2013-14 NFL picks

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  • Lombatso
    SBR Hustler
    • 05-31-13
    • 52

    #491
    I didn't see it last night but wow NC going with teasers now lol.. I'm deff trailing that tease.. Love to see you back NC good luck everyone
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #492
      Originally posted by Lombatso
      I didn't see it last night but wow NC going with teasers now lol.. I'm deff trailing that tease.. Love to see you back NC good luck everyone
      Good luck. Nothing big today -- just some action to keep my interest.
      Comment
      • 2daBank
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-26-09
        • 88966

        #493
        Originally posted by No coincidences
        Good luck, Bank. I'm not fully convinced that Carolina can win here, but I'll take my chances with the +3 on the home dog. Think it'll be a close game, and I'm with you re: the scoring. Not that I think it will fly over, but I do think at least 20 from both sides is a distinct possibility.
        I wrote basically the same thing and just teased panthers to +7.5, really not sure who wins but think it 1 possession either way...
        Comment
        • Tommy Karate
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-12-13
          • 13445

          #494
          Originally posted by No coincidences
          CAR +3 (-125) (2.5U to win 2)
          CAR/SF over 41 (1.09U to win 1)
          CAR TT over 20.5 (1.1U to win 1)
          CAR +7.5/SD +14.5 tease (1.2U to win 1)
          how much would bovada charge you to get to 3.5? another 30 cents?
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #495
            Originally posted by Tommy Karate
            how much would bovada charge you to get to 3.5? another 30 cents?
            Yeah, something like that.

            Well, sCam buried me and now I'm scrambling.

            SD/DEN 1H under 27.5 +105 (1U to win 1.05)
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #496
              2-4, -2.84U today
              65-48, +42.8U thread


              Fvcking Cam.
              Comment
              • amrit
                SBR MVP
                • 10-30-12
                • 1307

                #497
                coiner, who do you like next week?
                Comment
                • italianbandit
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-17-11
                  • 2622

                  #498
                  Stay away from SF next week, they will have a very hard time. Unless the refs give them an edge they are in trouble.
                  Comment
                  • PapaDBets
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 01-01-14
                    • 282

                    #499
                    Originally posted by italianbandit
                    Stay away from SF next week, they will have a very hard time. Unless the refs give them an edge they are in trouble.
                    Judging from your avatar you're a Niners fan right? What do you think will give the Niners trouble next week? Just curious as id love to get an opinion on this game from someone who is more familiar with the team than I am...
                    Comment
                    • Tommy Karate
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-12-13
                      • 13445

                      #500
                      Originally posted by italianbandit
                      Stay away from SF next week, they will have a very hard time. Unless the refs give them an edge they are in trouble.
                      disagree....too many weapons on offense for SF and obviously a great defense. i know the early sharp money has been on sea, but my mind is set and play booked on this one. they just dealt with a great defense today and are clearly fine playing away from home. sea has had a few games at home this year where they were vulnerable. gore and hunter the keys next week....even if harvin plays, hes not even close to being a major factor...

                      im not even going to watch the 1st qtr, as im sure the 12th man will get sea out in front early...when things settle down, skill sets and experience should take over...
                      Comment
                      • trobin31
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-09-14
                        • 9853

                        #501
                        Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                        im not even going to watch the 1st qtr, as im sure the 12th man will get sea out in front early...when things settle down, skill sets and experience should take over...
                        Are you suggesting a highly probable early 1st Q lead for Seattle? If so I wrote it done.
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #502
                          Like Denver and SF this week.
                          Comment
                          • No coincidences
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-18-10
                            • 76300

                            #503
                            Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                            disagree....too many weapons on offense for SF and obviously a great defense. i know the early sharp money has been on sea, but my mind is set and play booked on this one. they just dealt with a great defense today and are clearly fine playing away from home. sea has had a few games at home this year where they were vulnerable. gore and hunter the keys next week....even if harvin plays, hes not even close to being a major factor...

                            im not even going to watch the 1st qtr, as im sure the 12th man will get sea out in front early...when things settle down, skill sets and experience should take over...
                            Agree. And Harvin being out is going to hurt. Wilson is going to have to beat the Niners with more than just his legs and handing the ball off to Lynch.

                            Only thing that concerns me, again, is SF's vulnerability in their OL and without their stud FB.
                            Comment
                            • PapaDBets
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 01-01-14
                              • 282

                              #504
                              Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                              disagree....too many weapons on offense for SF and obviously a great defense. i know the early sharp money has been on sea, but my mind is set and play booked on this one. they just dealt with a great defense today and are clearly fine playing away from home. sea has had a few games at home this year where they were vulnerable. gore and hunter the keys next week....even if harvin plays, hes not even close to being a major factor...

                              im not even going to watch the 1st qtr, as im sure the 12th man will get sea out in front early...when things settle down, skill sets and experience should take over...
                              Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                              disagree....too many weapons on offense for SF and obviously a great defense. i know the early sharp money has been on sea, but my mind is set and play booked on this one. they just dealt with a great defense today and are clearly fine playing away from home. sea has had a few games at home this year where they were vulnerable. gore and hunter the keys next week....even if harvin plays, hes not even close to being a major factor...

