Bankers NCAA hoops tracking thread

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  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #736
    Wake -4.5... i debated on this one for awhile, only because I thought wake was starting to hit their stride then the 10 day break came and little worried that wasn't a great time for them. On other hand after a sluggish start before gaining some traction it very possible manning was able to get more things worked on and ironed out in practice so I'm gonna say it a wash. As long as they don't come out rusty and dig themselves a hole I think they outclass coastal by pretty big margin. Wake is gonna be able to get what that want on the offensive end and defensively they could potentially turn cc over a great deal. More free throws, more possessions, more talent offensively, equals if they ready to play they win this by 8-10 points.
    Comment
    • 2daBank
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-26-09
      • 88966

      #737
      Originally posted by teecee
      Hmm, just checked Twitter and he seems to be leading on that he'll play tonight.
      Oh wow, man +14.5 feels like a incredible value if he playing. Honestly don't think this should even be double digits!
      Comment
      • teecee
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-18-09
        • 6298

        #738
        I had Creighton topping out at -11, but thought +8 1st hlf was good play. We'll see, man. G/l.
        Comment
        • kj8210
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 02-09-12
          • 919

          #739
          Thanks for all the work you put in Bank. Any thoughts on coastal Carolina +5 tonight?
          Comment
          • 2daBank
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-26-09
            • 88966

            #740
            Originally posted by kj8210
            Thanks for all the work you put in Bank. Any thoughts on coastal Carolina +5 tonight?
            I played wake actually., only thing that concerns me is the long layoff for them. Don't think cc matches up very well, long as wake doesn't get way behind early while shaking rust I think they win by 8-10. Think they win turnover battle by large margin, think they take and make more FTs, think they will be more efficient and have more possessions. Really comes down to if that long layoff hurts them as they were just starting to play well when it came.
            Comment
            • DOM_Toretto
              Restricted User
              • 01-28-13
              • 9035

              #741
              Love UTA, can’t decide if I like 1H +7 or full game +13 better... thoughts?
              Comment
              • mackave
                SBR MVP
                • 03-22-14
                • 4971

                #742
                Wake about to be behind here big, CC ain't missing no shots.
                Comment
                • 2daBank
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-26-09
                  • 88966

                  #743
                  Originally posted by mackave
                  Wake about to be behind here big, CC ain't missing no shots.
                  Na, like I said I kinda expected rust early. They ok. Honestly I thought about waiting till half but in the end don't think it will matter. We only down 3 and they shooting 50% from 3 while we shaking rust off.. eventually I suspect wake will clean up the turnovers and go on a run. We shall see, don't sweat yet tho we pretty much where I hoped to be far as score.
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #744
                    Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
                    Love UTA, can’t decide if I like 1H +7 or full game +13 better... thoughts?
                    Think I mentioned this before but I'm capping off full game numbers so I want the full 40 minutes. But as if Arlington a young team who gonna play strong early then get run out of gym in second half imo. Rather have all the points and a full 40. I mean I have no problem with 1st half, I hope they within 7 at break but don't feel it end of world if they happen to be down more. Of course you can always bet 1st half and if they don't cover get a better number for game on 2nd half bet.
                    Comment
                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #745
                      Damn, still ok but thought wake had the rust off, stopped turning it over and actually took lead, then give up a 8-0 run. Like I said not worried if they down small at half but was pretty psyched when looked like they would have lead at half.
                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #746
                        10-2 run by CC to close half. I still feel like we ok. Cc shot 57% from 3. Wake perimeter d was a concern but they not gonna keep up that clip. As advertised wake getting what they want inside shooting above 50% but poorly from deep which was to be expected. Most bothersome thing is wake has only attempted 5 FTs (making only 2), that was not expected and dunno wtf the deal is there. Everything points to they should have a big edge from stripe before all said and done. I'm good with rebounds being even as that was what I was hoping for. However wake with 10 turnovers to cc 9 is a problem but again something that should correct itself. Hopefully rust gone and manning does his job in the locker room.
                        Comment
                        • 2ndchance
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-14-17
                          • 1056

                          #747
                          I know I am looking ahead but Stephen f Austin getting 13.5 points WOW no respect they are a really good team I'll be all over that.
                          Comment
                          • 2daBank
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 88966

