RLM System Plays

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  • crockje
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-03-11
    • 384

    #736
    Originally posted by CallMeMrOMac
    Where's Portland? Line swung 4.5 and surely they have 63% of the action.
    portland only has 57% of the money no play until it reaches 63%
    Comment
    • wiseguy007
      SBR Sharp
      • 01-20-12
      • 444

      #737
      Originally posted by CallMeMrOMac
      Where's Portland? Line swung 4.5 and surely they have 63% of the action.

      No it is PORT 57% UTAH 43%

      Plus PORT OPEN +2.5 NOW +2 Where do you see 4.5 pt swing

      Comment
      • crockje
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-03-11
        • 384

        #738
        Originally posted by ToPHeR
        On FreeSportsBet it says Mizzou opened +1.....so that means they went +1 to -1 back to +1.5?
        yea very strange movement on this line but Im with wiseguy I believe texas wins this by 5.....and as of right now texas would be a system play but will wait closer to tip time
        Comment
        • wiseguy007
          SBR Sharp
          • 01-20-12
          • 444

          #739
          ADDING

          7:00pm 747 Western Carolina Catamounts OPEN +9 NOW +8.5
          Comment
          • ToPHeR
            SBR MVP
            • 12-06-11
            • 1326

            #740
            too late
            Comment
            • wiseguy007
              SBR Sharp
              • 01-20-12
              • 444

              #741
              UPDATE AS OF 7:06PM

              Games to Watch 1/30/12

              Based on this:

              1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

              2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

              3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to your book.

              **(NEXT TO EACH GAME IS MY PROJECTED LINE FOR THE GAME)**


              NCAAB

              7:00pm 747 Western Carolina Catamounts OPEN +9 NOW +8.5

              9:00pm 746 Texas Longhorns OPEN -1 NOW -1.5

              NBA

              7:35pm 705 New Orleans Hornets OPEN +13 NOW +11.5 (MIA -10)

              8:05pm 707 Detroit Pistons OPEN +7.5 NOW +7.5 **NO PLAY** (MIL -11)

              10:35pm 718 Los Angeles Clippers OPEN +2.5 NOW +2 (OKC -3)



              YTD: 45-26-1 63%
              Comment
              • detroitigerz
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-19-12
                • 865

                #742
                Portland trailblazers 2.5 to -2 but not 63%
                Comment
                • wiseguy007
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 01-20-12
                  • 444

                  #743
                  Originally posted by ToPHeR
                  too late
                  Sorry, line changed right before tipoff. I did get it in.
                  Comment
                  • ToPHeR
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-06-11
                    • 1326

                    #744
                    wiseguy you gonna play NO?
                    Comment
                    • wiseguy007
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 01-20-12
                      • 444

                      #745
                      Originally posted by detroitigerz
                      Portland trailblazers 2.5 to -2 but not 63%

                      Right not 63% so no play
                      Comment
                      • detroitigerz
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 01-19-12
                        • 865

                        #746
                        Originally posted by wiseguy007
                        UPDATE AS OF 7:06PM

                        Games to Watch 1/30/12

                        Based on this:

                        1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

                        2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

                        3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to your book.

                        **(NEXT TO EACH GAME IS MY PROJECTED LINE FOR THE GAME)**


                        NCAAB

                        7:00pm 747 Western Carolina Catamounts OPEN +9 NOW +8.5

                        9:00pm 746 Texas Longhorns OPEN -1 NOW -1.5

                        NBA

                        7:35pm 705 New Orleans Hornets OPEN +13 NOW +11.5 (MIA -10)

                        8:05pm 707 Detroit Pistons OPEN +7.5 NOW +7.5 **NO PLAY** (MIL -11)

                        10:35pm 718 Los Angeles Clippers OPEN +2.5 NOW +2 (OKC -3)



                        YTD: 45-26-1 63%
                        Guess that answers my question about whether it goes up .5 or down by .5... texas moving from -1 to -1.5 is still a play...?
                        Comment
                        • crockje
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 01-03-11
                          • 384

                          #747
                          Originally posted by detroitigerz
                          Question if a team opens at 2 and goes to 2.5 do you still play that? Or only reverse like 2 to 1.5
                          It depends on what team has the money on it for example texas is a play even though line opened at -1 and has gone to -1.5......because mizz is getting all the money 68% yet line is going in their favor
                          Comment
                          • wiseguy007
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 01-20-12
                            • 444

                            #748
                            Originally posted by ToPHeR
                            wiseguy you gonna play NO?