                              im not even going to watch the 1st qtr, as im sure the 12th man will get sea out in front early...when things settle down, skill sets and experience should take over...
                              SF has plenty of weapons no doubt, but I think comparing Carolina's D to Seattle's is a mistake here since the talent in the secondary for Seattle is so vastly superior to that of Carolina. Look at who Crabtree, VD and Boldin will be matched up against this coming weekend (Sherman and Maxwell are terrific corners and Chancellor and Thomas are the best safety combo in the league) vs what they faced this weekend (Captain Munnerlyn, Mikell and Mitchell, etc). I'm also not sold on Kaep as a passer yet, as I think he has serious accuracy issues and his receivers make up for that. I think he'll have to be much more accurate this weekend than he was against Carolina if they'll have any shot of pulling off the upset. Also don't see Seattle losing their composure as badly as Carolina did with all of the dumb penalties they gave up, but the game will obviously be very intense so who knows.
                              Comment
                              • No coincidences
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-18-10
                                • 76300

                                #505
                                Originally posted by PapaDBets
                                SF has plenty of weapons no doubt, but I think comparing Carolina's D to Seattle's is a mistake here since the talent in the secondary for Seattle is so vastly superior to that of Carolina. Look at who Crabtree, VD and Boldin will be matched up against this coming weekend (Sherman and Maxwell are terrific corners and Chancellor and Thomas are the best safety combo in the league) vs what they faced this weekend (Captain Munnerlyn, Mikell and Mitchell, etc). I'm also not sold on Kaep as a passer yet, as I think he has serious accuracy issues and his receivers make up for that. I think he'll have to be much more accurate this weekend than he was against Carolina if they'll have any shot of pulling off the upset.
                                Good post. Agree that Seattle's D is light years ahead of Carolina's in the secondary.
                                Comment
                                • No coincidences
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-18-10
                                  • 76300

                                  #506
                                  DEN -215 (8.6U to win 4)
                                  DEN -3.5 (-127) (2.54U to win 2)
                                  Comment
                                  • italianbandit
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-17-11
                                    • 2622

                                    #507
                                    Well good luck Tommy, I'll be rooting for you, I think if you feel it go for it, but no action for me. Of course anything can happen, after all there is a 30% chance of rain. After loving the Niners big the last 2 weeks, I really think this is where one needs to pull the brakes. I believe the Seahawk's secondary will be a difference maker and injuries to Tukuafo and Miller will be felt on the ground. They barely beat them at home, playing a sort of dis-interested Seattle team and needed a miracle run by Gore to do so. I'd love to be wrong.
                                    Comment
                                    • italianbandit
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-17-11
                                      • 2622

                                      #508
                                      Good post PapaD. Good luck on Denver No Coin, they are the right side.
                                      Last edited by italianbandit; 01-13-14, 09:39 PM.
                                      Comment
                                      • PapaDBets
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 01-01-14
                                        • 282

                                        #509
                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                        Good post. Agree that Seattle's D is light years ahead of Carolina's in the secondary.
                                        Thanks NC. I'm torn on which side to take in this one considering that Russ is going to have to step it up in the passing game to win (as you mentioned before) and didnt look that sharp against NO this weekend. I'm tempted to take the Under even though its so low as my early feel is that both offenses will struggle big time
                                        Comment
                                        • italianbandit
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-17-11
                                          • 2622

                                          #510
                                          Originally posted by PapaDBets
                                          SF has plenty of weapons no doubt, but I think comparing Carolina's D to Seattle's is a mistake here since the talent in the secondary for Seattle is so vastly superior to that of Carolina. Look at who Crabtree, VD and Boldin will be matched up against this coming weekend (Sherman and Maxwell are terrific corners and Chancellor and Thomas are the best safety combo in the league) vs what they faced this weekend (Captain Munnerlyn, Mikell and Mitchell, etc). I'm also not sold on Kaep as a passer yet, as I think he has serious accuracy issues and his receivers make up for that. I think he'll have to be much more accurate this weekend than he was against Carolina if they'll have any shot of pulling off the upset. Also don't see Seattle losing their composure as badly as Carolina did with all of the dumb penalties they gave up, but the game will obviously be very intense so who knows.
                                          Funny, we both wrote at the same time and wrote similar stuff.
                                          Comment
                                          • djmano
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 04-30-12
                                            • 209

                                            #511
                                            Boldin scares me. He's so physical and knows all the veteran moves to gain an edge over the secondary. Guy seems to always rise to the occasion
                                            Comment
                                            • PapaDBets
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 01-01-14
                                              • 282

                                              #512
                                              Originally posted by italianbandit
                                              Funny, we both wrote at the same time and wrote similar stuff.
                                              Hopefully that's a good sign! BOL to you this weekend.
                                              Comment
                                              • Tommy Karate
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-12-13
                                                • 13445