                            #748
                            Originally posted by 2ndchance
                            I know I am looking ahead but Stephen f Austin getting 13.5 points WOW no respect they are a really good team I'll be all over that.
                            I havnt gotten to even look at 2marro yet.. never too early bro, once I'm fully running and in groove ideally I like to have my lines made for games before they open and pounce right away if I see value. Few weeks away from me being to that point! Lol
                            Comment
                            • 2daBank
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-26-09
                              • 88966

                              #749
                              Denver/Montana st under 144.. Denver always been a team that doesn't function nearly as well on the road. Montana been off for over a week. Think this a grind it out affair and should be rather sloppy. I promise there more i just don't have time to write it up properly.
                              Comment
                              • 2daBank
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-26-09
                                • 88966

                                #750
                                I tell ya what, I don't think there a lot of value at that number to play the under in zags game, was hoping it would tick up as i could see why folks would lean under. My notes said if it got to 152/153 it would be worth a play. Clearly not gonna happen and o firmly believe in how I go about this so not playing a under that lined only few points over my number but I really suspect it stays under. Just food for thought.
                                Comment
                                • 2daBank
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-26-09
                                  • 88966

                                  #751
                                  Wake came out of half like we suspected. I'm still confused as to why the FTs remain even? If we had the advantage there I suspected wake would be up 10. Wonder if it home cooking refs just letting them play or wake no being aggressive?
                                  Comment
                                  • 2daBank
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-26-09
                                    • 88966

                                    #752
                                    For what it's worth one my partners that pretty solid with NBA text me and said play the spurs.. I don't follow NBA, every now and then he sends me a play and talks me into it. I was like bro freaking -11.5? Seriously? You mean money line (just fukkin with him, lol)?? Anyways so apparently spurs-11.5 a good play. We shall see!
                                    Give Points
                                    Comment
                                    • 2daBank
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-26-09
                                      • 88966

                                      #753
                                      2-1-1 night, couldn't be any closer to 4-0 if I tried. Lost wake by half a point cause they couldn't finish and cc kept making layups then fouling, then they go get another layup. Then we pushed the under in Montana after Denver excessively keeps fouling down 8-9-10 with 30 seconds to go. They finally call the dogs off still 2 points under the total and Montana st takes a shot with 4 seconds left for absolutely no fukkin reason to push the number. Whatever I guess, winning night but should have been way better..
                                      Comment
                                      • 2daBank
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-26-09
                                        • 88966

                                        #754
                                        102-87 overall
                                        Comment
                                        • 2daBank
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 88966

                                          #755
                                          Originally posted by 2daBank
                                          For what it's worth one my partners that pretty solid with NBA text me and said play the spurs.. I don't follow NBA, every now and then he sends me a play and talks me into it. I was like bro freaking -11.5? Seriously? You mean money line (just fukkin with him, lol)?? Anyways so apparently spurs-11.5 a good play. We shall see!
                                          Even cashed a NBA game!! Never watch that shit!! Lol
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #756
                                            12/19

                                            Auburn -2 -105 1st half/ -3 -115 full game.. bruce pearl has this squad playing pretty good ball. They took apart MTSU for 30 minutes before giving up a late push. That is my biggest worry here is the last 10 minutes as tigers have not closed out well. In their only loss vs temple they were actually up after 30 minutes then temple creamed them the last 10 minutes. That been a theme, pretty much every game I looked at tigers lost the last 10 minutes, there a few exceptions vs lessor teams but it is a problem and I'd assume has to do with tigers being very young.. defense the difference here, tigers play it as they incredibly tough to score on around the rim while racers do not. Both played mtsu, both had problems the last 10 minutes, the difference was auburn jumping out on them and had the ability to hang on while racers couldn't.. splitting between half and game as mentioned tigers been fast starters.
                                            Comment
                                            • 2daBank
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-26-09
                                              • 88966

                                              #757
                                              Gtech/uga under 127.. think this one of our dirty little hidden pleasure shitfest here! Feel like it gonna be a real struggle for them to hit 120 so got our 7-8 points of perceived value I look for to play these. Both teams really bad offensively and the kicker here is their efficiency numbers should even be lower when facing each other! Why? Both teams get their mediocre numbers by thriving at the foul line, averaging around 24% of their points from the charity stripe. Thing is both do a good job not allowing teams free points, both only allowing teams to get around 17% of their points in that fashion. Last season these 2 played to a 103 total and only took 24 FTs between them! Expect lot of ugly offense in this one, if neither living at the FT line there will be enough bricks to build houses for the homeless this holiday season! These kids should get their union cards cause this gonna be a bricklayer convention!
                                              Comment
                                              • 2daBank
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-26-09
                                                • 88966

