholar and a gentleman. (Also took Cowboys in my pick'em. Oh what? Double dip ...... yessssssssssssssssirrrr)
                                  Good for you!
                                  Comment
                                  • John Ryan
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-20-10
                                    • 2428

                                    #612
                                    Originally posted by jbizzle
                                    once again excellent call john! well done
                                    Thank you!
                                    Comment
                                    • kingsr
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-23-10
                                      • 1983

                                      #613
                                      Originally posted by John Ryan
                                      Supporting Washington is the following system that has produced a 28-9 ATS record for 76% winners since 1983. Play against home teams with a poor scoring defense last season that allowed 24 or more points per game after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. 5* play Washington.

                                      To be fair the line at most books was +3 when I posted the play so to take 3 1/2 and count it as a win didn't feel right to state. Anyway if Washington loses by three we will take a forum vote and see if it should count as a push or win. ok?
                                      That right there is why I'm still a member of this forum! You are a gentleman...most would just count it as a WIN. Nice work here Johnny
                                      Comment
                                      • Jcm144
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 08-13-11
                                        • 227

                                        #614
                                        Good call on WAS in a close one. For opening lines you think it's a good idea to jump on a suspect spread before the public is all on it? I'm saying Bills -3 at Cinci, I know that line is going to move way up!
                                        Comment
                                        • bassaholicman
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 04-02-10
                                          • 14

                                          #615
                                          thx for the write ups John. The more i learn the more i realize i don't know shit....lol
                                          Comment
                                          • bauerranch
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 08-01-10
                                            • 611

                                            #616
                                            Thanks for your work. I won the game and actually a second half bet as well. Now if I could rid of my poor baseball bets last night I would be up. Thanks again.
                                            Comment
                                            • joeytunes
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 12-29-10
                                              • 449

                                              #617
                                              nice call tuff game
                                              Comment
                                              • PickMeAwinner
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 09-21-11
                                                • 120

                                                #618
                                                John,
                                                Do you think you can help with a 2 for 1 speacial on NCAAF thursday night. So far you are 1-0 (byu+under) which set me up for a fantastic week. If not thats fine. Betting trends to me are like traditions , we have an idea what to look forward to. haha
                                                thanx
                                                Comment
                                                • 5mike5
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 09-21-11
                                                  • 51995

                                                  #619
                                                  little late checking in john, but i read your picks for the 1st time starting for MNF last night and i went with ur pick of +3.5 (i got at +3 +110) and just wanted to say THANK YOU...i usually dont tail any1 picks but ive read how solid u are and i got hammered on sunday so i really needed a win last night...won 3.5 units!!!! THANK YOU JOHN!!!! look forward to your next few picks this week!!!!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ghetto1
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 10-13-09
                                                    • 174

                                                    #620
                                                    good call john......look forward with ur pick on thur. night...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • John Ryan
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-20-10
                                                      • 2428

                                                      #621
                                                      I am covering College Football at the following thread. i will be focusing on discussion fo Friday's only game between BYU and Utah State.



                                                      Thanks to all for the compliments for last night's win. Not sure if that was a great pick, but it was win. Thanks.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • fecgp40
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 02-01-11
                                                        • 5750

                                                        #622
                                                        Originally posted by John Ryan
                                                        Teasers are there for a reason at the book. They are tempting as hell and look so easy. Many games it can look like the teaser will win no mater what combination you use. Let's keep to straight bets and if we like side and total a whole bunch then we will do a traditional parlay and get paid what we deserve. Sound like a plan?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • PickMeAwinner
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 09-21-11
                                                          • 120

                                                          #623
                                                          yay for parlay
                                                          Comment
                                                          • moneymac81
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 09-08-11
                                                            • 269

                                                            #624
                                                            nyc nukka!!!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • shenglu
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 09-27-11
                                                              • 1

                                                              #625
                                                              Can you tell me that I will tell you 10 Eagle, said Ram ... this is your first day, or 10 seal machine, you should not gamble grocery money .. Gadgets Probabaly missed the $ 10 to play.
                                                              Last edited by shenglu; 09-27-11, 07:47 PM.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jjaycuny
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-01-11
                                                                • 1617

                                                                #626
                                                                Originally posted by shenglu
                                                                Can you tell me that I will tell you 10 Eagle, said Ram ... this is your first day, or 10 seal machine, you should not gamble grocery money .. Probabaly missed the $ 10 to play.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • figue
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-23-10
                                                                  • 2524

                                                                  #627
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • John Ryan
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-20-10
                                                                    • 2428

                                                                    #628
                                                                    Originally posted by Jcm144
                                                                    Good call on WAS in a close one. For opening lines you think it's a good idea to jump on a suspect spread before the public is all on it? I'm saying Bills -3 at Cinci, I know that line is going to move way up!
                                                                    That is a lie that really has me scratching my head. Obviously it reflects the potential for a huge letdown. Let's see what the line does today, but I would be surprised if it went to 2 1/2. That movement below three would almost starting making it look like a play on the Bengals.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JR007
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 02-21-10
                                                                      • 5279

                                                                      #629
                                                                      hey, John..are you that goofy guy with the buck teeth, that i see in your other website ???
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Hawk007
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                                        • 2492

                                                                        #630
                                                                        JR007....some people have 0 class...and u would be some people!
                                                                        Keep up the good work John.
                                                                        NCAA Basketball
                                                                        '08-'09 (12-8) 60%
                                                                        '09-'10 (63-46) 58%
                                                                        WNBA
                                                                        '10 (45-29) 64%
                                                                        CFL
                                                                        '10 (20-18)
                                                                        NCAAF
                                                                        '10 (16-7)
                                                                        Comment
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