Filmoz's NCAA BB 2011-2012

[Filmoz]

thanks for the pick!

You got it brah

[Filmoz]

South Bama is now 5x play, edited above.

[Filmoz]

Holy shit, Pair of 5s unloaded in our contest today. He's got 14 plays pending! Not his usual style I must say.

http://contests.sbrforum.com/trackpicks/Filmoz/Contests/

[MatI]

hmmm, it might be time to give him a lecture on money management!

[EPote14]

5's is stinking that contest up lolol

[schism79]

hmmm, it might be time to give him a lecture on money management!

[aread1]

Filmoz, really would like your opinion on my thoughts on the St. Marys/Baylor game.

I see Baylor undervalued. I think everyone is expecting a letdown from Baylor but I don't see it considering the situation and matchup that St. Marys is in. EVERYONE is overlooking the fact that St. Marys played the Dec 13, 15, 17, 19, 20 (b2b), and now only has one day of rest with travel to play ont he 22nd. We are talking a week and a half stretch with only one day of rest in the span, 6 games in 10 days. This is now their 3rd game in 4 days which is not really normal for college kids. And the tail end of all this is against their most fomidable opponent of the year, Baylor.

In my opinion, if a smaller school is going to beat Baylor it's going to be a school that can knock down the 3. St. Marys only shoots 33% (not even top 200) from 3 and they have yet to face a team that guards the 3 as good as Baylor. Despite Baylor being known for their size, they shoot the ball extremely well from 3 ranked 12th at 41.2%.

Lastly, the matchups. St. Marys best player is a 6'5 center Rob Jones. Not sure if I have ever even heard of a 6'5 center. Baylor has Perry Jones 6'11 235LB's, probably the best player in the nation. He should easily take him out of the game and severely outplay him. He has an entire 6 inches on him and is much more skilled. They also have Quincy Acy 6'7 235LB, coming in confident off a 24pt 6 rebound game. Or they can put Corey Jefferson 6'9 210lb. And they have freshmen study Quincy Miller 6'9 and another 6'10 foward Anthony Jones. All of these guys can do a great job covering Rob Jones.

St. Marys has another big Clint Steindl but he really isn't all that effective for a big shooting 43% this year and again he has this % against teams with not half as good big man defense as Baylor. Matthew Dellavedova is a good player for St. Marys but he's really the only guy that worries me and he isn't that big a threat 14ppg, kind of streaky too with 4 of his 10 games under double digit scoring. The 4th and 5th leading scorers on St. Marys are nothing special shooting 41% and 37%.

Baylor has a much better bench. Pierre Jackson is scoring double digits almost every night for Baylor off the bench. And I already mentioned all those bigs from Baylor with Jefferson and jones. Jones as gone for double figures in 5 of 10 games and Jefferson in 4 of his last 10.

What do you think? Line literally just moved from -4 to -4.5 as I was writing this?

[Filmoz]

Filmoz, really would like your opinion on my thoughts on the St. Marys/Baylor game.

I see Baylor undervalued. I think everyone is expecting a letdown from Baylor but I don't see it considering the situation and matchup that St. Marys is in. EVERYONE is overlooking the fact that St. Marys played the Dec 13, 15, 17, 19, 20 (b2b), and now only has one day of rest with travel to play ont he 22nd. We are talking a week and a half stretch with only one day of rest in the span, 6 games in 10 days. This is now their 3rd game in 4 days which is not really normal for college kids. And the tail end of all this is against their most fomidable opponent of the year, Baylor.

In my opinion, if a smaller school is going to beat Baylor it's going to be a school that can knock down the 3. St. Marys only shoots 33% (not even top 200) from 3 and they have yet to face a team that guards the 3 as good as Baylor. Despite Baylor being known for their size, they shoot the ball extremely well from 3 ranked 12th at 41.2%.

Lastly, the matchups. St. Marys best player is a 6'5 center Rob Jones. Not sure if I have ever even heard of a 6'5 center. Baylor has Perry Jones 6'11 235LB's, probably the best player in the nation. He should easily take him out of the game and severely outplay him. He has an entire 6 inches on him and is much more skilled. They also have Quincy Acy 6'7 235LB, coming in confident off a 24pt 6 rebound game. Or they can put Corey Jefferson 6'9 210lb. And they have freshmen study Quincy Miller 6'9 and another 6'10 foward Anthony Jones. All of these guys can do a great job covering Rob Jones.

St. Marys has another big Clint Steindl but he really isn't all that effective for a big shooting 43% this year and again he has this % against teams with not half as good big man defense as Baylor. Matthew Dellavedova is a good player for St. Marys but he's really the only guy that worries me and he isn't that big a threat 14ppg, kind of streaky too with 4 of his 10 games under double digit scoring. The 4th and 5th leading scorers on St. Marys are nothing special shooting 41% and 37%.

Baylor has a much better bench. Pierre Jackson is scoring double digits almost every night for Baylor off the bench. And I already mentioned all those bigs from Baylor with Jefferson and jones. Jones as gone for double figures in 5 of 10 games and Jefferson in 4 of his last 10.