                                                #513
                                                Originally posted by PapaDBets

                                                SF has plenty of weapons no doubt, but I think comparing Carolina's D to Seattle's is a mistake here since the talent in the secondary for Seattle is so vastly superior to that of Carolina. Look at who Crabtree, VD and Boldin will be matched up against this coming weekend (Sherman and Maxwell are terrific corners and Chancellor and Thomas are the best safety combo in the league) vs what they faced this weekend (Captain Munnerlyn, Mikell and Mitchell, etc). I'm also not sold on Kaep as a passer yet, as I think he has serious accuracy issues and his receivers make up for that. I think he'll have to be much more accurate this weekend than he was against Carolina if they'll have any shot of pulling off the upset. Also don't see Seattle losing their composure as badly as Carolina did with all of the dumb penalties they gave up, but the game will obviously be very intense so who knows.
                                                he's def not an accurate passer yet, but hes dynamic enough to hide that weakness with his legs.
                                                agreed on seattle keeping their composure and having the better defense.
                                                in no way do i see this being a double digit win for SF, but i do think theyre road tested enough to win in seattle and advance again.
                                                Comment
                                                • Tommy Karate
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-12-13
                                                  • 13445

                                                  #514
                                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                  DEN -215 (8.6U to win 4)
                                                  DEN -3.5 (-127) (2.54U to win 2)
                                                  you didnt want to wait on the forecast? what if its 20 degrees next week - still confident in manning over brady?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • PapaDBets
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 01-01-14
                                                    • 282

                                                    #515
                                                    Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                                    he's def not an accurate passer yet, but hes dynamic enough to hide that weakness with his legs.
                                                    agreed on seattle keeping their composure and having the better defense.
                                                    in no way do i see this being a double digit win for SF, but i do think theyre road tested enough to win in seattle and advance again.
                                                    Can't argue there. Definitely should be a close game and one that can go either way. Niners definitely road tested and coming off a more physical contest last week vs Carolina than Seattle had against New Orleans.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Tommy Karate
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 10-12-13
                                                      • 13445

                                                      #516
                                                      Originally posted by PapaDBets
                                                      Can't argue there. Definitely should be a close game and one that can go either way. Niners definitely road tested and coming off a more physical contest last week vs Carolina than Seattle had against New Orleans.
                                                      coming off a more physical game is usually a negative for the next week....i believe teams that played seattle this year lost around 9 of 14 games the following week....i always looked at the hawks as the most physical team in the league.

                                                      hopefully carolina doesnt have that same affect on SF
                                                      Comment
                                                      • italianbandit
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-17-11
                                                        • 2622

                                                        #517
                                                        Originally posted by italianbandit
                                                        Good post PapaD. Good luck on Denver No Coin, they are the right side.
                                                        There was some type error as it said, funny, after the last sentence.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • No coincidences
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-18-10
                                                          • 76300

                                                          #518
                                                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                          DEN -215 (8.6U to win 4)
                                                          DEN -3.5 (-127) (2.54U to win 2)
                                                          Adding:

                                                          DEN -210 (4.2U to win 2)
                                                          SEA -175 (7U to win 4)
                                                          SEA -3 (-130) (2.6U to win 2)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • leetreaper
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 10-23-10
                                                            • 34841

                                                            #519
                                                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                            Adding:

                                                            DEN -210 (4.2U to win 2)
                                                            SEA -175 (7U to win 4)
                                                            SEA -3 (-130) (2.6U to win 2)
                                                            Ouch...squaresville tonight, let's find a middle ground.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • djmano
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 04-30-12
                                                              • 209

                                                              #520
                                                              Public is on ne and Sf.....sharptown is more like it
                                                              Comment
                                                              • No coincidences
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-18-10
                                                                • 76300

                                                                #521
                                                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                Adding:

                                                                DEN -210 (4.2U to win 2)
                                                                SEA -175 (7U to win 4)
                                                                SEA -3 (-130) (2.6U to win 2)
                                                                Making SEA ML 10.5U to win 6.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Tommy Karate
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-12-13
                                                                  • 13445

                                                                  #522
                                                                  damn.....you switched your opinion. hate to see that.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • No coincidences
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                                    • 76300

                                                                    #523
                                                                    Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                                                    damn.....you switched your opinion. hate to see that.
                                                                    The more I dug into this matchup, I just couldn't get past the fact that SF has been awful in Seattle with Kaepernick at QB and the Niners have traveled a lot in the last two weeks and I think they become road weary as this game progresses.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • italianbandit
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 05-17-11
                                                                      • 2622

                                                                      #524
                                                                      Good luck Coinage, I can't see Denver losing today. The NFC game seems impossible to cap the more I study it.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • No coincidences
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                                        • 76300

                                                                        #525
                                                                        Originally posted by italianbandit
                                                                        Good luck Coinage, I can't see Denver losing today. The NFC game seems impossible to cap the more I study it.
                                                                        I have Seattle 23-17. We'll see.

                                                                        Good luck, IB.
                                                                        Comment
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