                            Yes I played it, its now +11.5. Now its back at +12 still good for a play. line open at +13
                            Comment
                            • ToPHeR
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-06-11
                              • 1326

                              #749
                              What about ML?
                              Comment
                              • ToPHeR
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-06-11
                                • 1326

                                #750
                                NO back up to +12
                                Comment
                                • detroitigerz
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-19-12
                                  • 865

                                  #751
                                  Originally posted by crockje
                                  It depends on what team has the money on it for example texas is a play even though line opened at -1 and has gone to -1.5......because mizz is getting all the money 68% yet line is going in their favor
                                  even though it's hurting texas? that seems strange to me I guess
                                  Comment
                                  • EPote14
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 10-20-11
                                    • 463

                                    #752
                                    oooo so if the 63% or better is on the fav n there is still rlm n over the 3000 bets you'd keep your eye on it? sorry I know it's prolly not that difficult jus cause i saw only like 26% is on no
                                    Comment
                                    • scottsins
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 12-05-11
                                      • 103

                                      #753
                                      Originally posted by ToPHeR
                                      What about ML?
                                      You can do that if you want. This thread is only using spread bets and tracking that.

                                      Also, I THINK there's generally more action on point spreads. More action = more sound, representative indicators for the system.
                                      Comment
                                      • wiseguy007
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 01-20-12
                                        • 444

                                        #754
                                        Originally posted by ToPHeR
                                        What about ML?
                                        No Im no playing ML but I see it is at +800, u could wait and see if they go down by 5-9 pts like Night-Tripper then bet the live ML.
                                        Comment
                                        • ToPHeR
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-06-11
                                          • 1326

                                          #755
                                          NO has moved back up to +12 on 5dimes
                                          Comment
                                          • wiseguy007
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 01-20-12
                                            • 444

                                            #756
                                            Originally posted by EPote14
                                            oooo so if the 63% or better is on the fav n there is still rlm n over the 3000 bets you'd keep your eye on it? sorry I know it's prolly not that difficult jus cause i saw only like 26% is on no

                                            Based on this:

                                            1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

                                            2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

                                            3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to your book.
                                            Comment
                                            • scottsins
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 12-05-11
                                              • 103

                                              #757
                                              Originally posted by detroitigerz
                                              even though it's hurting texas? that seems strange to me I guess
                                              The theory is this:

                                              Books want to make lots of $. They have a large majority of $$$ bet with them on mizzou. Yet, they keep moving the line to get EVEN MORE $ on Mizzou.

                                              Basically, this system seeks to find out where insider sharp $ is.

                                              We're trying to bet WITH the books.
                                              Comment
                                              • detroitigerz
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 01-19-12
                                                • 865

                                                #758
                                                Originally posted by wiseguy007
                                                Based on this:

                                                1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

                                                2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

                                                3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to your book.
                                                By REVERSE Line Movement you mean either direction as long as it's the team not favored?
                                                Comment
                                                • EPote14
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 10-20-11
                                                  • 463

                                                  #759
                                                  gotcha BOL tonight guys lets cash em
                                                  Comment
                                                  • R19
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 10-31-11
                                                    • 433

                                                    #760
                                                    If you are new to this thread, it's definitely worth the time to start from page 1. This is where Night-Tripper first outlined the system.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Night-Tripper
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-14-09
                                                      • 3205

                                                      #761
                                                      Originally posted by wiseguy007
                                                      No it is PORT 57% UTAH 43%

                                                      Plus PORT OPEN +2.5 NOW +2 Where do you see 4.5 pt swing

                                                      http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html
                                                      Wow... looks like you've had a busy afternoon.. and it appears that this thread has attracted a few new users.

                                                      Oh well... these are my plays (so far) this evening:

                                                      Hornets +11.5
                                                      Pistons +7.5
                                                      Texas -1
                                                      Clippers +2

                                                      Everything is for 605.