What do you think? Line literally just moved from -4 to -4.5 as I was writing this?

Actually, I'm going with

St. Mary's +4.5 -107 3x

[Filmoz]

...because, while I agree with a lot of the things you point out, I see St. Mary's as having more weapons than just Jones. They've got a couple decent-sized guys, and I think they can shoot the 3 well tonight. And to top it all off, the line seems strange in the first place, and all of the public appears to be on Baylor at this point.

[leetreaper]

Actually, I'm going with

St. Mary's +4.5 -107 3x

I like it, would've bought a half point as well.

[wguan2]

WOW WHAT A COVER!

[caboman]

Bama storms back to win by 6 being down by 3 at half... WOOT WOOT!!

[leetreaper]

sick backdoor

[No coincidences]

Congrats on hitting SA, Filmoz. I was on SD. I really don't even feel like making anymore plays tonight after that joke finish.

[Filmoz]

Loyola-MD +24 -110 5x P
UTEP +7.5 -105 3x W
South Bama -5 -108 5x W
St. Mary's +4.5 -107 3x

[Filmoz]

Congrats on hitting SA, Filmoz. I was on SD. I really don't even feel like making anymore plays tonight after that joke finish.

I feel ya dude. But can someone tell me what happened? I didn't see the game and just checked the score.

[ksnooksk]

Im a moron.....

[frostie]

they won by 6 fool

[ksnooksk]

Oops...it didnt update.

Sick!! I already chalked that up as a loss!

[Capybara]

Loyola-MD +24 -110 5x P
UTEP +7.5 -105 3x W
South Bama -5 -108 5x W
St. Mary's +4.5 -107 3x

I wonder how many folks lost Loyola MD and pushed South Bama based on the lines they got. I've been busy at work today so couldn't get in on anything, but saw the closing lines. Tight ones!

Anyway, great start!

I just hurriedly threw in some stuff I liked (including St. Mary's, FLA-Atl, Rice... Who knows, we'll see...) Also like Boise State by the two TDs like everyone else on here! Lets do some damage tonight, boys!!

[Filmoz]

So what were the circumstances of the backdoor cover? How'd it go down? Anyone

[decado]

Also like Boise State by the two TDs like everyone else on here!

kellen moore's last game, he will go beast mode tonight. boise -14! lets get it.

[wguan2]

s.bama had a million TOs, did not deserve to win the game, SD started playing scared in the last ten minutes or so. Back and forth till about 2-3 minutes left in the game. USA up 2 with 50 seconds left in the game, shot clock down to 1, guy chucks up a shot and makes one of the most lucky shots ever with 5 seconds left in the game to go up by 4. Missed 3, foul shots, backdoor cover.

[Filmoz]

LSU ML -145 3x

[Filmoz]

s.bama had a million TOs, did not deserve to win the game, SD started playing scared in the last ten minutes or so. Back and forth till about 2-3 minutes left in the game. USA up 2 with 50 seconds left in the game, shot clock down to 1, guy chucks up a shot and makes one of the most lucky shots ever with 5 seconds left in the game to go up by 4. Missed 3, foul shots, backdoor cover.

Thanks for the recap. That sounds crazy. Good to be on the right side of it every once and awhile.

[Filmoz]

Boise St +5.5 -105 3x

[ksnooksk]

Boise St +5.5 -105 3x

They're best player is out I believe for Boise State.....

[teeder]

They're best player is out I believe for Boise State.....

Ok, it's their best player, not they're. How can we trust your information if you can't speak English you f*king US college grad ---

[ksnooksk]

Ok, it's their best player, not they're. How can we trust your information if you can't speak English you f*king US college grad ---

Sorry. Is that better?

[thebigd1]

Ok, it's their best player, not they're. How can we trust your information if you can't speak English you f*king US college grad ---

Who's judging?

[shocktopme]

Ok, it's their best player, not they're. How can we trust your information if you can't speak English you f*king US college grad ---

Well aren't we a bit of a dickhead!!!!Not a good way to start here NOOB!!!!!!

[ksnooksk]

Who's judging?

Well aren't we a bit of a dickhead!!!!Not a good way to start here NOOB!!!!!!

My thoughts exactly.

[allidoiswin89]

Good luck Moz. I'm on Baylor -2.5 so a Baylor victory by 3 or 4 points will get the job done

[Filmoz]

Loyola-MD +24 -110 5x P
UTEP +7.5 -105 3x W
South Bama -5 -108 5x W
St. Mary's +4.5 -107 3x
LSU ML -145 3x W
Boise St +5.5 -105 3x

[shocktopme]

Loyola-MD +24 -110 5x P UTEP +7.5 -105 3x W South Bama -5 -108 5x W St. Mary's +4.5 -107 3x LSU ML -145 3x W Boise St +5.5 -105 3x

Great work today Film!!!Hope those last 2 picks cash!!!!!!