Lkid1's Plays

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  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #22261
    Some think a conspiracy theory to slow down Louisville kid with the blank pages so many things going around right now in the office

    The kid always have a target on his back
    Comment
    • SBR Tony
      Moderator
      • 01-31-18
      • 3934

      #22262
      Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
      Why am I hear just hearing from you now

      wtf Tony

      post more
      I'll get more into once the east coast tracks open up, which is June 1st
      Comment
      • SBR Tony
        Moderator
        • 01-31-18
        • 3934

        #22263
        test test
        Comment
        • Louisvillekid1
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-17-07
          • 52143

          #22264
          Tampa Wed 5/20


          Race 3


          Found Something that might present some value


          Its a Maiden Claiming 16k on the turf, and plenty are logical in here like the #3 Cask (2/1) , Cuts tag in half for the Stidham barn. Kathy has the #6 Analyzeyourvision (5/2) , has been within 2.5 lengths at this level in the last two. The #11 Terry Jade (8/1) , Is dropping from the strong turf barn in Sarah Nagle. But the one I’m interested in is the #2 Sorcier (10/1) , This gelding didn’t lift his legs on the the first two tries on dirt, got a freshening and was meant for the turf (which is clearly what this one is bred for). Lost by 12 lengths but was a clear 2nd that day and the number shows marked improvement. Im not all that familiar with this barn, but finally getting on the lawn in this spot, suggest this one could be hidden in this spot, and because of the easy logical ones to bet on here, (which I could never back at those short prices) We have a potentially live one here at a number.
          Comment
          • Louisvillekid1
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-17-07
            • 52143

            #22265
            The 8th race is actually a really strong field.


            A horse I been on the first 2 times, comes from the florida breeders we have been making money from. I heard this one was on the better looking runners there, and has shown that so far up to this point. Will be a price, and stiff competition. But worth a flyer on #5 Baby Boomer (10/1)

            I'll be trying both these horses on wednesday
            Comment
            • littlekona
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 11-19-15
              • 5242

              #22266
              anything good this weekend.....My God I had horrible luck needed that 66-1 shot in race 2 Churchill Sunday amd then lost a heartbreaker photo at Gulf on Saturday by an eyelash a 7-1 shot with the 3/5 beating me...Im on break til Friday :*
              Comment
              • Dogball
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 04-15-10
                • 625

                #22267
                Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                Tampa Wed 5/20


                Race 3


                Found Something that might present some value


                Its a Maiden Claiming 16k on the turf, and plenty are logical in here like the #3 Cask (2/1) , Cuts tag in half for the Stidham barn. Kathy has the #6 Analyzeyourvision (5/2) , has been within 2.5 lengths at this level in the last two. The #11 Terry Jade (8/1) , Is dropping from the strong turf barn in Sarah Nagle. But the one I’m interested in is the #2 Sorcier (10/1) , This gelding didn’t lift his legs on the the first two tries on dirt, got a freshening and was meant for the turf (which is clearly what this one is bred for). Lost by 12 lengths but was a clear 2nd that day and the number shows marked improvement. Im not all that familiar with this barn, but finally getting on the lawn in this spot, suggest this one could be hidden in this spot, and because of the easy logical ones to bet on here, (which I could never back at those short prices) We have a potentially live one here at a number.
                #2 sounds like a throw away - when are post positions designated for Wednesday races ? May all ready be idk
                what impact if any does that have on your analysis
                Comment
                • JBEX
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-02-12
                  • 23423

                  #22268
                  Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                  Tampa Wed 5/20


                  Race 3


                  Found Something that might present some value


                  Its a Maiden Claiming 16k on the turf, and plenty are logical in here like the #3 Cask (2/1) , Cuts tag in half for the Stidham barn. Kathy has the #6 Analyzeyourvision (5/2) , has been within 2.5 lengths at this level in the last two. The #11 Terry Jade (8/1) , Is dropping from the strong turf barn in Sarah Nagle. But the one I’m interested in is the #2 Sorcier (10/1) , This gelding didn’t lift his legs on the the first two tries on dirt, got a freshening and was meant for the turf (which is clearly what this one is bred for). Lost by 12 lengths but was a clear 2nd that day and the number shows marked improvement. Im not all that familiar with this barn, but finally getting on the lawn in this spot, suggest this one could be hidden in this spot, and because of the easy logical ones to bet on here, (which I could never back at those short prices) We have a potentially live one here at a number.


