Filmoz's NCAA BB 2011-2012

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  • Filmoz
    SBR MVP
    • 10-05-11
    • 3933

    #2941
    Originally posted by PickSix

    thanks for the pick!
    You got it brah
    Comment
    • Filmoz
      SBR MVP
      • 10-05-11
      • 3933

      #2942
      South Bama is now 5x play, edited above.
      Comment
      • Filmoz
        SBR MVP
        • 10-05-11
        • 3933

        #2943
        Holy shit, Pair of 5s unloaded in our contest today. He's got 14 plays pending! Not his usual style I must say.

        Comment
        • MatI
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-17-11
          • 5200

          #2944
          hmmm, it might be time to give him a lecture on money management!
          Comment
          • EPote14
            SBR Sharp
            • 10-20-11
            • 463

            #2945
            5's is stinking that contest up lolol
            Comment
            • schism79
              SBR High Roller
              • 08-31-10
              • 108

              #2946
              Originally posted by MatI
              hmmm, it might be time to give him a lecture on money management!
              Comment
              • aread1
                Restricted User
                • 11-08-11
                • 45

                #2947
                Filmoz, really would like your opinion on my thoughts on the St. Marys/Baylor game.

                I see Baylor undervalued. I think everyone is expecting a letdown from Baylor but I don't see it considering the situation and matchup that St. Marys is in. EVERYONE is overlooking the fact that St. Marys played the Dec 13, 15, 17, 19, 20 (b2b), and now only has one day of rest with travel to play ont he 22nd. We are talking a week and a half stretch with only one day of rest in the span, 6 games in 10 days. This is now their 3rd game in 4 days which is not really normal for college kids. And the tail end of all this is against their most fomidable opponent of the year, Baylor.

                In my opinion, if a smaller school is going to beat Baylor it's going to be a school that can knock down the 3. St. Marys only shoots 33% (not even top 200) from 3 and they have yet to face a team that guards the 3 as good as Baylor. Despite Baylor being known for their size, they shoot the ball extremely well from 3 ranked 12th at 41.2%.

                Lastly, the matchups. St. Marys best player is a 6'5 center Rob Jones. Not sure if I have ever even heard of a 6'5 center. Baylor has Perry Jones 6'11 235LB's, probably the best player in the nation. He should easily take him out of the game and severely outplay him. He has an entire 6 inches on him and is much more skilled. They also have Quincy Acy 6'7 235LB, coming in confident off a 24pt 6 rebound game. Or they can put Corey Jefferson 6'9 210lb. And they have freshmen study Quincy Miller 6'9 and another 6'10 foward Anthony Jones. All of these guys can do a great job covering Rob Jones.

                St. Marys has another big Clint Steindl but he really isn't all that effective for a big shooting 43% this year and again he has this % against teams with not half as good big man defense as Baylor. Matthew Dellavedova is a good player for St. Marys but he's really the only guy that worries me and he isn't that big a threat 14ppg, kind of streaky too with 4 of his 10 games under double digit scoring. The 4th and 5th leading scorers on St. Marys are nothing special shooting 41% and 37%.

                Baylor has a much better bench. Pierre Jackson is scoring double digits almost every night for Baylor off the bench. And I already mentioned all those bigs from Baylor with Jefferson and jones. Jones as gone for double figures in 5 of 10 games and Jefferson in 4 of his last 10.

                What do you think? Line literally just moved from -4 to -4.5 as I was writing this?
                Comment
                • Filmoz
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-05-11
                  • 3933

                  #2948
                  Originally posted by aread1
                  Filmoz, really would like your opinion on my thoughts on the St. Marys/Baylor game.

                  I see Baylor undervalued. I think everyone is expecting a letdown from Baylor but I don't see it considering the situation and matchup that St. Marys is in. EVERYONE is overlooking the fact that St. Marys played the Dec 13, 15, 17, 19, 20 (b2b), and now only has one day of rest with travel to play ont he 22nd. We are talking a week and a half stretch with only one day of rest in the span, 6 games in 10 days. This is now their 3rd game in 4 days which is not really normal for college kids. And the tail end of all this is against their most fomidable opponent of the year, Baylor.

                  In my opinion, if a smaller school is going to beat Baylor it's going to be a school that can knock down the 3. St. Marys only shoots 33% (not even top 200) from 3 and they have yet to face a team that guards the 3 as good as Baylor. Despite Baylor being known for their size, they shoot the ball extremely well from 3 ranked 12th at 41.2%.

