Filmoz's NCAA BB 2011-2012

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  • Capybara
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-17-08
    • 11803

    #631
    AP is a 2H pk now... Anyone think that's worth a play? No value anymore I imagine.
    Comment
    • Filmoz
      SBR MVP
      • 10-05-11
      • 3933

      #632
      Cash Austin Peay

      11/22/11

      Tennessee +4 -105 4x W
      Tennessee ML +165 1x L
      LaSalle +14.5 -102 3x
      Austin Peay +2.5 -105 3x W
      Comment
      • Filmoz
        SBR MVP
        • 10-05-11
        • 3933

        #633
        Michigan +6.5 -105 2x

        Still time to get it in, tip-off has been postponed for like 20 minutes.
        Comment
        • SimonSayz
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-17-09
          • 859

          #634
          Film....I was just thinking Michigan 1H and then saw you post this.....glad we're on the same team.
          Comment
          • Filmoz
            SBR MVP
            • 10-05-11
            • 3933

            #635
            Originally posted by SimonSayz
            Film....I was just thinking Michigan 1H and then saw you post this.....glad we're on the same team.
            You might even have the better idea with just a 1H bet. BOL to us both.
            Comment
            • Capybara
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-17-08
              • 11803

              #636
              I've missed (or skipped) all your plays today except for LaSalle. I feel fairly certain now that that will be the only play you lose.
              Comment
              • shocktopme
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 10-15-10
                • 940

                #637
                .

                Got La Salle at 14......
                Comment
                • allidoiswin89
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 03-22-11
                  • 915

                  #638
                  Got on Mich. Was going to put some money down on Duke ML as well as Coach K has never lost in the maui but the game started before.

                  Going to chase my lost bet last night with over ND/Georgia 129
                  Comment
                  • Capybara
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-17-08
                    • 11803

                    #639
                    Mich 2H pk??
                    Comment
                    • SimonSayz
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 10-17-09
                      • 859

                      #640
                      Originally posted by Capybara
                      Mich 2H pk??
                      There's plenty of value.... that's like saying michigan will lose the game by 12.
                      Comment
                      • Filmoz
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-05-11
                        • 3933

                        #641
                        Originally posted by Capybara
                        Mich 2H pk??
                        Go for it if you feel it, I am laying off and letting my original play ride. We have definitely seen Duke allow backdoor covers after being up by double digits.
                        Comment
                        • allidoiswin89
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 03-22-11
                          • 915

                          #642
                          god dammit i knew i should have bought the hook! fuckkkkkkk
                          Comment
                          • SimonSayz
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 10-17-09
                            • 859

                            #643
                            It baffles me why college basketball players foul (while down 5) with 3 seconds to go....absolutely no point. I did learn something with the Michigan loss....Duke cannot cover 2nd halves this year....
                            Comment
                            • Capybara
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 08-17-08
                              • 11803

                              #644
                              The Mich 2H came in nice for me, sorry you guys got fukked! Man, that fouling with no time left is so retarded! Serves no purpose except to Fukk bettors.

                              Great call on LaSalle, Mozer!
                              Comment
                              • Filmoz
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-05-11
                                • 3933

                                #645
                                Originally posted by Capybara
                                Great call on LaSalle, Mozer!
                                Thanks bud. Pitt is going to get demolished in Big East Conference play this year.
                                Comment
                                • Filmoz
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-05-11
                                  • 3933

                                  #646
                                  That's all for tonight folks. Final results:

                                  11/22/11

                                  Tennessee +4 -105 4x W
                                  Tennessee ML +165 1x L
                                  LaSalle +14.5 -102 3x W
                                  Austin Peay +2.5 -105 3x W
                                  Michigan +6.5 -105 2x L


                                  3-2-0, +6.9x
                                  Comment
                                  • Filmoz
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-05-11
                                    • 3933

                                    #647
                                    YTD 56-45-4, +31.48x
                                    Comment
                                    • Filmoz
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-05-11
                                      • 3933

                                      #648
                                      Well boys, we did what we set out to do today: we put yesterday behind us, made solid picks today, and now look at us! Another day in the green, got back a big chunk of yesterday's loss, and we are now back up over 30 units for the season. Here's tonight's victory song, an oldie but a goodie:



                                      and BOL everyone, see you all tomorrow, same time same place.
                                      Comment
                                      • DHB
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-14-11
                                        • 1538

                                        #649
                                        well done man, another great day.
                                        i only tail your 3x plays, thank you!