                                                #758
                                                Cuse -11.. as ya probably know this a little out of my comfort zone but been trying to play more favs in this range when my capping suggest the dog isn't a good play. So far it has went pretty well and this one here even tho I like buffalo I just can't make a case for them as this a very bad matchup for them. Cuse length is gonna be a serious issue for the bulls, not only on the offensive glass where I expect cuse to thrive but on the other end where that length of cuse zone gonna make life incredibly difficult for a smallish bulls team who doesn't really have the shooters and still missing one of their best passers. When bulls play good teams that play man to man I think they a good bet getting points, as seen vs cincy, bulls have guys who can get to the rack off the bounce. The problem lies when they get zoned up and not allowed to penetrate off the bounce, as seen when they struggled vs bonnies who played a lot of zone. As we know cuse zone is second to none and I just don't think bulls will be able to solve it while on the other end cuse gonna get lots of 2nd and 3rd chances as they have bunch of athletic rebounders who bulls will struggle to get a body on. This just a bad matchup so lay the points.
                                                Comment
                                                • G Trooper
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 03-28-12
                                                  • 63

                                                  #759
                                                  Goodluck tonight. Took a good look at Auburn last night. Won't have a chance to finish studying the full card until later.

                                                  Wish I'd have seen that Spurs play last night. Your buddy was on it. Lord knows I don't try to handicap or even watch that trash, at least not until the playoffs anyway.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 2daBank
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                    • 88966

                                                    #760
                                                    Originally posted by G Trooper
                                                    Goodluck tonight. Took a good look at Auburn last night. Won't have a chance to finish studying the full card until later.

                                                    Wish I'd have seen that Spurs play last night. Your buddy was on it. Lord knows I don't try to handicap or even watch that trash, at least not until the playoffs anyway.
                                                    Lol. Yea I'm exactly the same way. I kinda watch playoffs, bet them cause it might be easiest cash there is in this thing we do, best team always wins!! Lol. He might hit me up 2x a week with a play tho and the ones he really gets on me to play generally hit at pretty high clip. Never against taking little extra money without even having to cap or worry about!! Lol
                                                    Comment
                                                    • G Trooper
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 03-28-12
                                                      • 63

                                                      #761
                                                      Lol right. I try to stay as sharp as possible with so much value available in college hoops, but we all gamblers in the end. Everybody wants a little something for nothing sometimes ya know.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 2daBank
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                        • 88966

                                                        #762
                                                        Originally posted by G Trooper
                                                        Lol right. I try to stay as sharp as possible with so much value available in college hoops, but we all gamblers in the end. Everybody wants a little something for nothing sometimes ya know.
                                                        No doubt., Between ppl I've met in life (like my NBA buddy) and the tons of guys I've met on gambling forums over the years I have came across few guys I trust enough when they suggest a play to me I'll play it on sports I don't cap (NHL, NBA, some years college fb).. takes a lot for me to get to that point as I'm not big into blindly tailing but I've talked with them enough over the years I've come to respect their opinion and know that they putting as much work into this as I do so I'm comfortable knowing whether it wins or loses just like my NCAA hoops and baseball plays it a solid play and over course of our lives I'm not gonna be down playing them!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 2daBank
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-26-09
                                                          • 88966

                                                          #763
                                                          Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                          12/19

                                                          Auburn -2 -105 1st half/ -3 -115 full game.. bruce pearl has this squad playing pretty good ball. They took apart MTSU for 30 minutes before giving up a late push. That is my biggest worry here is the last 10 minutes as tigers have not closed out well. In their only loss vs temple they were actually up after 30 minutes then temple creamed them the last 10 minutes. That been a theme, pretty much every game I looked at tigers lost the last 10 minutes, there a few exceptions vs lessor teams but it is a problem and I'd assume has to do with tigers being very young.. defense the difference here, tigers play it as they incredibly tough to score on around the rim while racers do not. Both played mtsu, both had problems the last 10 minutes, the difference was auburn jumping out on them and had the ability to hang on while racers couldn't.. splitting between half and game as mentioned tigers been fast starters.