                  Lastly, the matchups. St. Marys best player is a 6'5 center Rob Jones. Not sure if I have ever even heard of a 6'5 center. Baylor has Perry Jones 6'11 235LB's, probably the best player in the nation. He should easily take him out of the game and severely outplay him. He has an entire 6 inches on him and is much more skilled. They also have Quincy Acy 6'7 235LB, coming in confident off a 24pt 6 rebound game. Or they can put Corey Jefferson 6'9 210lb. And they have freshmen study Quincy Miller 6'9 and another 6'10 foward Anthony Jones. All of these guys can do a great job covering Rob Jones.

                  St. Marys has another big Clint Steindl but he really isn't all that effective for a big shooting 43% this year and again he has this % against teams with not half as good big man defense as Baylor. Matthew Dellavedova is a good player for St. Marys but he's really the only guy that worries me and he isn't that big a threat 14ppg, kind of streaky too with 4 of his 10 games under double digit scoring. The 4th and 5th leading scorers on St. Marys are nothing special shooting 41% and 37%.

                  Baylor has a much better bench. Pierre Jackson is scoring double digits almost every night for Baylor off the bench. And I already mentioned all those bigs from Baylor with Jefferson and jones. Jones as gone for double figures in 5 of 10 games and Jefferson in 4 of his last 10.

                  What do you think? Line literally just moved from -4 to -4.5 as I was writing this?
                  Actually, I'm going with

                  St. Mary's +4.5 -107 3x
                  Comment
                  • Filmoz
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-05-11
                    • 3933

                    #2949
                    ...because, while I agree with a lot of the things you point out, I see St. Mary's as having more weapons than just Jones. They've got a couple decent-sized guys, and I think they can shoot the 3 well tonight. And to top it all off, the line seems strange in the first place, and all of the public appears to be on Baylor at this point.
                    Last edited by Filmoz; 12-22-11, 05:33 PM.
                    Comment
                    • leetreaper
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 10-23-10
                      • 34841

                      #2950
                      Originally posted by Filmoz

                      Actually, I'm going with

                      St. Mary's +4.5 -107 3x
                      I like it, would've bought a half point as well.
                      Comment
                      • wguan2
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 02-13-11
                        • 814

                        #2951
                        WOW WHAT A COVER!
                        Comment
                        • caboman
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 12-07-11
                          • 198

                          #2952
                          Bama storms back to win by 6 being down by 3 at half... WOOT WOOT!!
                          Comment
                          • leetreaper
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 10-23-10
                            • 34841

                            #2953
                            sick backdoor
                            Comment
                            • No coincidences
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-18-10
                              • 76300

                              #2954
                              Congrats on hitting SA, Filmoz. I was on SD. I really don't even feel like making anymore plays tonight after that joke finish.
                              Comment
                              • Filmoz
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-05-11
                                • 3933

                                #2955
                                Loyola-MD +24 -110 5x P
                                UTEP +7.5 -105 3x W
                                South Bama -5 -108 5x W
                                St. Mary's +4.5 -107 3x
                                Comment
                                • Filmoz
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-05-11
                                  • 3933

                                  #2956
                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                  Congrats on hitting SA, Filmoz. I was on SD. I really don't even feel like making anymore plays tonight after that joke finish.
                                  I feel ya dude. But can someone tell me what happened? I didn't see the game and just checked the score.
                                  Comment
                                  • ksnooksk
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-18-11
                                    • 2890

                                    #2957
                                    Im a moron.....
                                    Last edited by ksnooksk; 12-22-11, 07:17 PM.
                                    Comment
                                    • frostie
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 10-16-11
                                      • 277

                                      #2958
                                      they won by 6 fool
                                      Comment
                                      • ksnooksk
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-18-11
                                        • 2890

                                        #2959
                                        Oops...it didnt update.

                                        Sick!! I already chalked that up as a loss!
                                        Comment
                                        • Capybara
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-17-08
                                          • 11803

                                          #2960
                                          Originally posted by Filmoz
                                          Loyola-MD +24 -110 5x P
                                          UTEP +7.5 -105 3x W
                                          South Bama -5 -108 5x W
                                          St. Mary's +4.5 -107 3x
                                          I wonder how many folks lost Loyola MD and pushed South Bama based on the lines they got. I've been busy at work today so couldn't get in on anything, but saw the closing lines. Tight ones!

                                          Anyway, great start!