                  agree on #2 sorcier.. like the last race and that's a fast figure on the dirt for this level..as turfy a pedigree as you can get (as you said).. personally I like the no name trainer as gives it a little camouflage

                  #8 hex (6-1) my other
                  Comment
                  • Louisvillekid1
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-17-07
                    • 52143

                    #22269
                    Originally posted by Dogball
                    #2 sounds like a throw away - when are post positions designated for Wednesday races ? May all ready be idk
                    what impact if any does that have on your analysis
                    Yeah that is his post position

                    and im hoping that’s going to be the public’s opinion

                    im not calling it a lock

                    but could be a strong value play

                    its what you look for in this game

                    gl
                    Comment
                    • Louisvillekid1
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-17-07
                      • 52143

                      #22270
                      Originally posted by JBEX
                      agree on #2 sorcier.. like the last race and that's a fast figure on the dirt for this level..as turfy a pedigree as you can get (as you said).. personally I like the no name trainer as gives it a little camouflage

                      #8 hex (6-1) my other
                      Thanks for sharing and glad you like as well
                      Comment
                      • Louisvillekid1
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-17-07
                        • 52143

                        #22271
                        Originally posted by littlekona
                        anything good this weekend.....My God I had horrible luck needed that 66-1 shot in race 2 Churchill Sunday amd then lost a heartbreaker photo at Gulf on Saturday by an eyelash a 7-1 shot with the 3/5 beating me...Im on break til Friday :*
                        Ouch

                        yeah I won small

                        won Fri
                        lost sat
                        won sun

                        just individual race betting

                        looking at Thursday cards now
                        Comment
                        • Louisvillekid1
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-17-07
                          • 52143

                          #22272
                          Hallandale is listing rain like every day

                          not sure how much early time I wanna spend

                          Louisville showing rain Thursday also
                          Comment
                          • Louisvillekid1
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-17-07
                            • 52143

                            #22273
                            Man I remember last fall ,

                            was so happy for dale romans

                            he talked about Dennis moment like a life time achievement

                            gotta be heartbreaking for those connections

                            hopefully he comes back strong as a 4 year old
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #22274
                              Kid what OTB do you go to??

                              I know of none South Jersey
                              Comment
                              • harthebar
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-09-11
                                • 15708

                                #22275
                                Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                Your right about switching leads. Monster. Lol. I thought you meant Hong Kong. That's why I posted those 2 winners from there. Didnt realize it was Japan to now. Beauty of a beast
                                Comment
                                • harthebar
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-09-11
                                  • 15708

                                  #22276
                                  Originally posted by jjgold
                                  Kid what OTB do you go to??

                                  I know of none South Jersey
                                  There are 2 in south Jersey. Chickie and Pete's is one in eht. About 8 miles away from Atlantic city. 3 miles away from Atlantic city race track
                                  Comment
                                  • JBEX
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-02-12
                                    • 23423

                                    #22277
                                    i mentioned forty niner a few times as he's khozan's paternal grandsire..passed away at 35..pretty ripe old age for a horse


                                    Comment
                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-17-07
                                      • 52143

                                      #22278
                                      Yeah Jbex when I saw that , I immediately thought of your post

                                      35

                                      good life I’m sure
                                      Comment
                                      • Louisvillekid1
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-17-07
                                        • 52143

                                        #22279
                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                        Kid what OTB do you go to??

                                        I know of none South Jersey

                                        private club JJ

                                        lol

                                        its 10 min from house , fir years always went to south Philly which is also about 10 minute with no traffic

                                        but I really like this one
                                        Comment
                                        • Louisvillekid1
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-17-07
                                          • 52143

                                          #22280
                                          Originally posted by harthebar
                                          Your right about switching leads. Monster. Lol. I thought you meant Hong Kong. That's why I posted those 2 winners from there. Didnt realize it was Japan to now. Beauty of a beast
                                          Lol , glad you got to see
                                          Comment
                                          • Louisvillekid1
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-17-07
                                            • 52143

                                            #22281
                                            Originally posted by harthebar
                                            There are 2 in south Jersey. Chickie and Pete's is one in eht. About 8 miles away from Atlantic city. 3 miles away from Atlantic city race track
                                            Chickie and Pete’s is an OTB now?

