***** College Totals *****

[playr101]

Gl today DD

[doubledime]

Gl today DD

Thanks playr

[Capybara]

DD, I find myself always wishing you had starred plays, or like DD's gold star plays or something. I'm personally not really into betting lots of games, so I like to zero in on certain elements that make some rise above others as the best of the litter...

But I guess yours is more of an algorithm type deal, where your model spits out the results and you just flat bet them all, huh?

No judgment at all, by the way -- you should totally do YOU... just sharing... Good luck tonight!

[doubledime]

DD, I find myself always wishing you had starred plays, or like DD's gold star plays or something. I'm personally not really into betting lots of games, so I like to zero in on certain elements that make some rise above others as the best of the litter...

But I guess yours is more of an algorithm type deal, where your model spits out the results and you just flat bet them all, huh?

No judgment at all, by the way -- you should totally do YOU... just sharing... Good luck tonight!

I don't like playing a lot of games either. I'm not sure if you followed my baseball totals this last season, but the same thing happened with the Reliever Plays. Some days there were 7, which on a relatively small card, it was a lot of plays. I think we had something like 300 plays over the season and we hit around 58%, so it worked out.

I'm not big on assigning "star" or rating my plays. Sometimes, what I feel are my strongest plays, loose. I play the same on all. If I have a lot in one day I may lower my unit but play the same.

Thanks for your input

[Capybara]

I don't like playing a lot of games either. I'm not sure if you followed my baseball totals this last season, but the same thing happened with the Reliever Plays. Some days there were 7, which on a relatively small card, it was a lot of plays. I think we had something like 300 plays over the season and we hit around 58%, so it worked out.

I'm not big on assigning "star" or rating my plays. Sometimes, what I feel are my strongest plays, loose. I play the same on all. If I have a lot in one day I may lower my unit but play the same.

Thanks for your input

Makes sense, sir. Good luck as always!

[thekoreanmang]

As you mentioned this is link is for football. I am not a big fan of a chase system but from what I read, it's been profitable most years. When I play the second half to go under I am not doubling my unit size. If you decide to do this let me know your results.

1H U62.5 Samford/W. Carolina hits.

The other two 1H unders do not. I had them at U62 WKY/FIU and U64 CHAT/UNCG. I just went 2x on 2H U71.5 and U74.5 respectively.

[JTrain]

DD, did you do this system last season for NCAAB? If so, what was the record and was there a thread here?

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Regular Plays: 1-3

First Half Unders: 1-1-1

Second Half Unders When First Half Goes Over: 1-0-1

YTD:

Regular Plays: 36-28

First Half Unders: 16-10

Second Half Unders: 6-1

Good luck

[doubledime]

DD, did you do this system last season for NCAAB? If so, what was the record and was there a thread here?

Not the same system. Every year I try to improve what I have done the previous season, but I did not have a hoops thread.

[doubledime]

Good morning,

The more I am able to go back and look at my previous plays I am going to suggest the most prudent and safest way to play my plays. I am all about mitigating my risk. Though, IMHO, I think this is the best way to play these, it does take a little extra time to follow the games so as to see when it's half time to possibly make the second half bet. Ultimately everyone will play the way they are comfortable with.

All that said, due to time constraints, I will post only the full game lines, and it's up to everyone to find the best first half and, if applicable, the best second half line. For record keeping purposes, I will continue to track all 3 (three) plays, the full game, the first half and the second half.

Tuesday's Plays:

729 WM/Ohio over 147
741 EC/C FL under 122
745 Alb/Miss St. under 130

May have one more later

Good luck

[HeeluvaGuy]

Best of luck tonight DD! I like that ECU under, but it's hard for me to pull the trigger on an under that low.

[doubledime]

Best of luck tonight DD! I like that ECU under, but it's hard for me to pull the trigger on an under that low.

Thanks Normally, I don't like them that low either but let's hope they score only 110.

[doubledime]

Points Awarded:

Flea Hotel gave doubledime 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.