                                                          Gtech/uga under 127.. think this one of our dirty little hidden pleasure shitfest here! Feel like it gonna be a real struggle for them to hit 120 so got our 7-8 points of perceived value I look for to play these. Both teams really bad offensively and the kicker here is their efficiency numbers should even be lower when facing each other! Why? Both teams get their mediocre numbers by thriving at the foul line, averaging around 24% of their points from the charity stripe. Thing is both do a good job not allowing teams free points, both only allowing teams to get around 17% of their points in that fashion. Last season these 2 played to a 103 total and only took 24 FTs between them! Expect lot of ugly offense in this one, if neither living at the FT line there will be enough bricks to build houses for the homeless this holiday season! These kids should get their union cards cause this gonna be a bricklayer convention!

                                                          Cuse -11.. as ya probably know this a little out of my comfort zone but been trying to play more favs in this range when my capping suggest the dog isn't a good play. So far it has went pretty well and this one here even tho I like buffalo I just can't make a case for them as this a very bad matchup for them. Cuse length is gonna be a serious issue for the bulls, not only on the offensive glass where I expect cuse to thrive but on the other end where that length of cuse zone gonna make life incredibly difficult for a smallish bulls team who doesn't really have the shooters and still missing one of their best passers. When bulls play good teams that play man to man I think they a good bet getting points, as seen vs cincy, bulls have guys who can get to the rack off the bounce. The problem lies when they get zoned up and not allowed to penetrate off the bounce, as seen when they struggled vs bonnies who played a lot of zone. As we know cuse zone is second to none and I just don't think bulls will be able to solve it while on the other end cuse gonna get lots of 2nd and 3rd chances as they have bunch of athletic rebounders who bulls will struggle to get a body on. This just a bad matchup so lay the points.

                                                          .
                                                          Belmont +6.5 ... line move created some decent value here imo. Considered waiting to see if a 7 pops but running out of time and not gonna be around to watch line, don't want to risk coming back and seeing ppl got their heads out their asses and bet it back down!! Bruins have owned this matchup, they play every year and Belmont has taken the last 3 with last year being a beat down. Maybe that will motivate wku and make no mistake wku very good. Thing is they were just 10 point favs vs a crappy Indy state team, so while they covered easily the point being Belmont way more than 3.5 better than Indiana st so feel we have some nice value here in a game I think will come down to final minute. The reason bruins have owned this matchup? They live and die from behind the arc and wku is poor defending treys. What I really like about this is at this number while I expect this comes down to the wire we have few ways to cash, if wku were to outplay them and have lead late this a game our dog very well could get back inside this spread with the foul game, wku not a good ft shooting team and Belmont capable of draining some late 3s. We don't want it to come to that but fact we have that advantage just makes the likelihood of a cover that much greater as it can be achieved in multiple ways!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 2daBank
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-26-09
                                                            • 88966

                                                            #764
                                                            What the fukk going on with that Texas AM line? I get n.kentucky solid but that a big line move and aggies in another class. Don't love the idea of being on another dd fav but that line gets any lower and might have to.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Louisvillekid1
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 10-17-07
                                                              • 52143

                                                              #765
                                                              Great work in here

                                                              -per usual
                                                              Comment
                                                              • HeeluvaGuy
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-15-14
                                                                • 3449

                                                                #766
                                                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                What the fukk going on with that Texas AM line? I get n.kentucky solid but that a big line move and aggies in another class. Don't love the idea of being on another dd fav but that line gets any lower and might have to.
                                                                I took the Aggies at -11.5. Robert Williams was out last game under the concussion protocol. Maybe that has something to do with it, but he's probable tonight. I don't think he's needed to cover this line regardless. Too much defense and rebounding for NKU to overcome.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • KDF500
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-05-13
                                                                  • 2465

                                                                  #767
                                                                  NKU no softy. Will come out aggressive as they usually start games that way. I’ve watched about 4 games this season and have been impressed.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • HeeluvaGuy
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-15-14
                                                                    • 3449

                                                                    #768
                                                                    GL tonight banker!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 2daBank
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                                      • 88966

                                                                      #769
                                                                      Originally posted by KDF500
                                                                      NKU no softy. Will come out aggressive as they usually start games that way. I’ve watched about 4 games this season and have been impressed.
                                                                      Yea I know they solid. They not in same class as aggies, ASU only team that has looked more impressive than aggies to me so far this year, and I think a&m better than them.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • 2daBank
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                                        • 88966

                                                                        #770
                                                                        Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
                                                                        I took the Aggies at -11.5. Robert Williams was out last game under the concussion protocol. Maybe that has something to do with it, but he's probable tonight. I don't think he's needed to cover this line regardless. Too much defense and rebounding for NKU to overcome.
                                                                        Yea I'm not even worried bout him, they have pretty decent depth down low..
                                                                        Comment
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