                                        was already on memphis-4 before i stopped by and saw you had tennessee+4 as a 4x play
                                        Comment
                                        • MatI
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-17-11
                                          • 5200

                                          #650
                                          Great work again. More $$$!
                                          Comment
                                          • allidoiswin89
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 03-22-11
                                            • 915

                                            #651
                                            wow 2 3 pointers in the final seconds by the home town kid for mizzou to give me a push on my bet....thank god. cal missed 4 lay ups in the final 4 minutes.....see ya boyz tomorrow
                                            Comment
                                            • SimonSayz
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 10-17-09
                                              • 859

                                              #652
                                              Gents,

                                              A great bounce back day today....good job. As we dig in to these games, you can start to see the teams who are not strong 2H teams and teams that are....for instance, Duke.....they can't cover a 2H period. Also...we learned a little about Pitt tonight (win games closer than line dictates) and Kansas (strong 1H) team.

                                              Here's a small donation to the thread from me:

                                              2-Team Teaser: GB Even / Dallas -1 (units TBD but I am thinking 4-5x)

                                              Kill bookies everywhere.

                                              SS
                                              Comment
                                              • allidoiswin89
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 03-22-11
                                                • 915

                                                #653
                                                Originally posted by SimonSayz
                                                Gents,

                                                A great bounce back day today....good job. As we dig in to these games, you can start to see the teams who are not strong 2H teams and teams that are....for instance, Duke.....they can't cover a 2H period. Also...we learned a little about Pitt tonight (win games closer than line dictates) and Kansas (strong 1H) team.

                                                Here's a small donation to the thread from me:

                                                2-Team Teaser: GB Even / Dallas -1 (units TBD but I am thinking 4-5x)

                                                Kill bookies everywhere.

                                                SS

                                                Quick question. How long have you been capping teams? It is November 23rd and after seeing a team play two games, you can't claim a team to be a good or bad 2nd half team. Maybe the teams they played are just good or bad 2nd half teams? Once again, not being a dick, but just trying to have a discussion. There is always something to learn
                                                Comment
                                                • SimonSayz
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 10-17-09
                                                  • 859

                                                  #654
                                                  Originally posted by allidoiswin89
                                                  Quick question. How long have you been capping teams? It is November 23rd and after seeing a team play two games, you can't claim a team to be a good or bad 2nd half team. Maybe the teams they played are just good or bad 2nd half teams? Once again, not being a dick, but just trying to have a discussion. There is always something to learn
                                                  No problem with the question...obviously, it is very early in the season so there isn't much volume that i can draw a model from. In tracking a few teams like the ones i have mentioned, i am seeing "trends" pertaining to half plays. Throw in Towson as well as they are another terrible 1h team.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Capybara
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 08-17-08
                                                    • 11803

                                                    #655
                                                    Morning, Gentlemen! Really liking the direction of this thread... Not only do we have Filmoz picking winners, but we have cogent analysis from the Filmoz "family" and a collective attempt at learning that will hopefully help us out as the season rolls on! Awesome.

                                                    Let's get back at it today! Yesterday was a great day and night for me until I blew it all listening to people talk up Cal. Ugh, what a joke. Congrats to all those smart enough to know Mizzou was vastly superior.

                                                    Hey, hope y'all are around the thread on Thanksgiving -- we got the 76 Classic to cap! Funny, I had a tradition of betting the late game of the Great Alaska Shootout w my nephew (ah yes, bonding over degenerate gambling), but that's not on anymore. But some good games to cash on hopefully in the 76 Classic.

                                                    Whatever the case, hope everyone has a great holiday!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Filmoz
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-05-11
                                                      • 3933

                                                      #656
                                                      Originally posted by Capybara
                                                      Morning, Gentlemen! Really liking the direction of this thread... Not only do we have Filmoz picking winners, but we have cogent analysis from the Filmoz "family" and a collective attempt at learning that will hopefully help us out as the season rolls on! Awesome.

