Lkid1's Plays

**Louisvillekid1** · 03-16-19, 11:31 AM

Penn is simply going to get more scoring attempts in this one. They will get more possessions by winning the turnover battle, while getting to the line more as well.

Quakers have a more balanced attack for this setting and will hold their own on the glass.

Crimson can stroke the 3 ball, but they will need DD's from deep to get the win.

**Louisvillekid1** · 03-16-19, 11:35 AM

Originally posted by KRIT

What do you think of the Florida St game? Seems like a lot of points for such a quality team to be catching. Felt like Duke lines have been overinflated all season, but this seems like the matchup Duke wants. FSU wants out athletic teams, that's kind of Duke's game. Thinking might play right into Duke's game plan.

I lean duke, FSU scores a huge chunk from the line, and the Blue Devils can defend without fouling. The Seminoles also will lose the turnover battle.

FSU clearly capable but pretty confident Duke gets the win, which probably means covers.

**Louisvillekid1** · 03-16-19, 11:37 AM

In the Wiscy game, I just don't see much... IF I had to bet the game I'd take the 5.5

**KRIT** · 03-16-19, 11:43 AM

Agreed with you on FSU. Wisky line looks sharp, think its tight most the way with Sparty pulling away late.

You excited for selection Sunday? You guys got a great one in Mack, lucky to have him. Turned that program around way faster than anyone expected.

**Louisvillekid1** · 03-16-19, 12:00 PM

NCC +5 vs Norfolk St,

So the trouble is playing one the road but in the regular season, they only lost by 4 in OT. However, I'd imagine today's Sat Afternoon, will have more fans trying to dance.

When the Eagles have the ball, the big thing that jumps off the page is they turn it over on 22.8 % of their possessions while Norfolk gets their opponents turnovers @ 20.6 %. But lets break this # down to truly understand what we are looking at. The spartans # is simply due to the sloppiness of the teams they played, going against a 351/353 ranked schedule because they are only getting steals at a 7.7% clip per. So that tells you the majority are simply unforced. Think about this, that crazy # of 22.8% per is 340/353 in the nation, and only 9/13 in conference! So we know , yes, the Eagles can be really sloppy but it's not as bad as it looks. Especially since its a better chance to be a grind game (which favors NCC) as Norfolk wants to run. We know these games come down to a half court grind. The biggest thing I like here is our huge edge on the glass, we out rebounded them 46-33 in the first go round. Another thing I like is the fact the Spartans foul a ton and we don't. Thats a key factors being on the road, as the home team generally will get more 50/50 calls.

When the Spartans have the ball, They live of the 3 ball and from the line. Well, we spoke about NCC being solid about the fouls. Lets look @ the 3 ball. Norfolk ranked 43rd in the nation 3 point shooting %, but NCC Ranked 36th in defending it. Going further , a lot of those 3's are gained in open court transition off opposing turnovers and we been through that. SO lets see how they do in the half court. Norfolk is scoring over 22 % of their points from the line (27th most in the nation) We only give up 17.5 (247th) in a good way.

Rebounding and grinding here , plus we get +5 to overcome this road championship game.

**Louisvillekid1** · 03-16-19, 12:01 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

Agreed with you on FSU. Wisky line looks sharp, think its tight most the way with Sparty pulling away late.

You excited for selection Sunday? You guys got a great one in Mack, lucky to have him. Turned that program around way faster than anyone expected.

Yeah man, excited for the future. Top class coming in next year, and returning a lot.

Won't be an easy out,

**Louisvillekid1** · 03-16-19, 12:03 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

NCC +5 vs Norfolk St,

So the trouble is playing one the road but in the regular season, they only lost by 4 in OT. However, I'd imagine today's Sat Afternoon, will have more fans trying to dance.

When the Eagles have the ball, the big thing that jumps off the page is they turn it over on 22.8 % of their possessions while Norfolk gets their opponents turnovers @ 20.6 %. But lets break this # down to truly understand what we are looking at. The spartans # is simply due to the sloppiness of the teams they played, going against a 351/353 ranked schedule because they are only getting steals at a 7.7% clip per. So that tells you the majority are simply unforced. Think about this, that crazy # of 22.8% per is 340/353 in the nation, and only 9/13 in conference! So we know , yes, the Eagles can be really sloppy but it's not as bad as it looks. Especially since its a better chance to be a grind game (which favors NCC) as Norfolk wants to run. We know these games come down to a half court grind. The biggest thing I like here is our huge edge on the glass, we out rebounded them 46-33 in the first go round. Another thing I like is the fact the Spartans foul a ton and we don't. Thats a key factors being on the road, as the home team generally will get more 50/50 calls.