                                            want in Outside north field on Tilton road


                                            agh eht

                                            yeay I been there but wasn’t OTB

                                            it’s right off tilton near the summer boat house I’m talking about , headed towards 322 in other direction

                                            I have a lil boat horse there in that marine that still hasn’t been fixed since sandy

                                            blows

                                            right at the Jerome ave bridge

                                            miss that so much

                                            hopefully soon.
                                            Comment
                                            • Louisvillekid1
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-17-07
                                              • 52143

                                              #22282


                                              check out the new the waiver claiming rule

                                              this could be a great for us handicappers

                                              protected horses placed in a sale race

                                              big angle and may be overlooked by public
                                              Comment
                                              • Louisvillekid1
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-17-07
                                                • 52143

                                                #22283
                                                Look for trainers to get their lay-off horses that qualify a race underneath without the chance of being lost

                                                this is an encouraging sign clearly of how they feel about their runner
                                                Comment
                                                • harthebar
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-09-11
                                                  • 15708

                                                  #22284
                                                  Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                  Chickie and Pete’s is an OTB now?

                                                  want in Outside north field on Tilton road


                                                  agh eht

                                                  yeay I been there but wasn’t OTB

                                                  it’s right off tilton near the summer boat house I’m talking about , headed towards 322 in other direction

                                                  I have a lil boat horse there in that marine that still hasn’t been fixed since sandy

                                                  blows

                                                  right at the Jerome ave bridge

                                                  miss that so much

                                                  hopefully soon.
                                                  No the one. Out front. Of home depot. On the black horse pike. 3 minutes from Hamilton mall.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • harthebar
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-09-11
                                                    • 15708

                                                    #22285
                                                    You can get to this one off tilton road. Coming off of Jerome. Where the docks are. Just take tilton to shore mall it merges into 322. Go about 4 miles on your left. If that's the same one.
                                                    There is a shop rite home depot. In the complex it's on the smaller side but it's a great spot. They just opened in the last year
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Jellymancan
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-09-20
                                                      • 3695

                                                      #22286
                                                      Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                      Tampa Wed 5/20


                                                      Race 3


                                                      Found Something that might present some value


                                                      Its a Maiden Claiming 16k on the turf, and plenty are logical in here like the #3 Cask (2/1) , Cuts tag in half for the Stidham barn. Kathy has the #6 Analyzeyourvision (5/2) , has been within 2.5 lengths at this level in the last two. The #11 Terry Jade (8/1) , Is dropping from the strong turf barn in Sarah Nagle. But the one I’m interested in is the #2 Sorcier (10/1) , This gelding didn’t lift his legs on the the first two tries on dirt, got a freshening and was meant for the turf (which is clearly what this one is bred for). Lost by 12 lengths but was a clear 2nd that day and the number shows marked improvement. Im not all that familiar with this barn, but finally getting on the lawn in this spot, suggest this one could be hidden in this spot, and because of the easy logical ones to bet on here, (which I could never back at those short prices) We have a potentially live one here at a number.
                                                      Just looked at that race 3 tommorw at TD. If Sorcier can convert that form to turf, he has a chance. He will probably stay hidden, trainer has dismal numbers, but the horse had run last time and made a huge leap. Also, Santos isn't a top jockey, but he's been sneaky good lately. Won 3 out of last 4, two of them md claimers ,one on turf. In May, on turf, Santos has gone 6-2-0-2-2. This a good value pick, I agree.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • harthebar
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-09-11
                                                        • 15708

                                                        #22287
                                                        Hamm HAS A HORSE Race 9 at Tampa Bay Downs.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JBEX
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-02-12
                                                          • 23423

                                                          #22288
                                                          know what I said but the degen I am tough to do .. so going to compromise lol.. put a max two plays a day in this thread through this week.. good chance to try and focus in and decide if there is a 3rd or 4th in consideration who makes it (and more times than not it isn't a black and white decision)




                                                          Originally posted by JBEX

                                                          R3



                                                          agree on #2 sorcier.. like the last race and that's a fast figure on the dirt for this level..as turfy a pedigree as you can get (as you said).. personally I like the no name trainer as gives it a little camouflage