                                                      Let's get back at it today! Yesterday was a great day and night for me until I blew it all listening to people talk up Cal. Ugh, what a joke. Congrats to all those smart enough to know Mizzou was vastly superior.

                                                      Hey, hope y'all are around the thread on Thanksgiving -- we got the 76 Classic to cap! Funny, I had a tradition of betting the late game of the Great Alaska Shootout w my nephew (ah yes, bonding over degenerate gambling), but that's not on anymore. But some good games to cash on hopefully in the 76 Classic.

                                                      Whatever the case, hope everyone has a great holiday!
                                                      Yeah that Cal game was super lopsided. I threw a unit on Mizzou just for fun on a gut feeling, didn't post it because it was last second and wasn't based on any research so I didn't want people blindly tailing. Lol, I watched the first half and then went to bed pretty smug and happy.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TE333
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 11-20-11
                                                        • 28

                                                        #657
                                                        When are you posting your picks today Film? I'm going to be tailing today. I had a pretty big positive day yesterday but would have been GREAT had GW made that damn ft!!! I'm going to be trailing today pretty hard. May the gambling gods be with us!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • gba
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 06-06-10
                                                          • 417

                                                          #658
                                                          Layed the wood on MIZZ last night....very under rated team!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Filmoz
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-05-11
                                                            • 3933

                                                            #659
                                                            Alright peeps, let's get today kicked off right. As always, we give much thanks to the gambling gods We had a very successful day yesterday, and the gambling gods were certainly on our side on a couple of very narrow covers. We respectfully ask for continued success today, Amen. On to today's plays:

                                                            11/23/11

                                                            Tennessee -19.5 -103 4x
                                                            Georgetown ML +102 4x
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Filmoz
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-05-11
                                                              • 3933

                                                              #660
                                                              Originally posted by TE333
                                                              When are you posting your picks today Film? I'm going to be tailing today. I had a pretty big positive day yesterday but would have been GREAT had GW made that damn ft!!! I'm going to be trailing today pretty hard. May the gambling gods be with us!
                                                              Shoulda tailed me yesterday, I took Austin Peay rather than GW and cashed that biotch.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • SimonSayz
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 10-17-09
                                                                • 859

                                                                #661
                                                                Tennessee line is down to 18 ... i'm buying out of 19.5 to get the better #.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TE333
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 11-20-11
                                                                  • 28

                                                                  #662
                                                                  Originally posted by Filmoz
                                                                  Alright peeps, let's get today kicked off right. As always, we give much thanks to the gambling gods We had a very successful day yesterday, and the gambling gods were certainly on our side on a couple of very narrow covers. We respectfully ask for continued success today, Amen. On to today's plays:

                                                                  11/23/11

                                                                  Tennessee -19.5 -103 4x
                                                                  Georgetown ML +102 4x
                                                                  Why Tenn? A lot of people are sitting this one out. You think its going to be a blowout?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SimonSayz
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 10-17-09
                                                                    • 859

                                                                    #663
                                                                    [QUOTE=SimonSayz;12474715]Tennessee line is down to 18 ... i'm buying out of 19.5 to get the better #.[/QUOTE]

                                                                    Missed buying out.....lets go Vols @ 19.5!!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Filmoz
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-05-11
                                                                      • 3933

                                                                      #664
                                                                      Originally posted by SimonSayz
                                                                      Tennessee line is down to 18 ... i'm buying out of 19.5 to get the better #.
                                                                      Crap, missed the buyout also, just added 4x on the -18 line. Oh well, Vols are gonna kill it.

                                                                      Tennessee -19.5 -103 4x
                                                                      Tennessee -18 -105 4x
                                                                      Georgetown ML +102 4x
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Capybara
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 08-17-08
                                                                        • 11803

                                                                        #665
                                                                        Originally posted by Filmoz
                                                                        Crap, missed the buyout also, just added 4x on the -18 line. Oh well, Vols are gonna kill it.

                                                                        Tennessee -19.5 -103 4x
                                                                        Tennessee -18 -105 4x
                                                                        Georgetown ML +102 4x
                                                                        Haha, yikes! Umm, go Vols!!!

                                                                        I'm in for three units at -19. Let's get it!
                                                                        Comment
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