When the Spartans have the ball, They live of the 3 ball and from the line. Well, we spoke about NCC being solid about the fouls. Lets look @ the 3 ball. Norfolk ranked 43rd in the nation 3 point shooting %, but NCC Ranked 36th in defending it. Going further , a lot of those 3's are gained in open court transition off opposing turnovers and we been through that. SO lets see how they do in the half court. Norfolk is scoring over 22 % of their points from the line (27th most in the nation) We only give up 17.5 (247th) in a good way.

Rebounding and grinding here , plus we get +5 to overcome this road championship game.

In the first matchup Norfolk went 10-20 from deep and still needed OT to win and not cover this #.

**Louisvillekid1** · 03-16-19, 12:06 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

NCC +5 vs Norfolk St,

So the trouble is playing one the road but in the regular season, they only lost by 4 in OT. However, I'd imagine today's Sat Afternoon, will have more fans trying to dance.

When the Eagles have the ball, the big thing that jumps off the page is they turn it over on 22.8 % of their possessions while Norfolk gets their opponents turnovers @ 20.6 %. But lets break this # down to truly understand what we are looking at. The spartans # is simply due to the sloppiness of the teams they played, going against a 351/353 ranked schedule because they are only getting steals at a 7.7% clip per. So that tells you the majority are simply unforced. Think about this, that crazy # of 22.8% per is 340/353 in the nation, and only 9/13 in conference! So we know , yes, the Eagles can be really sloppy but it's not as bad as it looks. Especially since its a better chance to be a grind game (which favors NCC) as Norfolk wants to run. We know these games come down to a half court grind. The biggest thing I like here is our huge edge on the glass, we out rebounded them 46-33 in the first go round. Another thing I like is the fact the Spartans foul a ton and we don't. Thats a key factors being on the road, as the home team generally will get more 50/50 calls.

When the Spartans have the ball, They live of the 3 ball and from the line. Well, we spoke about NCC being solid about the fouls. Lets look @ the 3 ball. Norfolk ranked 43rd in the nation 3 point shooting %, but NCC Ranked 36th in defending it. Going further , a lot of those 3's are gained in open court transition off opposing turnovers and we been through that. SO lets see how they do in the half court. Norfolk is scoring over 22 % of their points from the line (27th most in the nation) We only give up 17.5 (247th) in a good way.

Rebounding and grinding here , plus we get +5 to overcome this road championship game.

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

In the first matchup Norfolk went 10-20 from deep and still needed OT to win and not cover this #.

Furthermore, we spoke about it yesterday when we backed the Eagles. They won this tournament the last 2 years returning a lot from last years team, same coach etc.

**jjgold** · 03-16-19, 12:13 PM

win or lose The Kid with great info

**Louisvillekid1** · 03-16-19, 04:31 PM

lol UK blowing that, I quit

**barnstorm** · 03-16-19, 04:45 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

lol UK blowing that, I quit

Calipari doesn't let his kids play. Makes them slow it down and pass it around and then force a shot. hate when coaches do that. Tenny finished on an 18-6 run as a result. KYT was up 8 with 2-3 minutes to go.

**Heltah Skeltah** · 03-16-19, 05:06 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

lol UK blowing that, I quit

Kentucky controlled all that game up until that last 3 mins.

**Louisvillekid1** · 03-16-19, 05:09 PM

Originally posted by barnstorm

Calipari doesn't let his kids play. Makes them slow it down and pass it around and then force a shot. hate when coaches do that. Tenny finished on an 18-6 run as a result. KYT was up 8 with 2-3 minutes to go.

They didn't down the stretch for, but Cal does let 'em play no?

I hear ya either way...

one add WKY -130 1h 1x

Down like 15 units now

Few pending...

I really liked our card today, was even saying to myself finally a good start, and I think Tex SO and AC are stone winners...

Oh well, Just keep doing what I do,

I mean its worked for years, just a brutal stretch

Doing the work, feeling confident entering, and i suppose I just have to weather this...

Since back Feb 2/26

64 -64 -2 -15.3x

Pending:

Tex So -1 2x
AC -5 2x
GC +4 1x
WKy 1h -130 1x

**Louisvillekid1** · 03-16-19, 05:14 PM

Originally posted by Heltah Skeltah

Kentucky controlled all that game up until that last 3 mins.

Man I pretty much had that money spent, and im the last person to count chickens

Just adding up like crazy + combined w/ some bad picks + some missed winners

Can happen quick this time of year, and I know this...

