Astro's NCAA Plays

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  • boba
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-12-07
    • 147

    #71
    Wow, you're back!!! Great hit +9 units. man, i wish i started sooner checking this forum again for your picks.
    Comment
    • astro61200
      SBR MVP
      • 09-15-07
      • 4843

      #72
      4* CS Northridge - W
      3* Northern Arizona - W
      3* Troy/North Texas - W
      2* Illinois-Chicago - L
      1* UConn - W

      4-1, +8.80 Units

      Wednesday: 2-1, +1.90 Units
      Thursday: 4-1, +8.80 Units
      2008: 6-2, +10.70 Units

      YTD Record: 42-31-3, +18.50 Units
      Comment
      • astro61200
        SBR MVP
        • 09-15-07
        • 4843

        #73
        Originally posted by boba
        Wow, you're back!!! Great hit +9 units. man, i wish i started sooner checking this forum again for your picks.
        Thanks, yep started back Wednesday, posted plays in Illusion's best bet thread Tuesday to warm up

        Probably wont have any CBB plays tomorrow, nothing really jumps out at me

        Maybe once I see some totals I might have a play or two, but right now nothing
        Comment
        • regularguy
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-12-07
          • 781

          #74
          Yes indeed. Good to see you back astro. I followed your Northern Arizona pick. Excellent.

          Comment
          • astro61200
            SBR MVP
            • 09-15-07
            • 4843

            #75
            1* Kansas -32.5
            1* Indiana -10
            1* Bradley +10.5
            Comment
            • astro61200
              SBR MVP
              • 09-15-07
              • 4843

              #76
              Originally posted by astro61200
              1* Kansas -32.5
              1* Indiana -10
              1* Bradley +10.5
              1-2
              -1.2 Units

              2008: 7-4, +9.50 Units

              YTD Record: 43-33-3, +17.30 Units
              Comment
              • astro61200
                SBR MVP
                • 09-15-07
                • 4843

                #77
                Games for Late Saturday, January 12th:

                4* Drake -6
                3* Dayton -4.5
                2* USC -6.5
                2* Charlotte -4.5
                1* Ole Miss -14.5
                1* Old Dominion -1.5
                Comment
                • astro61200
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-15-07
                  • 4843

                  #78
                  Originally posted by astro61200
                  Games for Late Saturday, January 12th:

                  4* Drake -6
                  3* Dayton -4.5
                  2* USC -6.5
                  2* Charlotte -4.5
                  1* Ole Miss -14.5
                  1* Old Dominion -1.5
                  4* Drake -6 - W
                  3* Dayton -4.5 - W
                  2* USC -6.5 - W
                  2* Charlotte -4.5 - L
                  1* Ole Miss -14.5 - L
                  1* Old Dominion -1.5 - L

                  3-3 on the day, +4.6 Units

                  YTD Record: 46-36-3, +21.90 Units
                  Comment
                  • astro61200
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-15-07
                    • 4843

                    #79
                    Unit Review:

                    Compared to others my unit total may look low... this is due to high unit value... so while my best play released may be 5* at most, I think I've had 1 6* and the rest below, make sure you adjust to get it on par with other people's unit systems... I may have 3 plays, the best being 4*, someone else may have 3 plays, the worst being 5*... that does not mean that he likes his plays more than I do, it simply means that he uses smaller unit value

                    So when you see people throwing out 5*s for every play, consider my 1* as one of their 5*s, and multiply my unit size by 5 to acheive what my play would be in their unit system
                    Comment
                    • astro61200
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-15-07
                      • 4843

                      #80
                      Games being considered for Sunday:
                      Indiana -12.5
                      Central Michigan -2
                      Duquesne/Rhode Island Over
                      Denver +1
                      Niagara -10
                      Rider -7.5
                      Portland State -4
                      Marist -7.5
                      Comment
                      • astro61200
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-15-07
                        • 4843

                        #81
                        5* Rider -8.5
                        2* Indiana -12
                        1* Marist -8

                        Rider tips soon, so if you want to play it you have a limited amount of time
                        Comment
                        • boba
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 12-12-07
                          • 147

                          #82
                          you were dead on about niagra!!!! i wish you had put it in your plays. i hope marista comes through.
                          Comment
                          • astro61200
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-15-07
                            • 4843