Thanks Flea Good luck on you NHL card

[Fred The Hammer]

I like WV/Texas Tech Over 143.5! TT is 5-1 Over at home despite playing at a very slow pace normally. The thing is WV presses and gets teams out of their normal game. Their 2 games last year were at 156 & 158 points. Also if you look at TTs opponents this year....look at a game on Dec. 3rd vs Rice. Rice plays at the 62nd fastest pace (WV is 44th) and they were able to speed up TT. The Red Raiders beat Rice 85-84. I think WV's pressure gets this one into the 150s!!

[SlickRick1382]

Good morning,

The more I am able to go back and look at my previous plays I am going to suggest the most prudent and safest way to play my plays. I am all about mitigating my risk. Though, IMHO, I think this is the best way to play these, it does take a little extra time to follow the games so as to see when it's half time to possibly make the second half bet. Ultimately everyone will play the way they are comfortable with.

All that said, due to time constraints, I will post only the full game lines, and it's up to everyone to find the best first half and, if applicable, the best second half line. For record keeping purposes, I will continue to track all 3 (three) plays, the full game, the first half and the second half.

Tuesday's Plays:

729 WM/Ohio over 147
741 EC/C FL under 122
745 Alb/Miss St. under 130

May have one more later

Good luck

So the best option if you're able to follow is to double down on the 2nd half, if the 1st half under didn't hit? and only on unders (ignoring overs)?

I.E. 741 EC / Central Fl U122 the 1st half is O/U 56. If it goes over the 1st half total of 56 then bet the 2nd half under?

Sorry for the repetitive question but I've been on vacation for 3 weeks and haven't caught up to every thread ...

[HeeluvaGuy]

I like WV/Texas Tech Over 143.5! TT is 5-1 Over at home despite playing at a very slow pace normally. The thing is WV presses and gets teams out of their normal game. Their 2 games last year were at 156 & 158 points. Also if you look at TTs opponents this year....look at a game on Dec. 3rd vs Rice. Rice plays at the 62nd fastest pace (WV is 44th) and they were able to speed up TT. The Red Raiders beat Rice 85-84. I think WV's pressure gets this one into the 150s!!

Be careful not to confuse pace of play with scoring efficiency. There were only 69 possessions in that Rice/TTU game, which is right at TTU's average. The Red Raiders were wildly efficient in that game, however, scoring 1.23 points per possession (vs a season average of 1.17). FWIW, West Virginia allows the fewest points per possession in the NCAA this season (.773).

With the contrasting styles I find this one very hard to handicap, but I wish you the best on your plays!

[doubledime]

So the best option if you're able to follow is to double down on the 2nd half, if the 1st half under didn't hit? and only on unders (ignoring overs)?

I.E. 741 EC / Central Fl U122 the 1st half is O/U 56. If it goes over the 1st half total of 56 then bet the 2nd half under?

Sorry for the repetitive question but I've been on vacation for 3 weeks and haven't caught up to every thread ...

Yes, if the play is an under for the game, and the first half goes over, then play the under for the same amount for the second half.

BTW, I got 56.5 on EC/C FL for the first half.

It's always better to ask to get clarification.

Good luck

[doubledime]

I like WV/Texas Tech Over 143.5! TT is 5-1 Over at home despite playing at a very slow pace normally. The thing is WV presses and gets teams out of their normal game. Their 2 games last year were at 156 & 158 points. Also if you look at TTs opponents this year....look at a game on Dec. 3rd vs Rice. Rice plays at the 62nd fastest pace (WV is 44th) and they were able to speed up TT. The Red Raiders beat Rice 85-84. I think WV's pressure gets this one into the 150s!!

I have no opinion on that game however HG shared with us some good perspective. Good luck if you play it.

[playr101]

Here's to a winning day DD

[doubledime]

Here's to a winning day DD

[doubledime]

Good afternoon,

I have 4 overs that just missed the cut. I don't want to confuse people and these are NOT plays, but last time I gave these out they did okay. I only give these out for those that handicap their own games and maybe can use them along with their own plays. If they all go south I won't give them out again.

Ark/Ten over
Miss/FL over
CM/EM over
NC/Clem over

Remember they are not official plays

Good luck

[thekoreanmang]

Yes, if the play is an under for the game, and the first half goes over, then play the under for the same amount for the second half.