I mean I've had minimum of 30x winning seasons since i been here over a decade ago

including 2 100x ones

Maybe being away this season hurt me, but I feel like I know as much as the next man, about these kids/coaches...

Im just venting here, something i never do...

I honestly can't call it... You can say playing too many games, but I've never been red in this sport anytime...

Maybe I need reconsider being sober

**coach 40/40** · 03-16-19, 05:18 PM

Staying sober makes you a winner. Don’t ever forget that.

**mountie12** · 03-16-19, 05:18 PM

I had 500 on UC Irvine last night giving 9. They were up 8 got the rebound and threw it down the court to a wide open player under their net. He dribbled and waited till the buzzer went off to shoot it. HURT

**Louisvillekid1** · 03-16-19, 05:20 PM

Originally posted by coach 40/40

Staying sober makes you a winner. Don’t ever forget that.

Lol not according to my bankroll & followers

Originally posted by mountie12

I had 500 on UC Irvine last night giving 9. They were up 8 got the rebound and threw it down the court to a wide open player under their net. He dribbled and waited till the buzzer went off to shoot it. HURT

Yea i saw that, dam

**jjgold** · 03-16-19, 05:20 PM

Calipari worst in game coach in America yearly

**Easy-Rider 66** · 03-16-19, 05:35 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

Man I pretty much had that money spent, and im the last person to count chickens

Just adding up like crazy + combined w/ some bad picks + some missed winners

Can happen quick this time of year, and I know this...

I mean I've had minimum of 30x winning seasons since i been here over a decade ago

including 2 100x ones

Maybe being away this season hurt me, but I feel like I know as much as the next man, about these kids/coaches...

Im just venting here, something i never do...

I honestly can't call it... You can say playing too many games, but I've never been red in this sport anytime...

Maybe I need reconsider being sober

Someone once said "Water is the only drink for the wise man." You have just run into some bad luck imo. Happens to the best of players. Keep plugging away and try not to force things. GL moving forward.

**Louisvillekid1** · 03-16-19, 06:22 PM

Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66

Someone once said "Water is the only drink for the wise man." You have just run into some bad luck imo. Happens to the best of players. Keep plugging away and try not to force things. GL moving forward.

He was a bored and lonely square, ask Churchill ,

Its not so much bad luck, Ive been wrong as well, but yeah not 15x wrong
Yeah I hear ya, Hey man please share your horse racing thoughts any time...

During NCAABB season im so occupied, and don't get down to the horse forum...

I'm Gonna play NY tomorrow...

Maybe i need switch

Here's what im seeing:

r2,

obv the 4/5 OUR HONOR is legit, i mean union rags but look what Linda did has already accomplished with him in 3 goes. Dealt w/ both wet & fast, and streched 2. Taking the drop for confidence? cross the line first, and then profit off this newly claimer? I think so. SEEDISKID (6/1), im going include for obv reasons, in case the bounce @ 6/1. and not just the name haha

r3,

in the Gander, why not just stick w/ Linda. #1 CAPTAIN FROST (6/1), Dylan Davis, gets the pilot this merry go - round, but @ 6/1 I'll gamble this single as I don't agree with the lower m/l's prices

r4,

Lets use the #5 WAR TOCSIN (7/2), I mean 3rd race incline can we predict here? #7 MANIULATE , gets the juice here after the lengthening @10/1 this my winner

r5,

OK this is where Im just gonna toss the #5 SMILES FROM SADIE @ 3/5, and Its prob not ideal reasoning. I mean ok 6 horse field, and 3/5 that horse is 8: 1,6,0... Looking at those races I just see a horse that either doesn't know , or doesn't want, how/to win. Those 6 2nd's is enough sampling (looking at the winners next out(s), that for me its an easy fade.. This race is terrible, yeah 64k AOC , but Rudy taking this 3/5 M/l line more than Freud. So lets just toss and use the other 5 in our horizontal , Even though If I had to pick one I think Manny crosses the wire first.

AQU

r2: 1,3
r3: 1
r4: 5,7
r5: 1,2,3,4,6

$1 P4 ($20)

r6,

$5 Ex Box 2,7,10

I just feel another spot to toss the Chalk #3 Deputy Flag @ 2/1 is borderline laughable...

Lets get 2 of the 3 selections home before their foes, and enough a nice payout 2.5x

($30)

$50 play tomorrow

**Easy-Rider 66** · 03-16-19, 06:25 PM

Thx for the Pony Takes from BIG A LKID. May play some AQ tomorrow and will give your insights a look.