                            #83
                            Originally posted by boba
                            you were dead on about niagra!!!! i wish you had put it in your plays. i hope marista comes through.
                            I would have, but wasnt home in time
                            Comment
                            • astro61200
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-15-07
                              • 4843

                              #84
                              Originally posted by boba
                              you were dead on about niagra!!!! i wish you had put it in your plays. i hope marista comes through.
                              Marist was up 9 with 20 seconds, ended up winning by 7... sick backdoor cover for Fairfield... oh well, had the right side of the game, Fairfield and backers just got very lucky at the end

                              As for Indiana... Illinois is playing their best game of the season, so not looking good
                              Comment
                              • MoneySportsGuy
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-09-07
                                • 4891

                                #85
                                Indy I think is going to start a nice little run here, up by 2 now so lets get that 10 more!
                                Comment
                                • boba
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 12-12-07
                                  • 147

                                  #86
                                  Rider was the bet that matter the most. your 1* and 2* never do well for me, so i dont bet those. but i miss out on Rider cuase you posted so late. I'll have to check more often.
                                  Comment
                                  • MoneySportsGuy
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-09-07
                                    • 4891

                                    #87
                                    Man IU better not start trying for 3's all day because sometimes they hit but sometimes this team gets cold with that. They need easy buckets, put some defense and crowd momentum and then hit their FT's from now on down the stretch increase that lead up.

                                    Goodluck astro, I'm on IU haha!
                                    Comment
                                    • astro61200
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-15-07
                                      • 4843

                                      #88
                                      Originally posted by boba
                                      Rider was the bet that matter the most. your 1* and 2* never do well for me, so i dont bet those. but i miss out on Rider cuase you posted so late. I'll have to check more often.
                                      Yea that was my fault, didnt get back until about 2:55 and knew Rider tipped at 3 so had to hurry and post it and hope some people saw it

                                      Also put a 1 unit bet on Denver -1, but wont include that in my unit and record total since I didnt post it
                                      Comment
                                      • astro61200
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-15-07
                                        • 4843

                                        #89
                                        Originally posted by astro61200
                                        5* Rider -8.5
                                        2* Indiana -12
                                        1* Marist -8

                                        Rider tips soon, so if you want to play it you have a limited amount of time
                                        1-2 on the day... backdoor cover by Fairfield, and Illinois played out their ass for most of the game to keep it close... tho with the 5 unit W on Rider still ended up +1.7 units on the day

                                        Brings the YTD total at:

                                        YTD Record: 47-38-3, +23.60 Units
                                        Comment
                                        • MoneySportsGuy
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-09-07
                                          • 4891

                                          #90
                                          stupid IU kept trying to shoot 3's they could have got those 12 easy, Illinois had a drought of over 9 minutes no FG and they are trying to drop treys. grrr what can you do. maybe overtime, and IU comes out finishes with a 14-2 run haha
                                          Comment
                                          • astro61200
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-15-07
                                            • 4843

                                            #91
                                            Denver ended up tearing Arkie LR apart, 3's werent falling for Arkie and they couldnt handle Denver's slow offensive pace

                                            Since I didnt post it on my card, still +1.7 for the day, but a nice +2.7 for me actually today
                                            Comment
                                            • MoneySportsGuy
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-09-07
                                              • 4891

                                              #92
                                              Yeah I lost that one, had taken Arkan LR +1 didnt think Denver would put up points but man they are still good at home I guess, would like to watch one of their games live still havent seen them yet.
                                              Comment
                                              • jeffries
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 01-01-08
                                                • 750

                                                #93
                                                Any solid plays for tomorrow astro?
                                                Comment
                                                • astro61200
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-15-07
                                                  • 4843

                                                  #94
                                                  Originally posted by jeffries
                                                  Any solid plays for tomorrow astro?
                                                  Wont know until tomorrow at about 5 or 6 when I look at them in-depth

                                                  Right now games that are being considered:

                                                  Georgetown -2
                                                  Kansas -17
                                                  Portland -4
                                                  The Citadel +15
                                                  Comment
                                                  • astro61200
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-15-07
                                                    • 4843

                                                    #95
                                                    Didnt like any of the plays yesterday too much, so didnt bet... not gonna bet just to bet, instead I'll goto sleep and wake up... good thing I did not bet tho since my top play would have been Portland -4, and they lost by 5 I believe