                                                      Hoping to catch a favorable halftime line on Western Carloina since I didn't get home before the game tipped off.

                                                      Good job wiseguy!

                                                      PS: I would disregard the comments in regards to playingthe smaller schools... I've found that there is a lot of value there... and the Big-Ten can screw us justas easily as the MAAC can. (But, those are just my thoughts.)

                                                      No moneyline plays for me at this time...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Night-Tripper
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-14-09
                                                        • 3205

                                                        #762
                                                        Originally posted by detroitigerz
                                                        By REVERSE Line Movement you mean either direction as long as it's the team not favored?
                                                        Favorite or dog makes no difference... just the line going in the opposite direction of the betting percentages.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • scottsins
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 12-05-11
                                                          • 103

                                                          #763
                                                          Originally posted by detroitigerz
                                                          By REVERSE Line Movement you mean either direction as long as it's the team not favored?
                                                          RLM is movement making an attempt to get more bettors on the team that already has at least 63% of bets with at least 3k on them, according to the link provider above.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ToPHeR
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-06-11
                                                            • 1326

                                                            #764
                                                            Night are you playing any ML?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Night-Tripper
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-14-09
                                                              • 3205

                                                              #765
                                                              Originally posted by detroitigerz
                                                              even though it's hurting texas? that seems strange to me I guess
                                                              That's the only short side to this system... you have to give up points in order to know if it's a play.

                                                              But... the results have been speaking for themselves.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • wiseguy007
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 01-20-12
                                                                • 444

                                                                #766
                                                                Originally posted by detroitigerz
                                                                By REVERSE Line Movement you mean either direction as long as it's the team not favored?
                                                                Right, we are betting with the books and sharp money you could say.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • wiseguy007
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 01-20-12
                                                                  • 444

                                                                  #767
                                                                  Originally posted by scottsins
                                                                  The theory is this:

                                                                  Books want to make lots of $. They have a large majority of $$$ bet with them on mizzou. Yet, they keep moving the kind to get EVEN MORE $ on Mizxou.

                                                                  Basically, this system seeks to find out where insider sharp $ is.

                                                                  We're trying to bet WITH the books.

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Night-Tripper
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-14-09
                                                                    • 3205

                                                                    #768
                                                                    Originally posted by ToPHeR
                                                                    Night are you playing any ML?
                                                                    Not so far dude... odds aren't high enough on the Clippers... and I don't think the Pistons or Hornets are gonna win (Pistons might... lemme veg on it a few minutes). So... I'm going to hope the Clippers or Texas get down by 5-9 to provide a juicy ML and them play them on the Live Line. If they are never in that position going into a break... I'll just be playing the spread.

                                                                    Now... if another game manages to qualify and the odds are right... I'll be all over it. If that happens, I will post the play. My bets are transparent... got nothing to hide.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • wiseguy007
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 01-20-12
                                                                      • 444

                                                                      #769
                                                                      Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                                                      Wow... looks like you've had a busy afternoon.. and it appears that this thread has attracted a few new users.

                                                                      Oh well... these are my plays (so far) this evening:

                                                                      Hornets +11.5
                                                                      Pistons +7.5
                                                                      Texas -1
                                                                      Clippers +2

                                                                      Everything is for 605.

                                                                      Hoping to catch a favorable halftime line on Western Carloina since I didn't get home before the game tipped off.

                                                                      Good job wiseguy!

                                                                      PS: I would disregard the comments in regards to playingthe smaller schools... I've found that there is a lot of value there... and the Big-Ten can screw us justas easily as the MAAC can. (But, those are just my thoughts.)

                                                                      No moneyline plays for me at this time...
                                                                      Thanks and Hello my friend and Good Luck Too Us Tonight.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • detroitigerz
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 01-19-12
                                                                        • 865

                                                                        #770
                                                                        Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                                                        Favorite or dog makes no difference... just the line going in the opposite direction of the betting percentages.
                                                                        Okay thanks!

                                                                        Decided to put a little money on new orleans tonight
                                                                        BOL all! Excited to try this out!
                                                                        Comment
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