                                          I just hurriedly threw in some stuff I liked (including St. Mary's, FLA-Atl, Rice... Who knows, we'll see...) Also like Boise State by the two TDs like everyone else on here! Lets do some damage tonight, boys!!
                                          Comment
                                          • Filmoz
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-05-11
                                            • 3933

                                            #2961
                                            So what were the circumstances of the backdoor cover? How'd it go down? Anyone
                                            Comment
                                            • decado
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-23-10
                                              • 2392

                                              #2962
                                              Originally posted by Capybara
                                              Also like Boise State by the two TDs like everyone else on here!
                                              kellen moore's last game, he will go beast mode tonight. boise -14! lets get it.
                                              Comment
                                              • wguan2
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 02-13-11
                                                • 814

                                                #2963
                                                s.bama had a million TOs, did not deserve to win the game, SD started playing scared in the last ten minutes or so. Back and forth till about 2-3 minutes left in the game. USA up 2 with 50 seconds left in the game, shot clock down to 1, guy chucks up a shot and makes one of the most lucky shots ever with 5 seconds left in the game to go up by 4. Missed 3, foul shots, backdoor cover.
                                                Comment
                                                • Filmoz
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-05-11
                                                  • 3933

                                                  #2964
                                                  LSU ML -145 3x
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Filmoz
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-05-11
                                                    • 3933

                                                    #2965
                                                    Originally posted by wguan2
                                                    s.bama had a million TOs, did not deserve to win the game, SD started playing scared in the last ten minutes or so. Back and forth till about 2-3 minutes left in the game. USA up 2 with 50 seconds left in the game, shot clock down to 1, guy chucks up a shot and makes one of the most lucky shots ever with 5 seconds left in the game to go up by 4. Missed 3, foul shots, backdoor cover.
                                                    Thanks for the recap. That sounds crazy. Good to be on the right side of it every once and awhile.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Filmoz
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-05-11
                                                      • 3933

                                                      #2966
                                                      Boise St +5.5 -105 3x
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ksnooksk
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-18-11
                                                        • 2890

                                                        #2967
                                                        Originally posted by Filmoz
                                                        Boise St +5.5 -105 3x

                                                        They're best player is out I believe for Boise State.....
                                                        Comment
                                                        • teeder
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 12-05-11
                                                          • 145

                                                          #2968
                                                          Originally posted by ksnooksk
                                                          They're best player is out I believe for Boise State.....
                                                          Ok, it's their best player, not they're. How can we trust your information if you can't speak English you f*king US college grad ---
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ksnooksk
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-18-11
                                                            • 2890

                                                            #2969
                                                            Originally posted by teeder
                                                            Ok, it's their best player, not they're. How can we trust your information if you can't speak English you f*king US college grad ---


                                                            Sorry. Is that better?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • thebigd1
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 03-28-11
                                                              • 792

                                                              #2970
                                                              Originally posted by teeder
                                                              Ok, it's their best player, not they're. How can we trust your information if you can't speak English you f*king US college grad ---
                                                              Who's judging?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • shocktopme
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 10-15-10
                                                                • 940

                                                                #2971
                                                                Originally posted by teeder
                                                                Ok, it's their best player, not they're. How can we trust your information if you can't speak English you f*king US college grad ---
                                                                Well aren't we a bit of a dickhead!!!!Not a good way to start here NOOB!!!!!!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ksnooksk
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-18-11
                                                                  • 2890

                                                                  #2972
                                                                  Originally posted by thebigd1
                                                                  Who's judging?
                                                                  Originally posted by shocktopme
                                                                  Well aren't we a bit of a dickhead!!!!Not a good way to start here NOOB!!!!!!

                                                                  My thoughts exactly.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • allidoiswin89
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 03-22-11
                                                                    • 915

                                                                    #2973
                                                                    Good luck Moz. I'm on Baylor -2.5 so a Baylor victory by 3 or 4 points will get the job done
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Filmoz
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-05-11
                                                                      • 3933

                                                                      #2974
                                                                      Loyola-MD +24 -110 5x P
                                                                      UTEP +7.5 -105 3x W
                                                                      South Bama -5 -108 5x W
                                                                      St. Mary's +4.5 -107 3x
                                                                      LSU ML -145 3x W
                                                                      Boise St +5.5 -105 3x
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • shocktopme
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 10-15-10
                                                                        • 940

                                                                        #2975
                                                                        Originally posted by Filmoz
                                                                        Loyola-MD +24 -110 5x P UTEP +7.5 -105 3x W South Bama -5 -108 5x W St. Mary's +4.5 -107 3x LSU ML -145 3x W Boise St +5.5 -105 3x
                                                                        Great work today Film!!!Hope those last 2 picks cash!!!!!!
                                                                        Comment
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