**Louisvillekid1** · 03-16-19, 06:26 PM

GAME WINNER was almost huge, great ride both ways

**Louisvillekid1** · 03-16-19, 07:22 PM

lol, i suppose dude thought they were dodgeball, legit avoided in bound pass

Johnny Jones a joke, im a joke right now...

Tapping out

15k lawyer

2k here

Need a few bottles & an 8 ball,

relocate myself

**Cuse0323** · 03-16-19, 07:26 PM

You think you lost your edge without the drugs and alcohol? Shit I’d probably feel that way.

**jjgold** · 03-16-19, 07:38 PM

Kid money is missing from the register and you were the last one there and during an inventory list 3 yards of sheet rock were missing

**Louisvillekid1** · 03-16-19, 07:41 PM

Originally posted by Cuse0323

You think you lost your edge without the drugs and alcohol? Shit I’d probably feel that way.

I think my dormant mind just gives a fukk now

indifference my friend, the freedom of indifference is the key to success

But yes of course, Had much more money while partaking

fukk this square sober shit

**Cuse0323** · 03-16-19, 07:42 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

I think my dormant mind just gives a fukk now

indifference my friend, the freedom of indifference is the key to success

That’s the truth right there.

**Louisvillekid1** · 03-16-19, 10:19 PM

...

**sweep** · 03-16-19, 11:39 PM

Kid do some push-ups/sit-ups & take a light jog....get those natural endorphins pumping again to clear the mind. Keep doing work, dont forget you are proven winner long term. Documented.

Downswings are bound to happen

**Louisvillekid1** · 03-17-19, 09:25 AM

Welp, There went my sobriety…

2 1.75 of kettle one this morning

Jeez I can straight up see again

First off, Milwaukee is going whoop up on my sixers. This environment is going to absolute insane. This team just won't get it's credit until the walk through this "tough" eastern conference. Boston has a chance only cuz of brad, and Toronto but this sixer talk is a joke…

They are a joke, just ask jimmy butler… who btw , who crowned this guy???? Ive always loved him simply cuz buzz and marq, but who does he think he is… fukk him

Gimmie Tobias, Ben, Jojo and ship 'em back out to lebron, oh wouldn't that match be great hahaha

ANY way I digress,

Bucks -6.5 and over 232 $300 Reverse , yep called it into the local… $300R, and he laughed haha, west coast guys clueless btw…

Yale/ Harvard is another over 144, no write up

Tennessee is going bitch slap auburn, I mean like 20 + alt style…

Tenny -5

Bonnies , man if these young kids can beat this insane defense on this stage???? well this is a top 25 team next year…

The simple fact they are favorites against this experienced vacuum , makes me wanna back these kids. 4th in 4 for billikens but their style aids that. I just can't as my balls aren't that big to overcome that rebounding…

OK ok, relax…

the midget will have guys playing their best game of the season today. The result will be meaningless and they will get tossed early most likely next week.

But today, they will rebound… It will be an ugly ugly ugly ugly brick house.. This game will not hit 127.5 if they score 20+ from the line in the last minute….

Why not bet 1h??? because the 2h is going to INSANELY SLOW … im taking offense starting 15 sec in the clock

Mich/Mich ST????

Big bank take little bank

nope the best coach wins this one

Michigan to the hoop, yeah I said it…

So here's what your gonna do today

go to local wal mart, if you can't drive just ask otters to uber you…

Put $500 into fund accounts

Parlay

Bucks -6.5 , Yale Over 144, Tennessee -5 , Cincinnati u127

Stop at the LQ, and get your mixology going

You will have 5k by the selection show …

**leetreaper** · 03-17-19, 09:26 AM

**coach 40/40** · 03-17-19, 09:53 AM

Tennessee won there big game yesterday. I see Auburn winning this one with a second half comeback. Good luck on the rest.

**RudyRuetigger** · 03-17-19, 10:05 AM

i love this fukkin guy

kid needs a big timer job on sbr capping games

**jjgold** · 03-17-19, 10:14 AM

Kid Step away

The pressure getting to you at SBR

**Louisvillekid1** · 03-17-19, 10:26 AM

Parlay (4)
Milwaukee Bucks -6 @ -110
Point Spread
Philadelphia 76ers @ Milwaukee Bucks
3:35 pm ET - WABC-TV
Over 144.0 @ -110
Total Points
Yale @ Harvard
12:00 pm ET
Tennessee #8 -5 @ -110
Point Spread
Auburn @ Tennessee
1:00 pm ET - ESPN
Under 127.0 @ -110
Total Points
Cincinnati @ Houston
3:15 pm ET
1 Bet x $400.00 @ +1228
Bet Amount: $400.00
Returns: $5313.33