BTW, I got 56.5 on EC/C FL for the first half.

It's always better to ask to get clarification.

Good luck

Thanks for the info. I was able to get 57.5 for EC/C Fl

[doubledime]

Thanks for the info. I was able to get 57.5 for EC/C Fl

Lines do vary. I went back and got a little more on under 57. Good luck to all of us

[thekoreanmang]

They do. I realized that I'm an idiot and the 1H U62 WKY/FIU was a push. For some reason, I saw a loss and played the under for 2x and of course I lost. Out of curiosity, what'd you get your 1H and 2H numbers at for yesterday's plays?

I ask because for me, had I not played the 2H U71.5 on the WKY/FIU game, I would've been 1-0 with just the 2H U74.5 CHAT/UNCG game since the Samford 1H hit. But, it looks you played a second game too but that one just pushed. Am I missing something?

[doubledime]

They do. I realized that I'm an idiot and the 1H U62 WKY/FIU was a push. For some reason, I saw a loss and played the under for 2x and of course I lost. Out of curiosity, what'd you get your 1H and 2H numbers at for yesterday's plays?

I ask because for me, had I not played the 2H U71.5 on the WKY/FIU game, I would've been 1-0 with just the 2H U74.5 CHAT/UNCG game since the Samford 1H hit. But, it looks you played a second game too but that one just pushed. Am I missing something?

You are correct, there was only 1 second half play Chat/NC Green and it was a winner.

You can find the 1st and 2nd half #s at

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/matchups/matchups.cfm/date/01-02-17

[DU46]

Great night DD!

[doubledime]

Great night DD!

[Fred The Hammer]

Be careful not to confuse pace of play with scoring efficiency. There were only 69 possessions in that Rice/TTU game, which is right at TTU's average. The Red Raiders were wildly efficient in that game, however, scoring 1.23 points per possession (vs a season average of 1.17). FWIW, West Virginia allows the fewest points per possession in the NCAA this season (.773).

With the contrasting styles I find this one very hard to handicap, but I wish you the best on your plays!

Great feedback I truly appreciate it! I think I'm going to hit the Over but I hedged a little on Under 78.5 (71 first half & need 144 overall)2nd half to limit my risk. Some chance to scoop both in a perfect world!!

My thinking with a press team vs an old school team is based on Bobby Knight's theory that the press can only beat bad teams and he didn't just want to break the press but break it & score! Its a good close game too so hopefully plenty of late ft's!! Gotta love totals!!!

[mdunlap3]

ECU/UCF U was gift tonight....such a horrible game to watch though.

[Fred The Hammer]

ECU/UCF U was gift tonight....such a horrible game to watch though.

Under 95 was good....lol!

I moved the line for Oklahoma last night to -3.5 (+135) on 5dimes. I don't think they allow that on cbb totals though? It would be nice on those games where the line seems off!

[Fabiodog]

Good work

[doubledime]

Good morning,

The WM/Ohio over lost by 1/2. I can live with that. We will win some by a 1/2 point. However, what pisses me off is neither team scored for the last 41 seconds!

Regular Plays: 2-0-1

First Half Unders: 2-0

Second Half Unders When First Half Goes Over: 0-0

YTD:

Regular Plays: 39-28

First Half Unders: 18-10

Second Half Unders: 6-1

Good luck

[DU46]

DD, the W. Mich game landed on 147 and that's the line you posted, thus a push. I wouldn't count it as a loss for your record on here since you posted a line that pushed!

[doubledime]

DD, the W. Mich game landed on 147 and that's the line you posted, thus a push. I wouldn't count it as a loss for your record on here since you posted a line that pushed!

Thanks DU

For tracking I will. What happened is I posted the plays then went in to play it and the line went up a half on me.

[knicksrulez]

DD, the W. Mich game landed on 147 and that's the line you posted, thus a push. I wouldn't count it as a loss for your record on here since you posted a line that pushed!

That's correct, the line was at 147.5 in my book, but since you posted 147 I bought the 1/2 point, I always play the exact same lines you post (or try to)