                                                    Games I'm considering for tomorrow:
                                                    NC State +11.5
                                                    La Salle -3
                                                    Baylor -5
                                                    Missouri State -8.5
                                                    Nebraska -3
                                                    Mississippi State -8
                                                    Wisconsin -4.5
                                                    New Mexico -3.5
                                                    BYU +2.5

                                                    Right now really like Missouri State and Baylor
                                                    Comment
                                                    • astro61200
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-15-07
                                                      • 4843

                                                      #96
                                                      A lot of games today... feel pretty good about em all

                                                      3* Missouri State -8.5
                                                      3* Wisconsin -4.5
                                                      2* La Salle -4
                                                      2* Baylor -6.5
                                                      1* Nebraska -2
                                                      1* Clemson -11.5
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Tigers1230
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-04-07
                                                        • 1568

                                                        #97
                                                        don't know why your lines are inflated. I see Wisco at -4.5, Baylor at -6.5 and Missouri St. at -8.5 everywhere. I want to hop on that Missouri St. line but it seems a little high for that game.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Louisvillekid1
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-17-07
                                                          • 52143

                                                          #98
                                                          GL, astro
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MoneySportsGuy
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-09-07
                                                            • 4891

                                                            #99
                                                            yeah I dont like Missouri State that is way to high considering what each team scores and gives up and the point differencen not sure why everybody is on them
                                                            Comment
                                                            • astro61200
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-15-07
                                                              • 4843

                                                              #100
                                                              Originally posted by Tigers1230
                                                              don't know why your lines are inflated. I see Wisco at -4.5, Baylor at -6.5 and Missouri St. at -8.5 everywhere. I want to hop on that Missouri St. line but it seems a little high for that game.
                                                              I just got on Bodog real quick to check lines to post on here, even tho I use 5dimes... still think they cover all 3 of the inflated lines tho

                                                              Checking 5dimes now, as I go to place my bets, they are all inflated... so I'll change my plays real quick with the real lines
                                                              Comment
                                                              • astro61200
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-15-07
                                                                • 4843

                                                                #101
                                                                Originally posted by MoneySportsGuy
                                                                yeah I dont like Missouri State that is way to high considering what each team scores and gives up and the point differencen not sure why everybody is on them
                                                                Missouri State home margin: +12.9
                                                                Indiana State away margin: -12.4

                                                                Missouri St

                                                                12-1 SU last 13 home vs Indiana St

                                                                5-1 ATS home last 6 vs Indiana St

                                                                Indiana St

                                                                1-7 SU last 8 on road

                                                                2-6 ATS last 8 road

                                                                1-5 ATS last 6 on road vs Missouri St
                                                                Comment
                                                                • MoneySportsGuy
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-09-07
                                                                  • 4891

                                                                  #102
                                                                  yeah I know the records you listed, and I usually value those as big importance but I dont know my gut just tells me to stay away from that game. I am however looking at Kentucky and taking the +9.5 with that.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • rjt721
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-06-07
                                                                    • 7929

                                                                    #103
                                                                    I'm not a chalk player at all, but I agree with you on Missouri State and Baylor. Indiana State's 4-38 SU on the road in conference play dating back to '02. Ouch.

                                                                    Good luck.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • imgv94
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-16-05
                                                                      • 17192

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Good Luck man.. Hope you sweep
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • astro61200
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 09-15-07
                                                                        • 4843

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Originally posted by astro61200
                                                                        A lot of games today... feel pretty good about em all

                                                                        3* Missouri State -8.5
                                                                        3* Wisconsin -4.5
                                                                        2* La Salle -4
                                                                        2* Baylor -6.5
                                                                        1* Nebraska -2
                                                                        1* Clemson -11.5
                                                                        4-1-1 on the day, +7.9 Units

                                                                        YTD that makes my record:

                                                                        YTD Record: 51-39-4, +31.50 Units


                                                                        I'll take it, even tho Nebraska cost me a lot of money, had parlayed all my plays together, I still ended up nicely ahead on the day... which I cant complain since Tuesday isnt a CBB day.. just were a lot of great lines today

                                                                        My CBB days, where I look to cash in big, are Wednesday and Saturday
                                                                        Comment
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