                                                          R9


                                                          #6 mr hand full (10-1)

                                                          maybe they named him that for a reason lol.. line perfect.. but other thing I thought was how much faster his pace figs are then the probable favorite just inside of him.. also you have a cutback from 1 1/8 to a mile.. coming back in 2 weeks you think he'd retain some of that fitness from that race.. connections obscure so won't attract a bunch of attention. also you have gallardo on the outside with a well bred 4yo firster (especially what dam did on track and as a broodmare).. but starting as a 4yo for $16k so that's easy to take a stand against at a low price
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JBEX
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-02-12
                                                            • 23423

                                                            #22289
                                                            imo if sorcier (10-1) goes off double digits he's probably dead.. even with the bad trainer think he should be in the 5-8 range
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Jellymancan
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-09-20
                                                              • 3695

                                                              #22290
                                                              Sorcier got scratched, go figure.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Seastriper
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 04-28-14
                                                                • 237

                                                                #22291
                                                                Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                                Tampa Wed 5/20


                                                                Race 3


                                                                Found Something that might present some value


                                                                Its a Maiden Claiming 16k on the turf, and plenty are logical in here like the #3 Cask (2/1) , Cuts tag in half for the Stidham barn. Kathy has the #6 Analyzeyourvision (5/2) , has been within 2.5 lengths at this level in the last two. The #11 Terry Jade (8/1) , Is dropping from the strong turf barn in Sarah Nagle. But the one I’m interested in is the #2 Sorcier (10/1) , This gelding didn’t lift his legs on the the first two tries on dirt, got a freshening and was meant for the turf (which is clearly what this one is bred for). Lost by 12 lengths but was a clear 2nd that day and the number shows marked improvement. Im not all that familiar with this barn, but finally getting on the lawn in this spot, suggest this one could be hidden in this spot, and because of the easy logical ones to bet on here, (which I could never back at those short prices) We have a potentially live one here at a number.

                                                                Darn! SCRATCHED! Looked forward to the race
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Seastriper
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 04-28-14
                                                                  • 237

                                                                  #22292
                                                                  Originally posted by Jellymancan
                                                                  Sorcier got scratched, go figure.
                                                                  Beat me to it! lol

                                                                  I have to WAIT til Race 6 to play now! Darn
                                                                  Last edited by Seastriper; 05-20-20, 11:01 AM.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JBEX
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                                    • 23423

                                                                    #22293
                                                                    too bad but gives me another race lol
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JBEX
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                                      • 23423

                                                                      #22294
                                                                      Originally posted by JBEX
                                                                      agree on #2 sorcier.. like the last race and that's a fast figure on the dirt for this level..as turfy a pedigree as you can get (as you said).. personally I like the no name trainer as gives it a little camouflage

                                                                      #8 hex (6-1) my other
                                                                      actually had another when I originally posted and heres the other..same kind of races

                                                                      R9


                                                                      #6 mr hand full (10-1)

                                                                      maybe they named him that for a reason lol.. line perfect.. but other thing I thought was how much faster his pace figs are then the probable favorite just inside of him.. also you have a cutback from 1 1/8 to a mile.. coming back in 2 weeks you think he'd retain some of that fitness from that race.. connections obscure so won't attract a bunch of attention. also you have gallardo on the outside with a well bred 4yo firster (especially what dam did on track and as a broodmare).. but starting as a 4yo for $16k so that's easy to take a stand against at a low price
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • KnuckleHeadz
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 12-11-19
                                                                        • 8194

                                                                        #22295
                                                                        Originally posted by JBEX
                                                                        actually had another when I originally posted and heres the other..same kind of races

                                                                        R9


                                                                        #6 mr hand full (10-1)

                                                                        maybe they named him that for a reason lol.. line perfect.. but other thing I thought was how much faster his pace figs are then the probable favorite just inside of him.. also you have a cutback from 1 1/8 to a mile.. coming back in 2 weeks you think he'd retain some of that fitness from that race.. connections obscure so won't attract a bunch of attention. also you have gallardo on the outside with a well bred 4yo firster (especially what dam did on track and as a broodmare).. but starting as a 4yo for $16k so that's easy to take a stand against at a low price
                                                                        On that #8 circled as well JBeX..... I’ll tail on the #6... GL
                                                                        Comment
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